{"id":261856,"date":"2022-07-30T16:29:59","date_gmt":"2022-07-30T14:29:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=261856"},"modified":"2023-02-06T07:50:05","modified_gmt":"2023-02-06T06:50:05","slug":"would-borrells-new-draft-save-jcpoa-or-buys-more-time-for-irans-regime","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/nuclear\/would-borrells-new-draft-save-jcpoa-or-buys-more-time-for-irans-regime\/","title":{"rendered":"Would Borrell\u2019s New Draft Save JCPOA, or Buys More Time for Iran\u2019s Regime?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"iran-bagheri-kani-enrique-mora-e1659170258643\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-261857\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/iran-bagheri-kani-enrique-mora-e1659170258643.jpg\" alt=\"iran-bagheri-kani-enrique-mora-e1659170258643\" width=\"1000\" height=\"552\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/iran-bagheri-kani-enrique-mora-e1659170258643.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/iran-bagheri-kani-enrique-mora-e1659170258643-300x166.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/iran-bagheri-kani-enrique-mora-e1659170258643-768x424.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/iran-bagheri-kani-enrique-mora-e1659170258643-150x83.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/iran-bagheri-kani-enrique-mora-e1659170258643-696x384.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">On Tuesday, July 26, the European Union\u2019s foreign policy chief announced that he had introduced a new draft text for the re-implementation of the 2015 Iran nuclear deal. An earlier draft had apparently been on the table in Vienna when negotiations among signatories of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action were suspended in March and remained on the table when those negotiations briefly resumed in Doha earlier this month. At both negotiations and in a number of intervening statements, the Iranian regime rejected that draft while demanding additional concessions, primarily from the United States.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">It was not immediately clear what new concessions had been included in the new draft, but they were presented to Tehran and the international community as the last available compromise on outstanding issues. \u201cI have now put on the table a text that addresses, in precise detail, the sanctions lifting as well as the nuclear steps needed to restore the JCPOA,\u201d Josep Borrell said in an <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/e759d274-7dba-4e78-851f-2775972f4c31\" rel=\"noopener\">essay published<\/a> by the Financial Times. He added: \u201cAfter 15 months of intense, constructive negotiations in Vienna and countless interactions with the JCPOA participants and the US, I have concluded that the space for additional significant compromises has been exhausted.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Despite the implication that Tehran cannot hope to squeeze any further concessions out of its negotiating partners, Iran\u2019s lead nuclear negotiator appeared to immediately reject the new draft. \u201cWe, too, have our own ideas, both in substance and form, to conclude the negotiations which would be shared,\u201d Ali Bagheri Kani <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Bagheri_Kani\/status\/1551968995779158019\" rel=\"noopener\">wrote on Twitter<\/a> after confirming the existence of a new draft, but without clarifying whether his negotiating team had actually reviewed it in detail.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">The apparently reflexive dismissal of Borrell\u2019s proposal is further evidence that the Iranian regime has no intention of reviving the JCPOA. This conclusion was presented last week by a number of international media outlets, citing comments from British intelligence chief Richard Moore. Speaking at the Aspen Security Forum, he pointed to the existence of a draft agreement and the absence of blocking measures by Iran\u2019s allies Russia and China, in order to suggest that the nuclear deal would have been revived by now if Tehran were committed to it.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Moore went on to say that the regime\u2019s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei had likely settled upon an alternative strategy for dealing with international pressure on Iran\u2019s nuclear program, though he recognized other Iranian authorities as being hesitant to walk away from it. These dual trends allow Tehran to play for time and keep the negotiations on life support to prevent the automatic re-implementation and potential expansion of European Union sanctions and United Nations Security Council resolutions.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The UN Security Council must apply Chapter 7 of the UN Charter to the mullahs&#39; regime in <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/FreeIran2021?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#FreeIran2021<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/98XIabInwg\">https:\/\/t.co\/98XIabInwg<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/zDoiPp74i9\">pic.twitter.com\/zDoiPp74i9<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Maryam Rajavi (@Maryam_Rajavi) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Maryam_Rajavi\/status\/1414228243822039046?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 11, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">The regime\u2019s Foreign Ministry substantiated this perception of the regime\u2019s approach on Monday when spokesman Nasser Kanani used his weekly press conference to emphasize that Iran\u2019s ruling theocracy would not submit to a \u201crushed process\u201d or make a \u201cquick decision\u201d on the future of the JCPOA. Kanani rejected Western claims that \u201ctime is limited,\u201d calling it \u201cpsychological pressure and unilateral expectations\u201d which aimed to make the regime \u201csacrifice the country&#8217;s fundamental interests.