{"id":229117,"date":"2020-11-05T10:48:52","date_gmt":"2020-11-05T10:48:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=229117"},"modified":"2023-02-01T05:35:13","modified_gmt":"2023-02-01T04:35:13","slug":"irans-regime-ramps-up-coronavirus-warnings-to-match-escalating-threat-of-public-unrest","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-protests\/irans-regime-ramps-up-coronavirus-warnings-to-match-escalating-threat-of-public-unrest\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran\u2019s Regime Ramps up Coronavirus Warnings to Match Escalating Threat of Public Unrest"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_229111\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-229111\" style=\"width: 700px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"Anti_Riot_forces_Iran2_05112020\" class=\"wp-image-229111 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Anti_Riot_forces_Iran2_05112020.jpg\" alt=\"Anti_Riot_forces_Iran2_05112020\" width=\"700\" height=\"397\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Anti_Riot_forces_Iran2_05112020.jpg 700w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Anti_Riot_forces_Iran2_05112020-300x170.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Anti_Riot_forces_Iran2_05112020-696x395.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-229111\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Iranian regime&#8217;s anti-riot forces (file photo)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Iran is facing a \u201cthird wave\u201d of coronavirus infections, according to the regime\u2019s Health Ministry. The mullahs\u2019 Ministry of Health has acknowledged a series of record-breaking single-day death tolls since the middle of October, even when using the regime\u2019s engineered statistics.<\/p>\n<p>The daily increases have raised Iran\u2019s official death total to nearly 36,000. The official figure will continue to display only a fraction of the truth. According to the People\u2019s Mojahedin Organization of Iran (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/pmoi-mek\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">PMOI\/MEK<\/a>), which has been tracking the epidemic via its intelligence resources, the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/ncri-statements\/statement-human-rights\/iran-coronavirus-death-toll-surpasses-142800-in-462-cities\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">actual death toll<\/a> is now over 142,000. This figure disrupts the notion of a \u201cthird wave\u201d and instead suggests that the first wave of Iran\u2019s infections never really ceased, because the regime never took meaningful action to address it.<\/p>\n<p>The MEK\u2019s account is based on the hospital and mortuary records, as well as eyewitness testimony and records from Iran\u2019s National Emergency Organization which indicate that domestic outbreaks were underway more than a month before regime authorities officially acknowledged them. But when faced with criticism, the regime\u2019s President Hassan Rouhani blatantly demanded credit for the admission, bogusly stating that the regime \u201cdid not delay one day\u201d in revealing the public health threat.<\/p>\n<p>In fact, the regime\u2019s sham parliamentary elections apparently provided the regime with incentive to finally own up to its early failures to contain the disease. The regime\u2019s sham parliamentary election met an unprecedented nationwide boycott, even though the regime\u2019s authorities extended voting hours on the day of the election after urging everyone to participate as a religious and patriotic duty. But just days removed from the acknowledgement of a coronavirus outbreak, those same authorities were ultimately forced to blame the low turnout on health concerns, not political disaffection.<\/p>\n<p>It was vitally important for the regime to promote this narrative, given that the election took place only about a month after <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-protests\/27206-anti-regime-protests-by-university-students-in-tehran-over-the-downing-of-ukrainian-plane\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">student protests<\/a> that condemned Tehran for attempting to cover up an incident in which a commercial airliner was struck by a missile belonging to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/ncri-statements\/irgc-s-38-year-record-war-crackdown-exporting-terrorism-fundamentalist-and-advancing-the-nuclear-weapons-drive\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IRGC<\/a>). Perhaps even more significantly, that protest in turn took place less than two months after a nationwide anti-regime uprising during which the IRGC opened fire on crowds, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/ncri-statements\/iran-protests\/27081-over-1-500-killed-in-the-iranian-people-s-nationwide-uprising-names-of-504-martyrs-released\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">killing<\/a> over 1,500 peaceful, pro-democracy protesters.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">January 11 &#8211; Tehran, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a><br \/>Large crowd outside Amir Kabir University<br \/>Protesters chanting:<br \/>&quot;I will kill he who killed my brother!&quot;<br \/>This is a clear warning to the mullahs&#39; regime.<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/IranProtests?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#IranProtests<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/WfC6lStKgA\">pic.twitter.com\/WfC6lStKgA<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; People&#39;s Mojahedin Organization of Iran (PMOI\/MEK) (@Mojahedineng) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Mojahedineng\/status\/1216026506662572032?