{"id":305026,"date":"2023-03-31T11:37:53","date_gmt":"2023-03-31T10:37:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=305026"},"modified":"2023-05-02T15:34:48","modified_gmt":"2023-05-02T14:34:48","slug":"the-hidden-aspects-of-irans-economic-crisis-and-fluctuating-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/economy\/the-hidden-aspects-of-irans-economic-crisis-and-fluctuating-market\/","title":{"rendered":"The Hidden Aspects of Iran\u2019s Economic Crisis and Fluctuating Market\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" aria-level=\"1\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-302899\" title=\"iran currency crisis\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/iran-currency-crisis.jpg\" alt=\"iran currency crisis\" width=\"1000\" height=\"567\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/iran-currency-crisis.jpg 970w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/iran-currency-crisis-300x170.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/iran-currency-crisis-768x435.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/iran-currency-crisis-150x85.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/iran-currency-crisis-696x395.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The Iranian rial has once again experienced a sharp decline during the first week of the Persian New Year, 1402, which began on March 21. Last week, the rial was being exchanged at 520,000 against the dollar, and this ongoing fluctuation reflects the bleak state of the Iranian economy.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">From January 2023 to March, the dollar rate went from 300,000 rials to 600,000. It dropped to 450,000 a few weeks before Nowruz and once again reached 530,000 rials last week. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/economy\/irans-currency-crisis-a-recipe-for-revolution\/\" rel=\"noopener\">This instability<\/a>, even according to officials and state-affiliated experts, has no economic or financial rationale.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">On February 27, the clerical regime\u2019s president, Ebrahim Raisi, desperately tried to show that he was not aware of the reason behind the market fluctuations. \u201cHow did the dollar exchange rate increase on Mabath [Prophet Muhammad&#8217;s first revelation], when the markets were closed?\u201d he said. <\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Due to the severity of the crisis, some state media outlets and experts acknowledged some aspects of the reality while warning authorities about its social consequences.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">On March 2, the state-run Tasnim News Agency wrote about the \u201chidden aspects\u201d of \u201cdetermining the exchange rate in Iran&#8217;s economy.\u201d \u201cOnly a comprehensive look at all its dimensions can explain the reason for the recent increase in the dollar price, which, due to the complexity and ambiguity of Iran&#8217;s economy, has no clear explanation for it,\u201d Tasnim wrote. <\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Unlike some others who blame the regime\u2019s Central Bank, Mahmoud Jamsaz, a state-affiliated economist, laid the blame on Raisi\u2019s government and the \u201cdefective corrupt structure of the political economy,\u201d adding that the \u201cCentral Bank is just a part of this corrupt cycle.\u201d <\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"lyte-wrapper\" title=\"State-backed credit institutions plundering the Iranian people&rsquo;s wealth\" style=\"width:853px;max-width:100%;margin:5px;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_hjFKUph05Fk\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FhjFKUph05Fk%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/hjFKUph05Fk\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT2M5S\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2019-01-09T08:27:58Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_hjFKUph05Fk\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FhjFKUph05Fk%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">State-backed credit institutions plundering the Iranian people\u2019s wealth<\/div><\/div><div class=\"play\"><\/div><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/hjFKUph05Fk\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FhjFKUph05Fk%2F0.jpg\" alt=\"State-backed credit institutions plundering the Iranian people&rsquo;s wealth\" width=\"853\" height=\"460\" \/><br \/>Watch this video on YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"Iran- State-backed credit and financial institutions are plundering the Iranian people\u2019s wealth. Iran\u2019s credit institutions have dealt severe blows to the country\u2019s economy, as these institutions have seized 25% of the country\u2019s liquidity (over &#36;40 billion). All these credit and finance institutions like Caspian, Arman Vahdat, Thamen al-Hojaj etc. were backed by state-run media organizations and Iran\u2019s Central Bank. The Revolutionary Guards (IRGC), State Security Forces, Basij, and the Judiciary jointly own these institutions. In a large state-run scam, these credit and finance institutions swindled billions of dollars from the Iranian people. Subsequently, the customers of these institutions poured into the streets to protests and reclaim their deposits. The administration of Hassan Rouhani tasked banks to solve the issue, but Iran\u2019s banks were either bankrupt or on the verge of bankruptcy. So the Iranian regime resorted to printing excessive banknotes to refund the people, which led the country towards the increase of inflation and price growth. &#36;4 billion and &#36;2.5 billion worth of banknotes were printed on two separate occasions, and &#36;3.5 billion has been paid to clear the debts of Iranian credit and finance institutions. However, there are still many people who protest in front of such financial and credit institutions demanding the refund of their deposits. According to these figures, an overall &#36;10 billion have been paid to date, which means &#36;125 out of the pocket of every Iranian. The liquidity has increased 25 fold in the past 13 years. This means that the regime has stolen from the people\u2019s wealth in the same proportions. The Iranian regime\u2019s breaths are numbered, and it is trying to solve the problem by resorting to some short-term treatments to postpone its collapse. But as Iranian opposition leader Maryam Rajavi has said, \u201cThe third sign of the inevitable overthrow of the ruling religious fascism is that social tensions and economic crises, especially high prices, unemployment, poverty, and inequality have reached a critical mass. Everyone senses the explosive state of society. And the mullahs can offer neither a solution nor are willing or able to resolve the problems.