{"id":252801,"date":"2021-12-10T12:35:28","date_gmt":"2021-12-10T17:35:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=252801"},"modified":"2023-02-03T01:18:30","modified_gmt":"2023-02-03T00:18:30","slug":"optimism-over-iran-nuclear-deal-is-fading-but-concrete-action-is-still-lacking","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/nuclear\/optimism-over-iran-nuclear-deal-is-fading-but-concrete-action-is-still-lacking\/","title":{"rendered":"Optimism Over Iran Nuclear Deal Is Fading, but Concrete Action Is Still Lacking"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"Palacio-Coburg2-min\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-252818\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Palacio-Coburg2-min-300x200.jpg\" alt=\"Palacio-Coburg2-min\" width=\"1000\" height=\"667\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Palacio-Coburg2-min-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Palacio-Coburg2-min-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Palacio-Coburg2-min-150x100.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Palacio-Coburg2-min-696x464.jpg 696w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Palacio-Coburg2-min.jpg 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Although talks aimed at restoring the 2015 Iran nuclear deal resumed in Vienna last week, most participants in those talks appear to be even less optimistic about the prospects for an agreement than they were\u00a0during the five months when\u00a0the process remained stalled.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The Iranian regime\u00a0singlehandedly caused that delay, citing the need to reset and shift responsibility to new personnel following\u00a0the regime\u2019s <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/inside-source-reports\/iran-regimes-sham-presidential-elections-a-strategic-deadlock\/\" rel=\"noopener\">sham presidential<\/a> election. But the new president, Ebrahim Raisi, repeatedly assured the international community that the Vienna talks would resume \u201csoon.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">On Saturday, one US State Department official assessed the lessons of the previous week\u2019s negotiations in remarks to the Washington Post, noting that it revealed that\u00a0Tehran\u2019s\u00a0process of \u201cgetting ready\u201d turned out to involve \u201ccontinuing to accelerate their nuclear program in particularly provocative ways,\u201d\u00a0in an effort to\u00a0secure leverage that could be turned into comprehensive sanctions relief and outsized demands.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Even while the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/anews\/who-is-who\/meet-iran-regimes-new-administration\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Raisi administration<\/a> was offering its assurances of an imminent return to diplomacy, various Iranian officials reiterated and even intensified the demands that had apparently prevented prior negotiations from reaching a conclusion. Throughout the process, Tehran has insisted that the US must immediately remove all economic sanctions that were re-imposed or newly imposed following its withdrawal from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action in 2018. The regime has offered nothing in return but has explicitly stated that questions of\u00a0its\u00a0return to compliance would be resolved only after sanctions relief was verified.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The Iranian regime\u2019s\u00a0chief nuclear negotiator dug in his heels on this point just ahead of the seventh round of talks beginning last Monday. He then went on to say that\u00a0all of\u00a0the terms that had supposedly been agreed upon in the prior six rounds were fair game for reassessment. Another US official described the situation as Tehran attempting to \u201cpocket all of\u00a0the compromises that others \u2013 the\u00a0US in particular\u00a0\u2013 have\u00a0made and then ask for more.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">It is no wonder that the State Department is now <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2021-12-09\/biden-team-warns-iran-of-fresh-sanctions-if-nuclear-talks-fail\" rel=\"noopener\">warning<\/a> about the availability of various other \u201ctools\u201d to take the place of diplomacy if the regime delays and non-cooperation persist. It is only slightly more surprising that the European signatories to the JCPOA seem to be backing up those threats while unequivocally criticizing Tehran\u2019s lack of seriousness. Britain, France, and Germany have all called upon the Iranian regime to return with more realistic proposals this week while affirming that all of its existing proposals violate prior compromises.