{"id":250580,"date":"2021-11-11T04:15:23","date_gmt":"2021-11-11T09:15:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=250580"},"modified":"2023-02-01T03:07:34","modified_gmt":"2023-02-01T02:07:34","slug":"new-round-of-jcpoa-talks-understanding-tehrans-weak-position","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/nuclear\/new-round-of-jcpoa-talks-understanding-tehrans-weak-position\/","title":{"rendered":"New Round of JCPOA Talks: Understanding Tehran\u2019s Weak Position"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"Iran-JCPOA-Nuclear\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-246667\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Iran-JCPOA-Nuclear.jpg\" alt=\"Iran-JCPOA-Nuclear\" width=\"1000\" height=\"625\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Iran-JCPOA-Nuclear.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Iran-JCPOA-Nuclear-300x188.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Iran-JCPOA-Nuclear-768x480.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Iran-JCPOA-Nuclear-150x94.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Iran-JCPOA-Nuclear-696x435.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">After four months of dragging feet with nuclear negotiations, Tehran finally <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/middle-east\/iran-says-nuclear-talks-with-world-powers-resume-nov-29-2021-11-03\/\" rel=\"noopener\">agreed<\/a> to resume nuclear talks in Vienna on November 29. While some called the decision a breakthrough, a closer look at the timing, Tehran\u2019s past performance, and current rhetoric unearth another playbook.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">The new date set to resume negotiations is a few days after a scheduled session by the Board of Governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). Tehran once again <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/2021\/10\/11\/iranians-are-crying-out-for-regime-change-not-nuclear-power-the-west-should-listen-view\" rel=\"noopener\">attempts<\/a> to manipulate the world community and dodge an eventual BoG <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.armscontrol.org\/act\/2021-04\/news\/iaea-backs-iran-resolution\" rel=\"noopener\">resolution<\/a> that aims to punish Tehran because of its failure to comply with the IAEA safeguard regime and its provocative nuclear <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/isis-online.org\/isis-reports\/detail\/the-iaeas-iran-npt-safeguards-report-september-2021\" rel=\"noopener\">advancements<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">In September, Tehran struck a deal with the IAEA chief, Rafael Grossi, on the eve of the scheduled meeting of the IAEA Board of Governors and agreed to facilitate the UN watchdog\u2019s monitoring inside Iranian nuclear sites. As the BoG meeting withheld a condemning resolution on Tehran, the regime evaded possible serious repercussions by the world community. Yet, after the IAEA meeting and the United Nations General Assembly session, Tehran prevented the IAEA personnel from performing routine maintenance on the monitoring equipment and the Karaj Nuclear Site was to remain off-limits.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Mahmoud Nabaviyan, a member of the Special Commission for Investigations of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) and a member of the board of the Article-90 Commission of the regime\u2019s parliament, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/ncri-statements\/statement-nuclear\/iran-arak-reactor-gave-us-9-kg-of-plutonium-annually-enough-for-a-nuclear-bomb\/\">recently<\/a> announced that Arak Reactor has produced 9 kg of plutonium annually, which is sufficient for a bomb.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">On Friday, November 5, Behrouz Kamalvandi, spokesman of regime&#8217;s Atomic Energy Organization said: \u201cSo far we have produced 25 kilograms of 60 percent uranium, which, except for countries with nuclear weapons, no other country is able to produce.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">In other words, Tehran succeeded through nuclear blackmail and deception to avoid being held accountable for its malign activities.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Tehran stalled nuclear talks in June, when Ebrahim Raisi, became the regime\u2019s new president. Raisi and his Foreign Minister, Hossain <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/publications\/special-reports\/who-is-hossein-amir-abdollahian-a-diplomat-or-a-field-agent\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Amir-Abodollahian<\/a>, persisted on the fact that they are not interested in \u201cnegotiating for negotiations.\u201d But their approach rather shows that Tehran indeed negotiates to kill time and secretly expand its nuclear capabilities.