{"id":319714,"date":"2024-05-22T10:40:37","date_gmt":"2024-05-22T09:40:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=319714"},"modified":"2025-11-04T19:47:06","modified_gmt":"2025-11-04T18:47:06","slug":"raisis-death-cripples-khameneis-decade-long-project-to-maintain-rule-over-iran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/ebrahim-raisi\/raisis-death-cripples-khameneis-decade-long-project-to-maintain-rule-over-iran\/","title":{"rendered":"Raisi&#8217;s Death Cripples Khamenei&#8217;s Decade-Long Project to Maintain Rule over Iran"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-319715\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-helicopter-raisi-down.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1000\" height=\"562\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-helicopter-raisi-down.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-helicopter-raisi-down-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-helicopter-raisi-down-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-helicopter-raisi-down-747x420.jpg 747w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-helicopter-raisi-down-150x84.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-helicopter-raisi-down-696x391.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><b><i>Three-minute read<\/i><\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">On May 20, following the official announcement of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/ebrahim-raisi\/iran-news-regimes-president-ebrahim-raisi-confirmed-dead-in-helicopter-crash\/\">deaths of Iranian regime<\/a> president Ebrahim Raisi and Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian, along with several other high-ranking officials, Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei swiftly made a public appearance. His aim was to reassure his supporters that the regime&#8217;s stability was not compromised. By outlining a prompt plan to replace the deceased officials, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.isna.ir\/news\/1403023122879\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Khamenei conveyed<\/a> that the regime could move past this loss. This led many Iranian analysts to entertain various conspiracy theories, while Western experts speculated that the incident might have been an inside job orchestrated by the regime or factions within it.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Regardless of what the cause of the incident was, what is undeniable is that Raisi\u2019s death was a big blow to the investments that Khamenei had made over the past years.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Raisi Project<\/span><\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In the Iranian regime, questions often outpace the availability of information. However, the recent history of Iran shows that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/publications\/special-reports\/iran-who-is-ebrahim-raisi\/\">Ebrahim Raisi<\/a> was the central figure in a decade-long project by the Supreme Leader to ensure the regime\u2019s survival through multiple internal and international crises.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Before <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/election\/iran-election-2017-what-you-should-know\/iran-sham-presidential-election-2017-in-12-questions\/\">the 2017 presidential election<\/a>, the regime was bolstering its regional and missile strategies using funds released by the JCPOA (2015 Iran nuclear deal) while secretly developing its nuclear project. Frustrated with the previous parliament and President Hassan Rouhani, Khamenei was determined to use the Guardian Council to install Raisi as president in the 2017 election. Raisi had previously been appointed to a lucrative financial and economic position at <a href=\"https:\/\/iranfocus.com\/economy\/49411-a-look-at-irans-astan-e-qods-e-razavi-foundation\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Astan Quds Razavi<\/a> by Khamenei himself.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Khamenei, having learned from his experiences with previous presidents Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, Mohammad Khatami, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pbs.org\/wgbh\/pages\/frontline\/tehranbureau\/2011\/04\/ahmadinejad-khamenei-reported-at-odds-over-intel-chiefs-resignation.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Mahmoud Ahmadinejad<\/a>, and Hassan Rouhani, needed someone with minimal political weight and a heavy criminal record to avoid challenges to his hegemony and more importantly, to resolve the succession dilemma.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">How <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s Regime Entered Crisis Management Mode After <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Raisi?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Raisi<\/a> Death<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/pRgOQHAt3b\">https:\/\/t.co\/pRgOQHAt3b<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1792918277934694803?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 21, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">When Raisi ran for the 2017 sham presidential election, the National Council of Resistance of Iran, launched a worldwide campaign <a href=\"https:\/\/news.mojahedin.org\/i\/news\/199732\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">exposing Raisi\u2019s criminal past<\/a> as a key member of the Death Commission in the 1988 massacre of political prisoners in Iran. The slogan \u201cNo to the charlatan and no to the executioner\u201d resonated across Iran. Hassan Rouhani also leveraged this in his campaign, openly criticizing Raisi\u2019s record as \u201csomeone who knows nothing but to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aparat.com\/v\/3zOVY\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">deal with prisons and executions.