{"id":219257,"date":"2020-05-29T14:17:38","date_gmt":"2020-05-29T13:17:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=219257"},"modified":"2023-01-24T04:29:00","modified_gmt":"2023-01-24T03:29:00","slug":"irans-regime-takes-further-steps-to-reopen-economy-risking-worse-outcomes-and-more-unrest","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/human-rights\/irans-regime-takes-further-steps-to-reopen-economy-risking-worse-outcomes-and-more-unrest\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran\u2019s Regime Takes Further Steps to Reopen Economy, Risking Worse Outcomes and More Unrest"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"Tehran-reopening\" class=\" wp-image-219258 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Tehran-reopening.jpg\" alt=\"Tehran-reopening\" width=\"602\" height=\"338\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Tehran-reopening.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Tehran-reopening-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Tehran-reopening-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Tehran-reopening-696x391.jpg 696w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Tehran-reopening-747x420.jpg 747w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 602px) 100vw, 602px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The Iranian regime<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0has continued to press forward with plans for reopening the country this week, despite a still growing death toll and recent spikes in new cases of Covid-19.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Iran\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">has been suffering from the worst outbreak of the novel coronavirus in the Middle East.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The true COVID-19 death toll in comparison with\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">the clerical regime\u2019s official figures\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">confirms that it is<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0one of the worst outbreaks in the world.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><!--more--><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/pmoi-mek\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">People\u2019s Mojahedin Organization of Iran (PMOI\/MEK)<\/a> announced that as of\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Thursday evening, there have over <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/ncri-statements\/statement-human-rights\/iran-coronavirus-fatalities-exceed-47500-in-323-cities\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">47,500 death<\/a> due to the coronavirus outbreak across Iran.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">According to the Iranian<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0regime\u2019s<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0Health Ministry, roughly 7,500 people have died from the disease since mid-February, while nearly 140,000 have been infected in total. But individual members of the Health Ministry and the coronavirus task force have occasionally broken with the official narrative. Last month, one such official announced that the total number of infections had likely already reached half a million. And figures outside the regime have suggested that that benchmark was passed even earlier, reflecting an earlier-than-acknowledged start date for Iran\u2019s outbreak.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">In March, the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/our-resistance\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">National Council of Resistance of Iran<\/a> pointed to leaked <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/ncri-statements\/terrorism-fundamentalism\/document-revealing-coronavirus-outbreak-in-tehran\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">documents<\/a> from the National Emergency Organization which indicated that several individuals had been admitted to Iranian hospitals with suspected coronavirus infection before the end of January. Yet government officials\u2019 first public statement on the matter did not come until February 19, just two days before parliamentary elections. Even in the wake of that statement, authorities continued to push for high voter participation, without safeguards, just as they had pushed for strong attendance at\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">celebrations of the Iranian revolution\u2019s anniversary, earlier in the month.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">MEK and the NCRI\u2019s<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0provincial estimates suggest that nearly as many people have died in Tehran alone as Iranian officials say have died across the entire nation.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The NCRI\u2019s figures are based in part on hospital records and testimony from Iranian doctors and nurses, as well as other eyewitnesses who have been in communication with the\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">MEK<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0network during recent months. Furthermore, the NCRI has cited statistical models to project the likely growth in overall cases and rates of mortality.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/stats.sender.net\/forms\/dGYVLa\/view\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"Weekly-Signe-up-logo-300x100\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-219239 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Weekly-Signe-up-logo-300x100.png\" alt=\"Weekly-Signe-up-logo-300x100\" width=\"300\" height=\"100\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The latest estimates point to the avoidance of this outcome.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">C<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">onsidering<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0the\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">regime\u2019s\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Health Ministry\u2019s acknowledgement of a rising trend in new cases there is little question about this milestone being surpassed in the\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">coming month. That rising trend represents the ongoing impact of Tehran\u2019s premature reopening, which began with the resumption of supposedly \u201clow-risk\u201d economic activity on April 11.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">T<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">he reopening policy\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">had been<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0set in advance by\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">the regime\u2019s\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Supreme Leader Ali <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/editorial\/editorial-khamenei-the-main-concern-for-irans-regime-is-the-mek\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Khamenei<\/a>,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">the final authority in all matters of state. At the start of the Iranian calendar year in March, with the coronavirus pandemic already in full swing, Khamenei declared that Iran was entering the \u201cyear of boosting production,\u201d thereby signaling that\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">regime\u2019s\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">economic\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">interests<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">will<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0rank ahead of other priorities, presumably including public health.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Nevertheless, the\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">regime\u2019s\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Health Ministry\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">blatantly<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0declare<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">d<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0in early May that the\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Iran<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0had seen its smallest number of new Covid-19 cases since March 10.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">But as new infections reached the end of their incubation period and more localities were added to the list of \u201cwhite zones\u201d where coronavirus was supposedly under control, this low point was followed by several consecutive days of expanding growth in new cases<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, which even was admitted by the regime\u2019s officials.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">On Tuesday, the Health Ministry reported that there had been 57 coronavirus-related deaths over the previous 24 hours \u2013 still more than the presumed low point on May 3. Yet reopening procedures continued to accelerate on\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Tuesday<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0with a change in guidance that allowed restaurants to begin admitting patrons for sit-down dining.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">And just a day prior, authorities reopened religious shrines throughout the country<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">This outcome should have been predictable to anyone\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">because those<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0shrines, attract tens of millions of pilgrims each year<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0and are sources of income and centers of plunder of mullahs\u2019 regime<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">. Many\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">regime\u2019s<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0authorities rejected those calls outright, and the overseer of at least one shrine insisted that it should remain open specifically as a \u201cplace of healing\u201d\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">during<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0the pandemic.