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">To make the situation more complicated, Tehran proclaimed three terms for resuming the nuclear talks that actually would allow it to continue its nuclear activities and achieve a nuclear weapon.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">\u201cThe U.S. should show that it has the capability and will to provide guarantees that it will not abandon the deal again if the talks to revive the deal succeed,\u201d Foreign Ministry spokesman Saeed Khatibzadeh told a virtual news conference on Monday.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Khatibzadeh added that the U.S. must \u201crecognize its fault in ditching the pact\u201d and must \u201clift all sanctions imposed by the Trump administration.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Tehran knows that these demands are unrealistic. In this regard, the state-run Arman-e Meli on Monday wrote: \u201cAre the terms meant to gain concessions or to say that Iran would not enter the talks from a position of weakness? Or perhaps the officials demanded these terms as they knew they would not be fully achieved. So, we could argue that we were ready to negotiate but the effort failed because they [the P5+1] declined our demands?\u201d<\/p>\n<div class=\"lyte-wrapper\" title=\"Iranian regime leader Ali Khamenei rejects negotiations with the U.S.\" style=\"width:853px;max-width:100%;margin:5px;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_1YjtPsePCSo\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2F1YjtPsePCSo%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/1YjtPsePCSo\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT4M1S\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2019-09-18T15:24:40Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_1YjtPsePCSo\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2F1YjtPsePCSo%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">Iranian regime leader Ali Khamenei rejects negotiations with the U.S.<\/div><\/div><div class=\"play\"><\/div><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/1YjtPsePCSo\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2F1YjtPsePCSo%2F0.jpg\" alt=\"Iranian regime leader Ali Khamenei rejects negotiations with the U.S.\" width=\"853\" height=\"460\" \/><br \/>Watch this video on YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"Reporting by PMOI\/MEK Iran, September 18, 2019\u2014Iranian regime leader breaks silence, rejects negotiations with U.S. After a month of silence, Iranian regime supreme leader Ali Khamenei finally made remarks on recent rumors and prospects about possible negotiations between his regime and the U.S. administration. Khamenei outright rejected any plans for talks with U.S. authorities, unless they \u201crepent.\u201d Khamenei also dismissed efforts by European states to mediate talks between the U.S. and the Iranian regime as part of the maximum pressure campaign. Khamenei had gone into silence during the past month, especially as infighting among senior regime officials was intensifying. Khamenei\u2019s remarks come a day after Iranian regime president Hassan Rouhani rejected rumors of possible unconditioned talks with the U.S., and a few days after the regime launched a massive missile attack on Saudi Arabia. In his remarks, Khamenei described promises of negotiations as a \u201ctrick\u201d and said, \u201cSometimes, they say negotiations without prerequisites, other times, they say negotiations with 12 conditions. Such remarks are either due to their turbulent politics or a trick to confuse the other party.\u201d Khamenei said concluded that in any negotiations, his regime would have to concede to the demands of its counterparts. Regarding the current policy of the U.S. toward the Iranian regime, Khamenei acknowledged that his regime has not responded to anything short of a firm policy. \u201cThe U.S. pursues a policy of maximum pressure on Iran through various embargoes, intimidation, and distorted claims, because the current U.S. government believes that the Islamic Republic cannot be brought to its knees, humiliated, and made to submit, through any indirect approach,\u201d Khamenei said. Previous U.S. administrations had sought to cajole the Iranian regime and curb its illicit activities through concessions and appeasements. But by closing their eyes on the many crimes this regime commits, they had only provoked the regime to intensify its illicit activities. Khamenei remarked that any negotiations would be a defeat for his regime and said, \u201cTheir goal of pursuing negotiation is to prove to everyone that maximum pressure has been effective, and the Islamic Republic officials were forced to sit at the negotiating table despite claiming that they would not negotiate. Thus, the only way of dealing with Iran is through maximum pressure.\u201d Khamenei also dismissed any mediations by European countries to talk with U.S. authorities, describing their efforts as the extension of the U.S.