{"id":262183,"date":"2022-08-10T10:05:18","date_gmt":"2022-08-10T08:05:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=262183"},"modified":"2023-01-30T18:35:20","modified_gmt":"2023-01-30T17:35:20","slug":"irans-regime-is-testing-western-permissiveness-its-time-for-a-firm-response","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/irans-regime-is-testing-western-permissiveness-its-time-for-a-firm-response\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran\u2019s Regime Is Testing Western Permissiveness; It\u2019s Time for a Firm Response"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_242637\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-242637\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"Free-Iran-2018\" class=\"size-full wp-image-242637\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Free-Iran-2018.jpg\" alt=\"Free-Iran-2018\" width=\"1000\" height=\"562\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Free-Iran-2018.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Free-Iran-2018-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Free-Iran-2018-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Free-Iran-2018-150x84.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Free-Iran-2018-696x391.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-242637\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">File photo: Free Iran gathering in Berlin 2018<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">In August 2021, Iran\u2019s regime Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei selected <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/who-is-ebrahim-raisi-ncr-iran\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Ebrahim Raisi<\/a> as the next president of the Iranian regime. Even before Raisi was formally inaugurated, his influence became apparent in the form of a rising rate of executions and more aggressive crackdowns on domestic dissent. At the same time, the Iranian people\u2019s distaste for his appointment became apparent in the form of new outpourings of that dissent, which challenged Khamenei\u2019s mission of restoring order in the wake of multiple nationwide uprisings.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Now, one year past that inauguration, it is clear that that mission is failing. Food subsidy cuts and preventable disasters sparked large-scale protests in May and June which continue to the present day, in defiance of all the regimes to intimidate the public with mass arrests and the constant operation of prison gallows. What\u2019s more, these and other recurring protests often feature the same anti-government slogans that defined the uprisings at the beginning of 2018 and in November 2019. Among them are calling for \u201cdeath to the dictator\u201d in reference to Khamenei, and since his inauguration a year ago, \u201cdeath to Raisi\u201d.<\/p>\n<div class=\"lyte-wrapper\" title=\"Ebrahim Raisi&rsquo;s failure to fix Iran&rsquo;s economy\" style=\"width:853px;max-width:100%;margin:5px;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_Tiarugci3vc\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FTiarugci3vc%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Tiarugci3vc\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT8M45S\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2022-06-07T11:01:34Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_Tiarugci3vc\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FTiarugci3vc%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">Ebrahim Raisi\u2019s failure to fix Iran\u2019s economy<\/div><\/div><div class=\"play\"><\/div><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/Tiarugci3vc\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FTiarugci3vc%2F0.jpg\" alt=\"Ebrahim Raisi&rsquo;s failure to fix Iran&rsquo;s economy\" width=\"853\" height=\"460\" \/><br \/>Watch this video on YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"Less than a year into Ebrahim Raisi\u2019s presidency, inflation is at a record high. The price of flour, cooking oil, bread, milk, and other basic food items has skyrocketed. Millions of families are struggling to put food on their tables. Anti-regime protests are expanding. In May, intense protests erupted in many cities despite internet blackouts and heavy security measures. At the same time, teachers, bus drivers, pensioners, and other walks of life are regularly protesting in major cities. Today, even regime insiders are criticizing Raisi\u2019s economic policies, despite his being viewed as one of Khamenei\u2019s favorites and his possible successor. In an interview with the state-run Aftab News, former labor minister Ali Sufi said, \u201cNever have I seen the economy in such disarray\u2026 Unfortunately, there\u2019s no stability, everything is in a state of confusion, and every day, the market is moving in an arbitrary direction. The government can\u2019t control anything. \u201cOne of the government\u2019s slogans was that it would not tie the people\u2019s livelihoods to foreign policy\u2026 but we\u2019re now seeing that even currents that are aligned with the government are losing hope and are realizing that the administration is incapacitated.\u201d Sufi: \u201cThe government has no plan and the Majlis (parliament) isn\u2019t following up\u2026 Raisi still doesn\u2019t know what to do as president. Mr. Raisi still hasn\u2019t realized how his ministers and the Majlis communicate.