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">This\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">is\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">while<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0Iran\u2019s holy city of Qom developed into an epicenter for the spread of Covid-19 not just across\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Iran<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0but throughout the region. At least five other Middle Eastern countries were able to trace their first cases back to Iran before the end of March.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">This regional spread also reflects the fact that\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">the\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Iran<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">ian regime<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0refused to close its borders for far longer than in neighboring countries. In fact, Mahan Airlines reportedly continued to operate flights to and from China, where the novel coronavirus originated, throughout March and into April. Similar disparities between Iran and surrounding countries were observed in lockdowns of domestic economies. As a result, the April 11 start date for Iran\u2019s reopening marked the conclusion of only a brief pause, which was out of step with the greater severity of that country\u2019s outbreak.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Despite all of this, Iranian<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0regime\u2019s<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0authorities continue to publicly champion their response to the pandemic as a triumph. Even before restrictions began to be lifted, Tehran rejected offers of medical assistance from both the United States and Doctors Without Borders, insisting that such aid was not needed. But on the other hand, the regime has continually appealed to the Western world for sanctions relief. Rouhani marked Wednesday\u2019s opening of the new Iranian parliament with a speech that repeated longstanding condemnation of Washington\u2019s supposed \u201ceconomic and medical terrorism.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Those condemnations have been intertwined with public statements, by Rouhani and others, insisting that the coronavirus response has not be adversely affected by sanctions, and that Iran\u2019s response was superior to those of various Western governments. Rouhani himself insisted in April that Iranian hospitals had an ample supply of beds in intensive care units, as well as personal protective equipment and other vital resources for addressing the pandemic. And\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">amid<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0a seemingly\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">premature re-opening,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">regime\u2019s<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0authorities even went so far as to\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">brag<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0that they were prepared to export large quantities of these resources.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">On Monday,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">regime\u2019s<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0Foreign Minister<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0and chief apologist<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0Javad Zarif made a similar offer to African countries\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">on<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0Africa Day. \u201c<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Iran has always been \u2013 and will forever be \u2013\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">a reliable partner of all fraternal African nations<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">,\u201d\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">he posted on Twitter,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">adding that in the midst of the global pandemic, the regime is \u201c<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">ready to share our experience and expertise to help save lives<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.\u201d<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0His remarks\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">contra<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">dict\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">his and other regime\u2019s apologists<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u2019<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0effort<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">s<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0to depict U.S. sanctions for Iran\u2019s high mortality rate<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0of the COVID-19.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The regime\u2019s<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0militancy\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">is<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0being amplified by the regime\u2019s pre-existing concerns about its loosening grip on power. Since the beginning of 2018,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Iran<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0has been rocked by two nationwide uprisings, plus countless smaller-scale protests featuring anti-<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">regime<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0slogans like \u201cdeath to the dictator.\u201d In March, a think tank,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Asra<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, published an analysis of the conditions surrounding the pandemic, and warned regime authorities that a questionable response and a lack of public trust were sure to set the stage for further unrest in the aftermath of the crisis.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The think tank went on to recommend that Iran step up its repression of dissent in order to head off another uprising. This is precisely what Khamenei seemed to do when putting the armed forces and particularly the Revolutionary Guards in charge of the response.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">But\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">these moves<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0reinforced a set of strategies, including a premature reopening of the economy, that threaten to make the crisis worse and further inflame the public\u2019s rage over the long term.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">As the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/our-resistance\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">NCRI\u2019s<\/a> president-elect <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/maryam-rajavi\/14237-maryam-rajavi\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Mrs. Maryam Rajavi<\/a> has repeatedly said:\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201c<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Today, not only the freedom of the people of Iran, but their very lives and health, and the country\u2019s economy and existence\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">depends<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0on the overthrow of the clerical regime<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Today, not only the freedom of the people of <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>, but their very lives and health, and the country\u2019s economy and existence depends on the overthrow of the clerical regime. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/FreeIran2020?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#FreeIran2020<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/COVID19?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#COVID19<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/HSrdOGJ351\">pic.twitter.com\/HSrdOGJ351<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Maryam Rajavi (@Maryam_Rajavi) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Maryam_Rajavi\/status\/1251510913301127171?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 18, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Iranian regime&nbsp;has continued to press forward with plans for reopening the country this week, despite a still growing death toll and recent spikes in new cases of Covid-19.&nbsp;Iran&nbsp;has been [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":219258,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15,176],"tags":[186],"class_list":{"0":"post-219257","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-human-rights","8":"category-uncategorized","9":"tag-coronavirus"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Iran\u2019s Regime Takes Further Steps to Reopen Economy, Risking Worse Outcomes and More Unrest - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The Iranian regime\u00a0has continued to press forward with plans for reopening the country this week, despite a still growing death toll and recent spikes in\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, 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