{"id":326302,"date":"2024-12-04T14:42:09","date_gmt":"2024-12-04T13:42:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=326302"},"modified":"2024-12-04T14:42:09","modified_gmt":"2024-12-04T13:42:09","slug":"irans-dire-economic-collapse-officials-scramble-to-shift-blame-and-brace-for-social-unrest","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/economy\/irans-dire-economic-collapse-officials-scramble-to-shift-blame-and-brace-for-social-unrest\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran\u2019s Dire Economic Collapse: Officials Scramble to Shift Blame and Brace for Social Unrest"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-247823\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/iran-1.jpg\" alt=\"iran-inflation-man-troubled-supermarket\" width=\"1000\" height=\"475\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/iran-1.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/iran-1-300x143.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/iran-1-768x365.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/iran-1-150x71.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/iran-1-696x331.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong><em>Three-minute read<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Iran&#8217;s spiraling economic and energy crises have laid bare the fragility of the regime, with top officials admitting to deep-seated failures while attempting to deflect responsibility for the worsening situation. In an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.khabarfoori.com\/%D8%A8%D8%AE%D8%B4-%D8%B3%DB%8C%D8%A7%D8%B3%DB%8C-59\/3109630-%D9%BE%D8%B2%D8%B4%DA%A9%DB%8C%D8%A7%D9%86-%D9%86%D8%A7%D8%A7%D9%85%DB%8C%D8%AF-%D8%AD%D8%B1%D9%81-%D9%85%D9%87%D9%85%DB%8C-%DA%A9%D9%87-%D8%B1%D8%A6%DB%8C%D8%B3-%D8%AC%D9%85%D9%87%D9%88%D8%B1-%D8%B2%D8%AF-%D8%B1%D9%81%D8%B9-%D8%AA%D8%AD%D8%B1%DB%8C%D9%85-%D9%87%D8%A7-%D9%86%D9%87-%D8%B1%DB%8C%D8%A7%D8%B6%D8%AA-%D8%A7%D9%82%D8%AA%D8%B5%D8%A7%D8%AF%DB%8C-%D8%A2%D8%B1%DB%8C\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">alarming interview<\/a> on state television on December 2, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/who-is-masoud-pezeshkian\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Masoud Pezeshkian<\/a>, the regime\u2019s president, acknowledged the severity of the crisis while indirectly blaming prior administrations for the country\u2019s economic mismanagement. Pezeshkian warned of inevitable price hikes, including for gasoline, while expressing fears of the public backlash that could follow.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">&#8220;We are grappling with severe imbalances\u2014in gas, electricity, water, energy, and even the environment. These imbalances have reached a level that could lead to widespread crisis,&#8221; said Pezeshkian. He admitted to fuel prices that the government has no choice but to raise them. &#8220;We are importing expensive gasoline and selling it at a fraction of its cost. No expert, domestic or international, would endorse this system,&#8221; he said, adding, &#8220;Without these price adjustments, we cannot pay retirees, wheat farmers, or even government employees.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Responding to a question on the potential for increased gasoline prices in 2024, Pezeshkian conceded, &#8220;Gasoline will become more expensive because the resources to subsidize imports are simply not there. We face a stark reality: either we raise prices or we fail to keep essential services running. Yet, this decision carries risks that I dread to even imagine.&#8221;<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a> News: <br \/>Economy Plunges as Rial Hits Record Low and <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/StockMarket?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#StockMarket<\/a> Suffers Sharp Decline<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/7o6WlZsO10\">https:\/\/t.co\/7o6WlZsO10<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1848052812476830089?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 20, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In the same interview, Pezeshkian admitted the regime\u2019s failure to meet basic needs, saying, &#8220;For five consecutive years, we\u2019ve faced inflation at 40 percent. This is a catastrophe. Power plants cannot meet demand, and our oil and gas reserves are depleting. If these imbalances are not addressed, the nation will face an uncontrollable collapse.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The issue of gasoline prices has turned into a political hot potato between Iran\u2019s Parliament and the government. Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, Speaker of the Parliament, said on December 3, &#8220;The government has the authority to adjust fuel prices, as per previous legislation. If they had gradually implemented this, we wouldn\u2019t be facing today\u2019s challenges<a href=\"https:\/\/www.asriran.com\/fa\/news\/1018672\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">.&#8221; Ghalibaf added<\/a>, &#8220;Let the government do its job. Parliament is not intervening in this matter.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Amid these admissions, other officials have been vocal about the crises gripping various sectors. Former Agriculture Minister <a href=\"https:\/\/www.khabaronline.ir\/news\/1991289\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Issa Kalantari pointed<\/a> to skyrocketing food prices, particularly red meat, which he claimed is now four times the global average due to Iran\u2019s volatile currency. Also, <a href=\"https:\/\/akharinkhabar.ir\/money\/10309829\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Farshad Momeni<\/a>, a state-affiliated economist, confirmed: \u201cMore than half of Iranians cannot meet their daily caloric needs. Over 50 percent fall below this threshold!