{"id":252974,"date":"2021-12-14T12:15:22","date_gmt":"2021-12-14T17:15:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=252974"},"modified":"2023-02-01T04:36:08","modified_gmt":"2023-02-01T03:36:08","slug":"iran-jcpoa-has-always-been-an-empty-shell","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/nuclear\/iran-jcpoa-has-always-been-an-empty-shell\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran: JCPOA Has Always Been an \u2018Empty Shell\u2019"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"Irans-nuclear-facility\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-237051\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Irans-nuclear-facility.jpg\" alt=\"Iran nuclear facility\" width=\"924\" height=\"616\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Irans-nuclear-facility.jpg 800w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Irans-nuclear-facility-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Irans-nuclear-facility-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Irans-nuclear-facility-150x100.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Irans-nuclear-facility-696x464.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 924px) 100vw, 924px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Following days of negotiations with the Iranian regime over its clandestine nuclear program, the European diplomats acknowledged that the nuclear deal with Tehran will soon be an \u201cempty shell.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">On Tuesday, Reuters reported that European diplomat has underlined that \u201cAs of this moment, we still have not been able to get down to real negotiations.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">This acknowledgment once again <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/commodities\/iran-nuclear-deal-will-soon-be-empty-shell-european-diplomats-say-2021-12-13\/\">highlights<\/a> that negotiations with the regime to revive the highly flawed Joint Comprehensive Plan of Actions (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/nuclear\/iran-is-revival-of-jcpoa-a-lost-cause\/\">JCPOA<\/a>) are futile. &#8220;Time is running out. Without swift progress, in light of Iran&#8217;s fast-forwarding of its nuclear program, the JCPOA will very soon become an empty shell,&#8221; the European authorities underlined.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">The negotiations had been delayed for five months following the appointment of Ebrahim Raisi but resumed at the start of the previous week, with the stated goal of restoring all parties\u2019 compliance with the 2015 agreement.<\/p>\n<div class=\"lyte-wrapper\" title=\"Fitting a Square Peg into a Round Hole with Iran Negotiations - April 2021\" style=\"width:853px;max-width:100%;margin:5px;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_mzxOyfArflw\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FmzxOyfArflw%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/mzxOyfArflw\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT3M18S\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2021-04-26T18:58:25Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_mzxOyfArflw\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FmzxOyfArflw%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">Fitting a Square Peg into a Round Hole with Iran Negotiations - April 2021<\/div><\/div><div class=\"play\"><\/div><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/mzxOyfArflw\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FmzxOyfArflw%2F0.jpg\" alt=\"Fitting a Square Peg into a Round Hole with Iran Negotiations - April 2021\" width=\"853\" height=\"460\" \/><br \/>Watch this video on YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"There will be nothing to write home about once the current round of talks with the Iranian regime concludes. What\u2019s past is prologue; no degree of political or economic incentives will induce behavior change in the regime ruling Iran. As such, investing in any negotiations with Tehran on any significant issue is a fool&#039;s errand. Regardless of one\u2019s views on the JCPOA in 2015, facts on the ground and the geopolitics of the region six years later make that deal untenable. Europe and the US are seeking a broader and stronger deal than the one in 2015, which would address the regime&#039;s terrorism and ballistic missile program. However, Tehran&#039;s mullahs have rejected both points of reference, casting considerable doubt on the seriousness of the talks. Besides, the very act of talking in good faith with the type of state that organizes its power around denial, duplicity, and deceit is a priori futile. Diplomacy and negotiations are vital instruments of statecraft. But by using negotiations to address the regime&#039;s assortment of threats, the Europeans are trying to fit a square peg into a round hole. When Chamberlain negotiated the Munich Agreement, he was blind to the fact that Hitler never intended to honor the deal in the first place, rendering negotiations futile. The distinction between behavior and essence is instructive here. The Europeans seek to persuade Tehran to change its behavior based on the assumption that the pursuit of nuclear weapons is a behavioral anomaly for the regime. Human rights abuses, terrorism, and nuclear weapons are not jouissance or mere predilections that transgress its essence. They are constitutive of the regime&#039;s DNA. The regime&#039;s core vulnerability, which animates