{"id":319663,"date":"2024-05-20T12:31:54","date_gmt":"2024-05-20T11:31:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=319663"},"modified":"2025-11-04T19:47:25","modified_gmt":"2025-11-04T18:47:25","slug":"editorial-the-aftermath-of-ebrahim-raisis-death-a-turning-point-for-iran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/editorial\/editorial-the-aftermath-of-ebrahim-raisis-death-a-turning-point-for-iran\/","title":{"rendered":"Editorial: The Aftermath of Ebrahim Raisi\u2019s Death: A Turning Point for Iran"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_300932\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-300932\" style=\"width: 986px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-300932\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Iran-Protests-February-7-2023-696x391-1.jpg\" alt=\"Iran Protests February 7 2023 696x391 1\" width=\"986\" height=\"554\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Iran-Protests-February-7-2023-696x391-1.jpg 696w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Iran-Protests-February-7-2023-696x391-1-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Iran-Protests-February-7-2023-696x391-1-150x84.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 986px) 100vw, 986px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-300932\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">File photo-Iran Protests February 7, 2023<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The sudden death of Ebrahim Raisi, the regime\u2019s President, has sent seismic ripples through the nation&#8217;s ruling regime. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/ncri-statements\/iran-khameneis-preferred-presidential-candidate-ebrahim-raisi\/\">Raisi, deeply trusted<\/a> by the regime\u2019s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei due to his key role in the 1988 massacre, was integral to consolidating Khamenei\u2019s power. His demise represents a devastating strategic blow to Khamenei, shaking the very foundations of the regime and evoking memories of the final days of the Shah\u2019s rule.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Mrs. Maryam Rajavi, the President-elect of the NCRI, in response to Raisi\u2019s death, described it as an irreparable <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/ebrahim-raisi\/maryam-rajavi-raisis-death-delivers-strategic-blow-to-khamenei-sparking-crises-and-youth-rebellion-in-iran\/\">strategic blow to Khamenei<\/a> and the regime, notorious for its executions and massacres. She emphasized that this event could ignite a series of crises within the theocratic system, mobilizing rebellious youths and opposition groups into action. Mrs. Rajavi honored the victims of the 1988 massacre, reiterating the NCRI&#8217;s commitment to seeking justice and overthrowing the regime.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Khamenei had meticulously invested in Raisi, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-election\/iran-election-2021-purging-rival-candidates-increases-regimes-infightings\/\">sidelining many influential figures<\/a> within the regime,\u00a0 and centralizing power around Raisi&#8217;s presidency. This strategy was aimed at creating a monolithic power structure to prevent people\u2019s uprising. With Raisi&#8217;s sudden death, Khamenei\u2019s efforts have been undone, intensifying internal divisions and igniting unrest in society.\u00a0 The current state of the regime is a reminiscence of the final phase of the Shah\u2019s dictatorship.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The death of Ebrahim Raisi, the clerical regime\u2019s President represents a monumental and irreparable strategic blow to the mullahs\u2019 Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the entire regime, notorious for its executions and massacres. It will trigger a series of repercussions and crises\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/2XW5a5NQoI\">pic.twitter.com\/2XW5a5NQoI<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Maryam Rajavi (@Maryam_Rajavi) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Maryam_Rajavi\/status\/1792452667257630820?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 20, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">According to Article 131 of the Iranian constitution, &#8220;the first vice president assumes the powers and responsibilities with the approval of the leadership, and a council consisting of the speaker of the parliament, the head of the judiciary, and the first vice president is obliged to arrange for a new president to be elected within a maximum period of 50 days.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">This situation is precisely what Khamenei has tried to avoid for years by engineering elections and eliminating his closest allies. It sets the stage for a fierce power struggle among the regime&#8217;s top ranks. Moreover, this situation not only intensifies internal conflicts but also creates a favorable environment for public protests and uprisings.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Ebrahim Raisi, notorious because of his involvement in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/news\/worldnews\/middleeast\/iran\/1321090\/Khomeini-fatwa-led-to-killing-of-30000-in-Iran.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">1988 massacre of 30,000<\/a> political prisoners, mostly supporters of the PMOI, and 1500 killed during the 2019 uprising, has led to widespread public relief at his death. This event has significantly boosted the morale of the people and the families of the regime\u2019s victims, marking a critical juncture that could catalyze a new wave of protests against the regime. The regime, anticipating this unrest, has mobilized repressive forces to maintain control. However, societal discontent is so profound that it may only be a matter of time before larger and more radical protests erupt, potentially surpassing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/iran-protests-2022-nationwide-uprising\/\">the 2022 uprisings<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Will <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Khamenei?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Khamenei<\/a> See the End of His \u201cPrecious\u201d Raisi Term?<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/8BQXY1AzGR\">https:\/\/t.co\/8BQXY1AzGR<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1539323431275077633?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 21, 2022<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Khamenei now faces a critical decision: he must either retreat from the path he was pursuing with Raisi or double down on his existing strategies of suppression and consolidation of power. The latter path, which he is most likely to take, involves increasing repression, eliminating more regime insiders, escalating terrorism and warmongering in the region, and potentially accelerating nuclear weapons development. This approach may temporarily stave off internal collapse, but it will undoubtedly ignite more uprisings in an already volatile society and ultimately lead to the regime&#8217;s downfall.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Iran stands at a critical juncture. The death of Ebrahim Raisi is more than the loss of a single figure; it symbolizes the regime\u2019s vulnerability and the growing potential for transformative change. The coming weeks and months are likely to witness significant upheavals as the regime grapples with internal power struggles and a reinvigorated opposition. Khamenei\u2019s position as the strategic loser becomes increasingly apparent as he faces the daunting task of maintaining control amidst mounting challenges.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The sudden death of Ebrahim Raisi, the regime&rsquo;s President, has sent seismic ripples through the nation&rsquo;s ruling regime. Raisi, deeply trusted by the regime&rsquo;s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei due to [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":300932,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[61,511],"tags":[507,5480],"class_list":{"0":"post-319663","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-editorial","8":"category-ebrahim-raisi","9":"tag-ebrahim-raisi","10":"tag-ali-khamenei"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Editorial: The Aftermath of Ebrahim Raisi\u2019s Death: A Turning Point for Iran - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The sudden death of Ebrahim Raisi, the regime\u2019s President, has sent seismic ripples through the nation&#039;s ruling regime. 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