{"id":325522,"date":"2024-11-04T13:03:12","date_gmt":"2024-11-04T12:03:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=325522"},"modified":"2024-11-04T13:47:16","modified_gmt":"2024-11-04T12:47:16","slug":"irans-fiery-rhetoric-amid-military-budget-hikes-a-shield-for-internal-vulnerabilities","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/terrorism-a-fundamentalism\/irans-fiery-rhetoric-amid-military-budget-hikes-a-shield-for-internal-vulnerabilities\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran\u2019s Fiery Rhetoric Amid Military Budget Hikes: A Shield for Internal Vulnerabilities\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\"> <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-294429 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/iran-irgc-ceremony-jafari-e1730721527500.jpg\" alt=\"iran irgc ceremony jafari\" width=\"1000\" height=\"565\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/iran-irgc-ceremony-jafari-e1730721527500.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/iran-irgc-ceremony-jafari-e1730721527500-300x170.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/iran-irgc-ceremony-jafari-e1730721527500-768x434.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/iran-irgc-ceremony-jafari-e1730721527500-150x85.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/iran-irgc-ceremony-jafari-e1730721527500-696x393.jpg 696w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/iran-irgc-ceremony-jafari-e1730721527500-743x420.jpg 743w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><b><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Three-minute read<\/span><\/i><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Western media have recently amplified the Iranian regime&#8217;s aggressive rhetoric, portraying it as a formidable military power ready for full-scale conflict. However, this portrayal belies the truth: while Iranian officials frequently issue bold threats, the regime\u2019s actual capabilities and intentions reflect a strategy focused more on internal survival than external warfare.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">In his speech on November 2, Supreme Leader <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mehrnews.com\/news\/6276414\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Ali Khamenei issued<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> a stark warning in response to escalating regional tensions and Israeli actions. He emphasized his regime&#8217;s readiness to deliver a decisive response, stating, \u201cThose who commit hostilities against Iran and the <\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Axis of Resistance<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> will receive a \u2018tooth-breaking\u2019 response.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.khabaronline.ir\/news\/1978467\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Kamal Kharazi<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, a senior advisor to Khamenei and chairman of the Strategic Council on Foreign Relations, recently told Lebanon\u2019s Al-Mayadeen network, \u201cIf Iran faces an existential threat, it will change its military doctrine,\u201d emphasizing that the nation already possesses \u201cthe capability to build a nuclear weapon.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Furthermore, along with multiple other military and state officials, the IRGC Chief <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/donya-e-eqtesad.com\/%D8%A8%D8%AE%D8%B4-%D8%B3%D8%A7%DB%8C%D8%AA-%D8%AE%D9%88%D8%A7%D9%86-62\/4118493-%D8%B3%D8%B1%D9%84%D8%B4%DA%A9%D8%B1-%D8%B3%D9%84%D8%A7%D9%85%DB%8C-%D9%BE%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%AE-%D8%BA%DB%8C%D8%B1%D9%82%D8%A7%D8%A8%D9%84-%D8%AA%D8%B5%D9%88%D8%B1%DB%8C-%D8%A8%D9%87-%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%A6%DB%8C%D9%84-%D8%AE%D9%88%D8%A7%D9%87%DB%8C%D9%85-%D8%AF%D8%A7%D8%AF\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Hossein Salami boasted<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> at a regime-staged rally, \u201cIsraelis think they can change history by launching a few missiles&#8230; You attacked, but know that our response will be unimaginable.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">More Signs of <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s Regional Strategy Collapse Emerge as <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Lebanon?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Lebanon<\/a> Pushes Back<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/FpMuRXmaN8\">https:\/\/t.co\/FpMuRXmaN8<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1847563343219052773?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 19, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">On November 4, at a parliamentary public session, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/donya-e-eqtesad.com\/%D8%A8%D8%AE%D8%B4-%D8%B3%D8%A7%DB%8C%D8%AA-%D8%AE%D9%88%D8%A7%D9%86-62\/4119536-%D9%87%D8%B4%D8%AF%D8%A7%D8%B1-%DB%8C%DA%A9-%D9%86%D9%85%D8%A7%DB%8C%D9%86%D8%AF%D9%87-%D8%A8%D9%87-%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%A6%DB%8C%D9%84-%D8%A8%D8%A7-%D8%A7%D9%85%DA%A9%D8%A7%D9%86%D8%A7%D8%AA-%D8%AC%D8%AF%DB%8C%D8%AF%D8%AA%D8%B1%DB%8C-%D8%AD%D9%85%D9%84%D9%87-%D9%85%DB%8C-%DA%A9%D9%86%DB%8C%D9%85-%D9%85%D8%A7%D8%AA-%D9%85%D8%A8%D9%87%D9%88%D8%AA-%D8%AE%D9%88%D8%A7%D9%87%DB%8C%D8%AF-%D8%B4%D8%AF\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">MP Vahid Ahmadi said<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, \u201cIsrael knows that the Islamic Republic can strike any target with precision,\u201d warning that any major Israeli incursion would be met with a stronger response than before, utilizing new capabilities that would leave Israel stunned.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">While these bold statements project an image of strength, they mask the regime\u2019s underlying anxieties. The Iranian leadership is acutely aware that foreign adversaries are unlikely to attempt an overthrow without a ground invasion. Instead, the most pressing threat comes from within the nation itself.