{"id":329239,"date":"2025-03-05T23:21:14","date_gmt":"2025-03-05T22:21:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=329239"},"modified":"2025-03-05T23:21:14","modified_gmt":"2025-03-05T22:21:14","slug":"iranian-regimes-desperate-tactics-to-prevent-snapback-sanctions-as-unsc-2231-deadline-looms","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/nuclear\/iranian-regimes-desperate-tactics-to-prevent-snapback-sanctions-as-unsc-2231-deadline-looms\/","title":{"rendered":"Iranian Regime\u2019s Desperate Tactics to Prevent Snapback Sanctions as UNSC 2231 Deadline Looms"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_253781\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-253781\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-253781\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/UNSC.jpg\" alt=\"United Nations Security Council voting\" width=\"1000\" height=\"535\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/UNSC.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/UNSC-300x161.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/UNSC-768x411.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/UNSC-150x80.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/UNSC-696x372.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-253781\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">United Nations Security Council voting<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><em><strong>Three-minute read\u00a0<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">As the October 2025 deadline for the activation of the UNSC 2231 snapback mechanism approaches, the Iranian regime is growing increasingly desperate, resorting to threats, deception, and diplomatic maneuvering in a bid to prevent the full restoration of international sanctions. Faced with mounting pressure from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and Western powers, Tehran is attempting to stall for time while making <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/nuclear\/iran-news-khameneis-senior-advisor-issues-nuclear-threats-to-mask-regimes-desperation-amid-nuclear-race\/\">veiled threats<\/a> of nuclear escalation and regional destabilization.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Iran\u2019s Threat to Withdraw from the NPT<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Iranian officials have openly threatened to withdraw from the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) should the snapback mechanism be triggered. Foreign Ministry <a href=\"https:\/\/www.javanonline.ir\/fa\/news\/1278040\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">spokesman Esmail Baghaei<\/a>, in a press briefing on January 20, warned that if Western powers invoke the mechanism, Iran would have no justification to remain in the NPT. \u201cOur response will be proportional and reciprocal,\u201d he declared, signaling a dramatic escalation should sanctions be reinstated.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">This stance was echoed by the Iranian Parliament\u2019s National Security Commission, which, according <a href=\"https:\/\/kayhan.ir\/fa\/news\/301225\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">to <\/a><\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Kayhan<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> newspaper, discussed the possibility of withdrawing from the NPT as a retaliatory measure. The threat underscores Tehran\u2019s growing anxiety over the potential collapse of its nuclear strategy and the re-imposition of crippling sanctions.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iranian?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iranian<\/a> Regime\u2019s Posturing During Grossi\u2019s Visit Aims to Avert IAEA Resolution Amid Snapback Mechanism Fears<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/EnhA42z2EV\">https:\/\/t.co\/EnhA42z2EV<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1858075605188718638?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 17, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Tehran\u2019s Attempts to Buy Time Through Diplomacy<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">While issuing threats, Tehran is simultaneously pursuing diplomatic maneuvers to delay any definitive action against its nuclear program. The state-controlled <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sharghdaily.com\/%D8%A8%D8%AE%D8%B4-%D8%B1%D9%88%D8%B2%D9%86%D8%A7%D9%85%D9%87-100\/978959-%D9%81%D8%B5%D9%84-%D8%AF%D8%A7%D8%BA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Shargh Daily<\/span><\/i><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> reported that Iran is hoping to \u201cbuy time\u201d by postponing the IAEA\u2019s comprehensive report on its nuclear activities, giving it a final opportunity to negotiate before snapback sanctions are triggered. Analysts quoted in the article warned that Iran is rapidly approaching a \u201cpoint of no return\u201d unless a last-minute diplomatic compromise is reached.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The pro-regime <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/ebtekarnews.com\/43317\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Ebtekar News<\/span><\/i><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> further outlined Tehran\u2019s strategy, suggesting a temporary \u201climited revival\u201d of the JCPOA as a means to de-escalate tensions and delay punitive measures. This would involve short-term commitments from Iran in exchange for postponing the snapback decision, effectively giving the regime more time to advance its nuclear program while avoiding severe consequences.