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 11, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>The <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/iran-protests-2019-update\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">uprising<\/a> itself was a sign of a growing public desire for regime change, as well as the increasing influence of the MEK, and its leading role during the uprising. Less than two years earlier, during <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/tQACfCy_X8Q?list=PL-I2iQQcsqbtrEcaEuiN6l3GOV_u86JQf\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">another uprising<\/a> in January 2018, mullahs\u2019 Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei acknowledged that the MEK had played a major role in planning the demonstrations and popularizing slogans like \u201cdeath to the dictator.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The legacy of these uprisings certainly contributed to the low voter turnout last February, but the regime quickly seized upon the Covid-19 pandemic to muddy the waters on this issue. Afterwards, without undertaking any measures to seriously confront the crisis, the regime was also free to leverage it against the threat of further public demonstrations.<\/p>\n<p>In the midst of the \u201cthird wave\u201d it has become clear all over again that Tehran is keen to absolve itself of responsibility for slowing the spread, and to place it squarely on the people. The government has not acknowledged any of its own failings as reasons for the rising death tolls, but has proclaimed that ordinary citizens are not abiding by health experts&#8217; recommendations. It has done this even in the absence of large-scale protests of the sort that defined the past two years. It is easy to imagine how the regime\u2019s authorities would demonize such demonstrations in the presence of a worsening outbreak.<\/p>\n<p>If the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/society\/the-coronavirus-crisis-in-iran\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">outbreak<\/a> had already begun before the end of 2019, why wait until six weeks into 2020 before citing the outbreak as incentive for disaffected Iranians to stay home? It\u2019s because January marked an all-important 40th anniversary celebration of the founding of the regime and authorities had gone to great lengths to organize public displays intended to counter the message of the mass protests.<\/p>\n<p>State television cameras were trained on parades and gatherings that marked that anniversary, and the numbers of participants were reportedly padded by mandating attendance for government employees while providing free travel and other incentives to poor, rural families to travel into Tehran and other major cities.<\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/stats.sender.net\/forms\/dGYVLa\/view\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"Weekly-Signe-up-logo-1\" class=\"size-full wp-image-219239 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Weekly-Signe-up-logo-1.png\" alt=\"Weekly-Signe-up-logo-1\" width=\"250\" height=\"83\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Afterwards, acknowledging the coronavirus became not only an option but an imperative for the regime, as it promised to help stall the resumption of those protests. But of course, the regime couldn\u2019t very well acknowledge the full extent of the outbreak, especially in the wake of its stage-managed anniversary gatherings. Doing so would have revealed that authorities not only failed to contain an emerging public health threat but actually amplified that threat with \u201csuper-spreader\u201d events that encouraged nationwide travel.<\/p>\n<p>The very existence of those events goes a long way toward explaining and further legitimizing the MEK\u2019s death toll estimates. And as the Resistance continues to spread awareness of those estimates among a population that has already participated in multiple nationwide uprisings, the threat of further protest only continues to grow. This in turn explains why the regime has just now begun to acknowledge higher infection rates and death tolls. The worse the public health crisis appears, the easier it is for authorities to discourage political gatherings. In addition, the situation is worsened, is because of the regime\u2019s inaction.<\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, the worse the crisis appears, the easier it is for some of those authorities to justify across-the-board crackdowns under the guise of preventing the spread of infection. Accordingly, responsibility for Iran\u2019s coronavirus response has long been vested not in the Health Ministry but in the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/english.mojahedin.org\/i\/look-irans-revolutionary-guards\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IRGC<\/a> \u2013 the very same force that killed 1,500 protesters at this time last year.<\/p>\n<p>On October 31, Brigadier General Hossein Salami <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-protests\/as-anniversary-of-iran-protests-approaches-regime-increases-its-oppressive-measures\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">boasted<\/a> to Iranian state media that \u201ca door-to-door operation will go underway in search of the coronavirus carriers.\u201d Naturally, the IRGC will be turning that operation into a series of instances of intimidation and unwarranted property searches. Indeed, this is exactly what should be expected, especially in light of the recent increase in reports of the IRGC attacking, humiliating, and even killing citizens on the streets of Iranian cities.