{"id":238007,"date":"2021-04-15T06:30:14","date_gmt":"2021-04-15T11:30:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=238007"},"modified":"2023-02-01T04:58:53","modified_gmt":"2023-02-01T03:58:53","slug":"editorial-fitting-a-square-peg-into-a-round-hole-with-iran-negotiations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/editorial\/editorial-fitting-a-square-peg-into-a-round-hole-with-iran-negotiations\/","title":{"rendered":"EDITORIAL: Fitting a Square Peg into a Round Hole with Iran Negotiations"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/World_Powers_Call_out_Irans_Regime_for_Nuclear_Blackmail.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"World_Powers_Call_out_Irans_Regime_for_Nuclear_Blackmail\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-53288\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/World_Powers_Call_out_Irans_Regime_for_Nuclear_Blackmail-300x202.jpg\" alt=\"World Powers Call out Iran's Regime for 'Nuclear Blackmail'\" width=\"800\" height=\"539\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/World_Powers_Call_out_Irans_Regime_for_Nuclear_Blackmail-300x202.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/World_Powers_Call_out_Irans_Regime_for_Nuclear_Blackmail-768x517.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/World_Powers_Call_out_Irans_Regime_for_Nuclear_Blackmail-696x468.jpg 696w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/World_Powers_Call_out_Irans_Regime_for_Nuclear_Blackmail.jpg 1000w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">There will be nothing to write home about once the current round of talks with the Iranian regime concludes. What&#8217;s past is prologue; no degree of political or economic incentives will induce behavior change in the Tehran regime. This is because securing its survival and maintaining its hegemony hinge on domestic suppression and its rogue behavior, including its nuclear program.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">As such, investing in any negotiations with Tehran on any significant issue is a fool&#8217;s errand.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Regardless of one\u2019s views on the JCPOA in 2015, facts on the ground and the geopolitics of the region six years later make that deal untenable. Officials in both Europe and the US are on the record for demanding a broader and stronger nuclear deal with the regime than the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/nuclear\/iran-did-the-maximum-pressure-weakened-the-jcpoa-or-rather-it-exposed-its-weaknesses\/\" rel=\"noopener\">JCPOA<\/a>). They also want to address the regime&#8217;s terrorism and ballistic missile program. However, Tehran&#8217;s mullahs have rejected both points of reference, casting considerable doubt on the seriousness of the talks.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Aside from those realities, however, the very act of talking in good faith with the type of state that organizes its power around denial, duplicity, and deceit is a priori futile.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Diplomacy and negotiations are vital instruments of statecraft. But by using negotiations to address the regime&#8217;s particular assortment of threats, the Europeans are trying to fit a square peg into a round hole. When Chamberlain negotiated the Munich Agreement, he was blind to the fact that Hitler never intended to honor the deal in the first place, rendering negotiations futile.<\/p>\n<div class=\"lyte-wrapper\" title=\"Iran: Fake News or Regime&rsquo;s New Tactic on its Nuclear Program\" style=\"width:853px;max-width:100%;margin:5px;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_SBdPq4Iv3Vg\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FSBdPq4Iv3Vg%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/SBdPq4Iv3Vg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT10M56S\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2021-02-24T09:15:29Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_SBdPq4Iv3Vg\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FSBdPq4Iv3Vg%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">Iran: Fake News or Regime\u2019s New Tactic on its Nuclear Program<\/div><\/div><div class=\"play\"><\/div><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/SBdPq4Iv3Vg\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FSBdPq4Iv3Vg%2F0.jpg\" alt=\"Iran: Fake News or Regime&rsquo;s New Tactic on its Nuclear Program\" width=\"853\" height=\"460\" \/><br \/>Watch this video on YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"Mahmoud Alavi, the Iranians regime\u2019s Minister of Intelligence and Security, recently acknowledged in unprecedented fashion that the mullahs are seeking to build nuclear weapons. Citing a decree issued by the regime\u2019s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei he said, \u201cThe fatwa forbids the production of nuclear weapons, but if they push Iran in those directions, it is not Iran\u2019s fault. Those who pushed Iran in that direction will be to blame.\u201d So, let us have a deeper look into how the regime, despite reaping the benefits of the nuclear deal, never stopped its nuclear weapons initiative. In July 2015, the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), known as the Iran nuclear deal, was signed between the Iranian regime and the P5+1, including the United States, France, United Kingdom, Russia, China and Germany. The main goal of the JCPOA was refraining the regime from obtaining nuclear weapons. While the ratification of the JCPOA made a lot of noise, the regime\u2019s approach in the agreement was suspicious after years of violating its obligations. Alavi acknowledges that the regime is producing an atomic bomb despite regime officials denying the military aspects of its nuclear program since the Iranian Resistance exposed the Natanz enrichment and Arak heavy water sites in August 2002. Years later, regime officials leaked facts about their JCPOA violations. Head of Iran\u2019s Atomic Energy Organization Ali Akbar Salehi revealed in January 2019 how the regime lied to the P5+1 about filling the Arak reactor pipes with cement. Later in November 2019 Salehi acknowledged that while the regime accepted JCPOA articles, it had countermeasures to continue uranium enrichment. On May 8, 2019, the mullahs officially took their first step in violation of the JCPOA\u2019s low-enriched uranium stockpile limitation. The regime increased its low-enriched uranium stockpile to over 300 Kgs. In his interview with CNN on February 1st, Iranian regime foreign minister Mohammad Javad Zarif confirmed that the regime has reproduced 8,000 pounds, or 3,600 Kg, of low-enriched uranium. This is nearly half of the amount that the regime had before the JCPOA and enough for three bombs, according to the Arms Control Association (ACA). The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has also confirmed that Iran had installed and begun operating advanced centrifuges in an underground section at the Natanz site. At the same time, the regime has also speeded up its ballistic missile program. On February 8, the Bloomberg news agency quoted the United Nations saying that the clerical regime had received \u201csensitive parts\u201d from North Korea for \u201cits long-range missiles production project\u201d and that \u201cits last shipment dates back to 2020.