{"id":237109,"date":"2021-04-01T09:56:18","date_gmt":"2021-04-01T14:56:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=237109"},"modified":"2023-02-01T05:00:32","modified_gmt":"2023-02-01T04:00:32","slug":"in-light-of-past-deceptions-the-west-must-never-consider-irans-nuclear-ultimatum","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/nuclear\/in-light-of-past-deceptions-the-west-must-never-consider-irans-nuclear-ultimatum\/","title":{"rendered":"In Light of Past Deceptions, the West Must Never Consider Iran\u2019s Nuclear Ultimatum"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"iran-missile-parade\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-237113\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/iran-missile-parade.png\" alt=\"iran-missile-parade\" width=\"800\" height=\"400\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/iran-missile-parade.png 800w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/iran-missile-parade-300x150.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/iran-missile-parade-768x384.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/iran-missile-parade-150x75.png 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/iran-missile-parade-696x348.png 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Up to this point, the official policy of the European Union has apparently been to let Iran get away with just about anything, on the expectation that permissiveness might one day make the clerical regime earnestly cooperative. But this expectation proved to be groundless when Tehran reacted aggressively to the news that the US administration would not immediately knuckle under to Iranian ultimatums upon inheriting the previous administration\u2019s strategy of \u201cmaximum pressure.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">On Tuesday, an unnamed Iranian official elaborated upon that position in remarks to the regime\u2019s English language propaganda outlet. \u201cA senior Iranian official tells Press TV that Tehran will stop its 20-percent uranium enrichment only if the U.S. lifts ALL its sanctions on Iran first,\u201d the network\u2019s website reported.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">This was already implied by previous statements from various officials including the regime\u2019s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. But the Press TV report clarifies that Tehran isn\u2019t even open to the idea of scaling back its uranium enrichment to a slightly lower level, even if it is still above the 3.67 percent fissile purity that is permitted under the terms of the JCPOA. Thus, the regime has explicitly cut off every path forward for the West other than either abandoning the nuclear deal to start from scratch or giving the regime everything it wants at once, with no guarantee of reciprocation.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">As a matter of fact, Tehran\u2019s commitment to 20 percent enrichment underscores the fact that the prospect of such reciprocation is extremely remote. Even some consistent advocates for the JCPOA were taken aback by the speed with which Iranian nuclear facilities returned to the levels of activity they had achieved before negotiations for the JCPOA began. The agreement had been sold to critics as something that would keep Iran well over a year away from nuclear \u201cbreakout\u201d even though it wouldn\u2019t cut the regime off from nuclear weapons capability altogether. But that claim was seriously undermined by the systematic violations that Iran began in 2019.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">For many of the critics, the instantaneous growth of Iran\u2019s uranium stockpiles and enrichment levels was clear evidence that the regime had never followed through in fully adopting the agreed-upon restrictions in the first place. This was explicitly confirmed later in 2019 by none other than the head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iranian regime, Ali Akbar Salehi. \u201cThey thought that they won the negotiation,\u201d he said of Western signatories to the JCPOA. \u201cBut we had a countermeasure, and while we proceeded with the case, they didn\u2019t achieve what they planned for, and we did not become trapped in the enrichment deadlock.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">These comments came months after Salehi had already boasted to Iranian state media about how Iranian authorities had conspired to deceive the International Atomic Energy Agency regarding the Arak heavy water plant, which produces plutonium that could provide another pathway to nuclear weapons capability. The JCPOA established that the facility\u2019s core was to be filled with cement, thereby turning it into a light water plant and cutting off that pathway. But as Salehi explained, the AEOI obtained decoy tubing through which to pour the cement and then used altered photographs to convince international inspectors that the job was done.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Such deceptive activities come as little surprise to those who opposed the JCPOA since the beginning. Instead, they recognize them as the continuation of a strategy that was established many years earlier, when Iranian regime\u2019s current president, Hassan Rouhani, was the country\u2019s chief nuclear negotiator. In the intervening years, he boasted to fellow regime officials about how the regime maintained a \u201ccalm environment\u201d in talks with Europe and the US, thereby staving off additional enforcement measures and allowing Iran to quietly advance its nuclear activities before eventually paying lip service to a modestly restrictive agreement.<\/p>\n<div class=\"lyte-wrapper\" title=\"Iranian Lobbyist&rsquo;s Arrest Should Lead To Broader Efforts To Counter Iran&rsquo;s Covert Influence\" style=\"width:853px;max-width:100%;margin:5px;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_53Le7AhQtuo\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2F53Le7AhQtuo%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/53Le7AhQtuo\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT4M45S\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2021-02-06T21:49:46Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_53Le7AhQtuo\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2F53Le7AhQtuo%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">Iranian Lobbyist\u2019s Arrest Should Lead To Broader Efforts To Counter Iran\u2019s Covert Influence<\/div><\/div><div class=\"play\"><\/div><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/53Le7AhQtuo\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2F53Le7AhQtuo%2F0.jpg\" alt=\"Iranian Lobbyist&rsquo;s Arrest Should Lead To Broader Efforts To Counter Iran&rsquo;s Covert Influence\" width=\"853\" height=\"460\" \/><br \/>Watch this video on YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"On January 19, an Iranian American Kaveh Lotfolah Afrasiabi made his first appearance in a US federal court charged for extensive violation of the Foreign Agents Registration Act. He was presenting himself to policymakers and journalists as an independent expert on foreign relations. Court