\u2019s maximum pressure policy. \u201c[The Europeans] are insisting that a meeting with the U.S. President would solve all our problems, because they want to prove that the maximum pressure policy has been effective in dealing with Iran, and this policy must be pursued,\u201d Khamenei said. Khamenei concluded by saying that any negotiations with the U.S. would be the imposition of the U.S.\u2019s demands on his regime, and any negotiations would be proof that the maximum pressure campaign of the U.S. has been effective. \u201cIt is for this reason that the country&#039;s officials, from the President to the Foreign minister and others, have unanimously announced that we would not take part in talks, be it bilateral or multilateral, with the United States,\u201d Khamenei said. \u201cIf the U.S. backs off and repents, and implements the nuclear deal from which they have withdrawn, then the U.S. can also take part in and talk during negotiations between Iran and the countries that are part of this deal. Otherwise, there will be absolutely no negotiation between the officials of the Islamic Republic and the U.S. at any level; neither in New York and not anywhere else.\u201d\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:853px;margin:5px;\"><\/div><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">\u201cIf we expect the Americans to recognize their fault and pay for it, this is not something they would accept,\u201d Arman-e Meli added. The paper also underlined that the regime \u201cshould, by all means, participate in the negotiations on November 29 and do not postpone it\u201d, as it could lead to the formation of an \u201cinternational front\u201d against Tehran.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Furthermore, French foreign minister, Jean-Yves Le Drian, told his Iranian counterpart on Tuesday that the JCPOA talks should \u201ccontinue where they left off in June.\u201d Le Drian\u2019s comments suggest mounting concerns over Tehran\u2019s recent demands.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Thus, it is unlikely that even European signatories of the JCPOA, which have been making every possible effort to keep the highly <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/new-iaea-reports-highlights-jcpoa-failure-in-curbing-irans-nuclear\/\" rel=\"noopener\">flawed JCPOA<\/a> alive, succumb to the regime\u2019s demands. It should be noted that nuclear talks stalled due to the regime\u2019s lack of cooperation and attempts to blackmail the international community. Tehran has continued to renege on its obligations, enriched uranium beyond limits set by the JCPOA, and continued its terrorist activities through its proxy groups in the region.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">The regime\u2019s demand for the lifting of sanctions is another baseless demand. While the Obama administration joined the JCPOA through an executive decision, most of the sanctions imposed on Tehran were approved and passed by the U.S. Congress. \u00a0Consequently, it is beyond the power of any U.S. administration to lift them. Besides, many of these sanctions are not even related to the regime\u2019s nuclear program.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">It is worth noting that the regime\u2019s demand that neither the current U.S. administration nor any future administration would withdraw from the deal, requires the nuclear deal to be passed as a treaty, requiring 60 votes in the Senate.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">\u201cOur demand that the U.S. that future administrations will not withdraw from the JCPOA, even if Congress does ratify this, the U.S. lawmakers could introduce a resolution and repeal the previous law if it\u2019s in their interest,\u201d Arman-e Meli wrote in this regard.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">The Iranian regime is aware of how unrealistic its demands are. Yet, it has presented them for two reasons. First, Iran is counting on a resurgence of the appeasement policy. The regime knows that the international community\u2019s patience is thinning out, and Tehran could suffer severe consequences in the long run. So, it intends to attain the maximum possible concessions from the West. Besides, Tehran intends to buy more time and continue its nuclear program to have the upper hand in the negotiations. The remarks made by the regime\u2019s deputy foreign minister, Ali Bagheri Kani in 2020, shed light on the regime\u2019s strategy to buy more time.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><strong>Also read:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/Tehran\u2019s Nuclear Extortion Grow Worse as EU Refuses To Act\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\">Tehran\u2019s Nuclear Extortion Grow Worse as EU Refuses To Act<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/nuclear\/iran-why-sanctions-are-working-and-negotiations-wont\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Iran: Why Sanctions Are Working and Negotiations Won\u2019t?