{"id":328518,"date":"2025-02-10T17:53:58","date_gmt":"2025-02-10T16:53:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=328518"},"modified":"2025-02-10T17:53:58","modified_gmt":"2025-02-10T16:53:58","slug":"parallels-and-contrasts-between-1979-and-irans-new-revolution","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-protests\/parallels-and-contrasts-between-1979-and-irans-new-revolution\/","title":{"rendered":"Parallels and Contrasts Between 1979 and Iran\u2019s New Revolution"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_328519\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-328519\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-328519\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/iran-1979-revolution-versus-2022-uprising.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1000\" height=\"562\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/iran-1979-revolution-versus-2022-uprising.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/iran-1979-revolution-versus-2022-uprising-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/iran-1979-revolution-versus-2022-uprising-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/iran-1979-revolution-versus-2022-uprising-747x420.jpg 747w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/iran-1979-revolution-versus-2022-uprising-150x84.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/iran-1979-revolution-versus-2022-uprising-696x391.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-328519\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Iran&#8217;s 1979 revolution (right) and 2022 protests (left) side by side, capturing moments of mass demonstrations<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong><em>Three-minute read<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Today, as Iran\u2019s clerical regime desperately attempts to project strength\u2014mobilizing government employees, security forces, and their families into the streets to mark the 46th anniversary of its establishment\u2014it has never been weaker or closer to collapse.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-protests\/the-2022-uprising-a-point-of-no-return-for-irans-political-landscape\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">uprising of 2022<\/a>, shattered long-held assumptions about the regime\u2019s stability. The explosion of popular anger, sustained over months, exposed deep fissures within Iranian society. Protesters, particularly the defiant youth, took to the streets, punishing the regime\u2019s enforcers and <a href=\"https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2025\/01\/18\/middleeast\/iranian-judges-killed-in-tehran-intl\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">judicial figures<\/a> during and after the uprising, proving to the world that their desire to overthrow the clerical dictatorship was unwavering.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">This was not an isolated event. It followed a series of national protests from 2017 to 2020, each eroding the myth of the regime\u2019s invincibility. Similarly, the unraveling of Tehran\u2019s regional proxy network and the collapse of its sole remaining ally in Syria have all reinforced the growing realization: that the regime\u2019s power is built on a fragile foundation.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Yet, history reminds us that dictatorial overconfidence is nothing new. In 1979, the world was caught off guard by the swift downfall of the Shah\u2019s regime, despite its image as \u201can island of stability in a turbulent region,\u201d as described by President Carter. Lavish celebrations of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=pOYgRD-3-FA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Iran\u2019s 2,500-year monarchy<\/a>, military purchases fueled by oil wealth, and an iron-fisted security apparatus gave the illusion of permanence. The Shah, much like Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei today, fancied himself as a regional power broker. His generals referred to him as \u201cthe Gendarme of the Region,\u201d just as Khamenei\u2019s Revolutionary Guard commanders have claimed dominion over several capitals across the Middle East.<\/p>\n<div class=\"lyte-wrapper\" title=\"Protesters in Iran&amp;#039;s cities chant: Down with the Oppressor, Be it the Shah or the Supreme Leader\" style=\"width:853px;max-width:100%;margin:5px;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_GsNwRF-0bio\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FGsNwRF-0bio%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/GsNwRF-0bio\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT7M36S\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2022-11-28T01:59:51Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_GsNwRF-0bio\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FGsNwRF-0bio%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">Protesters in Iran&#039;s cities chant: Down with the Oppressor, Be it the Shah or the Supreme Leader<\/div><\/div><div class=\"play\"><\/div><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/GsNwRF-0bio\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FGsNwRF-0bio%2F0.jpg\" alt=\"Protesters in Iran&amp;#039;s cities chant: Down with the Oppressor, Be it the Shah or the Supreme Leader\" width=\"853\" height=\"460\" \/><br \/>Watch this video on YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"A popular slogan chanted by protesters in cities across Iran: &quot;Down with the Oppressor, Be it the SHAH or the SUPREME LEADER&quot; #IranProtests #iranrevolution #\u0645\u0647\u0633\u0627_\u0627\u0645\u06cc\u0646\u06cc #\u0645\u0631\u06af_\u0628\u0631_\u0633\u062a\u0645\u06af\u0631_\u0686\u0647_\u0634\u0627\u0647_\u0628\u0627\u0634\u0647_\u0686\u0647_\u0631\u0647\u0628\u0631\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:853px;margin:5px;\"><\/div><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">But both regimes shared a fatal flaw: the belief that brute force could substitute for legitimacy. