{"id":252606,"date":"2021-12-07T03:24:23","date_gmt":"2021-12-07T08:24:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=252606"},"modified":"2023-02-02T23:42:01","modified_gmt":"2023-02-02T22:42:01","slug":"iran-western-weakness-to-blame-for-tehrans-nuclear-blackmail","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/editorial\/iran-western-weakness-to-blame-for-tehrans-nuclear-blackmail\/","title":{"rendered":"EDITORIAL: Iran &#8211; Western Weakness To Blame for Tehran\u2019s Nuclear Blackmail"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"Iran-nuclear-001-1\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-252617\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Iran-nuclear-001-1.jpg\" alt=\"Iran-nuclear-001-1\" width=\"1000\" height=\"647\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Iran-nuclear-001-1.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Iran-nuclear-001-1-300x194.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Iran-nuclear-001-1-768x497.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Iran-nuclear-001-1-150x97.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Iran-nuclear-001-1-696x450.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The latest attempts to revive the 2015 nuclear deal with the Iranian regime <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/nuclear\/failure-of-the-seventh-round-of-iran-nuclear-talks\/\">failed last week<\/a>. As expected, the Iranian regime doubled down on its nuclear blackmail. Three days after talks with world powers resumed on November 29, Tehran hastened work at a nuclear facility dug deep into a mountain. At the same time, it added to a laundry list of maximalist demands. All this led even the Europeans to warn that unless Tehran shifts quickly, negotiations are headed for collapse.<\/p>\n<p>U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said \u201cIran right now does not seem to be serious about doing what\u2019s necessary to return to compliance, which is why we ended this round of talks in Vienna.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>But defiantly, the regime\u2019s top negotiator, Ali Bagheri Kani, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iranian-regimes-hardline-nuclear-posture-and-irans-social-instability\/\">underlined<\/a> after the latest talks broke off that Tehran \u201cWill not back down from its demands,\u201d including the contentious demand that the U.S. lift all sanctions before the regime would honor its commitments.<\/p>\n<p>Germany asked the regime to present realistic proposals in talks, a Foreign Ministry spokeswoman said on Monday. Tehran&#8217;s proposals are &#8220;not a basis for a successful end to talks,&#8221; she said. The German Foreign Ministry spokeswoman said it was unacceptable that Iran was advancing its nuclear capacity in parallel with the talks.<\/p>\n<p>On December 1, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) sounded alarm bells by reporting that Tehran has started enriching uranium up to 20% purity at the Fordow plant. This marks a major violation of the 2015 nuclear deal, formally referred to as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), since that deal completely prohibits uranium enrichment at Fordow. The IR-6 centrifuges are much more efficient at uranium enrichment than the previously used IR-1 generation.<\/p>\n<p>So, where are we now? Since abruptly ending the talks over the summer, the regime bought critical time by imposing a five-month hiatus in negotiations. During this time, it increased the depth and breadth of its nuclear activities. In addition to the latest alarming breach, Tehran began producing enriched uranium metal, a move that advances its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/inside-source-reports\/iran-s-nuclear-weapons-program\/\">nuclear weapons program<\/a>. Just last month, the IAEA said Iran has continued to increase its stockpiles of enriched uranium and remains in violation of its deal with world powers.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Vienna talks failing shows again that <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s regime, using appeasement, plunged talks into cycle of deceit to buy time &amp; make the bomb. Khamenei\u2019s fate is tied to his nuclear program, another reason why Raisi was selected president. This cycle must be ended with a firm approach<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Mohammad Mohaddessin (@Mohaddessin) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Mohaddessin\/status\/1467222481798893568?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 4, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>In the meantime, Tehran is clearly stalling time as it continues to dig its heels in maximalist and unworkable positions, like the lifting of all sanctions, while making fresh impractical demands. At the same time, the mullahs have threatened to enrich uranium up to 90 percent purity, another obvious attempt to blackmail world powers into granting it concessions. All this is raising doubts in western capitals about Tehran&#8217;s seriousness about the talks.