\u201d\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:853px;margin:5px;\"><\/div><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">On March 9, the state-run <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.asianews.ir\/fa\/newsagency\/13801\" rel=\"noopener\">Asia News<\/a> got closer to the reality, describing the \u201cbudget deficit\u201d of Raisi\u2019s government as \u201cone of the main and effective factors about the country\u2019s exchange rate.\u201d <\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">On March 27, the state-run Rouydad24 wrote about the \u201cSudden increase in the dollar price by the government&#8217;s decision,\u201d acknowledging that \u201cpublic opinion believes that since the government has the largest currency reserves, it plays with the dollar rate, and by increasing it tries to address the liquidity problem or compensate for its budget deficit.\u201d <\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">On February 23, MP Mohammad <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/hammihanonline.ir\/news\/economy\/qymt-dlar-waq-y-nyst\" rel=\"noopener\">Taghi Naghdali said<\/a>, \u201cThis currency rate is not real, and we all know that there is devilry behind it.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">On February 21, Iran&#8217;s state media released a report regarding establishing the &#8220;Center of Gold and Currency Exchange,&#8221; as announced by Mohammad Reza Farzin, the governor of the Central Bank.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The purpose of this center is to determine and disclose the accurate valuation of currencies. Farzin also emphasized that the regime remains committed to the distribution of the &#8220;Nimaee&#8221; currency, or the allocation of dollars to state-affiliated importers at a rate of 280,000 rials.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Besides playing with the exchange market, the clerical regime continues printing banknotes to compensate for its budget deficit. Thus, by increasing liquidity and due to Iran\u2019s low production rate, inflation rises.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">In a nutshell, unlike what the ruling theocracy and its pundits try to imply, it is the regime\u2019s disastrous economic policies, not sanctions, that are causing the rising living costs, skyrocketing prices of consumer goods, inflation hovering around 70%, and more people going under the poverty line. <\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"lyte-wrapper\" title=\"What&rsquo;s behind Iranian regime&rsquo;s pump and dump tactics in the currency market\u061f\" style=\"width:853px;max-width:100%;margin:5px;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_tRybKVol268\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FtRybKVol268%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/tRybKVol268\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT1M\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2023-03-26T16:38:34Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_tRybKVol268\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FtRybKVol268%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">What\u2019s behind Iranian regime\u2019s pump and dump tactics in the currency market\u061f<\/div><\/div><div class=\"play\"><\/div><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/tRybKVol268\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FtRybKVol268%2F0.jpg\" alt=\"What&rsquo;s behind Iranian regime&rsquo;s pump and dump tactics in the currency market\u061f\" width=\"853\" height=\"460\" \/><br \/>Watch this video on YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"Read More: https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/IranNCR\/ https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy Subscribe to NCRI weekly newsletter: https:\/\/bit.ly\/3SMgEla\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:853px;margin:5px;\"><\/div><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">It is worth noting that the lion\u2019s share of Raisi\u2019s budget for 2023-2024 goes to the regime\u2019s oppressive and terrorist apparatus, such as the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/anews\/inside-irans-army-of-terror-and-oppression-revolutionary-guards-irgc\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Revolutionary Guards (IRGC)<\/a>. And this is in addition to these entities\u2019 \u201cunofficial\u201d financial streams. <\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Of course, the regime\u2019s policies and their role in increasing the country\u2019s financial calamity would have severe consequences for the ruling clerics, especially amid a nationwide uprising that has rattled the regime\u2019s foundations.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201cThe early defeat of Raisi\u2019s government and its management shows the system has reached the end of its period of declining efficiency. When the final collapse of the structure will occur depends on many events.\u00a0 But we know that the blade of the scissors is closing on the government from the inside and outside, and one incident is enough to bring the two blades of this scissor together,\u201d Mohsen Ranani, a state-affiliated economist, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.iranintl.com\/en\/202302189156\" rel=\"noopener\">wrote in an open letter<\/a> on February 16.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Iranian rial has once again experienced a sharp decline during the first week of the Persian New Year, 1402, which began on March 21. Last week, the rial was [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":302899,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[229],"class_list":{"0":"post-305026","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-irans-economy"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Hidden Aspects of Iran\u2019s Economic Crisis and Fluctuating Market\u00a0 - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The Iranian rial has once again experienced a sharp decline during the first week of the Persian New Year, 1402, which began on March 21. 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