{"id":213136,"date":"2020-01-08T16:51:19","date_gmt":"2020-01-08T16:51:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=213136"},"modified":"2023-01-21T18:54:44","modified_gmt":"2023-01-21T17:54:44","slug":"strategic-blow-and-deadly-impasse-of-the-iranian-regime","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/editorial\/strategic-blow-and-deadly-impasse-of-the-iranian-regime\/","title":{"rendered":"Strategic Blow and Deadly Impasse of the Iranian Regime"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"Strategic Blow and Deadly Impasse of the Iranian Regime\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Editorial-NCRI.jpg\" alt=\"Strategic Blow and Deadly Impasse of the Iranian Regime\" \/><\/p>\n<p><small><strong>Strategic Blow and Deadly Impasse of the Iranian Regime<\/strong><\/small><\/p>\n<p>The elimination of\u00a0<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/terrorism-fundamentalism\/27175-who-was-the-vicious-criminal-qassem-soleimani\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Qassem Soleimani<\/a>, commander of\u00a0<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/terrorism-fundamentalism\/26746-widespread-presence-of-iranian-regime-s-irgc-quds-force-in-iraq-under-diplomatic-cover\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the Islamic Revolutionary Guards (IRGC)<\/a>\u00a0<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/terrorism-fundamentalism\/26763-quds-force-s-arm-in-iraq-holy-shrines-reconstruction-headquarters\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Quds Force<\/a>, is an important and irreparable blow to the Iranian regime. Its importance is magnified by the uprising of the Iranian people, which began in November 2019. The uprising marks a new era and changes in the balance of power.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/iran-protests-2019\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Iran\u2019s nationwide uprising<\/a>\u00a0was preceded by mass protests in Iraq against Iranian interference in Iraqi society and political affairs. Both movements shocked the Iranian regime and shattered its strategic depth. In response, Tehran launched a series of operations against United States forces inside Iraq to restore the hollow hegemony of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, and at the same time to divert the public attention from their just demand of expulsion of the Iranian regime from Iraq. During the operation, carried out by the regime\u2019s Iraqi mercenaries and the IRGC\u00a0<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/terrorism-fundamentalism\/26763-quds-force-s-arm-in-iraq-holy-shrines-reconstruction-headquarters\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Quds Force<\/a>, one American was killed and three were wounded.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Good Read on <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/QassemSolemani?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#QassemSolemani<\/a>&#8216;s death.<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iranian?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iranian<\/a> dissidents hail <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Soleimani?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Soleimani<\/a>\u2019s death as \u2018major, major blow\u2019 for the regime in Tehran <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/1iAaT5huch\">https:\/\/t.co\/1iAaT5huch<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/FoxNews?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#FoxNews<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/FreeIran2020?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#FreeIran2020<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/9Cx3tEWyT3\">pic.twitter.com\/9Cx3tEWyT3<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1213522465646927872?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 4, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>After attacking Aramco refineries and Saudi airports, Khamenei still had not seen a response from the US. This led him to conclude that the regime had an opportunity to consolidate its strategic depth through terrorist operations in Iraq. But pursuing this strategy turned out to be a miscalculation; this time he received a decisive response.<\/p>\n<p>What led to Khamenei&#8217;s miscalculation was his misunderstanding of the depth and the impact of the Iraqi people\u2019s uprising and the November uprising in Iran, which had changed the balance. From the day of its foundation, the Iranian regime relied on its strategy of exporting terrorism and creating crises and war abroad. This policy intended to demonstrate the regime\u2019s hollow hegemony that forced other parties to succumb to its blackmailing campaign. A misguided policy of appeasement towards the mullahs\u2019 regime by the international community was the prerequisite and the key factor to the continuation of this policy by the regime that had begun to fail some time ago.<\/p>\n<p>The uprising of the Iranian people in December 2017 and January 2018 elucidated their abhorrence of this regime and its policy of exporting terrorism. This was demonstrated in the slogans of &#8220;neither Gaza nor Lebanon, my life for Iran&#8221; and &#8220;Let go of Syria, Think about us.\u201d So, the regime\u2019s strategy of exporting terrorism began to falter.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">IRAN: Tehran Baazar Traders Protest for 2nd Day Against Rising Foreign Currencies Exchange Rate<br \/>Protesters chanting: &quot;Not Gaza, Not Lebanon, My life for Iran&quot;<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/xpPCCVMdZl\">https:\/\/t.co\/xpPCCVMdZl<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iranprotests?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iranprotests<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/IranRegimeChange?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#IranRegimeChange<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/FreeIran2018?