{"id":22030,"date":"2017-01-26T08:00:19","date_gmt":"2017-01-26T08:00:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news1613067580\/news-sp-256\/iran-a-world\/22030-what-is-iran-regime-s-policy-making-mechanism-op-ed"},"modified":"2023-01-17T04:25:21","modified_gmt":"2023-01-17T03:25:21","slug":"what-is-iran-regime-s-policy-making-mechanism-op-ed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-a-world\/what-is-iran-regime-s-policy-making-mechanism-op-ed\/","title":{"rendered":"What Is Iran Regime’s Policy-Making Mechanism? \u2013 Op-Ed"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"83888_922\"<\/p>\n

Iran\u2019s regime, with\u00a0Hassan Rouhani<\/a>\u00a0as its president, has been eager to portray an image of a government mending fences with the international community; however, no beginning of true political change has occurred in Iran despite Rouhani\u2019s deceptive smiles, according to an op-ed which appeared in the American Thinker on January 25.<\/p>\n

The op-ed<\/a> went on to state:<\/p>\n

The so-called \u201creformist-moderate\u201d initiative in Iran has only further strengthened and secured Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) in power.<\/p>\n

There is a misleading notion of two divergent political trends in Iran, one pursuing a so-called \u201chardline\u201d approach led by the Khamenei-IRGC camp, and another claiming a more \u201creformist\u201d attitude by Iranian President Hassan Rouhani and his mentor and fierce Khamenei rival, the late former president Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Yet the harsh reality is that these seemingly competing trends are quietly harmonious in practice. Khamenei continues to monopolize power in Iran, while in need of the rival camp to portray a satisfactory canvas of his regime to the outside world.<\/p>\n

Khamenei has the last word on all national security and foreign policy matters. Concern at times raised by outside analysts over escalating tensions between the two sides over subjects such as the nuclear deal are the result of Iran\u2019s deceptive propaganda machine at work. The regime, in its entirety, focuses on swaying all attention far from the true policymaking mechanics at work deep in Tehran.<\/p>\n

Rouhani only became president with Khamenei\u2019s personal blessing, as the latter understood fully the potential of another 2009-style uprising brewing in Iran. The Guardian Council<\/a>, Khamenei\u2019s lever to control all elections by vetting each and every candidate, enjoys the authority to bar any individual considered unpalatable. Rest assured that Khamenei considered Rouhani useful, or else he would have joined the long list of disqualified others.<\/p>\n

Khamenei saw his regime facing a massive economic crisis threatening to spark a major uprising after former Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, described as a firebrand, plunged Iran into serious international isolation. Sanctions were frustrating the Iranian population and the global oil price nosedive added insult to injury.<\/p>\n

At first glance the IRGC, taking control over a large portion of Iran\u2019s economy, was benefiting as sanctions burdened private sector competitors. Yet little by little even the IRGC\u2019s profits began to plunge, and Khamenei realized his desperate need for sanctions reliefs at the price of taking a major step back from his nuclear ambitions.<\/p>\n

Tehran is taking advantage of the Iran nuclear deal as a medium to calm domestic unrest and to revive the IRGC\u2019s former economic stature. To this end, Khamenei needed a figure such as Rouhani to help convince the international community to make the deal. Of course, Tehran also enjoyed a major lifeline through the\u00a0pro-appeasement dogma<\/a>\u00a0adopted by U.S. President Barack Obama.<\/p>\n

In the meantime, Khamenei also needed to preserve his domestic image, as kowtowing to foreign pressure would be recipe for disaster. This is where the regime pursued a two-faced approach. While Rouhani and his top diplomat, Mohammad Javad Zarif, played \u201cgood cop\u201d shaking hands with the \u201cGreat Satan,\u201d Khamenei remains the \u201cbad cop\u201d in resorting to blatant\u00a0rhetoric against America and Co.<\/p>\n

This double-standard policy, pursued in parallel, has become the doctrine for the Iranian regime to maintain control over increasing domestic agitation while presenting an appealing portrait to the outside world.<\/p>\n

While regime loyalists stormed the Saudi embassy in Tehran and Khamenei threatened Riyadh with \u201cdivine revenge,\u201d five American hostages were released in return for the United Nations declaring Iran in compliance with the nuclear pact.<\/p>\n

A further in-depth evaluation proves Iran\u2019s new economic exchanges with the West are not parallel to any political improvements. In fact, safeguarding the IRGC\u2019s grip on the economy is considered vital to enhancing their political position.<\/p>\n

The IRGC has\u00a0also been described<\/a>\u00a0as \u201ca major force when it comes to controlling Iran\u2019s economy. Many Iranians in and out of the country have called the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps \u2018Iran\u2019s mafia.\u2019\u201d<\/p>\n

The elimination of 99% of so-called \u201creformist\u201d candidates in the February 26 parliamentary elections can provide a preview to the upcoming presidential elections, with higher stakes at play.<\/p>\n

No pragmatic behavior by Iran will render any\u00a0meaningful change<\/a>\u00a0within. Nor will Tehran ever abandon regional ambitions in which it has invested billions, including Syria, Iraq, Yemen, and Lebanon. In fact, boosting efforts to realize such objectives is necessary to maintain Iran\u2019s political status quo.<\/p>\n

While Khamenei remains in control, recent developments in Syria, with Russia and Turkey spearheading a ceasefire agreement, are completely against Iran\u2019s interests. This is parallel to snowballing dissent inside Iran on the verge of intense times prior to the May 2017 presidential election. This leaves Khamenei before a major dilemma over how to play his cards.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe 37-year-old experience of the destructive and murderous mullahs\u2019 regime in my country has shown that no degree of political and economic concessions, which have been carried out at the expense of the Iranian people, have led to a change of behavior or policies of the Iranian regime either inside or outside of Iran,\u201d said Iranian opposition leader\u00a0Maryam Rajavi<\/a>, President of the National Council of Resistance of Iran, an umbrella group of dissident entities including the\u00a0People\u2019s Mojahedin Organization of Iran<\/a>\u00a0(PMOI\/MEK).<\/p>\n

Sanctions relief providing temporary life-support for Tehran will not last long. The international community, and the\u00a0new administration in Washington, should take advantage of the nuclear deal to increase pressure on Tehran, forcing it to start actually abiding by international laws and standards.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Iran’s regime, with Hassan Rouhani as its president, has been eager to portray an image of a government mending fences with the international community; however, no beginning of true political change has […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":47958,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[18],"tags":[175],"class_list":{"0":"post-22030","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-iran-a-world","8":"tag-updated"},"yoast_head":"\nWhat Is Iran Regime's Policy-Making Mechanism? \u2013 Op-Ed - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Iran\u2019s regime, with\u00a0Hassan Rouhani\u00a0as its president, has been eager to portray an image of a government mending fences with the international community;\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-a-world\/what-is-iran-regime-s-policy-making-mechanism-op-ed\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"What Is Iran Regime's Policy-Making Mechanism? 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