\u201d In his interview, Sufi warned that \u201cGiven the pressure that the people are enduring, they are showing their discontent in different cities and across different walks of life. The government is trying to address the situation passively because it doesn\u2019t know what to do and has no thesis. It can\u2019t respond to the people\u2019s needs.\u201d Sufi is right. Raisi and his cabinet can\u2019t respond to economic needs because they were not selected to run the economy but to deal with another urgent problem that the regime was faced with: The growing discontent among the Iranian people. After four decades of corrupt and tyrannical rule, the mullahs are hard-pressed the maintain their hold on power and contain the explosive state of the society. The regime has been dealing with protest movements that are becoming increasingly frequent and large. In 2019, a nationwide uprising brought the mullahs to the verge of collapse. Khamenei facilitated Raisi\u2019s rise to presidency because of his background in suppression and violence. Raisi was a key player in the massacre of more than 30,000 political prisoners in 1988. He has served in different key positions in the regime, including the head of the judiciary, and has overseen the arrest, torture, and execution of dissidents, activists, and protesters throughout decades. Khamenei thought that Raisi would be able to stand against the growing outrage of the Iranian people. But recent protests show his utter failure in saving his regime. [Insert: Pompeo remarks] While regime officials haggle over how to address problems, the situation is growing more tense in Iran\u2019s cities. Protests that began over the sudden rise in the price of food items quickly turned into political demands with calls for the Raisi and Khamenei to resign and the overthrow of the mullahs\u2019 regime. Security forces opened fire on protesters, killing and injuring several. But the protests continued for more than a week nonetheless, and in several cities, angry protesters raided the headquarters and offices of regime institutions and suppressive security forces. Indeed, the people of Iran know better than anyone else that their problems won\u2019t go away until the mullahs\u2019 regime is overthrown. And this is what they and their resistance movement have vowed to do. *** Content on the PMOI\/MEK&#039;s official YouTube channel is not subject to copyright if the source is mentioned ***\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:853px;margin:5px;\"><\/div><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">With the one-year milestone for the president\u2019s repressive rule now looming, the Iranian regime has apparently recognized the need to expand its strategy for suppressing pro-democracy sentiment. Thus, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.farsnews.ir\/news\/14010505000636\/%D8%B6%D8%B1%D9%88%D8%B1%D8%AA-%D8%A7%D9%82%D8%AF%D8%A7%D9%85-%D9%86%D8%B8%D8%A7%D9%85%DB%8C-%D8%B9%D9%84%DB%8C%D9%87-%D9%81%D8%B1%D9%82%D9%87-%D8%AA%D8%B1%D9%88%D8%B1%DB%8C%D8%B3%D8%AA%DB%8C-%D8%B1%D8%AC%D9%88%DB%8C\" rel=\"noopener\">Fars News<\/a> Agency, an outlet with close ties to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, published an article last week that set its sights on targets far beyond the borders of Iran. \u201cThe Islamic Republic should put military action on the agenda for maintaining international peace and security,\u201d it said before offering the absurd argument that such action would be in line with international law if directed against the exiled dissidents who remain the regime\u2019s arch enemies.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">The call for military action came in the context of a larger screed against the People\u2019s Mojahedin Organization of Iran (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/pmoi-mek\/\" rel=\"noopener\">PMOI\/MEK<\/a>), and its self-built community in Albania, known as Ashraf 3.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">The Fars article also offered an implicit recommendation for terrorist acts against the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/english.mojahedin.org\/a-primer-on-the-history-of-the-peoples-mojahedin-organization-of-iran\/\" rel=\"noopener\">MEK<\/a>, euphemistically referring to them as \u201ccountermeasures\u201d designed to \u201cthreaten\u201d the nations where members reside. But Iranian authorities have already attempted to act upon this recommendation in the past, targeting not just Ashraf 3 but also locations in France, the United States, and elsewhere.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">In 2018, a high-ranking Iranian <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/iran-regime-diplomacy-of-terror\/\" rel=\"noopener\">diplomat<\/a> was arrested in Germany after being identified as the mastermind of a plot to bomb the Free Iran World Summit, an event that was held by the National Council of Resistance of Iran near Paris. The diplomat and his three known co-conspirators were ultimately put on trial in Belgium and handed sentenced to up to 20 years for conspiring to commit terrorism and murder.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Though Iranian activists praised the convictions, they also criticized Western powers for failing to pursue accountability for figures higher in the regime, even though Belgian investigators established that the terrorist diplomat, Assadollah Assadi, had been acting upon orders from the top government officials. The weakness of this approach was underscored recently when the Belgian government revealed it had quietly negotiated a <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-belgium-treaty-prisoners\/\" rel=\"noopener\">treaty<\/a> with Iran that could set the stage for Assadi\u2019s release in a prisoner swap, only four years into his 20-year sentence.