\u201d On February 5, the Wall Street Journal wrote that IAEA inspectors had found traces of enriched uranium at two sites that the Iranian regime had long prevented from being inspected, which \u201ccould indicate Iran has undertaken work on nuclear weapons, based on where it was found.\u201d On February 10, the IAEA issued a report saying Iran has produced uranium metal at a facility in Isfahan, in further violation of the 2015 nuclear deal. Uranium metal can be used as a component in nuclear weapons. Iran had signed under the JCPOA up to a 15-year ban on \u201cproducing or acquiring plutonium or uranium metals or their alloys\u201d. In a word, the regime has publicly accelerated its paces to obtain nuclear weapons. All the parts of this puzzle clearly indicate that the JCPOA has failed to deny either Iran\u2019s capability or means of obtaining nuclear weapons. The regime\u2019s nuclear infrastructure had remained intact. Thus, everything was left at the regime\u2019s mercy. Second, it shows that even after the JCPOA, Iran had continued its clandestine nuclear program, such that it was able to resume 20% uranium enrichment immediately and other related activities. Given Iran\u2019s past failures to uphold its promises, no one can confidently trust the Iranian regime. Through such posturing, Tehran is engaged in nuclear blackmail and seeks to extract more concessions from the new US administration. Read More: https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/IranNCR\/ https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy Subscribe to NCRI weekly newsletter t.ly\/MybJ #Iran #JCPOA #nuclearprogram\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:853px;margin:5px;\"><\/div><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">The distinction between behavior and essence is instructive here. Europeans want to persuade the regime to change its behavior. But, that is assuming that the pursuit of nuclear weapons is a behavioral anomaly for the regime. In fact, human rights violations, terrorism, and nuclear weapons are not jouissance or mere predilections that transgress its essence. They are constitutive of the regime&#8217;s DNA. So, for European powers to classify these critical attributes under behavioral anomalies completely misses the point.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">The regime&#8217;s core vulnerability, which animates its strategic orientations, stems from its historical, political, religious, and social illegitimacy at home. Deprived of a popular base domestically, the regime is sailing too close to the wind. Therefore, it needs a power source other than the will of constituents. Tehran does not abuse human rights, occasionally throw in terrorism, and pursue nuclear weapons for good measure. For it, these are as vital as Oxygen.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Therefore, even if the regime wanted to, it simply cannot trade in its heart and vital organs during negotiations. So, instead, it uses the opportunity afforded to it to essentially press its own agenda of securing sanctions relief without committing or intending to honor any matter of real import for its interlocutors.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">The European Union&#8217;s restrictive measures on human rights abuses in Iran this week, including those against the Commander-in-Chief of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/inside-irans-army-of-terror-and-oppression-revolutionary-guards-irgc\/\" rel=\"noopener\">IRGC<\/a>), are a welcome step in the right direction. However, as Mrs. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.maryam-rajavi.com\/en\/biography\" rel=\"noopener\">Maryam Rajavi<\/a>, the President-elect of the National Council of Resistance of Iran (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/about-ncri\/alternative\/\" rel=\"noopener\">NCRI<\/a>), noted, the IRGC in its entirety must be designated as a terrorist organization by the EU, along with the Ministry of Intelligence and Security, which was involved in the foiled 2018 bomb plot in Paris.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Instruments of pressure within a context of firm policies have proven to be much more effective vis-\u00e0-vis Iran\u2019s rulers. The mullahs will retreat only when faced with a truly vexing strategic choice that impacts the regime&#8217;s survival, but not when they are given a platform to deceive and outwit.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/stats.sender.net\/forms\/dGYVLa\/view\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"Weekly-Signe-up-logo-1\" class=\"size-full wp-image-219239 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Weekly-Signe-up-logo-1.png\" alt=\"Weekly-Signe-up-logo-1\" width=\"250\" height=\"83\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>There will be nothing to write home about once the current round of talks with the Iranian regime concludes. What&rsquo;s past is prologue; no degree of political or economic incentives [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":53110,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[129,202,204,217,418],"class_list":{"0":"post-238007","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-editorial","8":"tag-iran","9":"tag-mek","10":"tag-maryam-rajavi","11":"tag-irans-nuclear-program","12":"tag-jcpoa"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>EDITORIAL: Fitting a Square Peg into a Round Hole with Iran Negotiations - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"There will be nothing to write home about once the current round of talks with the Iranian regime concludes. 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