{"id":325495,"date":"2024-11-03T12:18:24","date_gmt":"2024-11-03T11:18:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=325495"},"modified":"2024-11-03T12:20:50","modified_gmt":"2024-11-03T11:20:50","slug":"irans-middle-class-plunges-deeper-into-poverty-amid-soaring-inflation-and-economic-stagnation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/economy\/irans-middle-class-plunges-deeper-into-poverty-amid-soaring-inflation-and-economic-stagnation\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran\u2019s Middle Class Plunges Deeper into Poverty Amid Soaring Inflation and Economic Stagnation"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_261430\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-261430\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-261430 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Tehran-population2-e1730632420822.jpg\" alt=\"Tehran-population2\" width=\"1000\" height=\"545\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Tehran-population2-e1730632420822.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Tehran-population2-e1730632420822-300x164.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Tehran-population2-e1730632420822-768x419.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Tehran-population2-e1730632420822-150x82.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Tehran-population2-e1730632420822-696x379.jpg 696w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Tehran-population2-e1730632420822-771x420.jpg 771w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-261430\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">A crowded street in Tehran, Iran&#8217;s capital<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><b><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Three-minute read<\/span><\/i><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Recent reports highlight a severe economic crisis in Iran, where millions of middle-class citizens have slipped below the poverty line due to accelerating inflation and deepening financial turmoil. Earlier this year, the Parliamentary <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.toseeirani.ir\/%D8%A8%D8%AE%D8%B4-%D8%AF%D8%B3%D8%AA%D8%B1%D9%86%D8%AC-13\/64682-%D8%A7%D9%81%D8%B2%D8%A7%DB%8C%D8%B4-%D8%AF%D8%B1%D8%B5%D8%AF%DB%8C-%D8%AE%D8%B7-%D9%81%D9%82%D8%B1-%D8%AF%D8%B1-%D8%B3%D8%A7%D9%84\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Research Center revealed<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> that the poverty line surged by 68% in 2023 compared to the previous year, making it increasingly difficult for families to afford even basic necessities and maintain a sufficient level of daily caloric intake.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">On November 3, the U.S. dollar <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bonbast.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">crossed the 70,000 toman<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> mark in Tehran&#8217;s foreign exchange market, reaching 70,200 toman. This significant devaluation has further strained purchasing power and escalated prices for essential goods. Economic analysts have noted that \u201cthe government\u2019s policy in the currency sector and budget planning will not allow stabilization or a decrease in the exchange rate,\u201d underscoring the limited capacity for intervention in the current crisis. Minimum monthly living expenses for an average family have <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/dolatebahar.ir\/news\/102529\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">surged to 36 million tomans<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, while the average monthly income remains at only <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.asriran.com\/fa\/news\/1004348\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">10.89 million tomans<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Adding to the financial pressure, a significant hike in gasoline prices is anticipated for 2025. <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ilna.ir\/%D8%A8%D8%AE%D8%B4-%D8%A7%D9%82%D8%AA%D8%B5%D8%A7%D8%AF%DB%8C-4\/1551094-%D8%A8%D9%86%D8%B2%DB%8C%D9%86-%D8%A8%D9%87-%D8%A7%D8%AD%D8%AA%D9%85%D8%A7%D9%84-%D8%B2%DB%8C%D8%A7%D8%AF-%D8%B3%D8%A7%D9%84-%D8%A2%DB%8C%D9%86%D8%AF%D9%87-%DA%AF%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%86-%D9%85%DB%8C-%D8%B4%D9%88%D8%AF-%D8%A8%D9%87-%D9%85%D8%B1%D8%AF%D9%85-%D8%AF%D8%B1%D9%88%D8%BA-%D9%86%DA%AF%D9%88%DB%8C%DB%8C%D9%85\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Mehrdad Lahouti<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, Vice President of the Budget and Planning Commission, highlighted the implications, stating, \u201cThis year, 90 trillion tomans were allocated for gasoline imports, but for next year, only 65 trillion tomans have been budgeted.\u201d Lahouti explained the obvious outcome: \u201cThis clearly means that the government is likely planning to raise gasoline prices next year.\u201d He also acknowledged that these decisions are made elsewhere and not solely within the purview of parliament, saying, \u201cDecisions on these matters are made in other places, and 80% of the power in this regard has been transferred elsewhere.\u201d The public remains largely unaware of how fuel prices will be determined, adding uncertainty and concern.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a> News: <br \/>Economy Plunges as Rial Hits Record Low and <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/StockMarket?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#StockMarket<\/a> Suffers Sharp Decline<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/7o6WlZsO10\">https:\/\/t.co\/7o6WlZsO10<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1848052812476830089?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 20, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The clerical regime in Iran has a fraught history with sudden increases in fuel prices, with <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/iran-protests-2019\/\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">the 2019 protests<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> serving as a stark reminder. That November, an abrupt spike in gasoline prices sparked protests across at least 190 cities, which were met with a severe crackdown. The government shut down internet access nationwide to suppress the spread of information, and reports indicate that more <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/world\/special-report-irans-leader-ordered-crackdown-on-unrest-do-whatever-it-take-idUSKBN1YR0QO\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">than 1,500 people were killed<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> during the unrest.