{"id":268663,"date":"2023-01-07T22:57:37","date_gmt":"2023-01-07T21:57:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=268663"},"modified":"2023-01-28T20:27:39","modified_gmt":"2023-01-28T19:27:39","slug":"irans-economic-bankruptcy-another-aspect-of-khamenei-and-raisis-failure","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/economy\/irans-economic-bankruptcy-another-aspect-of-khamenei-and-raisis-failure\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran\u2019s Economic Bankruptcy, Another Aspect of Khamenei, and Raisi\u2019s Failure\u00a0\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"iran-economy-down-30032021\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-237031\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/iran-economy-down-30032021.jpg\" alt=\"iran-economy-down-30032021\" width=\"1000\" height=\"643\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/iran-economy-down-30032021.jpg 800w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/iran-economy-down-30032021-300x193.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/iran-economy-down-30032021-768x493.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/iran-economy-down-30032021-150x96.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/iran-economy-down-30032021-696x447.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">According to state TV on January 4, the Iranian regime\u2019s parliament allowed Ebrahim Raisi\u2019s government to \u201cSell government bonds worth 200 trillion tomans, to fortify the water and electricity sectors.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Fifty trillion rials of this sum will be allocated to electricity, and 150 trillion rials will be transferred to the Ministry of Energy and Tavanir company. Thus, government-affiliated contractors receive bonds instead of their long-overdue payments.\u00a0 Based on the current dollar exchange rate, Raisi\u2019s administration will sell roughly $500 million worth of government bonds.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">A government bond is a form of bond issued by the administration to support public spending. It includes a commitment to pay periodic interest, aka coupon payments, and to repay value on the maturity rate. This could help a nation with a solid economy to overcome a <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/economy\/report-on-iran-regimes-2022-2023-budget\/\" rel=\"noopener\">budgetary crisis<\/a> temporarily. But this is not the case in Iran under the clerical regime, with its economy in shatters.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Issuing government bonds in a country like Iran with an unstable economy results in default. Since Tehran lacks enough foreign currency and the national currency is highly devalued, the government must borrow funds from the central bank. This means more banknote printing, which would further plunge the rial\u2019s value. It will also increase the country\u2019s liquidity, and due to the exceptionally low production rate, inflation will skyrocket more. <\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Raisi has claimed many times that his government, unlike his predecessor <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/economy\/rouhanis-bogus-claim-and-depth-of-irans-economic-crises\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Hassan Rouhani<\/a>, would not allow banknote printing. But the economic indicators tell differently. The rapid devaluation of the rial alone calls out Raisi\u2019s bogus claims.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">On May 8, 2022, Abdolnasser Hemmati, the former chief of Iran\u2019s Central Bank, aka \u201cking of banknote printing,\u201d said: \u201cRaisi\u2019s government has broken the record of printing bank notes. According to the Central Bank\u2019s statistical report of 2021, Raisi\u2019s government printed 1.4 quadrillion rials, earning them the title of \u2018supreme sultan\u2019 of banknote printing.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">On December 20, Hemmati admitted amid the regime\u2019s infighting that Raisi\u2019s administration has printed 1.2 quadrillion rials of banknotes, three times more than his predecessor in 2020.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"lyte-wrapper\" title=\"Iran&rsquo;s currency (rial) and economy are on the verge of another crisis\" style=\"width:853px;max-width:100%;margin:5px;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_4JmY1IvcCHo\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2F4JmY1IvcCHo%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/4JmY1IvcCHo\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT5M51S\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2022-03-14T14:00:02Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_4JmY1IvcCHo\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2F4JmY1IvcCHo%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">Iran\u2019s currency (rial) and economy are on the verge of another