its strategic orientations, stems from its historical, political, religious, and social illegitimacy at home. Deprived of a popular base domestically, the regime is sailing too close to the wind. Therefore, it needs a power source other than the will of constituents. Tehran does not abuse human rights, occasionally throw in terrorism, and pursue nuclear weapons for good measure. For it, these are as vital as oxygen. Therefore, even if the regime wanted to, it simply cannot trade in its heart and vital organs during negotiations. So, instead, it uses the opportunity afforded to it to essentially press its own agenda of securing sanctions relief without committing or intending to honor any matter of real import for its interlocutors. The mullahs will retreat only when faced with a truly vexing strategic choice that impacts the regime&#039;s survival, but not when they are given a platform to deceive and outwit. Read More: https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/IranNCR\/ https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy Subscribe to NCRI weekly newsletter t.ly\/MybJ #iran #JCPOA #nuclear\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:853px;margin:5px;\"><\/div><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Enrique Mora, the European Union diplomat who chaired Thursday\u2019s meeting, had made recognizable efforts to promote an optimistic outlook, saying afterward that he saw a \u201crenewed sense of purpose\u201d from all parties, regarding \u201cthe need to work and to reach an agreement on bringing the JCPOA back to life.\u201d However, his commentary was preceded by remarks from British, French, German, and American diplomats which harshly criticized the Iranian regime for its excessive demands, lack of seriousness, and apparent refusal to compromise.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/isis-online.org\/uploads\/isis-reports\/documents\/ISIS_Analysis_of_the_IAEA_PMD_Report_December_8_2015_Final.pdf\" rel=\"noopener\">Officials<\/a> from the French Foreign Ministry expressed concern that Tehran was \u201cplaying for time,\u201d and warned that the regime would most likely continue to scale back its prior commitments if the negotiating process went on without a resolution. Their German counterparts urged Tehran to come back to the process on Thursday with \u201crealistic proposals,\u201d but there was no indication that the regime had heeded that advice.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">British Foreign Secretary Liz Truss reiterated the appeal on Wednesday, describing the following day\u2019s talks as the start of Iran\u2019s \u201clast chance to sign up\u201d and emphasizing that \u201cit\u2019s in their interests to do so.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">These remarks from the highest-level officials may indicate that the international community is preparing a final push to salvage the negotiating process by convincing Tehran of the need for compromise. So far, Iranian delegates to the talks have mainly reiterated their demand for the US to remove all sanctions that were imposed or re-imposed after then-President Donald Trump pulled out of the JCPOA in 2018.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"nuclear-enrichment\" class=\"size-full wp-image-41848 alignleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/nuclear-enrichment.jpg\" alt=\"nuclear-enrichment\" width=\"267\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/nuclear-enrichment.jpg 267w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/nuclear-enrichment-80x60.jpg 80w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/nuclear-enrichment-160x120.jpg 160w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/nuclear-enrichment-265x198.jpg 265w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 267px) 100vw, 267px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Tehran has offered nothing in return but has suggested that negotiations over its own return to compliance should proceed only after sanctions relief has been verified. European and American participants in the talks all indicate that Tehran\u2019s position has only hardened over the several days since negotiations resumed. Both Germany and France accused the regime of \u201cabandoning compromises\u201d that had supposedly been achieved during the six rounds of talks that took place before June.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Since the Biden administration assumed power in Washington and signaled its willingness to reenter the agreement its predecessor pulled out of, there has been no real question about any party\u2019s desire to restore the JCPOA. The real question is only whether it is possible to restore that agreement in a way that is satisfying to all parties. And with each session of negotiations that concludes without Tehran moving from its initial position, it becomes increasingly apparent that the answer will ultimately be no.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">As the Iranian Resistance has long been exposed, the regime in Tehran is racing toward an atomic bomb. The Iranian regime is playing with time to secretly advance its nuclear program.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Western powers should know that the JCPOA was an \u201cempty shell\u201d from the first day. The regime never abided by its commitments under the terms of the JCPOA.