<\/p>\n<p>It shouldn&#8217;t be too difficult to realize by now that Tehran&#8217;s threatening actions speak louder than its diplomatic acrobatics. Speculating about its intentions only distracts from observing its behavior.<\/p>\n<p>The West should not fall prey to Tehran&#8217;s longstanding pattern of nuclear blackmail while the regime marches on toward the bomb.<\/p>\n<p>The fact is that the main variable in the formulation of the mullahs&#8217; behavior is the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iranian-regimes-hardline-nuclear-posture-and-irans-social-instability\/\">domestic situation<\/a>. The more the regime is squeezed internally, the more it sees an unavoidable need to pursue a nuclear weapon as a strategic must for survival. Western counterparts should realize that for a regime whose concern is not the Iranian people&#8217;s well-being economic incentives ring hollow. Instead, the mullahs are scrambling to find a way to curb a rapidly rising wave of dissent at home, which is precisely the primary driver for Raisi&#8217;s emergence.<\/p>\n<p>As Mrs. Maryam Rajavi, the President-elect of the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI), has said, the mullahs&#8217; embattled Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has inextricably linked his regime\u2019s fate to the nuclear program because of the domestic threat. Immersed in incurable political, social, economic and environmental crises, the ruling clerics will never abandon their nuclear weapons program.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The clerical regime is a threat to global security because of its insistence on expanding its ballistic missile program and nuclear weapons project. It poses an omnipresent threat to European communities because it is actively plotting terrorist operations in Europe. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/JCPOA?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#JCPOA<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Maryam Rajavi (@Maryam_Rajavi) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Maryam_Rajavi\/status\/1467044843469815813?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 4, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Importantly, Tehran&#8217;s disturbing, but all too familiar, the pattern of nuclear blackmail is fed by a vicious cycle of appeasement. Increasing violations and threatening behaviors have been practically rewarded by complacency and concessions.<\/p>\n<p>A more responsible policy would match the regime&#8217;s violations with a more decisive policy that meaningfully curbs its activities. The only practical solution is to re-impose the six UN Security Council resolutions that have been suspended, dismantle the regime&#8217;s nuclear sites and enrichment completely, and conduct anytime, anywhere inspections. Anything nourishes a crumbling theocracy while reinforcing dangerous illusions in the West.<\/p>\n<div class=\"lyte-wrapper\" title=\"Iran nuclear deal crisis: Who is to blame?\" style=\"width:853px;max-width:100%;margin:5px;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_qoO_O4lrLJk\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FqoO_O4lrLJk%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/qoO_O4lrLJk\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT7M18S\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2021-04-17T09:24:46Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_qoO_O4lrLJk\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FqoO_O4lrLJk%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">Iran nuclear deal crisis: Who is to blame?<\/div><\/div><div class=\"play\"><\/div><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/qoO_O4lrLJk\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FqoO_O4lrLJk%2F0.jpg\" alt=\"Iran nuclear deal crisis: Who is to blame?\" width=\"853\" height=\"460\" \/><br \/>Watch this video on YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"April 17, 2021\u2014World powers have been discussing the Iran nuclear deal, a possible U.S. return to the 2015 agreement and Tehran\u2019s compliance with the terms. Following the first round of talks regime Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif tweeted the following: Iran proposes logical path to full JCPOA compliance: -US\u2014which caused this crisis\u2014should return to full compliance first; -Iran will reciprocate following rapid verification; -All Trump sanctions were anti-JCPOA &amp; must be removed\u2014w\/o distinction between arbitrary designations. Insistence on the U.S. taking the first step by returning into compliance first and lifting all sanctions is Tehran\u2019s main demand. This talking point is constantly pushed by the regime and relayed by its network of apologists\/lobbyists in the West. Now, is what the Iranian regime claiming even true? Did the U.S. actually cause this crisis? Let\u2019s take a look