crisis<\/div><\/div><div class=\"play\"><\/div><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/4JmY1IvcCHo\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2F4JmY1IvcCHo%2F0.jpg\" alt=\"Iran&rsquo;s currency (rial) and economy are on the verge of another crisis\" width=\"853\" height=\"460\" \/><br \/>Watch this video on YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"Read more: https:\/\/english.mojahedin.org\/article\/irans-new-monetary-policy-is-setting-the-stage-for-another-disaster\/ After much haggling between the executive and the legislative branches, the Iranian regime\u2019s Majlis (parliament), approved the government\u2019s plan to remove the \u201c42,000-rial dollar\u201d exchange rate, also referred to as the \u201cpreferential currency,\u201d in the budget of the upcoming Persian calendar year (starting on March 20). The decision was met with alarm from state-run media and the regime\u2019s own officials, who are warning that the new monetary policy will have an immediate negative impact on the economy, and reduce the people\u2019s purchasing power, many of whom are already struggling to make ends meet. The plan to restructure the currency policies is surrounded with ambiguities, loose ends, and plenty of space for embezzlement by entities and individuals that have close ties to regime officials. In early 2018, the rial took a sudden plunge, dropping from 42,000 to 50,000 to the U.S. dollar. At the time, the regime opted for a policy of multi-priced currency rating. The official government rate pegged the rial at 42,000 to the dollar, while the free-market rate, adjusted based on supply-and-demand dynamics, continued to plunge and near the 300,000 mark. The regime\u2019s declared policy was to regulate the currency exchange rate to prevent the fluctuation of the prices of fundamental goods and protect the population against economic upheavals. But in effect, the new policy created a black market run by regime-backed entities, which purchased dollars at the government rate to import vital goods but made huge profits by selling them at the free-market rate. Initially, the 42,000-rial dollar was supposed to be allocated to dozens of items. By mid-2018, the list was culled down to 25 items, and eventually further shrunk to only seven items, including basic food items such as oats, wheat, and corn, as well as medicine and medical equipment. But even the prices of those items were not spared from the major fluctuations in the currency exchange rate, and they all saw enormous rises as the country\u2019s economy continued to stall under the corrupt rule of the mullahs. The new monetary policy As Ebrahim Raisi prepared to assume presidency, he declared that his government would drop the 42,000-rial policy, ostensibly to fight corruption. But the regime\u2019s own experts warned that at the current point, the new policy will only cause more economic shocks and create other channels of corruption. The government bundled the new monetary policy in the budget bill for the upcoming year. After much back and forth between the Majlis and the government, lawmakers eventually approved the plan on March 6, with the caveat that the government presents a plan to manage the price of goods that will be affected by the new monetary policy. According to some reports, the removal of the 42,000-rial dollar will save the government &#36;9 billion that was previously spent on subsidizing the import of basic goods. But how will the regime address the economic shock that will entail the new monetary policy? So far, the regime\u2019s plan is to subsidize the price of goods by distributing electronic coupons for affected goods. But given the mafia-run structure of Iran\u2019s economy, with most levers being in the control of the Revolutionary Guards, experts are warning that coupons will eventually create a new black market not much different from that caused by the preferential currency. Regime-backed entities will continue to make profits while the needy will be deprived of the subsidies they need. Another plan being deliberated is the readjustment of government cash handouts. The regime will reportedly remove the higher deciles of the society from the cash handout policy while increasing the handouts to the lower deciles. But this plan faces two major hurdles: First, the plan is missing details on how recipients are qualified, and second, it is not clear how it will be funded, given the major budget deficit that the regime is already facing. The main factor that has delayed the regime\u2019s decision to implement the new monetary policy is the social impact and the implications it can have for the regime. In 2019, the sudden increase of gasoline prices triggered the largest nationwide uprising since the 1979 revolution and pushed the regime to the verge of total collapse. Since then, economic conditions have worsened, and the regime is faced with regular protests that start with economic motives but quickly turn into political protests calling for regime change. At present, regime officials fear that another nationwide economic shock will cause a wave of protests that will be just as intense as the 2019 uprising. *** Content on the PMOI\/MEK&#039;s official YouTube channel is not subject to copyright if the source is mentioned ***\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:853px;margin:5px;\"><\/div><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Bereft of any real economic solution to Iran\u2019s economic crunch, the regime\u2019s supreme leader Ali Khamenei and his madcap sidekick Raisi repeatedly blame all problems on Rouhani and the rival faction.