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">In 2019, Ali Akbar Salehi, then the regime\u2019s head of the Atomic Energy Organization, said: \u201cThey thought that they won the negotiation,\u201d he said of Western signatories to the JCPOA. \u201cBut we had a countermeasure, and while we proceeded with the case, they didn\u2019t achieve what they planned for, and we did not become trapped in the enrichment deadlock.\u201d<\/p>\n<div class=\"lyte-wrapper\" title=\"Iran&amp;#039;s cheating in nuclear deal &amp;amp; deceptive measures on cementing the Arak heavy water reactor\" style=\"width:853px;max-width:100%;margin:5px;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_ZMvqkmWFWsY\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FZMvqkmWFWsY%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/ZMvqkmWFWsY\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT1M59S\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2021-02-26T07:39:33Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_ZMvqkmWFWsY\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FZMvqkmWFWsY%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">Iran&#039;s cheating in nuclear deal &amp; deceptive measures on cementing the Arak heavy water reactor<\/div><\/div><div class=\"play\"><\/div><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/ZMvqkmWFWsY\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FZMvqkmWFWsY%2F0.jpg\" alt=\"Iran&amp;#039;s cheating in nuclear deal &amp;amp; deceptive measures on cementing the Arak heavy water reactor\" width=\"853\" height=\"460\" \/><br \/>Watch this video on YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"Jan 22, 2019-Interview of the head of the Atomic Energy Org. of Iran Ali Akbar Salehi: -This heavy water reactor, the heart of the reactor, is filled with cement. Doctor, what is the story? -I thank you for your kindness towards our viewers. The Arak reactor has a large hole which you are seeing. People are standing around it. This hole has calandria tubes leading into it where the fuel passes through. We had purchased similar tubes, but I could not announce it at the time. Only one person in Iran knew about it, and we only reported to the state\u2019s highest senior official [Khamenei]. No one else knew. Since our friends were in negotiations, we knew that the other party would go against their word one day. [Khamenei] had said to be careful and these people do not keep their word. So, we needed to carry out our measures with a certain awareness, meaning in addition to not severing any ties, we also needed to establish paths for a quick return if necessary. There were some tubes, with a diameter of two to three centimeters and three to four meters long. We had purchased the same number of similar tubes. They said fill those tubes with cement. And we did. -Did the IAEA instruct you to do so? -No, during the nuclear negotiations. We said fine, we will pour them with cement. However, we never said we had other tubes because if we did [the P5+1] would say pour them with cement, too. And now we have these tubes. They filled the hole of the reactor with cement using photoshop, and they keep on saying they filled the reactor with cement. This is the photoshopped version of that image.\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:853px;margin:5px;\"><\/div><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">The recent efforts to revive the JCPOA have also proven to be in vain. After returning from Iran, Rafael Grossi, Director-General of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), said that extensive talks in Iran on November 23 \u201cproved inconclusive,\u201d and that IAEA inspectors\u2019 lack of access to the Karaj workshop is \u201cseriously affecting the Agency\u2019s ability to restore continuity of knowledge at the workshop.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">As the Iranian Resistance has<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/nuclear\/failure-of-the-seventh-round-of-iran-nuclear-talks\/\">\u202funderlined<\/a>, \u201cOnly firmness could break this cycle. The six UN Security Council resolutions must be reactivated. The Iranian regime\u2019s nuclear sites should be dismantled, and the regime should halt enriching uranium. The inspection, anywhere and anytime, should be implemented.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stats.sender.net\/forms\/dGYVLa\/view\"><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"Weekly-Signe-up-logo-1\" class=\"size-full wp-image-246866 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Weekly-Signe-up-logo-1.png\" alt=\"Weekly-Signe-up-logo-1\" width=\"250\" height=\"83\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Weekly-Signe-up-logo-1.png 250w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Weekly-Signe-up-logo-1-150x50.png 150w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 250px) 100vw, 250px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Following days of negotiations with the Iranian regime over its clandestine nuclear program, the European diplomats acknowledged that the nuclear deal with Tehran will soon be an &ldquo;empty shell.&rdquo; On [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":237051,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[45,17],"tags":[418,129,217],"class_list":{"0":"post-252974","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-news","8":"category-nuclear","9":"tag-jcpoa","10":"tag-iran","11":"tag-irans-nuclear-program"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - 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