<\/p>\n<p>This phenomenon surely reflects growing concerns among regime authorities about the threat of renewed public unrest. And today, that threat comes not only from unresolved issues related to the past two years\u2019 uprisings, but also from the regime\u2019s mismanagement of the very same public health crisis it has been trying to exploit to keep people from re-raising those issues.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Iran is facing a &ldquo;third wave&rdquo; of coronavirus infections, according to the regime&rsquo;s Health Ministry. The mullahs&rsquo; Ministry of Health has acknowledged a series of record-breaking single-day death tolls since [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":229111,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[45,9,15],"tags":[130,141,186,197,242],"class_list":["post-229117","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-news","category-iran-protests","category-human-rights","tag-iran-protests","tag-human-rights","tag-coronavirus","tag-mek-iran","tag-iran-protests-2020"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Iran\u2019s Regime Ramps up Coronavirus Warnings to Match Escalating Threat of Public Unrest - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Iran is facing a \u201cthird wave\u201d of coronavirus infections, according to the regime\u2019s Health Ministry. 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The mullahs\u2019 Ministry of Health has acknowledged a\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-protests\/irans-regime-ramps-up-coronavirus-warnings-to-match-escalating-threat-of-public-unrest\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"NCRI\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-11-05T10:48:52+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-02-01T04:35:13+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Anti_Riot_forces_Iran2_05112020.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"700\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"397\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Shahriar Kia\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@iran_policy\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@iran_policy\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Shahriar Kia\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":[\"Article\",\"BlogPosting\"],\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ncr-iran.org\\\/en\\\/news\\\/iran-protests\\\/irans-regime-ramps-up-coronavirus-warnings-to-match-escalating-threat-of-public-unrest\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ncr-iran.org\\\/en\\\/news\\\/iran-protests\\\/irans-regime-ramps-up-coronavirus-warnings-to-match-escalating-threat-of-public-unrest\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Shahriar Kia\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ncr-iran.org\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/8aebe546560aea64061bc08c1eaac1d4\"},\"headline\":\"Iran\u2019s Regime Ramps up Coronavirus Warnings to Match Escalating Threat of Public Unrest\",\"datePublished\":\"2020-11-05T10:48:52+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-02-01T04:35:13+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ncr-iran.org\\\/en\\\/news\\\/iran-protests\\\/irans-regime-ramps-up-coronavirus-warnings-to-match-escalating-threat-of-public-unrest\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":1125,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ncr-iran.org\\\/en\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ncr-iran.org\\\/en\\\/news\\\/iran-protests\\\/irans-regime-ramps-up-coronavirus-warnings-to-match-escalating-threat-of-public-unrest\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ncr-iran.org\\\/en\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2020\\\/11\\\/Anti_Riot_forces_Iran2_05112020.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Iran Protests\",\"Human Rights\",\"Coronavirus\",\"MEK-Iran\",\"iran protests 2020\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Iran News Now\",\"Iran Protests &amp; Demonstrations\",\"Iran Human Rights\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ncr-iran.org\\\/en\\\/news\\\/iran-protests\\\/irans-regime-ramps-up-coronavirus-warnings-to-match-escalating-threat-of-public-unrest\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ncr-iran.org\\\/en\\\/news\\\/iran-protests\\\/irans-regime-ramps-up-coronavirus-warnings-to-match-escalating-threat-of-public-unrest\\\/\",\"name\":\"Iran\u2019s Regime Ramps up Coronavirus Warnings to Match Escalating Threat of Public Unrest - NCRI\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ncr-iran.org\\\/en\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ncr-iran.org\\\/en\\\/news\\\/iran-protests\\\/irans-regime-ramps-up-coronavirus-warnings-to-match-escalating-threat-of-public-unrest\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ncr-iran.org\\\/en\\\/news\\\/iran-protests\\\/irans-regime-ramps-up-coronavirus-warnings-to-match-escalating-threat-of-public-unrest\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ncr-iran.org\\\/en\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2020\\\/11\\\/Anti_Riot_forces_Iran2_05112020.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2020-11-05T10:48:52+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-02-01T04:35:13+00:00\",\"description\":\"Iran is facing a \u201cthird wave\u201d of coronavirus infections, according to the regime\u2019s Health Ministry. 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