documents reveal that he was paid at least 265,000 dollars during the past 13 years for his service to Iran\u2019s theocratic dictatorship. Afrasiabi, who holds a PhD, is by no means the only Western-educated asset to successfully lobby for years on behalf of the Iranian regime. In 2009, he even assisted a member of the US Congress in drafting a letter to then-President Barack Obama which expressed support for a fuel swap agreement that Tehran itself had proposed. That fact alone should be recognized as a sign of how deeply Iranian assets have managed to penetrate into Western policy circles and the media landscape. If a suspected Iranian asset has made separate statements that are critical of Iranian human rights violations or other malign activities, it is no proof that they aren\u2019t dedicated to the mission of promoting Western policies that are more favorable to Tehran. This defense was attempted by Trita Parsi, the founder of the National Iranian American Council (NIAC), in a defamation suit against those who accused the organization of allegiance to the Iranian regime, but was rejected by district court judge John Bates. \u201cEven a moderately competent agent of the Iranian regime would at times take pains to distance themselves from some policies of the regime,\u201d Bates explained in the context of his decision to reject Parsi\u2019s defamation claims. He then went on to add that even if unproven, the allegations of NIAC were well-founded on the basis of the \u201coverwhelming\u201d pattern of political alignment between the Iranian regime and the supposedly self-funded American NGO. The source of NIAC\u2019s funding has never been credibly identified, and Parsi himself was compelled by the lawsuit to acknowledge that initial claims regarding the existence of over 4,000 donor-members were erroneous. NIAC\u2019s ongoing advocacy for pro-Iranian positions has only cast more suspicion on the organization over the past decade, yet it has been permitted to continue lobbying openly throughout that time. Of course, many serious critics of the Iranian regime have been arguing for closer scrutiny of the mission and loyalty of groups like NIAC since long before Afrasiabi\u2019s arrest. Last year, Senators Mike Braun, Ted Cruz, and Tom Cotton wrote to the Attorney General\u2019s office urging a formal investigation into the Iran lobby. The letter highlighted a number of specific examples of NIAC downplaying Tehran culpability for its own malign behaviors and amplifying Iranian talking points that described the US as being at fault for crises such as militant attacks on the American embassy in Baghdad. In the near term, the Afrasiabi case should motivate a more serious response to anyone who raises alarms over similar lobbying efforts by NIAC, Parsi, or any similar organization or individual. It is primarily thanks to individuals like Afrasiabi that some Western governments tend to operate on the assumption that the Iranian regime is stable, powerful, and free from serious domestic threats to the theocratic system. That assumption began to lose support in January 2018 when the Iranian people staged the first of three anti-government uprisings under the leadership of the NCRI\u2019s main constituent group, the People\u2019s Mojahedin Organization of Iran (PMOI-MEK). But it has still been clinging to life as some Western policymakers and news outlets have continued to lend their ear to figures like Trita Parsi who insist, quite absurdly, that support for such pro-democracy movements would be the greatest threat to the illusory promise of internal reform of the Iranian regime. Read More: https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/IranNCR\/ https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy Subscribe to NCRI weekly newsletter t.ly\/MybJ #Iran #lobby #MOIS\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:853px;margin:5px;\"><\/div><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">In 2005, another former nuclear negotiator and erstwhile Iranian ambassador to Germany, Hossein Mousavian, presented an identical interpretation of the regime\u2019s strategy in an interview with the state-run MEMRI TV. In a shocking testament to Western impulses to overlook past malign activity by the Iranian regime and its representatives, Mousavian was granted a position as a \u201cvisiting scholar\u201d at Princeton University just four years later. He has since remained in the United States as part of a vast network of so-called scholars and journalists with ties to the regime who are currently promoting permissive Western policies and capitulation to the regime\u2019s nuclear ultimatum.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">In March, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/herrell.house.gov\/sites\/evo-subsites\/herrell.house.gov\/files\/evo-media-document\/FARA%20Letter%20FINAL.pdf\" rel=\"noopener\">nine US Congressmen<\/a> sent a letter to the Department of Justice urging an investigation into anyone who might be receiving payment from the Iranian regime in exchange for promoting Iran-friendly talking points in the US. The effort came a few weeks after a Massachusetts political scientist was arrested for violating the US Foreign Assets Registration Act in exactly this way. It also came slightly more than a year after three US Senators sent the DOJ their own warning about suspiciously pro-Iran positions promoted by the National Iranian American Council.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">That institution and its former director, Trita Parsi, have been working tirelessly to promote a return to the status quo as it existed before 2018. Despite these efforts by Iran\u2019s lobbies, the US has not been persuaded to adopt the same sense of urgency, and it may not even see value in returning to that status quo.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">The Iranian economy is on the verge of collapse and the regime is still reeling from unprecedented unrest over the past three years. Under those circumstances, all the US and its allies need to do is let the regime further harm its own prospects for survival by refusing to accept anything less than its adversaries\u2019 surrender.<\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/stats.sender.net\/forms\/dGYVLa\/view\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"Weekly-Signe-up-logo-1\" class=\"size-full wp-image-219239 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Weekly-Signe-up-logo-1.png\" alt=\"Weekly-Signe-up-logo-1\" width=\"250\" height=\"83\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Up to this point, the official policy of the European Union has apparently been to let Iran get away with just about anything, on the expectation that permissiveness might one [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":237113,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[17],"tags":[129,217,292],"class_list":{"0":"post-237109","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nuclear","8":"tag-iran","9":"tag-irans-nuclear-program","10":"tag-iranian-lobby"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - 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