{"id":222272,"date":"2020-07-16T10:52:45","date_gmt":"2020-07-16T09:52:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=222272"},"modified":"2023-01-24T21:35:46","modified_gmt":"2023-01-24T20:35:46","slug":"irans-military-threats-are-a-fantasy-designed-to-hold-back-regime-change","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/irans-military-threats-are-a-fantasy-designed-to-hold-back-regime-change\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran\u2019s Military Threats Are a Fantasy Designed to Hold Back Regime Change"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_222273\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-222273\" style=\"width: 1280px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"Iran\u2019s-Military-Threats-Are-a-Fantasy-Designed-to-Hold-Back-Regime-Change-\" class=\"size-full wp-image-222273\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Iran\u2019s-Military-Threats-Are-a-Fantasy-Designed-to-Hold-Back-Regime-Change-.jpg\" alt=\"Iran\u2019s Military Threats Are a Fantasy Designed to Hold Back Regime Change\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Iran\u2019s-Military-Threats-Are-a-Fantasy-Designed-to-Hold-Back-Regime-Change-.jpg 1280w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Iran\u2019s-Military-Threats-Are-a-Fantasy-Designed-to-Hold-Back-Regime-Change--300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Iran\u2019s-Military-Threats-Are-a-Fantasy-Designed-to-Hold-Back-Regime-Change--1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Iran\u2019s-Military-Threats-Are-a-Fantasy-Designed-to-Hold-Back-Regime-Change--768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Iran\u2019s-Military-Threats-Are-a-Fantasy-Designed-to-Hold-Back-Regime-Change--696x392.jpg 696w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Iran\u2019s-Military-Threats-Are-a-Fantasy-Designed-to-Hold-Back-Regime-Change--1068x601.jpg 1068w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Iran\u2019s-Military-Threats-Are-a-Fantasy-Designed-to-Hold-Back-Regime-Change--747x420.jpg 747w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-222273\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Iran\u2019s Military Threats Are a Fantasy Designed to Hold Back Regime Change<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Recently, <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">the Iranian regime<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> signed a new agreement with Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad affirming ongoing military cooperation, including the transfer of <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">weapons needed to bolster Syria\u2019s air defense. Mohammad Bagheri, the Chief of Staff of Iran\u2019s armed forces, specifically celebrated this development as a sign of achievements by the \u201cAxis of Resistance\u201d against Western regional influence. \u201cThe signed agreement strengthens our will and our determination to cooperate in the face of American pressure,\u201d he noted.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><!--more--><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">At roughly the same time, Iran-backed militias in Iraq threatened to escalate their conflict with the Iraqi government following a raid on armed groups, apparently directed by the country\u2019s new Prime Minister. That in turn was evidently a response to the assassination of Hisham al-Hashimi, a government advisor who had just published a study investigating the extent of Iranian influence within Iraq\u2019s so-called Popular Mobilization Forces.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The study noted that 44 out of the 67 Shiite factions in the PMF <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">are<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> recognizably loyal to Iran<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">ian regime<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u2019s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Hashimi was killed by gunmen on motorcycles just days after the publication, and although no one has taken responsibility for the assassination, it followed a modus operandi that has been observed in a number of Iranian terrorist operations dating back to the 1980s. It is also known that <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Hashimi<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> received death threats from Iran-backed militias.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">All of this goes to show that Tehran is not relinquishing its grip on the surrounding region. <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Riddled with domestic and international crises<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, the Iranian regime <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">is<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> dedicating even more resources to its imperialist projects in the Middle East. And this trend continues despite the fact that the overall availability of those resources is shrinking as a result of severe US sanctions and multiple domestic crises including the ongoing coronavirus outbreak.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> In an nutshell, while regime\u2019s apologists whine about \u201cU.S. sanctions preventing regime from helping people\u201d the regime sends billions of dollars to its proxy forces.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/stats.sender.net\/forms\/dGYVLa\/view\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"Weekly-Signe-up-logo-300x100\" class=\"td-animation-stack-type1-2 aligncenter wp-image-219239\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Weekly-Signe-up-logo-300x100.png\" alt=\"Weekly-Signe-up-logo-300x100\" width=\"250\" height=\"83\" \/><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Syria and Iraq are far from the only targets of <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">the Iranian regime\u2019s<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> direct foreign intervention. The regime\u2019s support of the Houthi rebels appears equally undiminished in Yemen, as evidenced by recurring seizures of weapons caches bring smuggled across the Gulf of Oman. What\u2019s more, the United Nations recently confirmed that weapons deployed against Saudi Arabian oil infrastructure on behalf of the Houthi had originated in Iran.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Meanwhile, development of similar Iranian weaponry is ongoing, and is frequently highlighted as a point of pride by the clerical regime. Last Sunday, the commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps\u2019 naval forces added to a long series of public remarks <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">and bogus claims of power by the regime\u2019s officials.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201cWe have missile-launching floating cities which we will display whenever our leaders see fit,\u201d said<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> Rear Admiral Alireza Tangsiri, before going on to claim that Iran\u2019s entire southern shoreline was equipped with weapons. Tangsiri also stated that the IRGC was working on construction of additional underground missile sites. This comes in the wake of a successful space launch that American officials have decried as covert test of ballistic missile technology. And even more <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">recently, Iranian naval forces carried out exercises involving short and medium-range cruise missiles.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">On the other hand, the space launch followed several failed attempts at the same, and a previous naval exercise in May resulted in an accident that killed 19 Iranian sailors. <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The failures and mistakes also underscore Tehran\u2019s apparent willingness to waste resources on pursuing <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">its warmongering policies<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> even at times when those resources are desperately needed elsewhere.