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">State-affiliated economist Mohsen Rannani has cast doubt on the ability of any economic solutions to effectively address the current crisis. \u201cThe Iranian economy has reached a point where no economic solution is effective anymore,\u201d <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/st.renani.net\/renani-lecture\/renani-lecture(22).pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">he asserted<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, comparing the economy to \u201can industrial town mired in political and financial instability.\u201d Despite incentives, this environment discourages investment and hinders growth. Rannani emphasized that trust between the government and citizens is essential for recovery: \u201cIf the people do not trust the government, they will not follow any prescribed solutions.\u201d He further pointed out that the current administration has failed to make significant strides toward economic recovery, saying, \u201cThe doctor has changed, but that does not mean the patient is healed.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The ongoing crisis has led to significant shifts in consumer behavior, especially in food consumption. Reports indicate that high-quality protein sources like meat and dairy are being excluded from many families&#8217; diets due to soaring prices. The annual per capita meat consumption in Iran is now estimated to be <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/donya-e-eqtesad.com\/%D8%A8%D8%AE%D8%B4-%D8%B5%D9%86%D8%A7%DB%8C%D8%B9-%D8%BA%D8%B0%D8%A7%DB%8C%DB%8C-95\/4052523-%D8%B3%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%86%D9%87-%D9%85%D8%B5%D8%B1%D9%81-%DA%AF%D9%88%D8%B4%D8%AA-%D9%82%D8%B1%D9%85%D8%B2-%D8%AF%D9%88-%D8%A8%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%A8%D8%B1-%D9%85%D9%82%D8%AF%D8%A7%D8%B1-%D8%A7%D8%B9%D9%84%D8%A7%D9%85%DB%8C-%D9%85%D8%B1%DA%A9%D8%B2-%D8%A2%D9%85%D8%A7%D8%B1#:~:text=%D8%AF%D9%86%DB%8C%D8%A7%DB%8C%20%D8%A7%D9%82%D8%AA%D8%B5%D8%A7%D8%AF%20%3A%20%D9%85%D8%B1%DA%A9%D8%B2%20%D8%A2%D9%85%D8%A7%D8%B1%20%D8%A7%DB%8C%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%86,%D9%82%D8%B1%D9%85%D8%B2%20%D8%AD%D8%AF%D9%88%D8%AF%20%DB%B1%DB%B1%20%DA%A9%DB%8C%D9%84%D9%88%DA%AF%D8%B1%D9%85%20%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%AA.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">as low as 6 kilograms<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, starkly lower than the 67 kilograms in Kuwait and 62 kilograms in the UAE. In war-torn Iraq, meat consumption is more than <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.statista.com\/outlook\/cmo\/food\/meat\/iraq\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">two times higher<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> than in Iran. The decline in dairy consumption is similarly concerning, with per capita intake below <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mehrnews.com\/news\/6124782\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">70 kilograms annually<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, far less than the global standard of 150\u2013160 kilograms. This marks a substantial decrease from 2010 when average consumption ranged between 100 and 130 kilograms.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Rannani further criticized the lack of a conducive environment for rational economic decision-making, saying, \u201cThere is no suitable foundation for rationality in our society; uncertainty destroys rational thinking.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Watch and judge how <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>&#39;s economy is run by the regime <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/k2QtOj9KqS\">pic.twitter.com\/k2QtOj9KqS<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1736460240663540174?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 17, 2023<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">This sentiment reflects the challenges in Iran, where the rulers prioritize their own interests, focusing on nuclear, missile, and regional agendas over implementing strategies that meaningfully address the economic crisis and improve the well-being of the people.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">With inflation expected to continue its climb and budgetary constraints indicating further cuts in subsidies for essential goods, the future looks bleak for <a href=\"https:\/\/iranfocus.com\/economy\/50607-the-fall-of-irans-middle-class-and-the-rise-of-rent-seeking-mafia\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Iran\u2019s middle class<\/a>. Rising food prices, reduced quality of nutrition, and increasing poverty are not just economic issues but social ones with long-term consequences. Economists and analysts warn that unless significant policy changes and comprehensive reforms are enacted, Iran will face deeper poverty and more severe social challenges, exacerbating the already harsh living conditions for millions of its citizens.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">With inflation climbing and subsidies for essential goods expected to be cut further, Iran\u2019s middle class faces a bleak future. Rising food prices, poorer nutrition, and increasing poverty are creating severe social consequences. State-affiliated economists warn that without significant changes, deeper poverty and harsher living conditions will ignite social outrage, potentially leading to uprisings that the regime fears most.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three-minute read&nbsp; Recent reports highlight a severe economic crisis in Iran, where millions of middle-class citizens have slipped below the poverty line due to accelerating inflation and deepening financial turmoil. [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":261430,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[269],"class_list":{"0":"post-325495","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-iran-economy"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Iran\u2019s Middle Class Plunges Deeper into Poverty Amid Soaring Inflation and Economic Stagnation - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Three-minute read\u00a0 Recent reports highlight a severe economic crisis in Iran, where millions of middle-class citizens have slipped below the poverty line\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/economy\/irans-middle-class-plunges-deeper-into-poverty-amid-soaring-inflation-and-economic-stagnation\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Iran\u2019s Middle Class Plunges Deeper into Poverty Amid Soaring Inflation and Economic Stagnation - 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