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/archive\/politics\/1979\/12\/13\/savak-jails-stark-reminder-of-shahs-rule\/b2b37be2-356a-43e2-ba68-dd474e9023b0\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Shah relied on SAVAK<\/a>, his secret police, to silence dissent, assuming that fear alone would secure his rule. He deliberately fostered the perception that \u201cone in three Iranians\u201d worked for the intelligence services, using it as a psychological weapon to intimidate the public. In targeting opposition groups like the People&#8217;s Mojahedin Organization of Iran (PMOI) and the Organization of Iranian People&#8217;s Fedaian, he inadvertently preserved the clerical establishment, which ultimately hijacked the revolution.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Khamenei, in turn, has spent billions constructing a vast security state, layering Iran with intelligence agencies and deploying the Revolutionary Guard\u2019s divisions across every major city to crush dissent. He has prioritized <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-protests\/leaked-letter-from-khamenei-exposes-iranian-regimes-pursuit-of-total-internet-censorship\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">internet censorship<\/a>, employing a sprawling cyber army to shape public perception inside and outside Iran. Western think tanks and lobbying groups have been co-opted to propagate the idea that Iran\u2019s regime is here to stay and that no viable alternative exists. The primary target of this information war? The PMOI and the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI)\u2014the most organized opposition force capable of leading a democratic transition.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The Shah also sought to exploit international crises to maintain his rule, capitalizing on the <a href=\"https:\/\/apps.dtic.mil\/sti\/pdfs\/ADA626131.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">1973 Arab-Israeli War<\/a> and the spike in oil prices to amass personal wealth and consolidate power. Mohammad Reza Pahlavi and his secret service portrayed regime dissidents as Soviet mercenaries, using this narrative to demonize, dehumanize, and legitimize their brutal crackdown on opposition forces.<\/p>\n<div class=\"lyte-wrapper\" title=\"The Shah of Iran and SAVAK (1976) | 60 Minutes Archive\" style=\"width:853px;max-width:100%;margin:5px;\"><div class=\"lyMe qsa_\\&amp;start\\=430\" id=\"WYL_9RH2wXQtFdo\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2F9RH2wXQtFdo%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/9RH2wXQtFdo\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT13M10S\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2022-09-18T21:04:39Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_9RH2wXQtFdo\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2F9RH2wXQtFdo%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">The Shah of Iran and SAVAK (1976) | 60 Minutes Archive<\/div><\/div><div class=\"play\"><\/div><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/9RH2wXQtFdo\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2F9RH2wXQtFdo%2F0.jpg\" alt=\"The Shah of Iran and SAVAK (1976) | 60 Minutes Archive\" width=\"853\" height=\"460\" \/><br \/>Watch this video on YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"In 1976, Mike Wallace interviewed Iran\u2019s Shah Mohammed Reza Pahlavi and asked him if his secret police force, SAVAK, had ever used torture. #60Minutes #News #Iran &quot;60 Minutes&quot; is the most successful television broadcast in history. Offering hard-hitting investigative reports, interviews, feature segments and profiles of people in the news, the broadcast began in 1968 and is still a hit, over 50 seasons later, regularly making Nielsen&#039;s Top 10. Subscribe to the \u201c60 Minutes\u201d YouTube channel: http:\/\/bit.ly\/1S7CLRu Watch full episodes: http:\/\/cbsn.ws\/1Qkjo1F Get more \u201c60 Minutes\u201d from \u201c60 Minutes: Overtime\u201d: http:\/\/cbsn.ws\/1KG3sdr Follow \u201c60 Minutes\u201d on Instagram: http:\/\/bit.ly\/23Xv8Ry Like \u201c60 Minutes\u201d on Facebook: http:\/\/on.fb.me\/1Xb1Dao Follow \u201c60 Minutes\u201d on Twitter: http:\/\/bit.ly\/1KxUsqX Subscribe to our newsletter: http:\/\/cbsn.ws\/1RqHw7T Download the CBS News app: http:\/\/cbsn.ws\/1Xb1WC8 Try Paramount+ free: https:\/\/bit.ly\/2OiW1kZ For video licensing inquiries, contact: licensing@veritone.com\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:853px;margin:5px;\"><\/div><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Four decades later, the clerical dictatorship is attempting the same survival playbook\u2014leveraging international crises, manipulating public discourse, and infiltrating Western institutions to cast its opponents as illegitimate. However, unlike in 1979, Iran\u2019s opposition today is more organized, globally recognized and undeterred by censorship. Even in the face of a media blackout, it refuses to be silenced.