{"id":327486,"date":"2025-01-08T21:08:44","date_gmt":"2025-01-08T20:08:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=327486"},"modified":"2025-01-08T21:08:44","modified_gmt":"2025-01-08T20:08:44","slug":"iran-news-el-independiente-op-ed-links-assads-fall-to-tehrans-deepening-weakness","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-resistance\/iran-news-el-independiente-op-ed-links-assads-fall-to-tehrans-deepening-weakness\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran News: El Independiente Op-Ed Links Assad\u2019s Fall to Tehran\u2019s Deepening Weakness"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_327487\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-327487\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-327487\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/El-Independiente-Op-Ed-Firuz-Mahvi-06012025.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1000\" height=\"567\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/El-Independiente-Op-Ed-Firuz-Mahvi-06012025.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/El-Independiente-Op-Ed-Firuz-Mahvi-06012025-300x170.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/El-Independiente-Op-Ed-Firuz-Mahvi-06012025-768x435.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/El-Independiente-Op-Ed-Firuz-Mahvi-06012025-741x420.jpg 741w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/El-Independiente-Op-Ed-Firuz-Mahvi-06012025-150x85.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/El-Independiente-Op-Ed-Firuz-Mahvi-06012025-696x395.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-327487\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Webpage of El Independiente Op-Ed &#8211; January 6, 2025<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">An op-ed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.elindependiente.com\/opinion\/2025\/01\/06\/como-la-debilidad-de-iran-cambio-el-destino-de-asad\/#google_vignette\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">published in <em>El Independiente<\/em><\/a> on January 6, 2025, argues that the fall of Bashar al-Assad\u2019s 54-year regime in Syria reveals the profound vulnerabilities of Iran\u2019s clerical regime. Authored by Firouz Mahvi, a member of the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI) Foreign Affairs Committee, the piece asserts that Assad\u2019s collapse signals a turning point for the region and marks a critical blow to Tehran\u2019s regional influence.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\">A Strategic Collapse<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">For over four decades, Tehran invested heavily in Syria, using it as a strategic hub to bolster its proxy networks, such as Hezbollah, and to project regional power. According to Mahvi, Iran poured billions into military infrastructure and demographic engineering, forcibly displacing populations to consolidate control. Despite deploying over 100,000 Revolutionary Guards and affiliated forces in Syria by 2017, Iran failed to save Assad&#8217;s regime, revealing significant weaknesses in its military and strategic capabilities.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Mahvi highlights how the disorganized retreat of Iranian regime forces during Assad\u2019s collapse\u2014particularly in Aleppo\u2014laid bare the declining operational capacity and morale of the IRGC. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/terrorism-a-fundamentalism\/irgcs-failures-in-syria-shows-its-inability-to-save-khamenei-in-iran-ncri-member-says\/\">withdrawal of over 30,000<\/a> Iranian-backed fighters undermined Tehran\u2019s long-held image as a dominant force in the Middle East.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/IRGC?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#IRGC<\/a>&#39;s Failures in Syria Shows Its Inability to Save Khamenei in <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>, NCRI Member Says<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/fzu781w7af\">https:\/\/t.co\/fzu781w7af<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1875995685402919162?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 5, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Khamenei\u2019s Waning Hegemony<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The op-ed describes the regime\u2019s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei\u2019s strategy of exporting conflict to mask domestic unrest as increasingly unsustainable. Tehran\u2019s costly involvement in Syria drained resources and left the regime vulnerable to growing dissent at home.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">&#8220;The Iranian regime\u2019s legitimacy has never been rooted in popular support but in coercion,&#8221; the article notes, emphasizing how Assad\u2019s fall destabilizes the fragile foundation of Khamenei\u2019s rule. The decision to escalate regional conflicts, such as Khamenei\u2019s ill-fated involvement in the October 7 war, is portrayed as a desperate gamble that backfired spectacularly, highlighting Tehran\u2019s inability to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/middle-east\/irans-axis-resistance-against-israel-faces-trial-by-fire-2023-11-15\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">manage the fallout<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Hope for the Iranian People<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Assad\u2019s fall has significant psychological and strategic ramifications for Iranians, the op-ed argues. For decades, the regime flaunted its alliance with Syria as a symbol of its regional dominance. Now, Assad\u2019s collapse illustrates Tehran\u2019s vulnerability, emboldening Iranians to envision a future free from oppression.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s Strategic Collapse Evident in Syria\u2019s Fall,\u201d Reports <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Russian?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Russian<\/a> Media<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Y783NOcd1X\">https:\/\/t.co\/Y783NOcd1X<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1874851143840329997?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 2, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The article also credits the NCRI and the People\u2019s Mojahedin Organization\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/english.mojahedin.org\/iranian-resistance-units\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Resistance Units<\/a> within Iran for amplifying hope among the populace. It describes how the opposition is leveraging the regime\u2019s weaknesses to rally public support for democratic change. Protest slogans like \u201cDeath to the oppressor, whether Shah or Supreme Leader\u201d underscore a rejection of all forms of tyranny and a push toward reform.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Global Implications<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The fall of Assad is not merely a regional development but a global inflection point, the op-ed argues. It dismantles a cornerstone of Iran\u2019s regional strategy and exposes the clerical regime to intensified domestic and international pressure. Mahvi concludes: \u201cThe swift collapse of Assad\u2019s regime underscores that the Iranian mullahs are far from invincible. It emboldens the Iranian people to envision a future free from oppression and tyranny.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">As <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/world\/middle-east\/a-weakened-iran-prepares-to-face-trump-2-0-66ae0fbc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Tehran faces increasing challenges<\/a>, <em>El Independiente<\/em> asserts that the regime&#8217;s days are numbered, likening its current position to the Shah\u2019s regime before its 1979 collapse. The op-ed paints a vivid picture of a regime on the brink, with its declining influence hastening its eventual downfall.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>An op-ed published in El Independiente on January 6, 2025, argues that the fall of Bashar al-Assad&rsquo;s 54-year regime in Syria reveals the profound vulnerabilities of Iran&rsquo;s clerical regime. Authored [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":327487,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[222],"class_list":["post-327486","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-iran-resistance","tag-iranian-resistance"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Iran News: El Independiente Op-Ed Links Assad\u2019s Fall to Tehran\u2019s Deepening Weakness - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"An op-ed published in El Independiente on January 6, 2025, argues that the fall of Bashar al-Assad\u2019s 54-year regime in Syria reveals the profound\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-resistance\/iran-news-el-independiente-op-ed-links-assads-fall-to-tehrans-deepening-weakness\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Iran News: El Independiente Op-Ed Links Assad\u2019s Fall to Tehran\u2019s Deepening Weakness - 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