<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/nuclear\/exclusive-interview-with-mohammad-mohaddessin-chairman-of-the-ncri-foreign-affairs-committee-regarding-the-iranian-regimes-nuclear-program\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Exclusive Interview With Mohammad Mohaddessin, Chairman of the NCRI Foreign Affairs Committee, Regarding the Iranian Regime\u2019s Nuclear Program<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">\u201cWhen we started negotiating in 2003, Iran had no leverage; thus, we accepted the suspension of uranium enrichment. Some people didn\u2019t believe that the nuclear program is a <em>power component<\/em>, arguing that we are not seeking nuclear weapons,\u201d said Iran\u2019s current top negotiator in an interview in 2020. \u201cBut sensitive and complex technologies have dual purposes. Only governments invest in such technology because it has a military dimension. We wanted the centrifuges to keep spinning so that the wheels of our economies can spin as well,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">The state-run Aftab-e Yazd daily acknowledged on November 2 that \u201cif Iran returns to the JCPOA, the U.S. and other signatories would not be limited to the JCPOA and its terms. If Tehran leaves the JCPOA, it has to start negotiations with the countries that want to accelerate the talks and extend the nuclear negotiations to other issues.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">The second reason for the regime\u2019s unrealistic demands is largely due to the current social crises in Iran. The Iranian regime faces a <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/human-rights\/iran-state-media-warn-raisi-about-restive-society\/\" rel=\"noopener\">restive society<\/a>. Time is not the mullahs\u2019 ally. Iran\u2019s economy is in shambles due to the regime\u2019s corruption and wasting resources on terrorism and its nuclear program. Sanctions have crippled the regime\u2019s warmongering machine and have also increased Iran\u2019s social dilemma. Since Iran\u2019s economy is oil-dependent, the regime is unable to cover its expenses amid sanctions on its oil industry.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Tehran desperately needs sanctions relief to save its collapsing economy, prevent popular uprisings, and fund its terrorist proxy groups that have become unpopular in the region. Raisi\u2019s administration recently demanded the release of $10 billion in frozen Iranian assets as another supposed gesture of\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dw.com\/en\/iran-asks-us-to-unfreeze-10-billion-as-sign-of-goodwill\/a-59388880\">goodwill<\/a>\u00a0from the U.S on August 22.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">The regime knows that showing any sign of weakness in dealing with the outside world could result in the mullahs\u2019 losing their fragile hold on the situation in Iran. Besides, any weakness from the current \u201cyoung and Hezbollahi\u201d government, as described by the regime\u2019s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, could further demoralize the regime forces.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">It\u2019s safe to conclude that the Iranian regime is in a deadlock. Tehran can neither accept the terms offered by western powers in exchange for sanctions relief nor continue playing for time due to the country\u2019s current social and economic crises. Iran\u2019s illogical actions are the characteristics of a regime drowning in crises that it has created. The world community should know that the regime is at its weakest point. Tehran only responds to strength, and any concessions to the regime would only embolden it. Thus, the time has come for the international community to curb Iran\u2019s nuclear program and terrorism once and for all.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>After four months of dragging feet with nuclear negotiations, Tehran finally agreed to resume nuclear talks in Vienna on November 29. While some called the decision a breakthrough, a closer [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":246667,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[45,17],"tags":[129,217],"class_list":{"0":"post-250580","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-news","8":"category-nuclear","9":"tag-iran","10":"tag-irans-nuclear-program"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>New Round of JCPOA Talks: Understanding Tehran\u2019s Weak Position - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"After four months of dragging feet with nuclear negotiations, Tehran finally agreed to resume nuclear talks in Vienna on November 29. 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