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Unsurprisingly, the clerical regime\u2019s propaganda machine has found an unlikely ally in remnants of the deposed monarchy. When former U.S. President Jimmy Carter passed away on December 29, 2024, royalist circles, amplified by regime-aligned cyber operatives, revived the narrative that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iranintl.com\/en\/202412303287\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Carter was to blame<\/a> for the Shah\u2019s downfall. In doing so, they unwittingly admitted to the monarchy\u2019s lack of popular support. After all, Carter\u2019s only demand of his Middle Eastern ally was to respect human rights. If a regime collapses simply because it can no longer execute and torture its citizens with impunity, what does that say about its foundation?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">While the international community, and the West in particular, were caught off guard by the Shah\u2019s propaganda and power displays regarding Iran\u2019s internal affairs\u2014and later failed disastrously in their attempt to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/world-us-canada-36431160\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u201cmanage the revolution\u201d<\/a>\u2014there is no excuse for repeating the same historic mistake today.<\/p>\n<div class=\"lyte-wrapper\" title=\"Iran&amp;#039;s people reject the Shah and mullahs&amp;#039; regimes | Iran protests\" style=\"width:853px;max-width:100%;margin:5px;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_fuul7mLFImY\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2Ffuul7mLFImY%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/fuul7mLFImY\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT4M37S\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2022-10-28T20:22:06Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_fuul7mLFImY\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2Ffuul7mLFImY%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">Iran&#039;s people reject the Shah and mullahs&#039; regimes | Iran protests<\/div><\/div><div class=\"play\"><\/div><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/fuul7mLFImY\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2Ffuul7mLFImY%2F0.jpg\" alt=\"Iran&amp;#039;s people reject the Shah and mullahs&amp;#039; regimes | Iran protests\" width=\"853\" height=\"460\" \/><br \/>Watch this video on YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"Protesters in Iran reject the Shah and mullahs&#039; regimes with the slogan, &quot;Death to the tyrant, whether it is the Shah or the mullahs!&quot; *** Content on the PMOI\/MEK&#039;s official YouTube channel is not subject to copyright if the source is mentioned ***\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:853px;margin:5px;\"><\/div><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The Iranian resistance, through its extensive network inside the country known as <a href=\"https:\/\/english.mojahedin.org\/iranian-resistance-units\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the Resistance Units<\/a>, has been systematically organized to ensure that the transfer of power from the dictatorship to the Iranian people proceeds without disruption. With decades of experience, this resistance movement is determined to prevent any scenario that could derail the process of democratic transition.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Once <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/society\/who-was-mohammad-reza-pahlavi-shah-irans-last-pahlavi-dictator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Mohammad Reza Pahlavi<\/a> was forced to halt torture and executions, his dreaded SAVAK was effectively paralyzed, and his regime unraveled within 27 months. Having learned from his predecessor\u2019s downfall, Khamenei will never willingly make the same &#8220;mistake.&#8221; However, if Khamenei&#8217;s instruments of repression\u2014the IRGC and MOIS\u2014are recognized as legitimate targets, his regime would not withstand the tide of resistance for 27 months.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The world must recognize this inevitability and stop delaying the course of history. The world\u2019s largest state sponsor of terrorism is on the brink of regime change. If sufficient pressure is applied to strip it of its ability to execute and torture, the Iranian people will deliver freedom to their nation, stability to the region, and security to the world.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three-minute read Today, as Iran&rsquo;s clerical regime desperately attempts to project strength&mdash;mobilizing government employees, security forces, and their families into the streets to mark the 46th anniversary of its establishment&mdash;it [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":328519,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13,9],"tags":[130,222],"class_list":{"0":"post-328518","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-iran-resistance","8":"category-iran-protests","9":"tag-iran-protests","10":"tag-iranian-resistance"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - 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