{"id":329686,"date":"2025-03-21T17:15:54","date_gmt":"2025-03-21T16:15:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=329686"},"modified":"2025-11-04T19:41:47","modified_gmt":"2025-11-04T18:41:47","slug":"irans-regime-rings-in-the-new-year-with-fear-not-festivity","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/irans-regime-rings-in-the-new-year-with-fear-not-festivity\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran\u2019s Regime Rings in the New Year with Fear, Not Festivity"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_329687\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-329687\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-329687\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/iran-khamenei-eid-speech-20032025.jpg\" alt=\"Iranian regime\u2019s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei delivers his Nowruz speech on March 20, 2025\" width=\"1000\" height=\"559\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/iran-khamenei-eid-speech-20032025.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/iran-khamenei-eid-speech-20032025-300x168.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/iran-khamenei-eid-speech-20032025-768x429.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/iran-khamenei-eid-speech-20032025-751x420.jpg 751w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/iran-khamenei-eid-speech-20032025-150x84.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/iran-khamenei-eid-speech-20032025-696x389.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-329687\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Iranian regime\u2019s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei delivers his Nowruz speech on March 20, 2025<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong><em>Three-minute read<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In a rare moment of candor, the head of Iran\u2019s ruling clerical dictatorship, Ali Khamenei, opened the new Iranian year with a televised message that more closely resembled a list of national catastrophes than a New Year\u2019s address. Comparing the current situation to the volatile and turbulent year of 1981, Khamenei acknowledged the regime\u2019s profound instability, both at home and across the region.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u201cEvents in the year 1403 were like those of 1360 [1981],\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/farsi.khamenei.ir\/message-content?id=59757\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">he said<\/a>. \u201cIt was a year full of incidents, difficulties, and hardships for our dear people.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In the regime\u2019s official calendar, each new year is branded with a theme. But despite the collapse of every economic promise made in recent years, Khamenei again resorted to a hollow slogan: <em>\u201cInvestment for Production.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u201cOur major issue again this year is the economy,\u201d he declared. \u201cWhat I expect from the government, officials, and our dear people is once again an economic matter. It is related to investment in the economy.\u201d<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Khamenei\u2019s Survival at Stake in <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2014Refuses Talks, Doubles Down on Hostility<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/2QEJdEgIXI\">https:\/\/t.co\/2QEJdEgIXI<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1900169018901680135?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 13, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">He went on to dismiss the idea of foreign investment, insisting: \u201cAs soon as we say \u2018investment,\u2019 some people think of foreign capital. No, the investment should be internal&#8230; It must not go toward harmful activities like buying gold and foreign currency.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">But with the rial rapidly approaching 100,000 to the U.S. dollar and the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.macrotrends.net\/global-metrics\/countries\/IRN\/iran\/inflation-rate-cpi#:~:text=Iran%20inflation%20rate%20for%202022,a%209.31%25%20decline%20from%202019.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">official rate of inflation above 35%<\/a>, most Iranians are doing exactly that\u2014fleeing the collapsing currency by investing in hard assets. Khamenei\u2019s calls for economic patriotism are out of touch with a population struggling for basic survival.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\">A Year of Losses and Setbacks<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Khamenei opened his address by recounting what he described as \u201cbitter events,\u201d including the death of the regime\u2019s president Ebrahim Raisi in a helicopter crash and the killing of IRGC commanders in Syria.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u201cIn the early months of the year, the martyrdom of the late Mr. Raisi occurred,\u201d he said. \u201cBefore that, several of our advisors were martyred in Damascus. Then there were various incidents in Tehran and Lebanon&#8230; These were painful events.\u201d<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Khamenei?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Khamenei<\/a> Rejects U.S. Talks, Fears Concessions Will Crumble His Regime in <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Ev7k87roJS\">https:\/\/t.co\/Ev7k87roJS<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1898501733867040819?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 8, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">These events, far from isolated, mark a deep erosion of the regime\u2019s regional influence. Despite this, Khamenei doubled down on denial, rejecting the widespread characterization of Iranian-backed groups as proxies.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u201cIt is wrong to call these groups \u2018proxies.\u2019 This is an insult,\u201d he said. \u201cThe Islamic Republic does not need an agent. These are motivated people. The nations themselves resist.