at the facts. The 2015 nuclear deal, known officially as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, was reached in July 2015. While Tehran and pro-appeasement voices across the U.S. and Europe may claim that the previous U.S. administration first violated the JCPOA by exiting the deal in May 2018, facts prove otherwise. On December 8, 2015, the Institute for Science and International Studies published an analysis of a report issued by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) on the Possible Military Dimensions of Iran\u2019s Nuclear Program. It is specifically stated that Tehran violated the JCPOA by refusing to fully cooperate with the IAEA investigating the Possible Military Dimensions of its nuclear program. On July 7, 2016, Fox News reported citing the German domestic intelligence agency\u2019s annual report specifically highlighting that Iran pursued a \u201cclandestine\u201d path toward obtaining illicit nuclear technology and equipment from German companies \u201cat what is, even by international standards, a quantitatively high level.\u201d On June 6, 2017, Reuters reported that the Iranians had produced excess heavy water, illegally, at least twice, which they sold for profit. A quarterly IAEA report on Iran said Tehran\u2019s stock of heavy water had reached 128.2 tonnes, which a senior diplomat described as \u201cvery high\u201d. Ever since the JCPOA was implemented Iran refused to allow inspections into its military sites. This in itself is a violation of the nuclear deal based on the JCPOA\u2019s relevant language. On September 20, 2017, the Iranians exceeded the limits on advanced centrifuge research and development, by assembling more than half a dozen IR-8 rotor assemblies and operating 13-15 IR-6 centrifuges in a single cascade, according to reports. Less than two weeks later, on October 1, 2017, a Fox News report revealed that Iran is likely violating Section T of the JCPOA, banning \u201cactivities which could contribute to the development of a nuclear explosive device,\u201d for example using computer models simulating a nuclear bomb, or designing multi-point, explosive detonation systems. On October 9, 2017, German intelligence reported yet again that in 2015 and 2016, when the U.S. was still part of the JCPOA and in the final years of the Obama administration, Iran attempted more than one hundred times to obtain illicit nuclear technology, as reported by Fox News. The next day, on October 10, 2017, Fox News reported that the Iranian opposition coalition NCRI released critical information showing that Iran\u2019s research and development, as well as nuclear activities, were continuing at the Parchin military site, out of reach of IAEA inspectors. On January 22, 2019, Ali Akbar Salehi, head of the regime\u2019s Atomic Energy Organization, explained in a state TV interview how the regime used deceptive measures to mislead the international community while claiming to have abided by the JCPOA. Iran did not dismantle the core of the plutonium reactor at its Arak site, as required by the deal. https:\/\/youtu.be\/ZMvqkmWFWsY As we see, Iran\u2019s regime has been in violation of the JCPOA from day one, meaning during the Obama years and far before the next administration exited the deal in May 2018. Therefore, this argument by Zarif, parroted by his network of apologists and lobbyists in the West in order to garner support from pro-appeasement circles, is easily debunked. Iran\u2019s regime has been in violation of the highly flawed and obviously failed 2015 nuclear deal. Furthermore, there is no indication that this regime can be trusted in any future agreements. Music: I Am a Man Who Will Fight for Your Honor by Chris Zabriskie is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 license. https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/ Source: http:\/\/chriszabriskie.com\/honor\/ Artist: http:\/\/chriszabriskie.com\/ https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/IranNCR\/ https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy Subscribe to NCRI weekly newsletter t.ly\/MybJ\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:853px;margin:5px;\"><\/div><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The latest attempts to revive the 2015 nuclear deal with the Iranian regime failed last week. As expected, the Iranian regime doubled down on its nuclear blackmail. Three days after [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":252617,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[418,129,217],"class_list":{"0":"post-252606","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-editorial","8":"tag-jcpoa","9":"tag-iran","10":"tag-irans-nuclear-program"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>EDITORIAL: Iran - Western Weakness To Blame for Tehran\u2019s Nuclear Blackmail - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The latest attempts to revive the 2015 nuclear deal with the Iranian regime failed last week. 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