{"id":325330,"date":"2024-10-27T13:33:05","date_gmt":"2024-10-27T12:33:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=325330"},"modified":"2024-10-27T13:33:05","modified_gmt":"2024-10-27T12:33:05","slug":"contradictory-statements-expose-irans-regime-fueling-price-speculations-amid-fear-of-social-unrest","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/economy\/contradictory-statements-expose-irans-regime-fueling-price-speculations-amid-fear-of-social-unrest\/","title":{"rendered":"Contradictory Statements Expose Iran\u2019s Regime Fueling Price Speculations Amid Fear of Social Unrest\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-318278\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/fuel-queue-iran-tehran-13042024.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1000\" height=\"562\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/fuel-queue-iran-tehran-13042024.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/fuel-queue-iran-tehran-13042024-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/fuel-queue-iran-tehran-13042024-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/fuel-queue-iran-tehran-13042024-747x420.jpg 747w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/fuel-queue-iran-tehran-13042024-150x84.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/fuel-queue-iran-tehran-13042024-696x391.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><b><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Three-minute read<\/span><\/i><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Iran\u2019s clerical regime faces mounting economic challenges with a growing budget deficit, compounded by costly regional interventions and dwindling domestic resources. In an attempt to address these shortfalls, authorities have leaned towards raising the prices of essential goods, particularly fuel, sparking fears among citizens that the state may once again shift its fiscal burdens onto the public. Yet, even as officials float the prospect of price hikes, contradictory statements from within the regime reveal a struggle with internal uncertainty and anxiety over how such measures could trigger unrest reminiscent of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/iran-protests-2019\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the 2019 protests<\/a>.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Hossein Raghfar, an economist linked to the regime, directly associated Iran\u2019s economic strain with its heavy regional spending, stating, \u201cThe budget has surged abnormally, and the government lacks sufficient resources, especially now that the region faces crises in Lebanon and Palestine. The country\u2019s foreign currency expenditures have increased sharply, and the government does not have sufficient resources. As a result, it resorts to increasing the price of currency and energy carriers, including gasoline.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">During his introduction of the budget bill, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.asriran.com\/fa\/news\/1008108\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Masoud Pezeshkian highlighted<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> the pressing need for energy subsidy reforms, citing a marked rise in gasoline consumption without a corresponding increase in population or national income. \u201cOne of the current challenges is the reform of energy subsidies,\u201d he explained, noting that gasoline consumption this year has risen by approximately 40% compared to 2019. This spike has placed additional strain on national resources, given the substantial costs associated with producing and importing gasoline. Pezeshkian underscored that domestic production costs around 8,000 tomans per liter, while imports cost as much as 30,000\u201340,000 tomans per liter\u2014a discrepancy he argues must be addressed to stabilize the economy.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Behbahan, southwest <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a><br \/>Protesting the recent gasoline price hike, locals are seen torching the regime&#39;s Bank Melli branch &amp; clashing with security forces.<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/IranProtests?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#IranProtests<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/mmr5iwjmH7\">pic.twitter.com\/mmr5iwjmH7<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; People&#39;s Mojahedin Organization of Iran (PMOI\/MEK) (@Mojahedineng) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Mojahedineng\/status\/1195651715451613184?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 16, 2019<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">At the same time, Iranian officials have sought to ease public concern, attempting to reassure citizens that any price increases will come with due notice. <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tabnak.ir\/fa\/news\/1267430\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Fatemeh Mohajerani<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, the spokesperson of Masoud Pezeshkian\u2019s government, asserted that \u201cpeople will not be surprised by gasoline price hikes,\u201d promising that any decision to increase prices would be shared with the public beforehand.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Yet critics argue that advance notice does little to ease the financial impact. A recent column <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/cdn.sharghdaily.com\/servev2\/RQiCv4XXZuqo\/i1kub06DEUw,\/01.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">in Shargh newspaper questioned<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, \u201cDoes informing the public a month ahead change the burden of high costs? Past administrations raised gasoline prices suddenly, but what good is it if people know a month in advance?