\u201d<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In 2023, a documentary filmmaker linked to the regime\u2019s intelligence services <a href=\"https:\/\/www.etemadonline.com\/%D8%A8%D8%AE%D8%B4-%D8%B3%DB%8C%D8%A7%D8%B3%DB%8C-9\/623136-%D8%AC%D9%88%D8%A7%D8%AF-%D9%85%D9%88%DA%AF%D9%88%DB%8C%DB%8C-%D8%A7%D8%B9%D8%AF%D8%A7%D9%85-%D8%AF%D9%87%D9%87-%D8%B4%D8%B5%D8%AA-%D8%B3%D8%A7%D8%B2%D9%85%D8%A7%D9%86-%D9%85%D8%AC%D8%A7%D9%87%D8%AF%DB%8C%D9%86-%D8%AE%D9%84%D9%82-%D9%85%D8%B1%D8%B5%D8%A7%D8%AF-%D8%A2%D8%A8%D8%A7%D9%86-%D8%A7%D8%B9%D8%AA%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%B6%D8%A7%D8%AA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">acknowledged that the 2017 election&#8217;s<\/a> primary issue was the 1988 executions.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The December 2017 uprising surprised Khamenei, <a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/JwZyMGgZf8c\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">with the slogan<\/a> \u201cReformists, principlists, the game is over\u201d signaling that the guise of reformism had expired and that consolidation was the only way left for regime survival.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Elevating Raisi\u2019s Profile<\/span><\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">With Khamenei\u2019s decree, Sadeq Amoli Larijani was sidelined, and on March 7, 2019, Raisi replaced him as head of the Judiciary. As Chief Justice, Raisi played a key role in suppressing and executing dissidents. To bolster Raisi\u2019s profile, the regime arrested and tried some officials, like Larijani\u2019s deputy Akbar Tabari, on corruption charges, branding Raisi as a \u201cchampion against corruption.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/idUSKBN1YR0QO\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">November 2019 uprising<\/a> further echoed the imminent threat of regime overthrow, prompting Khamenei to intensify his consolidation efforts. During the February\u00a0 2020 sham parliamentary elections, the Guardian Council purged those MPs who branded themselves as \u201creformists\u201d and \u201cmoderates,\u201d dubbing the eleventh Majlis as the \u201crevolutionary parliament.\u201d Newspapers affiliated with sidelined factions run headlines, highlighting \u201cthe lowest turnout in the Islamic Republic\u2019s history,\u201d acknowledging widespread boycott for the first time.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Khamenei\u2019s Circle and the Complex Incoherent World of Iran\u2019s Power Strain<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/WZ6tJu2TdG\">https:\/\/t.co\/WZ6tJu2TdG<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1654605639463874561?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 5, 2023<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">On June 18, 2021, Khamenei paid a hefty price to make Raisi the winner of the sham presidential elections, disqualifying even close allies like Ali Larijani, and making numerous enemies within the regime. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-election\/khamenei-set-to-suffer-significant-defeat-in-upcoming-sham-elections-in-iran\/\">March 1 elections<\/a> saw Khamenei again purging the parliament of any opposition to Raisi\u2019s policies. The purge extended to schools, universities, and government offices.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Raisi\u2019s Death: A Blow to Khamenei\u2019s Plan<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For the last three years, Ebrahim Raisi and Hossein Amir-Abdollahian were advancing the Supreme Leader\u2019s agenda both domestically and internationally. Raisi was the front-runner for the presidency of the Assembly of Experts that resumed on May 21, set to play a crucial role in Khamenei\u2019s succession.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Fearful of another revolution, Khamenei needed key figures who could ruthlessly suppress internal dissent and conduct external terrorism without hesitation. With Tehran&#8217;s involvement in the Gaza crisis and other international conflicts such as those in Ukraine, Sudan, and Latin America, Khamenei cannot afford an administration that might compromise or negotiate away what he considers the regime&#8217;s leverage of power. For those who thought Khamenei might change his approach after Raisi&#8217;s death, the appointment of the 93-year-old super-extremist cleric <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/anews\/who-is-who\/who-is-movahedi-kermani-iranian-regimes-pick-to-lead-assembly-of-experts-amid-survival-and-succession-crises\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Ali Movahedi-Kermani<\/a> as the speaker of the Assembly of Experts sent a clear message: Khamenei may have lost his main pawn, but not his survival instinct.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three-minute read On May 20, following the official announcement of the deaths of Iranian regime president Ebrahim Raisi and Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian, along with several other high-ranking officials, Supreme [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":69,"featured_media":319715,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[511],"tags":[507,5480],"class_list":{"0":"post-319714","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-ebrahim-raisi","8":"tag-ebrahim-raisi","9":"tag-ali-khamenei"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Raisi&#039;s Death Cripples Khamenei&#039;s Decade-Long Project to Maintain Rule over Iran - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Three-minute read On May 20, following the official announcement of the deaths of Iranian regime president Ebrahim Raisi and Foreign Minister Hossein\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link 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