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#FreeIran2018<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/93KAt6U3lK\">pic.twitter.com\/93KAt6U3lK<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1011235312377397248?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 25, 2018<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Popular protests in Iran represent a coup de gr\u00e2ce to Western policies of appeasement. The regime\u2019s President Hassan Rouhani acknowledged as much when he pointed to the U.S. withdrawal from the nuclear agreement in 2018 as one sign of a sea change in America policy.<\/p>\n<p>When Iran\u2019s own protest movement effectively spread to Iraq and Lebanon, it demonstrated that the Iranian regime\u2019s strategic depth is shattered, moreover the Iran Protests in November demonstrated the emptiness of regime\u2019s hollow show of power. And when\u00a0<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-protests\/27168-people-in-iran-and-across-the-globe-celebrate-qassem-soleimani-s-death\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Qassem Soleimani<\/a>\u00a0was eliminated, it signaled the decisive end of the regime\u2019s hollow hegemony. With his symbol no longer obscuring the hollowness of Tehran\u2019s claim to hegemony, the world is now witnessing how groundless the regime\u2019s shows of power have been.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Khamenei?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Khamenei<\/a> acknowledged that <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Soleimani?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Soleimani<\/a> was the regime\u2019s number 2 and symbolized the Supreme Leader\u2019s aura in and out of <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a> and that his elimination had been a crushing blow to the regime.<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/IRGCTerrorists?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#IRGCTerrorists<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/FreeIran2020?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#FreeIran2020<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/FcHTntrowf\">https:\/\/t.co\/FcHTntrowf<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1215004481504600070?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 8, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>The regime has tried its best to conceal the change. It has made threats of revenge, forced schoolchildren to fill out forms in support of the regime\u2019s retaliation, and mandated public attendance at Soleimani\u2019s funeral. But all of this is futile because the regime\u2019s deadly impasse cannot be hidden.<\/p>\n<p>If Khamenei could not materialize the harsh response to\u00a0<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/terrorism-fundamentalism\/27179-elimination-of-qassem-soleimani-a-fatal-blow-to-the-iranian-regime\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Qassem Soleimani<\/a>\u2019s elimination, as he has claimed, his hollow hegemony and authority will shatter for all of his forces and will be replaced with the fear of being toppled, leading to an increased pace of defections from his regime. However, if he does respond seriously, he will have to pay a heavier price. Khamenei is well aware of the fragile state of the regime. On the one hand, he needs his regime\u2019s malign intervention in the region, and on the other hand, in the current condition, his regime is at the lowest level in the balance of power.<\/p>\n<p>The mullahs\u2019 regime is facing a dead end. No matter what path it chooses, the ultimate result will be the regime\u2019s overthrow at the hands of a restive society with the resistance units. The International community is also facing a choice. Either in response to hollow rhetoric of the regime to retreat, and allow the mullahs to take the international community hostage by terrorism and continue the bloodshed in Iran and the region, or to adopt a decisive policy to make sure that the mullahs understand that the time of appeasement has passed.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/QassemSoleimani?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#QassemSoleimani<\/a>\u00a0was one of the most vicious criminals of\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s history. He was personally involved in the massacre of hundreds of thousands of people in the region and in driving millions of others from their homes\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/kqEcP7htyH\">pic.twitter.com\/kqEcP7htyH<\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/QassemSoleimani?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#QassemSoleimani<\/a> was one of the most vicious criminals of <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s history. He was personally involved in the massacre of hundreds of thousands of people in the region and in driving millions of others from their homes <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/kqEcP7htyH\">pic.twitter.com\/kqEcP7htyH<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Maryam Rajavi (@Maryam_Rajavi) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Maryam_Rajavi\/status\/1214571738077564933?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 7, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Strategic Blow and Deadly Impasse of the Iranian Regime The elimination of&nbsp;Qassem Soleimani, commander of&nbsp;the Islamic Revolutionary Guards (IRGC)&nbsp;Quds Force, is an important and irreparable blow to the Iranian regime. [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":213137,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[178],"class_list":{"0":"post-213136","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-editorial","8":"tag-save"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Strategic Blow and Deadly Impasse of the Iranian Regime - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Strategic Blow and Deadly Impasse of the Iranian Regime The elimination of\u00a0Qassem Soleimani, commander of\u00a0the Islamic Revolutionary Guards (IRGC)\u00a0Quds\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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