{"id":218092,"date":"2020-05-10T16:35:34","date_gmt":"2020-05-10T15:35:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=218092"},"modified":"2023-01-23T21:18:55","modified_gmt":"2023-01-23T20:18:55","slug":"sanctions-relief-for-irans-regime-would-fuel-malign-its-activities-not-covid-response","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-a-world\/sanctions-relief-for-irans-regime-would-fuel-malign-its-activities-not-covid-response\/","title":{"rendered":"Sanctions Relief for Iran\u2019s Regime Would Fuel Malign Its Activities, Not COVID Response"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"Sanctions
Sanctions Relief for Iran\u2019s regime Would Fuel Malign its Activities, not COVID Response<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

The Iran<\/span>ian regime\u00a0<\/span>is currently engaged in efforts to secure a\u00a0<\/span>five-billion-dollar<\/span>\u00a0loan from the International Monetary Fund. That effort is almost certain to fail, as the United States could effectively veto a favorable decision by the\u00a0<\/span>IMF<\/a>.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Since pulling out of the Iran nuclear deal in 2018,<\/span>\u00a0citing the regime\u2019s malign\u00a0<\/span>activities, the<\/span>\u00a0Trump administration has been pursuing a strategy of \u201cmaximum pressure\u201d on Iran\u2019s theocratic regime.\u00a0<\/span>The re-imposition and expansion of sanctions were largely opposed by the deal\u2019s European signatories, though they have generally complied with those sanctions throughout the past two years. Now, opposition by some policymakers has been amplified by Iran\u2019s severe COVID-19 outbreak, which the mullahs have attempted to blame on economic pressure.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

It is unfortunate that so many Western officials have been taken in by that claim, considering that it doesn\u2019t stand up to the merest scrutiny. The\u00a0<\/span>US<\/span>\u00a0has repeatedly pointed out that existing sanctions include specific exemptions for medicine and other humanitarian goods.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

This is because\u00a0<\/span>the Iranian regime\u2019s officials\u00a0<\/span>are\u00a0<\/span>not willing nor<\/span>\u00a0interested in acquiring the\u00a0<\/span>resources<\/span>\u00a0they need to help people through the public health crisis than in freeing up foreign assets that could be applied to other, malign objectives. If this was not clear to Western policymakers at the outset of the pandemic, it should have become clear at\u00a0a number of\u00a0key moments throughout the past two and a half months.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

In March, the Iranian <\/span>regime\u2019s\u00a0<\/span>officials actively rebuffed offers of medical aid both from the US and from Doctors Without Borders.\u00a0<\/span>Regime\u2019s\u00a0<\/span>Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei vaguely declared that the former offer \u201cmade no sense,\u201d while\u00a0<\/span>the regime\u2019s\u00a0<\/span>President Hassan Rouhani claimed that assistance from the medical NGO was not needed because Iran still had an ample supply of empty beds in its intensive care units. However, this claim was aggressively contradicted by countless eyewitnesses to the unfolding crisis, who risked arrest by reporting upon an overwhelmed hospital system and overloaded morgues.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

According to\u00a0<\/span>the regime\u2019s<\/span> official estimates, COVID-19 has killed just over 6,000 people so far. But according to <\/span>a number of<\/span>\u00a0independent sources, the actual death toll is several times this number. The National Council of Resistance of Iran<\/a><\/span>\u00a0(NCRI)<\/span>\u00a0has reported that the number of fatal cases is now over 40,<\/a><\/span>2<\/span>00 and that this number could more than double before the end of May unless <\/span>the regime\u00a0<\/span>reverses its plans for reopening the domestic economy<\/span>, which is unlikely due to the regime\u2019s nature.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Those plans began on April 11 with a return to work for many thousands of individuals deemed to occupy \u201clow-risk\u201d positions. It has proceeded into May with the reopening of many of the country\u2019s mosques and the resumption of normal social activities like state-organized Friday prayer gatherings. This goes to show that the measures are driven as much by a desire to facilitate the spread of propaganda as they are by a need to bolster economic activity.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

What\u2019s more, that economic activity is its own kind of propaganda. On one hand, it serves to prevent either starvation or mass revolt within a population that has received no assistance from\u00a0<\/span>the\u00a0<\/span>regime<\/span>. And on the other hand, it allows the regime to promote the idea that sanctions have had no impact and that the Iranian people are lined up behind their government in support of a \u201cresistance economy.\u201d<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

However, this couldn\u2019t be further from the truth. Iranians are being forced back to their jobs by extreme poverty which could have been prevented by government intervention than by sanctions relief. And the people themselves understand this, as evidenced by the anti-<\/span>regime<\/span>\u00a0messages expressed in two nationwide uprisings and a variety of recent, smaller protests.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The first uprising began in the final days of 2017 and continued for much of the following month, with outrage over economic mismanagement giving rise to calls for \u201cdeath to the dictator.\u201d The same slogans re-emerged last November\u00a0<\/span>after the government announced sharp increases in the price of gasoline. Dozens of protesters were killed in the first uprising, but the regime\u2019s response to the second was far more brutal. The NCRI<\/a> determined its death toll to be\u00a0<\/span>more than\u00a0<\/span>1,500.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The crackdown belies the regime\u2019s professed confidence in popular support for its agenda. After all, the protests not only rejected the notion of the resistance economy but also disavowed the <\/span>regime\u2019s<\/span>\u00a0efforts to blame the people\u2019s hardship on Western sanctions. More specifically, the activist community emphasized that the regime has continued spending huge portions of the national wealth on regional imperialism and the support of terrorist groups like Hezbollah.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

This situation has continued throughout the coronavirus outbreak, beyond Tehran\u2019s rejection of foreign aid, and beyond its various appeals for sanctions relief as a means of improving the regime\u2019s handling of public health. Even domestic spending has been badly misplaced throughout this period, as evidenced by last month\u2019s launch of a military satellite, which\u00a0<\/span>was<\/span>\u00a0a violation of a UN Security Council resolution<\/span>.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

If there is a silver lining in this and other provocative actions by the Iranian regime, it is that they may still undercut that regime\u2019s efforts to gain sympathy from the IMF and from European leaders. Such actions pose an inherent threat that should make those entities wary of granting loans or sanctions relief under any circumstances. But\u00a0<\/span>in the midst of<\/span>\u00a0the pandemic, those same actions clarify the persistence of\u00a0<\/span>mullahs\u2019<\/span>\u00a0misplaced priorities.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

In the absence of aggressive oversight from the international community, there is simply no reason to believe that any financial assistance would be spent on safeguarding the people against the virus or its economic effects. Quite the contrary, <\/span>the Iranian regime\u2019s<\/span>\u00a0longstanding behavior suggests that Iranians would still be expected to risk their lives by working\u00a0<\/span>due to\u00a0<\/span>the regime<\/span>\u00a0pursuing its malign\u00a0<\/span>objectives, even as foreign capital pours into the country as financing for the same.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Iranian regime is currently engaged in efforts to secure a five-billion-dollar loan from the International Monetary Fund. That effort is almost certain to fail, as the United States could effectively veto a […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":218093,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[18],"tags":[186],"class_list":{"0":"post-218092","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-iran-a-world","8":"tag-coronavirus"},"yoast_head":"\nSanctions Relief for Iran\u2019s Regime Would Fuel Malign Its Activities, Not COVID Response - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The Iranian regime\u00a0is currently engaged in efforts to secure a\u00a0five-billion-dollar\u00a0loan from the International Monetary Fund. 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