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Yet this claim contradicts decades of public statements from regime officials boasting about building an \u201cAxis of Resistance\u201d from Yemen to Lebanon with Iranian support.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Rejecting Negotiation, Escalating Isolation<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The clerical ruler used his speech to categorically reject negotiations with the United States, just as reports emerged that former U.S. President<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/trump-says-he-sent-letter-iran-leader-negotiate-nuclear-deal-2025-03-07\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> Donald Trump had sent a letter<\/a> to Tehran, warning of possible military action unless Iran returns to nuclear talks.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Khamenei\u2019s Removal of Zarif and Hemmati Marks a New Phase in <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/QROYkyFVYK\">https:\/\/t.co\/QROYkyFVYK<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1896680734334878062?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 3, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u201cNegotiation with America is neither wise, nor intelligent, nor honorable,\u201d read a banner published simultaneously on Khamenei\u2019s official website. \u201cWhy? Because of experience!\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In his Nowruz address, Khamenei did not acknowledge the letter, though just days earlier he had publicly denied receiving it.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, however, confirmed its existence <a href=\"https:\/\/www.isna.ir\/news\/1403123020654\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">in a state TV interview<\/a>, saying: \u201cThe letter was more of a threat, although [Trump] claims opportunities also exist.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Meanwhile, Iran\u2019s nuclear activities continue to raise alarms. The International Atomic Energy Agency has warned that Iran is enriching uranium at 60%, dangerously close to weapons-grade. Khamenei, however, remained silent on the issue in his New Year message.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\">No Sign of Nowruz, No Sign of Confidence<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">For the second year in a row, Khamenei\u2019s address ignored Nowruz, the ancient Persian New Year celebrated for millennia across Iran. There was no Haft-Seen, no seasonal flowers, not even a symbolic gesture toward Iranian cultural identity.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The regime\u2019s president Masoud <a href=\"https:\/\/www.khabaronline.ir\/news\/2040011\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Pezeshkian also addressed<\/a> the nation but offered little beyond vague reassurances.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Persian Year 1403: A Year of Tumult for the Regime and Transformation for <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Nowruz?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Nowruz<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/y3UAN3Gy05\">https:\/\/t.co\/y3UAN3Gy05<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1902791863993565442?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 20, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u201cI understand the problems of inflation and high prices with all my being,\u201d he said. \u201cWe will definitely find a way to overcome these challenges.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Pezeshkian, echoing Khamenei, praised \u201cthe lofty goals and vision of our dear leader\u201d and called for \u201cinternal unity and avoiding polarization.\u201d He also reiterated the regime\u2019s priority of strengthening ties with regional neighbors over global engagement.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">His remarks did not include any concrete policy proposals.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Regime Preparing for a Volatile Year<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">By likening the current situation to 1981, Khamenei drew attention to a year remembered for nationwide uprisings and brutal crackdowns. Then, as now, the regime faced mounting internal dissent and deep political fractures.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The fact that Khamenei sees parallels to that period may reflect what many inside and outside Iran already sense: the clerical dictatorship is entering a year of profound vulnerability.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">As public discontent deepens, the clerical dictatorship faces growing international isolation, the dismantling of its regional militias, and a continuing economic freefall. Amid these mounting pressures, the leadership <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-protests\/the-2022-uprising-a-point-of-no-return-for-irans-political-landscape\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">appears more concerned<\/a> with the anger simmering inside Iran than with any external adversary. Khamenei\u2019s message may have been intended as a display of resolve\u2014but instead, it exposed a regime gripped by fear.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three-minute read In a rare moment of candor, the head of Iran&rsquo;s ruling clerical dictatorship, Ali Khamenei, opened the new Iranian year with a televised message that more closely resembled [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":329687,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[45],"tags":[5480],"class_list":{"0":"post-329686","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-news","8":"tag-ali-khamenei"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Iran\u2019s Regime Rings in the New Year with Fear, Not Festivity - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Three-minute read In a rare moment of candor, the head of Iran\u2019s ruling clerical dictatorship, Ali Khamenei, opened the new Iranian year with a televised\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/irans-regime-rings-in-the-new-year-with-fear-not-festivity\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Iran\u2019s Regime Rings in the New Year with Fear, Not Festivity - 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