\u201d\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Further complicating matters, officials have not clarified which price rate they might adopt for fuel, contributing to public confusion. Reflecting the ongoing ambiguity, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.siasatrooz.ir\/fa\/editorial\/131096\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Siasat-e Rooz<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, a regime-aligned newspaper, cautioned that \u201cthe public will not tolerate gasoline price increases at any rate.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Conflicting statements regarding future fuel prices continue to surface. While Pezeshkian emphasized the need for subsidy reforms due to a 40% surge in consumption, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tala.ir\/news\/detail\/178093\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Ali Asghar Nakhai<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, a parliamentary member, insisted that \u201cpeople should not worry about gasoline price increases, as this will not happen by the end of the year.\u201d Yet regime sources indicate that although the 1404 budget does not formally include a fuel hike, inflationary pressures make such an increase likely.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">1)<br \/>Iran: 2019 Uprising, What Are the <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a> Protests of 2019?<br \/>A comprehensive report about November 2019 uprising<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/WeStand4FreeIran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#WeStand4FreeIran<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/wRSfHmwPmp\">https:\/\/t.co\/wRSfHmwPmp<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/xmiQ7z71c0\">pic.twitter.com\/xmiQ7z71c0<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1322930957788286976?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 1, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Meanwhile, prices of essential goods, including sugar, grains, and beans, have surged by 30\u201340% since the start of the year. <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/7sobh.com\/%D8%A8%D8%AE%D8%B4-%D8%A7%D9%82%D8%AA%D8%B5%D8%A7%D8%AF%DB%8C-31\/568293-%D8%A7%D9%81%D8%B2%D8%A7%DB%8C%D8%B4-%D9%82%DB%8C%D9%85%D8%AA-%D8%A8%D9%86%D8%B2%DB%8C%D9%86-%D8%AF%D8%B1-%D8%A8%D9%88%D8%AF%D8%AC%D9%87-%D9%86%DB%8C%D8%A7%D9%85%D8%AF%D9%87-%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%AA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Hossein Samsami<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, another parliamentary official, attributed this inflation to the reduction of subsidized currency allocations, saying it \u201chas impacted the people\u2019s tables directly.\u201d He further acknowledged that while the budget does not explicitly call for a fuel price increase, inflationary pressures and revenue needs make it likely.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">In a further attempt to calm public concerns, budget spokesperson <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.iranjib.ir\/shownews\/126059\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Mojgan Khanlou claimed<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> that Pezeshkian\u2019s recent reference to an 8,000-toman gasoline price was not a set figure but an illustration of the difference between production costs and current prices. \u201cThe president\u2019s statement was to highlight the significant gap between the real cost of gasoline and the sale price, not to imply that the 1404 budget includes this rate,\u201d she stated.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">For many Iranians, however, the conflicting government messages around fuel pricing reflect a deeper turmoil within the regime as it struggles to balance its finances and manage public discontent. The discordant voices among state officials indicate not only economic hardship but also an underlying fear of renewed unrest.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">After nearly half a century of clerical rule, Iranians have witnessed time and again how the regime attempts to deflect blame and obscure the roots of each crisis. As a result, they have grown increasingly skeptical of official rhetoric, seeing through what many perceive as empty assurances. Instead, they reserve their anger, channeling it toward an ever-present tension, ready to erupt in a volatile moment when grievances can no longer be contained.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three-minute read&nbsp; Iran&rsquo;s clerical regime faces mounting economic challenges with a growing budget deficit, compounded by costly regional interventions and dwindling domestic resources. In an attempt to address these shortfalls, [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":53,"featured_media":318278,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,10],"tags":[130,269],"class_list":{"0":"post-325330","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-iran-protests","8":"category-economy","9":"tag-iran-protests","10":"tag-iran-economy"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Contradictory Statements Expose Iran\u2019s Regime Fueling Price Speculations Amid Fear of Social Unrest\u00a0 - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Three-minute read\u00a0 Iran\u2019s clerical regime faces mounting economic challenges with a growing budget deficit, compounded by costly regional interventions\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" 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