{"id":326740,"date":"2024-12-16T18:05:29","date_gmt":"2024-12-16T17:05:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=326740"},"modified":"2024-12-16T18:05:29","modified_gmt":"2024-12-16T17:05:29","slug":"iranian-officials-respond-to-syrian-regimes-fall-exposing-deep-anxieties-and-strategic-fear","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/terrorism-a-fundamentalism\/iranian-officials-respond-to-syrian-regimes-fall-exposing-deep-anxieties-and-strategic-fear\/","title":{"rendered":"Iranian Officials Respond to Syrian Regime&#8217;s Fall, Exposing Deep Anxieties and Strategic Fear"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_326743\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-326743\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-326743\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/iranian-regime-embassy-in-damascus-syria.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1000\" height=\"559\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/iranian-regime-embassy-in-damascus-syria.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/iranian-regime-embassy-in-damascus-syria-300x168.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/iranian-regime-embassy-in-damascus-syria-768x429.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/iranian-regime-embassy-in-damascus-syria-751x420.jpg 751w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/iranian-regime-embassy-in-damascus-syria-150x84.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/iranian-regime-embassy-in-damascus-syria-696x389.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-326743\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Posters of the slain IRGC Quds Force commander Qassem Soleimani and deceased Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah were torn down outside the Iranian regime&#8217;s embassy in Damascus, Syria, December 2024<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><b><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Three-minute read<\/span><\/i><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The collapse of Bashar al-Assad&#8217;s regime in Syria has triggered widespread alarm within Iran\u2019s ruling establishment. Statements from top officials reveal an effort to downplay the strategic loss while grappling with the growing fear of similar consequences at home. Their direct remarks shed light on the regime\u2019s internal turmoil and its struggle to maintain control over narratives and public sentiment.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/qom.shafaqna.com\/FA\/248066\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Mohammad Saeedi<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, Friday prayer leader in Qom, sought to temper the regime\u2019s base, stating, <\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201cIn the ups and downs of resistance, there may be occasional failures, but we must not despair over these setbacks.\u201d<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> His tone echoed the regime\u2019s broader attempts to maintain morale while minimizing the scale of the strategic blow.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Similarly, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.entekhab.ir\/fa\/news\/838487\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Ahmad Alamolhoda<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, Khamenei\u2019s representative in Mashhad, acknowledged the disquieting nature of recent developments, referring to them as <\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201cdistressing and anxiety-inducing events in the resistance front.\u201d<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> Alamolhoda accused social media of spreading <\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201chopelessness among our people regarding the power of the resistance,\u201d<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> but claimed the Supreme Leader\u2019s guidance had effectively countered these narratives. He warned that <\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201cwriting and verbal corruption\u201d aimed at undermining the regime would not succeed.<\/span><\/i><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">In a more defensive tone, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.isna.ir\/news\/1403092316736\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Mohammad Reza Nasouri<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, Friday prayer leader in Sari, cautioned against both fear and complacency, saying, <\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201cSome people are filled with doubt; some are filled with fear. Let\u2019s not belittle the situation, but also, let\u2019s not despair. Let\u2019s not say the blood of our martyrs was wasted.\u201d<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> His words betrayed the regime\u2019s effort to balance denial with reassurances for its increasingly skeptical audience.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iranian?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iranian<\/a> Regime\u2019s Actions and Statements Reveal Scramble to Contain Fallout from <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Assad?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Assad<\/a>\u2019s Collapse<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/WZBVMGWw8s\">https:\/\/t.co\/WZBVMGWw8s<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1868240081787699311?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 15, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">In a stark admission of internal dissent, Mohammad Mehdi Hosseini Hamedani, Friday prayer leader in Karaj, called for severe punishment for those spreading fear among the populace: <\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201cThe judiciary must act decisively and not hold back against those who weaken the hearts of the people.\u201d<\/span><\/i><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Fear of Social Media and Cognitive Warfare<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Perhaps the most telling remarks came from Siavash Moslemi, an IRGC commander, who identified social media as a key factor in Assad\u2019s fall and a potential threat to the Iranian regime. <\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201cToday, the battlefield is no longer limited to land, sea, or air. Virtual space has become one of the most significant arenas for cognitive and psychological warfare,\u201d<\/span><\/i> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.etemadonline.com\/%D8%A8%D8%AE%D8%B4-%D8%B3%DB%8C%D8%A7%D8%B3%DB%8C-9\/689649-%D8%AC%D9%86%DA%AF-%D8%B1%D9%88%D8%A7%D9%86%DB%8C-%D8%B4%DA%A9%D8%B3%D8%AA-%D8%A7%D8%B1%D8%AA%D8%B4-%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%A6%DB%8C%D9%84\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Moslemi said<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, emphasizing that <\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201cnarratives, not bullets or missiles, shape public opinion and determine victory or defeat.