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">According to official statistics from the <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">regime\u2019s<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> Health Ministry, approximately 1<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">4<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">,000 people have died in Iran from coronavirus infection. But the <\/span><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/english.mojahedin.org\/i\/primer-the-history-the-peoples-mojahedin-organization-iran\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">People\u2019s Mojahedin Organization of Iran<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> (PMOI-MEK)<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> has examined hospital records and eyewitness testimony in order to determine that the actual death toll is <\/span><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/ncri-statements\/iran-coronavirus-death-toll-in-346-cities-exceeds-71300\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">over<\/span> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">71<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">,<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">3<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">00. <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">T<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">his situation is as attributable to the regime\u2019s misplaced priorities as it is to the simple incompetence of health officials in addressing the crisis.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">In the interest of maintaining its pre-existing support for regional allies and proxies, the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/ncri-statements\/irgc-s-38-year-record-war-crackdown-exporting-terrorism-fundamentalist-and-advancing-the-nuclear-weapons-drive\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IRGC<\/a> has reportedly sold personal protective equipment and other medical goods on the black market, while also gifting some of those same resources to groups like Hezbollah and PMF militias. Furthermore, the regime declined to provide ordinary Iranians with the financial support they would have needed to weather the pandemic, and instead began ordering people back to work as early as April 11, following a brief and weakly enforced shutdown that came nowhere near to bringing the infection rate under control.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The Iranian regime tries to blame the<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> dire public health crisis <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">on US<\/span> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">sanctions to <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">at least <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">have <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">a temporary hold on sanctions enforcement. But there\u2019s no reason to believe that those sanctions are a significant cause of the Iranian people\u2019s problems, either with respect to the pandemic or any other ongoing issue. In fact, Tehran\u2019s behavior, both historical and recent, strongly suggests that the benefits of sanctions relief would be distributed almost entirely among Iran\u2019s projects of foreign intervention and antagonism.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The escalating pressure on the regime has been credited with encouraging the Iranian people to rise up against their government on two recent occasions, in<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/massive-crackdown-on-the-peaceful-demonstrations-in-iran\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> January 2018<\/a> and <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/iran-protests-2019-update\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">November 2019<\/a>. These nationwide protest movements went a long way toward challenging old assumptions about the stability of the regime\u2019s hold on power, even as Tehran used its influence over Syria, Iraq, and other countries to project an image of strength and readiness for war.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">For Iran\u2019s democratic Resistance movement and <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">t<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">he Iranian population, that image is directly contradicted by the rapid growth in domestic expressions of dissent. Unfortunately,<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> most Western governments remain inclined to take Iran\u2019s paramilitary threats seriously, as opposed to viewing them as acts of desperation and markers of a political vulnerability that is becoming ever more difficult to conceal.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">On July 17, the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/our-resistance\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">N<\/a><\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">ational <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">C<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">ouncil of <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">R<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">esistance of <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Iran will<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> be hosting its annual gathering of Iranian expatriates, dissidents, and their various political supporters. Individual gatherings in <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">numerous countries will be networked together <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">online and<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> watch the proceedings via a live video stream.\u00a0<\/span> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">A<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> wide range of vital revelations about Iranian affairs and the current status of the Iranian regime<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> will be discussed in the summit<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">These include but are not limited to the true scale of the coronavirus outbreak, recent trends in Iranian human rights abuses and terrorist activities, disinformation campaigns directed against the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/our-resistance\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">NCRI<\/a> and <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/pmoi-mek\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">MEK<\/a><\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, and hidden signs of sanctions\u2019 impact on the regime\u2019s strategy for maintaining its power. And of course, the Free Iran Global Summit will also host discussions of Iran\u2019s military strength, or lack thereof, in order to convey the message that regime change can be achieved by the Iranian people without escalating the risk of open conflict between the current regime and its \u201cenemies\u201d in the US and Europe.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Recently, the Iranian regime signed a new agreement with Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad affirming ongoing military cooperation, including the transfer of weapons needed to bolster Syria&rsquo;s air defense. Mohammad Bagheri, [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":222273,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[45],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-222272","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-news"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Iran\u2019s Military Threats Are a Fantasy Designed to Hold Back Regime Change - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Recently, the Iranian regime signed a new agreement with Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad affirming ongoing military cooperation, including the transfer of\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/irans-military-threats-are-a-fantasy-designed-to-hold-back-regime-change\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Iran\u2019s Military Threats Are a Fantasy Designed to Hold Back Regime Change - 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