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Iran\u2019s Growing Defiance of the IAEA<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">At the same time, Iran has intensified its obstruction of IAEA monitoring efforts. In a move condemned by the EU and the U.S., <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ap.org\/news-highlights\/spotlights\/2025\/iran-accelerates-production-of-near-weapons-grade-uranium-iaea-says-as-tensions-with-us-ratchet-up\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Tehran recently blocked<\/a> the designation of four additional experienced IAEA inspectors, further limiting the agency\u2019s oversight. The IAEA has repeatedly warned that the regime\u2019s continued accumulation of highly enriched uranium and installation of advanced centrifuges pose significant proliferation risks with \u201cno credible civilian justification.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">NCRI Statement:<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Maryam_Rajavi?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@Maryam_Rajavi<\/a>: Board of Governors\u2019 Resolution Insufficient, Snapback Mechanism and <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/UNSC?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#UNSC<\/a> Referral Necessary<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/lwP9o0m48o\">https:\/\/t.co\/lwP9o0m48o<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1798416525071954146?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 5, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Iran\u2019s refusal to cooperate with the agency was highlighted in the<a href=\"https:\/\/www.eeas.europa.eu\/delegations\/vienna-international-organisations\/eu-statement-iaea-board-governors-npt-safeguards-agreement-islamic-republic-iran-delivered-5-march_en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> latest EU statement<\/a> at the IAEA Board of Governors, which described Iran\u2019s nuclear advances as \u201cdeeply concerning\u201d and reiterated that Iran is the only non-nuclear weapon state systematically producing and stockpiling highly enriched uranium. The report also confirmed that Iran is producing one significant quantity of 60% enriched uranium per month\u2014an amount that could potentially be diverted for nuclear weapons production.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Regime-Backed Media Pushes a Narrative of Western Weakness<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The Iranian regime\u2019s desperation is further reflected in its state-run media, which has adopted an aggressive stance against Western powers. The IRGC-affiliated <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tasnimnews.com\/fa\/news\/1403\/12\/15\/3270156\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Tasnim News Agency<\/span><\/i><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> claimed that \u201cthe E3 countries (France, Germany, and the UK) are in no position to activate the snapback mechanism.\u201d This argument reflects Tehran\u2019s attempts to undermine the credibility of the mechanism despite its legal validity under UNSC 2231.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Meanwhile, the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sharghdaily.com\/fa\/tiny\/news-979382\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Shargh Daily<\/span><\/i><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> speculated that IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi may soon make another visit to Iran in a final effort to negotiate a deal before the next Board of Governors meeting. The article warned that if no agreement is reached, \u201cthe summer of 2025 may witness one of the most severe diplomatic crises over Iran\u2019s nuclear program.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The Iranian regime not only refuses to cooperate with the agency but also actively disrupts its verification processes.<br \/>the initial step to prevent a terrorist and belligerent regime from acquiring an atomic bomb is to activate the snapback mechanism and ensure the full\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/5wcJ1PkPJ4\">pic.twitter.com\/5wcJ1PkPJ4<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Maryam Rajavi (@Maryam_Rajavi) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Maryam_Rajavi\/status\/1730630107486683370?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 1, 2023<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\">A Regime Running Out of Options<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">With only months remaining before the snapback deadline, Iran\u2019s leadership faces a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/nuclear\/iran-news-state-run-website-calls-for-nuclear-armament-to-establish-balance-of-terror\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">narrowing set of options<\/a>. Its threats to leave the NPT, obstruct IAEA inspections, and provoke diplomatic crises all point to a regime that is running out of leverage. However, these tactics also risk further alienating potential allies such as China while solidifying European and American resolve to hold Tehran accountable.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Despite its bluster, Iran\u2019s leadership appears to recognize the peril it faces. Reports from inside the regime acknowledge that without a last-minute diplomatic breakthrough, the snapback mechanism will be activated, unleashing a new wave of sanctions.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three-minute read&nbsp; As the October 2025 deadline for the activation of the UNSC 2231 snapback mechanism approaches, the Iranian regime is growing increasingly desperate, resorting to threats, deception, and diplomatic [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":53,"featured_media":253781,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[17],"tags":[1175],"class_list":{"0":"post-329239","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nuclear","8":"tag-iran-nuclear"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ 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