{"id":327380,"date":"2025-01-05T20:44:53","date_gmt":"2025-01-05T19:44:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=327380"},"modified":"2025-01-05T20:48:25","modified_gmt":"2025-01-05T19:48:25","slug":"irgcs-failures-in-syria-shows-its-inability-to-save-khamenei-in-iran-ncri-member-says","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/terrorism-a-fundamentalism\/irgcs-failures-in-syria-shows-its-inability-to-save-khamenei-in-iran-ncri-member-says\/","title":{"rendered":"IRGC’s Failures in Syria Shows Its Inability to Save Khamenei in Iran, NCRI Member Says"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Traffic in Ummayyad square in Damascus following the fall of former Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Three-minute read<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

In a comprehensive interview with Simaye Azadi (INTV)<\/em>,<\/a> Ehsan Aminolraya, a member of the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI), analyzed the far-reaching consequences of the Iranian regime’s failure in Syria. He linked the collapse of Bashar al-Assad\u2019s regime to the broader vulnerabilities and existential crisis of the Iranian regime. Aminolraya’s insights shed light on the political, military, and socio-economic dimensions of this turning point.<\/p>\n

A Strategic Loss Beyond Borders<\/h3>\n

Ehsan Aminolraya emphasized that the Iranian regime\u2019s loss in Syria stemmed directly from the IRGC\u2019s inability and lack of will to fight, a condition reflective of the broader decline of the regime’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Highlighting the disintegration of IRGC forces in key battles, he stated: \u201cThis retreat was not tactical in nature.\u201d<\/p>\n

Aminolraya also pointed to internal chaos within the IRGC, citing the killing of Commander Kioumars Pour-Hashemi during a confrontation in his own command center: \u201cIn the very first hours of the battle in Aleppo, the IRGC\u2019s command structure collapsed. They were so fragmented that their own officers were killed by internal fire.\u201d<\/p>\n

He stated, \u201cThe only party unsurprised by December\u2019s events in Syria was the Iranian regime. On December 11, 2024, Khamenei admitted to knowing about the opposition\u2019s plans for an attack as early as September and claimed to have passed this intelligence to Bashar al-Assad\u2019s government. Yet, Khamenei displayed a paralysis in leadership, failing to respond effectively or seize the moment. This mirrors his inaction last summer when he watched his primary proxy, Hezbollah, come under heavy pressure in Lebanon without showing the will to intervene.\u201d<\/p>\n

This inability to maintain cohesion and fight effectively, Aminolraya concluded, reveals the IRGC\u2019s and, by extension, Khamenei\u2019s dwindling capacity to sustain their grip on power, both abroad and at home.<\/p>\n

Aminolraya pointed to the rapid unraveling of Iranian forces as a decisive factor in Assad’s sudden downfall within just 11 days. \u201cThe primary cause was the collapse of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) in Syria. The IRGC\u2019s inability to withstand opposition forces showcased the regime\u2019s inherent weakness,\u201d he stated.<\/p>\n

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Leaked Documents Expose #Iranian<\/a> Regime\u2019s Unraveling Agenda in #Syria<\/a> and #Lebanon<\/a>https:\/\/t.co\/dp64mP3FPS<\/a><\/p>\n

— NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) December 30, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n