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"lyte-wrapper\" title=\"US official: Iran to blame for fallout of nuclear talks\" style=\"width:853px;max-width:100%;margin:5px;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_zEu2XmId8XM\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FzEu2XmId8XM%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/zEu2XmId8XM\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT1M\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2021-12-05T18:21:41Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_zEu2XmId8XM\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FzEu2XmId8XM%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">US official: Iran to blame for fallout of nuclear talks<\/div><\/div><div class=\"play\"><\/div><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/zEu2XmId8XM\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FzEu2XmId8XM%2F0.jpg\" alt=\"US official: Iran to blame for fallout of nuclear talks\" width=\"853\" height=\"460\" \/><br \/>Watch this video on YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"Tehran\u2019s stance in nuclear talks in Vienna has been disappointing to all its counterparts, a US official told the media Tehran has used the five-month hiatus in talks to speed up its nuclear program in &quot;provocative&quot; ways, the official said Iran is &quot;the reason why there is not ... a mutual return to compliance&quot; with the original nuclear deal, the American official added Even China and Russia \u201cwere taken quite aback\u201d over Tehran\u2019s stance and \u201cshare a sense of disappointment,\u201d the official said In draft proposals Tehran has increased sanctions relief demands and suggested fewer limits on its nuclear program Read more: https:\/\/english.mojahedin.org\/article\/tehrans-bullying-tactics-in-iran-nuclear-talks-are-a-cover-for-its-own-weakness\/ *** Content on the PMOI\/MEK&#039;s official YouTube channel is not subject to copyright if the source is mentioned ***\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:853px;margin:5px;\"><\/div><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Unfortunately, however, what Western powers try to ignore is the regime\u2019s nuclear extortion accelerating.\u00a0\u00a0So far, that acceleration has resulted in a stockpile of 20-percent enriched uranium that is possibly in excess of 100 kg., plus a small amount of 60-percent enriched uranium and the infrastructure to rapidly accelerate it all the way to weapons-grade.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">At the same time, Tehran has underlined the threat of nuclear armament by continuing to develop ballistic missiles that\u00a0are capable of carrying\u00a0a warhead, and by producing uranium metal, a\u00a0substance with no purpose other than as a component in the core of such a warhead. At roughly the same time as\u00a0Tehran\u2019s\u00a0nuclear negotiators were restating their demands for unearned sanctions relief, one former head of the\u00a0regime\u2019s\u00a0nuclear agency spoke to state media and openly referred to \u201cnuclear weapons\u201d as a topic affected by the regime\u2019s \u201call-encompassing growth.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-election\/elections-candidates-biography\/irans-elections-2021-who-is-fereydoon-abbasi-davani\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Fereydoun Abbasi-Davani<\/a>\u00a0was by no means the first official to do so. In February, then-Intelligence Minister Mahmoud\u00a0Alavi\u00a0teased\u00a0the regime\u2019s\u00a0potential nuclear breakout\u00a0in order to\u00a0declare that \u201cthose who push Iran in that direction will be to blame.\u201d\u00a0That was among the\u00a0clearest confirmation of Tehran\u2019s strategy of nuclear blackmail \u2013 a strategy that is also prominently on display in the rekindled Vienna talks.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The regime expects to win concessions through fear, but Western participants in the negotiations must recognize that if that strategy proves successful, it will only embolden the regime to continue heaping threats upon the international community. The best way of preventing this is by following through immediately on plans to make use of those \u201ctools,\u201d like multilateral sanctions and military deterrence, that represent an alternative to the failed diplomatic process.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Western participants in that process cannot simply kick the can down the road and expect to suffer no consequences.\u00a0The Iranian regime\u2019s\u00a0current posture at the Vienna talks already makes it clear that\u00a0it\u00a0does not take existing threats seriously. And why should it? To date, none of the relevant warnings have\u00a0been backed up by action, and the European Union had desperately clung to its optimism regarding the revival of diplomacy.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Now that that optimism is fading, the US, the EU, and its member states must be strong enough to rebuff any further efforts\u00a0by the regime in Tehran\u00a0to play for time. They must re-implement all relevant UN sanctions and return to the high-pressure strategy\u00a0which will certainly curb the regime\u2019s nuclear ambitions.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Although talks aimed at restoring the 2015 Iran nuclear deal resumed in Vienna last week, most participants in those talks appear to be even less optimistic about the prospects for [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":252818,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[17],"tags":[129,217],"class_list":{"0":"post-252801","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nuclear","8":"tag-iran","9":"tag-irans-nuclear-program"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - 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