{"id":262410,"date":"2022-08-20T09:36:02","date_gmt":"2022-08-20T07:36:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=262410"},"modified":"2023-01-21T09:18:19","modified_gmt":"2023-01-21T08:18:19","slug":"irans-regime-is-more-vulnerable-than-ever","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/irans-regime-is-more-vulnerable-than-ever\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran&#8217;s Regime Is More Vulnerable Than Ever"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_54633\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-54633\" style=\"width: 1001px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"Iran-Protests-file_photo-e1638957278121\" class=\" wp-image-54633\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/Iran-Protests-file_photo-e1638957278121.jpg\" alt=\"Iran protests, November 2019\" width=\"1001\" height=\"566\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-54633\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">File photo-Iran protests November 2019<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">For more than four decades, Iran\u2019s theocratic dictatorship has justified its rule in part with a narrative that says it is the only viable option for the governance of an Iranian nation. Tehran has also relied on the claim that there is no significant opposition to its rule. Iran\u2019s Ministry of Intelligence and State media has long sought to dismiss the leading pro-democracy Resistance group, the People\u2019s Mojahedin Organization of Iran (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/pmoi-mek\/\" rel=\"noopener\">PMOI\/MEK<\/a>), through a widespread <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/tag\/demonizing-mek\/\" rel=\"noopener\">demonization<\/a> campaign claiming the MEK lacks support inside Iran.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">But the regime provided ample reason to doubt the sincerity of that claim last year when the regime\u2019s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei selected <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/who-is-ebrahim-raisi-ncr-iran\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Ebrahim Raisi<\/a> as the regime\u2019s president.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Previously, Raisi had been one of the major instruments of the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/english.mojahedin.org\/a-primer-on-the-history-of-the-peoples-mojahedin-organization-of-iran\/\" rel=\"noopener\">MEK\u2019s<\/a> so-called destruction, serving as one of four officials on the Tehran \u201c<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/iran-1988-massacre-of-political-prisoners\/iran-1988-massacre-death-commissions\/\" rel=\"noopener\">death commission<\/a>\u201d in 1988, which played the leading role in a <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/1988-massacre-of-political-prisoners-in-iran\/\" rel=\"noopener\">massacre<\/a> of 30,000 political prisoners, mostly affiliated to the MEK. Raisi went on to contribute in other ways to the long-term suppression of dissent, and in 2019, as head of the judiciary, he oversaw key aspects of a crackdown on nationwide protests, which killed an additional 1,500 peaceful activists.<\/p>\n<div class=\"lyte-wrapper\" title=\"Raisi, Butcher of 1988 Massacre in Iran\" style=\"width:853px;max-width:100%;margin:5px;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL__gyE0HgavYY\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2F_gyE0HgavYY%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/_gyE0HgavYY\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT3M38S\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2021-06-30T18:03:24Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte__gyE0HgavYY\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2F_gyE0HgavYY%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">Raisi, Butcher of 1988 Massacre in Iran<\/div><\/div><div class=\"play\"><\/div><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/_gyE0HgavYY\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2F_gyE0HgavYY%2F0.jpg\" alt=\"Raisi, Butcher of 1988 Massacre in Iran\" width=\"853\" height=\"460\" \/><br \/>Watch this video on YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"Raisi butcher of 1988 Massacre in Iran Ebrahim Raisi, A return to darker days or a declaration of character by the theocratic regime? On June 19, Raisi was selected as President in the aftermath of a nationwide boycott of Iran\u2019s sham elections. Who is Raisi, and what does his presidency mean for Iran and the world? Dubbed butcher of 88, Raisi was one of four members of the death commission for Evin and Gohardasht prisons near Tehran during the 1988 massacre of 30,000 political prisoners. Geoffrey Robertson: Late in July 1988 as the war with Iraq was ending, prisons in Iran that were crammed with opponents suddenly went into lockdown. All family visits were canceled, television and radios switched off. Prisoners were kept in their. The only permitted visitation was from a delegation, turbaned and bearded, a religious judge, a public prosecutor, and an intelligence chief. Before them were paraded briefly and individually, almost every prisoner, and there were thousands of them who were being jailed for adherence to the MEK. The delegation had but one question for these young men and women, and although they didn\u2019t know it, on their answer their life would depend. Those who by their answer evinced any continuing affiliation with the MEK were blindfolded and ordered to join a conga line that led straight to