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201cRouhani handed a severely wounded economy to Raisi, with roughly five quadrillion rials of the budget deficit. Raisi\u2019s government now has to pay at least 130 trillion rials per month to cover this deficit. This is in addition to the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.aa.com.tr\/en\/middle-east\/irans-currency-slumps-to-another-all-time-low-amid-unrest\/2772523\" rel=\"noopener\">national currency\u2019s devaluation<\/a>, soaring prices, skyrocketing inflation while sanctions doubled,\u201d Keyhan Daily, Khamenei\u2019s mouthpiece, wrote in this regard on January 6, 2023.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Undoubtedly, as top executive officials of a corrupted regime, Rouhani and all other regime presidents have destroyed the country\u2019s economy. But Raisi has achieved such massive destruction in a year that no one could have done it in a lifetime. According to his Ministry of Labor, \u201cThe poverty line has increased by 50% in a year, surpassing 147 million rials for a family of four.\u201d (Etemad daily, January 2).\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Meanwhile, in September, the state-run Khabaronline <\/span><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.khabaronline.ir\/news\/1685047\/%D8%AE%D8%B7-%D9%81%D9%82%D8%B1-18-%D9%85%DB%8C%D9%84%DB%8C%D9%88%D9%86%DB%8C-%DA%86%D9%82%D8%AF%D8%B1-%D9%88%D8%A7%D9%82%D8%B9%DB%8C%D8%AA-%D8%AF%D8%A7%D8%B1%D8%AF-%D9%85%DB%8C%D8%B2%D8%A7%D9%86-%D8%AE%D8%B7-%D9%81%D9%82%D8%B1-%D8%AF%D8%B1-%D8%B4%D9%87%D8%B1%D8%B3%D8%AA%D8%A7%D9%86-%D9%87%D8%A7\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">website reported<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> that \u201cThe relative poverty line has surpassed 185 million rials.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201cNearly 66 million Iranians live under the poverty line,\u201d the state-run Hamdeli daily reported in December.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The current exchange rate perfectly portrays a financial calamity and the plight of a nation deprived of its wealth, as the latter is squandered by the mullahs. A dollar is equivalent to 400,000 rials. In other words, the value of Iran\u2019s national currency plunged by 60% in a year and a half.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Khamenei and Raisi can only pull the wool over their eyes by trying to blame other administrators. After all, those so-called presidents were appointed by Khamenei.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Economic crisis is the result of corruption &amp; lutting ppl\u2019s assets by the <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a> ian regime that answers ppl with further suppression<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Maryam Rajavi (@Maryam_Rajavi) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Maryam_Rajavi\/status\/637581133769797632?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 29, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The current <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/english.mojahedin.org\/article\/irans-economy-in-ruins\/\" rel=\"noopener\">economic crisis<\/a> will certainly backfire as Iran\u2019s restive society has been rattled by protests. The crisis-riddled regime is sailing too close to the wind. Khamenei opted to consolidate power in his regime by appointing Raisi as president and hand-picking the parliament. But the revolution in the making and the stubborn economic facts on the ground foretell his failure. A social and economic explosion is on the horizon. The question is, when would it happen?<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>According to state TV on January 4, the Iranian regime&rsquo;s parliament allowed Ebrahim Raisi&rsquo;s government to &ldquo;Sell government bonds worth 200 trillion tomans, to fortify the water and electricity sectors.&rdquo;&nbsp;&nbsp; [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":53,"featured_media":237031,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,10],"tags":[130,229],"class_list":{"0":"post-268663","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-iran-protests","8":"category-economy","9":"tag-iran-protests","10":"tag-irans-economy"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is 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