{"id":326427,"date":"2024-12-08T15:14:57","date_gmt":"2024-12-08T14:14:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=326427"},"modified":"2024-12-10T17:53:35","modified_gmt":"2024-12-10T16:53:35","slug":"assads-fall-sparks-alarm-and-strategic-uncertainty-among-iranian-officials-and-state-media","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/terrorism-a-fundamentalism\/assads-fall-sparks-alarm-and-strategic-uncertainty-among-iranian-officials-and-state-media\/","title":{"rendered":"Assad\u2019s Fall Sparks Alarm and Strategic Uncertainty Among Iranian Officials and State Media"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-326428\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/free-syria-jubilant-people.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1000\" height=\"556\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/free-syria-jubilant-people.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/free-syria-jubilant-people-300x167.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/free-syria-jubilant-people-768x427.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/free-syria-jubilant-people-755x420.jpg 755w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/free-syria-jubilant-people-150x83.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/free-syria-jubilant-people-696x387.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><b><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Three-minute read<\/span><\/i><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The fall of Bashar al-Assad\u2019s government in Syria has triggered a wave of reactions in Iranian state-controlled media and among officials, reflecting deep concerns over its impact on Tehran\u2019s regional strategy. While the Iranian regime has maintained official silence, the defensive tone of its media outlets and the statements of lawmakers reveal a regime grappling with the strategic blow and its potential repercussions.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">In the 24 hours leading up to Assad\u2019s fall, state-controlled media in Iran noticeably shifted their language regarding Assad\u2019s opponents. Previously described as &#8220;terrorists&#8221; or &#8220;takfiri&#8221; groups, these outlets began referring to them as &#8220;armed opposition groups&#8221; in the days before the fall. After the collapse of Assad&#8217;s government was confirmed, the terminology shifted again to &#8220;militias,&#8221; revealing a calculated adjustment in rhetoric.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The IRGC-linked <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mashreghnews.ir\/news\/1669040\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Mashregh News<\/span><\/i><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, in an article titled <\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201cIran and the Axis of Resistance After Assad\u2019s Fall,\u201d<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> raised serious concerns about the future. \u201cWhat will be the fate of the Axis of Resistance after Bashar Assad? Will it weaken?\u201d it asked, acknowledging that the loss of a loyal ally in Damascus represented a \u201cheavy blow\u201d for Iran. However, the outlet suggested alternative strategies, stating, \u201cIran can strengthen parts of the Axis of Resistance, such as Yemen or other regions, to ensure this axis becomes powerful in other ways and maintain the balance of power under new rules.\u201d It also hinted at possible military escalations, warning, \u201cIn Iran, changes in equipment and weaponry could fundamentally alter the rules of power in the region.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iranian?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iranian<\/a> Regime Fears Collapse of <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Syria?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Syria<\/a> and Regional Setbacks<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/NyZA7MWt15\">https:\/\/t.co\/NyZA7MWt15<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1865501788759380068?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 7, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/farsnews.ir\/mehvarMoghavemat\/1733651450543921770\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Fars News<\/span><\/i><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, another IRGC-affiliated outlet, described Assad\u2019s tenure as a \u201cmutual opportunity\u201d for both Syria and Tehran. It lamented that Assad had failed to fully heed Iran\u2019s advice, stating, \u201cIran used this opportunity to strengthen the Axis of Resistance and enhance governance in Syria, but Assad did not pay enough attention to Iran\u2019s recommendations on democracy and popular defense.\u201d The outlet sought to reassure its audience by emphasizing Iran\u2019s capacity to regroup in other arenas. \u201cIn war, sometimes you strike, and sometimes you\u2019re struck. What matters is using these experiences on other battlefields. The remaining theaters of this war\u2014in Yemen, Iraq, Palestine, Lebanon, and even Iran\u2014are still in play, and with divine determination and persistent struggle, we can ultimately achieve victory.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tabnak.ir\/fa\/news\/1276617\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">website <\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Tabnak<\/span><\/i><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, linked to former IRGC commander Mohsen Rezaei, was more direct in highlighting the consequences. \u201cThe most critical impact of Syria\u2019s changes is on Iran and the Axis of Resistance. After the losses suffered by Hamas and Hezbollah, Syria, as the logistical link of this axis, has now slipped out of control.