\u201d<\/span><\/i><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Moslemi further explained how <\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201carmed opposition groups used misinformation, exaggerated defeats, and manipulated public sentiment to cripple the Syrian army,\u201d<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> describing this as <\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201ca psychological war that delivered the final blow.\u201d<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> His comments reflect the regime\u2019s growing paranoia about social media and its potential to destabilize their grip on power.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201cGovernance in virtual space has become a strategic tool for managing public opinion,\u201d<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> Moslemi continued, justifying the regime\u2019s extensive internet censorship. He warned that <\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201cneglecting governance in virtual space means surrendering a strategic front to the enemy.\u201d<\/span><\/i><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Blame, Deflection, and Warnings<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Some officials sought to shift blame for Assad\u2019s fall. <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.irna.ir\/news\/85688634\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Allah Noor Karimitabar<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, Friday prayer leader in Ilam, claimed that Assad ignored Khamenei\u2019s <\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201cwise counsel\u201d<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> and failed to bolster popular militias. <\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201cIf Assad had not distanced himself from the resistance front, this tragedy would not have occurred,\u201d<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> he argued, adding that Iranian policymakers must learn from this and not be lured by <\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201cfalse promises from America.\u201d<\/span><\/i><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Khamenei Digs in As <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Assad?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Assad<\/a>\u2019s Fall Rattles <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Tehran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Tehran<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/LW9OIi50Kp\">https:\/\/t.co\/LW9OIi50Kp<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1866900253229924535?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 11, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Karimitabar issued a stark warning to the regime\u2019s decision-makers: <\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201cIf we do not fight on the frontlines of the resistance, we will be fighting ISIS and America\u2019s proxies in the streets of Tehran. Resistance on the frontlines is the only preventive action.\u201d<\/span><\/i><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Meanwhile, Ali Shadmani, a senior IRGC official, dismissed claims of the resistance\u2019s defeat, stating, <\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201cTo say the resistance front has failed is a tongue that deserves to be silenced. Yes, the physical structure may have taken a hit, but the sacred ideology of resistance remains intact.\u201d<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> He warned against internal dissent: <\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201cThose who falter do so because they adopt calculations that deviate from reality.\u201d<\/span><\/i><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Veiled Threats and Escalating Tensions<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The regime\u2019s defensive posture extended to issuing threats against neighboring countries. <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/fararu.com\/fa\/news\/809136\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Mohammad Marandi<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, a senior advisor to the regime\u2019s Ministry of Foreign Affairs, hinted at retaliation if Iran\u2019s nuclear facilities were attacked, stating in a now-deleted tweet, <\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201cIf Iran is targeted, Qatar\u2019s natural gas infrastructure will be entirely destroyed. Without Qatar, there will be no natural gas from Doha, and the region will face the consequences.\u201d<\/span><\/i><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">State Media Reveals <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Assad?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Assad<\/a>\u2019s Fall Has Intensified the Blame Game in <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/NZ7w6HXtPQ\">https:\/\/t.co\/NZ7w6HXtPQ<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1866913087787610256?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 11, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\">The Bigger Picture<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Despite officials\u2019 attempts to downplay the collapse of Assad\u2019s regime, their remarks reveal a deep fear of its broader implications. Hamidreza Jalaipour, a self-styled reformist and long-time revisionist, highlighted the precarious position of the regime, citing surveys that show <\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201c90% of Iranians are dissatisfied with the current situation, and many are disillusioned with the government.\u201d<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> He warned that this dissatisfaction could escalate if left unaddressed: <\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201cIf this continues, no one can predict what might happen next.\u201d<\/span><\/i><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iranian-regimes-actions-and-statements-reveal-scramble-to-contain-fallout-from-assads-collapse\/\">coordinated messaging<\/a> from Iranian officials underscores their recognition of the regime\u2019s vulnerability. From acknowledging public discontent to blaming social media and deflecting responsibility, their remarks reflect a government grappling with the reality of losing a key ally and the broader fragility of its rule. The fall of Assad has exposed cracks in the regime\u2019s narrative of invincibility, leaving its leaders scrambling to maintain control over both their internal ranks and the wider Iranian public.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three-minute read&nbsp; The collapse of Bashar al-Assad&rsquo;s regime in Syria has triggered widespread alarm within Iran&rsquo;s ruling establishment. Statements from top officials reveal an effort to downplay the strategic loss [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":69,"featured_media":326743,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[287],"class_list":["post-326740","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-terrorism-a-fundamentalism","tag-iran-terrorism"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Iranian Officials Respond to Syrian Regime&#039;s Fall, Exposing Deep Anxieties and Strategic Fear - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Three-minute read\u00a0 The collapse of Bashar al-Assad&#039;s regime in Syria has triggered widespread alarm within Iran\u2019s ruling establishment. 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