the gallows. They were hung from cranes 4 at a time, or in groups of 6, from ropes hanging from the front of the stage of the assembly hall, some were taken to army barracks at night and then shot by firing squad. Their bodies were doused with disinfectant, packed in refrigerator trucks and buried at night in mass graves. Months later their families, desperate for information about their children and partners, would be handed a plastic bag with their few possessions they would be refused any information about the location of the graves, and ordered never to mourn them in public. By mid-August 1988 thousands prisoners had been killed in this manner by the state, without trial, without appeal and utterly without mercy. Montazeri to Raisi, Pour-Mohammadi, Nayyeri and Eshraqi (Senior Members of 1988 Massacre Death Commission): The greatest crime committed under the Islamic Republic, for which history will condemn us, has been committed by you. Your names will in the future be etched in the annals of history as criminals.\u201d From the onset, Raisi has served as interrogator, Prosecutor, and Prosecutor General; serving as Justice Minister since March 2019. On his watch over 500 have been executed and 1500 killed at point-blank on the streets in November 2019 And now, he believes he should be \u201clauded and encouraged\u201d for his brutality It is now on the international community to take a stance The people of Iran have voiced their historic \u2018No\u2019 to the entirety of this regime Will you stand with the Iranian people? \u2022 Recognize the 1988 Massacre of 30,000 political prisoners as a crime against humanity \u2022 End impunity &amp; prosecute perpetrators \u2022 Don\u2019t negotiate with the henchmen of the Iranian people #ProsecuteRaisiNOW\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:853px;margin:5px;\"><\/div><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">His subsequent promotion to the presidency clearly showed the regime\u2019s commitment to more of the same repression. But by specifically promoting someone whose claim to infamy involved brutal, direct confrontation of the MEK, the supreme leader only reinforced the perception of the MEK as a much more significant force than the regime had generally been willing to admit.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Khamenei had been compelled to admit just that more than three years before Raisi was confirmed as the next president. In January 2018, Khamenei delivered a speech against a nationwide anti-government uprising \u2013 the first of several \u2013 in which he said that the MEK had \u201cplanned for months\u201d to facilitate the unrest and promote slogans like \u201cdeath to the dictator.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Those slogans remain in regular circulation even today, and since June 2021, they have been joined by \u201cdeath to Raisi\u201d as a particular expression of defiance in the face of Khamenei\u2019s latest efforts to elevate the regime\u2019s most repressive elements, especially those specifically targeting the MEK. This, in turn, highlights the broad popular embrace of the MEK and its parent coalition, the National Council of Resistance of Iran, as emblems of a viable, democratic alternative to the theocratic dictatorship.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">It should be clear by now that the regime\u2019s repressive strategy of selecting Raisi has failed. Indeed, popular unrest is as vigorous and widespread today as it was before Raisi\u2019s selection.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Although the regime stepped up its repressive activities to project an image of strength, in fact, its vulnerability is displayed. In the current situation, domestic protests have been a nearly constant fact of life in Iran since May, when pre-planned demonstrations by teacher&#8217;s unions segued directly into protests over arbitrary cuts to food subsidies, as well as a deadly building collapse that activists highlighted as an example of the effects of the endemic corruption.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Such activities have no doubt been encouraged by the growth in public awareness of organized opposition, particularly under the banner of the MEK. The MEK has made its presence known through its network of <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/english.mojahedin.org\/tag\/iranian-resistance-units\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Resistance Units<\/a>\u2019 activities. At the beginning of this year, that network was able to claim responsibility for the burning of a newly unveiled statue of the late commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps\u2019 terrorist Quds Force, as well as the taking over the state media broadcast signals, which were used to repeat slogans calling for regime change and to play excerpts of speeches of Massoud and Maryam Rajavi.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">The international community is taking notice of such indicators of the regime\u2019s vulnerability and lack of public support. But there is still work to be done to guide Western policymakers toward a proper understanding of the regime\u2019s true vulnerability and the potential for transformative change.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Of course, many such policymakers have recognized that potential for years, as evidenced by their regular participation in international conferences and rallies organized by the NCRI with the aim of highlighting the gains that its main constituent group has made inside Iranian society. Earlier this month, some of those supporters shared their messages to accompany those provided by 5,000 Resistance Units inside Iran for broadcast at the MEK\u2019s headquarters-in-exile, Ashraf 3, in Albania.