\u201d The outlet noted that Assad\u2019s successors could take an antagonistic stance towards Hezbollah, warning, \u201cUntil now, Assad supported Hezbollah, but going forward, the Syrian government may become its enemy, affecting the power dynamics in Lebanon.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Parliamentary reactions have mirrored these concerns, with lawmakers calling for urgent discussions. Tehran MP Hamid Rasaee demanded a closed session, stating, \u201cParliament needs updated and clear information on the region.\u201d Mohammad Taqi <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ilna.ir\/%D8%A8%D8%AE%D8%B4-%D8%B3%DB%8C%D8%A7%D8%B3%DB%8C-3\/1566956-%D8%AA%D8%AD%D9%88%D9%84%D8%A7%D8%AA-%D8%A7%D8%AE%DB%8C%D8%B1-%D9%85%D9%86%D8%B7%D9%82%D9%87-%D8%A7%DB%8C%D9%86-%D8%B9%D8%A8%D8%B1%D8%AA-%D8%B1%D8%A7-%D8%A8%D8%B1%D8%A7%DB%8C-%D9%85%D8%A7-%D8%AF%D8%A7%D8%B1%D8%AF-%DA%A9%D9%87-%D9%85%D8%B3%D8%A7%D8%A6%D9%84-%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%A7%D8%B3%DB%8C-%D9%85%D8%B1%D8%AF%D9%85-%D8%B1%D8%A7-%D9%85%D8%AF%D9%86%D8%B8%D8%B1-%D9%82%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%B1-%D8%AF%D9%87%DB%8C%D9%85\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Naqdali voiced rare criticism<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, noting that even the regime\u2019s insiders are aligning with dissent: \u201cRecent regional developments offer a lesson: we must focus on the essential issues of our people. Today, even the most revolutionary individuals are dissatisfied with our approach. When will we address the people\u2019s economic concerns?\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/News?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#News<\/a>: Khamenei Rallies Basij Amid Fears of Protests and Pressure to Change His Regional Strategy <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/L6oe0jFAu7\">https:\/\/t.co\/L6oe0jFAu7<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1861689436938874968?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 27, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Reflecting on the broader implications, the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.asriran.com\/fa\/news\/1019766\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">website <\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Asr Iran<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"none\"> critiqued<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> Assad\u2019s governance while indirectly warning the regime\u2019s leadership against a similar fate. \u201cSome may say Assad was a victim of foreign conspiracies due to his support for resistance. While this is partly true, the reality is that weakened ties between the government and its people embolden foreign actors. If a state faces significant external hostility, should it not at least act wisely and treat its people with compassion to ensure its own survival?\u201d The site concluded with a stark warning: \u201cIgnoring the people, their views, and public demands is the gravest mistake a government can make. Assad did so, and it led his country to ruin and himself to infamy.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Mojtaba Hosseini Dibaji, head of the Supreme Leader\u2019s representative office in the IRGC in Markazi Province, addressed IRGC personnel in Zarandieh to boost their morale. <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tasnimnews.com\/fa\/news\/1403\/09\/18\/3215094\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">He stated<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, \u201cThe recent advances of takfiri terrorists in Syria remind us of the MEK\u2019s attack after the ceasefire, which was ultimately crushed in the decisive Mersad operation. By God\u2019s grace, the takfiri terrorists will meet the same fate, and their plans will be annihilated.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The fall of Assad has exposed Tehran\u2019s vulnerabilities at a critical juncture. Despite attempts by state media to project resilience, their language reveals a regime deeply alarmed by the strategic and symbolic impact of Assad\u2019s removal. The fear is not just of losing a key ally but of the broader message it sends to a population already grappling with economic and political discontent. While Tehran may attempt to regroup and shift the narrative, the cracks in <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/terrorism-a-fundamentalism\/internal-power-struggle-in-iran-reveals-cracks-in-khameneis-regional-strategy\/\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">its regional strategy<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> and internal stability have become more visible than ever.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three-minute read&nbsp; The fall of Bashar al-Assad&rsquo;s government in Syria has triggered a wave of reactions in Iranian state-controlled media and among officials, reflecting deep concerns over its impact on [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":69,"featured_media":326428,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[287],"class_list":{"0":"post-326427","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-terrorism-a-fundamentalism","8":"tag-iran-terrorism"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Assad\u2019s Fall Sparks Alarm and Strategic Uncertainty Among Iranian Officials and State Media - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Three-minute read\u00a0 The fall of Bashar al-Assad\u2019s government in Syria has triggered a wave of reactions in Iranian state-controlled media and among\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link 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