\u201d<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">What Has <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iranian?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iranian<\/a> Regime\u2019s War Economy Produced?<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/wsEpMFiVVi\">https:\/\/t.co\/wsEpMFiVVi<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1781691793723056593?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 20, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Healthcare has also been hit hard. Alireza Chizari, head of Iran\u2019s Medical Equipment Association, warned that the removal of subsidies has driven up the cost of life-saving medical devices by as much as fifteen times. &#8220;A cardiac stent that once cost 200,000 tomans now costs 2 million tomans. This is devastating for ordinary citizens who cannot afford such price increases,&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/tejaratnews.com\/%D8%A8%D8%AE%D8%B4-%D8%B7%D9%84%D8%A7-%D8%A7%D8%B1%D8%B2-14\/952788-%D8%AD%D8%B0%D9%81-%D8%A7%D8%B1%D8%B2-%D8%AA%D8%B1%D8%AC%DB%8C%D8%AD%DB%8C-%D8%AA%D8%AC%D9%87%DB%8C%D8%B2%D8%A7%D8%AA-%D9%BE%D8%B2%D8%B4%DA%A9%DB%8C-%DB%8C%D8%B9%D9%86%DB%8C-%D9%85%D8%B1%DA%AF-%D8%AA%D8%AF%D8%B1%DB%8C%D8%AC%DB%8C-%D8%A8%DB%8C%D9%85%D8%A7%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%86\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Chizari said<\/a>. He also noted that insurance schemes fail to cover these soaring costs, leaving patients to shoulder the burden.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">&#8220;In effect, the removal of preferential currency subsidies for medical and pharmaceutical equipment is tantamount to condemning patients to a slow death,&#8221; Chizari said. &#8220;This decision not only endangers public health but also delivers a severe blow to the country\u2019s health economy. It could lead to the closure of numerous medical centers and widespread unemployment among healthcare staff.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.90eghtesadi.com\/Content\/Detail\/2155858\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Vahid Shaqaqi<\/a>, another economist, added to the grim outlook, criticizing the reliance on speculative budgets based on unrealistically high oil revenues. &#8220;With Trump potentially returning to power, Iran cannot count on stable oil exports. If sanctions tighten again, we could see oil exports drop to a fraction of what they are now. The government\u2019s revenue projections are pure fantasy,&#8221; Shaqaqi warned.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Watch and judge how <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/IranRevolution?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#IranRevolution<\/a> has forced a former regime insider openly admitting to losing faith and quitting. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/6s1jmn3BW2\">pic.twitter.com\/6s1jmn3BW2<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1708899618996589039?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 2, 2023<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Meanwhile, oil and energy experts highlighted Iran&#8217;s declining significance in global markets. \u201cIf all of Iran\u2019s oil were cut off from global markets, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait could compensate for this amount with their surplus production, and it wouldn\u2019t cause much of a disruption worldwide,&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baharnews.ir\/news\/503430\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">said oil expert Morteza Behroozifar<\/a>. \u201cWe were once a country producing nearly 7 million barrels of oil per day, of which 4.5 million barrels were exported, and global oil consumption was much lower than it is today. But now, our export of 1 million barrels per day is insignificant compared to the world\u2019s daily consumption of 100 million barrels.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Compounding these economic struggles is the shocking revelation that <a href=\"https:\/\/aftabnews.ir\/fa\/news\/953612\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Iran\u2019s cancer rates<\/a> are now double the global average. Analysts attribute this health crisis to years of government negligence, with resources diverted away from public welfare and healthcare into proxy wars and regional adventurism. The state-run <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rouydad24.ir\/fa\/news\/392315\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Ruydad24 described<\/a> the nation as teetering on the edge of collapse: &#8220;The country is on the brink of social, economic, and political disintegration. It highlighted years of mismanagement and policy failures as key contributors to the current crisis, cautioning that the country&#8217;s precarious state could lead to disastrous consequences if further strain is placed on the system.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three-minute read Iran&rsquo;s spiraling economic and energy crises have laid bare the fragility of the regime, with top officials admitting to deep-seated failures while attempting to deflect responsibility for the [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":247823,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[269],"class_list":{"0":"post-326302","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-iran-economy"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Iran\u2019s Dire Economic Collapse: Officials Scramble to Shift Blame and Brace for Social Unrest - 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