<\/p>\n<div class=\"lyte-wrapper\" title=\"MEK Resistance Units send 5000 messages to Free Iran 2022 campaign\" style=\"width:853px;max-width:100%;margin:5px;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_XO0yuCkQsUQ\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FXO0yuCkQsUQ%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/XO0yuCkQsUQ\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT5M43S\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2022-07-29T13:08:24Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_XO0yuCkQsUQ\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FXO0yuCkQsUQ%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">MEK Resistance Units send 5000 messages to Free Iran 2022 campaign<\/div><\/div><div class=\"play\"><\/div><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/XO0yuCkQsUQ\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FXO0yuCkQsUQ%2F0.jpg\" alt=\"MEK Resistance Units send 5000 messages to Free Iran 2022 campaign\" width=\"853\" height=\"460\" \/><br \/>Watch this video on YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"https:\/\/english.mojahedin.org\/article\/mek-resistance-units-and-the-power-of-irans-democratic-alternative\/ As part of the Free Iran 2022 campaign, members of Resistance Units sent 5,000 video messages, supporting the Iranian opposition\u2019s yearly convention and reiterating their resolve to overthrow the theocratic rule of the mullahs in Iran. Messages came from every corner of Iran, and they had a common theme, \u201cWe can and we must,\u201d a slogan that was popularized by Mrs. Maryam Rajavi, the president-elect of the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI). *** Content on the PMOI\/MEK&#039;s official YouTube channel is not subject to copyright if the source is mentioned ***\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:853px;margin:5px;\"><\/div><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Tony Clement, a former government Minister from Canada, said in one such message: \u201cThere is a rising tide of protests\u2026 that encourage the people of Iran to voice their opposition to the regime, and shatters the regime\u2019s air of invincibility and intimidation, which they seek to use to denigrate the morale of people who wish to confront this regime.\u201d<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-conversation=\"none\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">6. Fmr. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Canadian?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Canadian<\/a> Minister <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TonyclementCPC?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@TonyclementCPC<\/a>: I want to salute <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/ResistanceUnits?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#ResistanceUnits<\/a> in <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a> who sacrifice and take risks for themselves. Their resistance will guarantee <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/liberty?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#liberty<\/a> &amp; the downfall of this very terrible regime.<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Westand4FreeIran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Westand4FreeIran<\/a><br \/>\nExcerpts of speech:<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/SG5Y9QOG5e\">pic.twitter.com\/SG5Y9QOG5e<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1555976618723753993?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 6, 2022<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">That strategy has unfortunately been more or less successful over much of the past 43 years, with the regime\u2019s \u201cair of invincibility\u201d even appearing to convince the United States and other powerful Western nations that it would have been futile to actively oppose an entrenched Iranian leadership for which there was supposedly no viable alternative. But during that time, more and more policymakers have come to recognize the NCRI as just such an alternative.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">The requisite overthrow is now closer at hand than ever before, and the Iranian people will certainly be able to reach out and claim it as long as the international community takes no action to appease, legitimize, or otherwise strengthen the clerical regime. Toward that end, all Western nations must finally dispense with any notion that that regime, which has been rocked by four years of virtually continuous protest, is invincible, stable, or an inevitable part of the future politics of the Middle East.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; For more than four decades, Iran&rsquo;s theocratic dictatorship has justified its rule in part with a narrative that says it is the only viable option for the governance of [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":68,"featured_media":54633,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[45,13,9],"tags":[222,254],"class_list":{"0":"post-262410","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-news","8":"category-iran-resistance","9":"category-iran-protests","10":"tag-iranian-resistance","11":"tag-iran-protests-today"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - 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