{"id":325332,"date":"2024-10-27T18:30:13","date_gmt":"2024-10-27T17:30:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=325332"},"modified":"2024-10-27T18:45:14","modified_gmt":"2024-10-27T17:45:14","slug":"internal-power-struggle-in-iran-reveals-cracks-in-khameneis-regional-strategy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/terrorism-a-fundamentalism\/internal-power-struggle-in-iran-reveals-cracks-in-khameneis-regional-strategy\/","title":{"rendered":"Internal Power Struggle in Iran Reveals Cracks in Khamenei\u2019s Regional Strategy"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_325333\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-325333\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-325333\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Qasem_Soleimani_funeral_2020.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1000\" height=\"565\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Qasem_Soleimani_funeral_2020.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Qasem_Soleimani_funeral_2020-300x170.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Qasem_Soleimani_funeral_2020-768x434.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Qasem_Soleimani_funeral_2020-743x420.jpg 743w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Qasem_Soleimani_funeral_2020-150x85.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Qasem_Soleimani_funeral_2020-696x393.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-325333\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Iranian state officials from various factions gathered to mourn the slain IRGC Quds Force commander Qassem Soleimani in Tehran- January 6, 2020<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><b><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Three-minute read<\/span><\/i><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">As Iran faces escalating regional tensions and the prospect of strategic failure, top officials in the clerical regime are showing signs of deep worry over potential social backlash. Once united in projecting external enemies as existential threats to rally domestic support, Iran\u2019s ruling elite now find themselves divided, with some acknowledging the limits of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei\u2019s regional ambitions and others clinging to his aggressive policies.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">On Saturday morning, October 26, amid an Israeli airstrike on military targets in Iran, the IRGC Intelligence Organization&#8217;s Center for Combatting Organized Crime, known as &#8220;<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.jahannews.com\/news\/902437\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Gerdab,&#8221; issued a statement<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, labeling &#8220;any transmission of images or news&#8221; to &#8220;hostile media or outlets affiliated with the Zionist regime&#8221; as a &#8220;crime.&#8221; The statement further warned that, according to the law, &#8220;any individual or group cooperating in any way with hostile foreign governments against the Islamic Republic of Iran will, if not deemed an enemy combatant, be sentenced to one to ten years in prison.&#8221;\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mashreghnews.ir\/news\/1654576\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Ali Larijani<\/a>, a former Speaker of Parliament and adviser to Khamenei often labeled a \u201cmoderate\u201d by some Western analysts, recently turned against those within the government who are calling for a retreat from Khamenei\u2019s regional strategy. He framed the regime\u2019s regional presence as essential to \u201cnational security,\u201d stating on October 20, \u201cSome say if Hamas had not acted, this crisis would not have escalated so drastically. But in the current circumstances, it\u2019s impossible to provide a precise answer to that question. It takes time.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">More Signs of <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s Regional Strategy Collapse Emerge as <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Lebanon?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Lebanon<\/a> Pushes Back<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/FpMuRXmaN8\">https:\/\/t.co\/FpMuRXmaN8<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1847563343219052773?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 19, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mashreghnews.ir\/news\/1654576\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Larijani argued further<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, \u201cGiven that Arab nations in the region had already submitted to Israel, it was the responsibility of Islamic Republic officials to act decisively to defend national security and to put the defiant Israel in its place. Some question why Iran supports the Resistance, saying it fuels enmity with Israel. But as I\u2019ve stated, this issue is tied to our national security and interests.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">On October 25, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.isna.ir\/news\/1403080402656\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Ahmad Alamolhoda<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, Khamenei-appointed Friday prayer leader in Mashhad, warned against what he called \u201cinfiltrators\u201d into Iran\u2019s administrative ranks, thereby undermining the Supreme Leader\u2019s directive to \u201cprevent the revolution from falling into unworthy hands.