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The bill approved by the Foreign Relations Committee of the Parliament of Belgium supports terrorism, and betrays democracy &amp; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/HumanRights?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#HumanRights<\/a>. As the prime victim of terrorism, executions, and massacre, the Iranian Resistance will take action through legal and political avenues.<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Maryam Rajavi (@Maryam_Rajavi) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Maryam_Rajavi\/status\/1544717360774389760?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 6, 2022<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">The mere consideration of that release sends a troubling message to the Iranian regime. It suggests that Belgium and its allies are not committed to accountability even for the direct participants in Iranian terrorist schemes, much less for the regime itself. In light of that message, one has to wonder about the regime\u2019s perception of the potential costs and benefits of launching major attacks on the communities and organizations that provide support from abroad for the ongoing protests that demand regime change and a democratic future for Iran.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">If Tehran has good reason to believe that it will suffer no direct consequences for such attacks, then what reason does it have to resist the impulse? And if potential Iranian operatives know that the regime only needs to take another Western national hostage in order to facilitate their release, then how much can they really be expected to worry about getting caught?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Furthermore, if the regime believes it can essentially get away with terrorist acts and even outright military strikes on Western territory, then what won\u2019t it try to get away with? In the face of what human rights groups have called a \u201chorrifying wave\u201d of executions, and in the wake of brutal crackdowns on dissent like the one that left 1,500 peaceful protesters dead in November 2019, it is perhaps difficult to imagine the regime\u2019s behavior growing worse at home. But then again, the current Iranian regime president was one of the leading perpetrators of a <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/1988-massacre-of-political-prisoners-in-iran\/\" rel=\"noopener\">massacre<\/a> of political prisoners which claimed 30,000 lives in the summer of 1988.<\/p>\n<div class=\"lyte-wrapper\" title=\"Documentary: 1988 massacre of 30,000 political prisoners in Iran and the role of Ebrahim Raisi\" style=\"width:853px;max-width:100%;margin:5px;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_dm3U9Cugvxg\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2Fdm3U9Cugvxg%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/dm3U9Cugvxg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT40M22S\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2022-03-29T20:44:50Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_dm3U9Cugvxg\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2Fdm3U9Cugvxg%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">Documentary: 1988 massacre of 30,000 political prisoners in Iran and the role of Ebrahim Raisi<\/div><\/div><div class=\"play\"><\/div><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/dm3U9Cugvxg\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2Fdm3U9Cugvxg%2F0.jpg\" alt=\"Documentary: 1988 massacre of 30,000 political prisoners in Iran and the role of Ebrahim Raisi\" width=\"853\" height=\"460\" \/><br \/>Watch this video on YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"Within months after the 1979 revolution, Ruhollah Khomeini labeled anyone challenging his rule as \u201ccorrupt\u201d and started an agenda to eliminate all political dissidents. In late July 1988, several political activists held in prisons across Iran suddenly disappeared. They were young men and women, some of whom had been arrested years ago in their teens and imprisoned simply for their political opinions and peaceful activities such as distributing opposition leaflets and attending demonstrations. Most of them were supporters of the People&#039;s Mojahedin Organization of Iran (PMOI\/MEK) Khomeini labeled the MEK as Hypocrites and decreed: If the person at any stage [of the judicial process] maintains his or her support for the MEK, the sentence is execution. Annihilate the enemies of Islam, immediately. In his decree, Khomeini ordered the formation of three-member panels, known as \u201cDeath Commissions\u201d. Each panel included a religious judge, prosecutor, and a representative from the Ministry of Intelligence. Death Commissions were formed in at least 96 cities to put an end to MEK in Iran. Khomeini\u2019s most ardent loyalists were appointed to the commission. They included current president Ebrahim Raisi, who in 1988 was Tehran\u2019s Deputy Prosecutor and ordered the execution of MEK prisoners. For months, victims\u2019 families desperately sought information about their loved ones. They heard nothing but lies from the authorities. Ultimately, they began to learn the devastating truth. Their loved ones had been secretly executed and buried in mass graves. In 