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">This concern was evident during <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/terrorism-a-fundamentalism\/khameneis-post-strike-address-exposes-fears-of-regional-setbacks-and-regime-insecurity\/\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Khamenei\u2019s address on October 27<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, a day after Israel launched airstrikes targeting Iranian military sites. Meeting with families of security forces killed in recent local confrontations and urban skirmishes, Khamenei emphasized the importance of maintaining internal stability. \u201cWhen we understood the importance of security for the country, we realized that security must be protected\u2014whether by the police, the Basij forces, or intelligence agencies\u2026wherever there is no security, there is chaos,\u201d he said, noting that without security, \u201cone person causes trouble at the border, another causes trouble in the streets, and yet another causes trouble by spreading rumors.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s Regime Grapples with Internal Crisis as Regional Tensions Mount<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Js19PiRiJ0\">https:\/\/t.co\/Js19PiRiJ0<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1848038971793936437?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 20, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">His speech,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\"><span style=\"box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0; padding: 0; text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/farsi.khamenei.ir\/news-content?id=58103\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">published on his website<\/a> on the same day, mentioned the word \u201csecurity\u201d 50 times, underscoring<\/span>\u00a0the regime\u2019s acute focus on internal order amid growing public discontent.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Khamenei\u2019s emphasis on internal stability is not without justification. <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=oKhQUDYiBQU\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Mohammad Ebadi Zadeh<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, the regime\u2019s Friday prayer leader in Bandar Abbas, laid bare the regime\u2019s deeper fears on October 11, stating, \u201cI want to give some advice to our dear people. We are not so much worried about enemy planes coming to bomb a point&#8230; we are not worried about this issue. We are concerned about the psychological warfare inside the country. We are worried that their agents and proxies want to drag the atmosphere of this country toward chaos and turmoil. We should be vigilant about the enemy&#8217;s mischief and movements in society.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Last week, the Iranian government\u2019s <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/aerospace-defense\/iran-raise-military-budget-by-around-200-government-spokesperson-says-2024-10-29\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">proposed 200% increase<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> in its military budget for the upcoming fiscal year, funded in part by oil revenues dedicated to the IRGC, underscores a strategy that, while signaling adventurism to the world, is ultimately focused on internal security. Government spokesperson Fatemeh Mohajerani emphasized this significant budget proposal as part of broader efforts to bolster Iran\u2019s defense capabilities, though many analysts believe that the true figure far exceeds publicly disclosed amounts.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Appeasement Brought <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/War?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#War<\/a>, Only Regime Change in <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a> Can Deliver Peace<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/S6Izl20Atd\">https:\/\/t.co\/S6Izl20Atd<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1843025940353523980?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 6, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Ultimately, while the Iranian regime\u2019s fierce rhetoric toward external adversaries may seem aggressive, it is primarily an approach aimed at boosting the morale of its increasingly disillusioned security forces\u2014the very units at the forefront of suppressing popular uprisings. Tehran\u2019s reluctance to engage in direct military confrontation with foreign powers underscores a strategic calculation: the regime understands that any external escalation could create an opportunity for its greatest threat\u2014<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/iran-protests-2022-nationwide-uprising\/\">domestic dissent<\/a>\u2014to rise up. However, even if the regime proceeds with a military strike, it is fully aware that it cannot win such a war. Yet, it finds itself with no other choice but to engage, forced to choose between bad (regional confrontation) and worse (inaction and the potential collapse of its security apparatus).<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Perhaps, Khamenei\u2019s October 27 address is the clearest indication of that matter, where he referred to his own tight-knit follower base as &#8216;the people,&#8217; saying, \u201cThose who spread false information and create fear, doubt, and anxiety among the people are called &#8220;disturbers&#8221;, and God commanded the Prophet that if they do not desist, they should be punished. Officials must ensure the security of the borders and the streets and the psychological security of the people.&#8221;<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three-minute read&nbsp; Western media have recently amplified the Iranian regime&rsquo;s aggressive rhetoric, portraying it as a formidable military power ready for full-scale conflict. However, this portrayal belies the truth: while [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":294429,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[287],"class_list":["post-325522","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-terrorism-a-fundamentalism","tag-iran-terrorism"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Iran\u2019s Fiery Rhetoric Amid Military Budget Hikes: A Shield for Internal Vulnerabilities\u00a0 - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Three-minute read\u00a0 Western media have recently amplified the Iranian regime&#039;s aggressive rhetoric, portraying it as a formidable military power ready for\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/terrorism-a-fundamentalism\/irans-fiery-rhetoric-amid-military-budget-hikes-a-shield-for-internal-vulnerabilities\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Iran\u2019s Fiery Rhetoric Amid Military Budget Hikes: A Shield for Internal Vulnerabilities\u00a0 - 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