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">He cautioned that some misuse \u201cnational unity\u201d to promote ideas like negotiating with the U.S. and compromising the regime\u2019s proxy warfare. \u201cThey dilute the discourse of resistance under the guise of unity, suggesting that submission to America aligns with national unity. Instead, we must stand firm in the resistance strategy central to our national interests.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Meanwhile, cleric <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/iranian-regime-infighting\/iran-news-state-media-broadcast-reveals-regimes-desperation-amid-mounting-pressures\/\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Masoud Ali<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, a close associate of Khamenei, issued a public rebuke of internal critics of the regime, calling on the judiciary to prosecute dissidents with wartime urgency: \u201cWe\u2019re at war; they should be tried like during wartime.\u201d He condemned those questioning the regional strategy, calling some \u201cignorant if not traitors.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Khamenei?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Khamenei<\/a>\u2019s Friday Prayer Sermon Exposes <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iranian?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iranian<\/a> Regime\u2019s Fears of Regional Strategy Collapse<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/N4iMAAbqXp\">https:\/\/t.co\/N4iMAAbqXp<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1842248319260901826?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 4, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Referring to a statement from the \u201cAssembly of Scholars and Researchers of Qom\u201d that criticized the costs of the regime\u2019s interventions, Ali railed against \u201ca handful of washed-up political figures,\u201d accusing them of appeasement and saying, \u201cThis shameful statement asked why the people are burdened with these costs.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Ali also highlighted the infighting and personal attacks within the military ranks, adding, \u201cAfter Ismail Haniyeh\u2019s assassination, there was a two-month delay in our response. During that period, the media and others publicly accused IRGC commanders \u2014 General Baqeri, General Salami, General Hajizadeh \u2014 of \u2018political impotence,\u2019 calling them, frankly, \u2018politically impotent.\u2019 Such mistrust has taken hold. Should it be this way?\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Adding to the internal divisions, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hawzahnews.com\/news\/1195747\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Alireza Erafi<\/a>, head of the regime\u2019s seminaries and Deputy Chair of the Assembly of Experts, criticized the Qom scholars\u2019 call for de-escalation. Speaking on state television on October 24, he dismissed the two-state solution as \u201cunacceptable on any level and a severe strategic error,\u201d insisting that \u201cwe are at a historic juncture requiring vigilance, wise decisions, and firm steps against the enemies who seek to bring the Islamic world to its knees.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Behind Regional Aggression, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a> Conceals an Underlying Internal Peril<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/EktfmSNhGL\">https:\/\/t.co\/EktfmSNhGL<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1752281525549187507?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 30, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Over the past four decades, all factions within the clerical dictatorship have consistently allied around its regional strategy, with key figures often posing for photo-ops alongside Tehran-backed militia commanders and the late Quds Force leader, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/terrorism-a-fundamentalism\/who-was-the-vicious-criminal-qassem-soleimani\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Qassem Soleimani<\/a>. Unlike the 2022 protests, when former presidents, parliament speakers, and other high-ranking officials refrained from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/editorial\/which-will-end-first-iran-protests-or-the-ruling-theocracy\/\">publicly supporting Khamenei<\/a>, the aftermath of the October 7, 2023, attacks saw regime leaders unanimously endorse the so-called \u201cAxis of Resistance\u201d and Khamenei\u2019s regional ambitions.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Now, as Khamenei and his inner circle double down on their regional strategy, this approach has become yet another source of division and discord in Tehran, compounding the regime\u2019s existing economic and social crises. The clerical regime is at its weakest point in decades, making this a pivotal moment for applying maximum pressure.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three-minute read&nbsp; As Iran faces escalating regional tensions and the prospect of strategic failure, top officials in the clerical regime are showing signs of deep worry over potential social backlash. [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":69,"featured_media":325333,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[19,5450],"tags":[287],"class_list":["post-325332","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-terrorism-a-fundamentalism","category-iranian-regime-infighting","tag-iran-terrorism"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Internal Power Struggle in Iran Reveals Cracks in Khamenei\u2019s Regional Strategy - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Three-minute read\u00a0 As Iran faces escalating regional tensions and the prospect of strategic failure, top officials in the clerical regime are showing\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link 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