2016, an audio file of a secret meeting that was held at the height of the mass killing emerged. In the recording, from August 1988, members of the Tehran Death Commission can be heard discussing the operation with Khomeini\u2019s heir apparent. Khomeini\u2019s successor Hossein Ali Montazeri can be heard criticizing members of the Death Commission including Ebrahim Raisi for carrying out the massacre. Montazeri\u2019s criticism ended with his dismissal by Khomeini as the country\u2019s next Supreme Leader. This crime against humanity has drawn international attention. In September 2020, seven UN Special Rapporteurs wrote a letter to Iranian authorities decrying the 1988 massacre. They reported that between July and September 1988, Iranian authorities forcibly disappeared and extrajudicially executed thousands of imprisoned political dissidents affiliated with political opposition groups in 32 cities in secret and discarded their bodies mostly in unmarked mass graves. In May 2021, more than 150 former UN officials and renowned international human rights and legal experts wrote to UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, calling for an international Commission of Inquiry into the 1988 massacre. But 3 decades on, the perpetrators remain in high positions of power. In July 2019, then-minister of justice and current adviser to the Chief of the Judiciary Mostafa Pourmohammadi, who was a member of the Death Commission in 1988, claimed that the elimination of the MEK must continue based on Khomeini\u2019s fatwa. The perpetrators of the 1988 massacre have never been held accountable. Today they are continuing the clampdown on dissent with impunity. That includes the arrest, torture, and execution of MEK supporters and anti-regime protesters. On June 19, 2021, one of the main perpetrators of the 1988 massacre and a member of the Tehran Death Commission, Ebrahim Raisi, was appointed as the regime\u2019s president. Amnesty International Secretary General Agnes Callamard has said that Ebrahim Raisi should be investigated for crime against humanity instead of taking up the presidency. In 2018, Amnesty International documented how Ebrahim Raisi had been a member of the \u2018death commission\u2019 which forcibly disappeared and extrajudicially executed in secret thousands of political dissidents in Evin and Gohardasht prisons near Tehran in 1988. Music in this video: All by Kevin MacLeod is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 license: Measured Paces https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/ http:\/\/incompetech.com\/music\/royalty-free\/index.html?isrc=USUAN1100164 Loss http:\/\/incompetech.com\/music\/royalty-free\/index.html?isrc=USUAN1100171 Lone Harvest http:\/\/incompetech.com\/music\/royalty-free\/index.html?isrc=USUAN1100409 Laid Back Guitars http:\/\/incompetech.com\/music\/royalty-free\/index.html?isrc=USUAN1100181 Heartbreaking http:\/\/incompetech.com\/music\/royalty-free\/index.html?isrc=USUAN1100208 Earnest http:\/\/incompetech.com\/music\/royalty-free\/index.html?isrc=USUAN1100248 Friday Morning Source: http:\/\/incompetech.com\/music\/royalty-free\/index.html?isrc=USUAN1100224 Artist: http:\/\/incompetech.com\/ Read More: https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/IranNCR\/ https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy Subscribe to NCRI weekly newsletter t.ly\/MybJ\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:853px;margin:5px;\"><\/div><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">It would be almost impossible to overestimate the sorts of atrocities the Iranian regime is capable of, especially if it believes that it will face no real consequences for them. That regime most likely views the past year as an initial test of Western permissiveness. As the Raisi administration enters its second year, we can expect its malign activities to accelerate even further, both at home and abroad, unless American and European leaders promptly recognize the significance of threats like that published in Fars.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">The response to every such threat should be a clear enumeration of the serious consequences Tehran will face in response, in the form of more extensive sanctions, greater diplomatic isolation, political support for the democratic opposition, and crucially, proportional response to any violation of Western nation\u2019s sovereignty and national security.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In August 2021, Iran&rsquo;s regime Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei selected Ebrahim Raisi as the next president of the Iranian regime. Even before Raisi was formally inaugurated, his influence became apparent [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":242637,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[45,284,511,3269],"tags":[197,507],"class_list":{"0":"post-262183","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-news","8":"category-iran-1988-massacre-of-political-prisoners","9":"category-ebrahim-raisi","10":"category-iran-belgium-treaty-prisoners","11":"tag-mek-iran","12":"tag-ebrahim-raisi"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Iran\u2019s Regime Is Testing Western Permissiveness; It\u2019s Time for a Firm Response - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"In August 2021, Iran\u2019s regime Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei selected Ebrahim Raisi as the next president of the Iranian regime. 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