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">But on the same day as that press conference, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/nuclear\/whos-mohammad-eslami-a-totally-irrelevant-choice-or-a-perfect-match\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Mohammad Eslami<\/a>, the head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran, underscored one of the ways in which indefinite delays to the negotiating process promised to benefit Tehran at the expense of Western powers. Furthermore, his statements turned Kanani\u2019s description of the negotiations on their head by conveying a narrative clearly designed to rush the US, Britain, France, and Germany toward capitulation to the regime\u2019s outstanding demands.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">After the regime\u2019s ongoing refusal to cooperate drew formal censure from the International Atomic Energy Agency in June, nuclear facilities in Iran began dismantling surveillance cameras that were meant to aid in the IAEA\u2019s monitoring of the regime\u2019s activities and compliance with the terms of the JCPOA.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">The move resulted in predictable criticism and requests for the regime to reverse course in the wake of the Doha talks. But Eslami dismissed those requests this week and said, \u201cThose cameras are related to the nuclear deal. If Westerners return to this pact and we are certain they will not commit any mischief, we will make a decision on these cameras.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">In this way, Eslami confirmed that the regime planned to maintain a situation that would allow it to accelerate its nuclear activity in relative secrecy, for as long as negotiations with the P5+1 persist. This gives the Iranian regime a clear incentive to draw out those negotiations for as long as possible, especially if its ultimate goal is to minimize the window of time for its \u201cbreakout\u201d to nuclear weapons capability.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">The threat of any further narrowing of that window was underscored last week by <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/middle-east\/khamenei-adviser-says-tehran-capable-building-nuclear-bomb-al-jazeera-2022-07-17\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Kamal Kharrazi<\/a>, the regime\u2019s former foreign minister and senior advisor to Khamenei when he said that it is \u201cno secret\u201d the regime already has the technical ability to build a nuclear weapon.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">He specified that existing nuclear facilities could quickly and easily enrich uranium to weapons grade, having already surpassed the benchmark of 60 percent enrichment.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Many of the regime\u2019s apologists have attempted to mitigate alarmism by saying that Iran would have to separately develop delivery systems for such a weapon before posing a serious threat to the world community. But this, too, is an area in which Iranian authorities have been steadily pursuing relevant advancements while simply denying their intention to apply them to a nuclear weapons program.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Iranian state media recently reported that the country has imminent plans to place another satellite in orbit and that the Revolutionary Guards (IRGC), intends to have a role in the launch. In 2020, the Iranian <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncrius.org\/iran-regimes-new-nuclear-bomb-making-facility-revealed.html\" rel=\"noopener\">Resistance revealed<\/a> that the IRGC had its own space program, and the accompanying rocket launches prompted renewed speculation that satellite deployments provided cover for the development of nuclear-capable intercontinental ballistic missiles.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Given the regime\u2019s aggressive approach and its race toward acquiring a nuclear bomb, it is safe to reject Borrell\u2019s description of the futile nuclear talks with Iran as \u201cconstructive.\u201d The regime has been dragging its feet with the negotiations to pursue its evil objectives. Tehran will continue inching toward both the development of a nuclear warhead and the refinement of a missile capable of carrying it until the threat of a nuclear-armed terrorist regime is no longer avoidable. Would any text and negotiation be effective at that time?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On Tuesday, July 26, the European Union&rsquo;s foreign policy chief announced that he had introduced a new draft text for the re-implementation of the 2015 Iran nuclear deal. An earlier [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":261857,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[17],"tags":[258,1175],"class_list":{"0":"post-261856","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nuclear","8":"tag-iran-sanctions","9":"tag-iran-nuclear"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Would Borrell\u2019s New Draft Save JCPOA, or Buys More Time for Iran\u2019s Regime? - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"On Tuesday, July 26, the European Union\u2019s foreign policy chief announced that he had introduced a new draft text for the re-implementation of the 2015\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/nuclear\/would-borrells-new-draft-save-jcpoa-or-buys-more-time-for-irans-regime\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Would Borrell\u2019s New Draft Save JCPOA, or Buys More Time for Iran\u2019s Regime? 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