{"id":329765,"date":"2025-03-23T17:57:08","date_gmt":"2025-03-23T16:57:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=329765"},"modified":"2025-11-04T19:36:19","modified_gmt":"2025-11-04T18:36:19","slug":"fact-checking-khameneis-nowruz-speech-in-iran-reveals-economic-crisis-and-veiled-response-to-u-s","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/fact-checking-khameneis-nowruz-speech-in-iran-reveals-economic-crisis-and-veiled-response-to-u-s\/","title":{"rendered":"Fact-Checking Khamenei\u2019s Nowruz Speech in Iran Reveals Economic Crisis and Veiled Response to U.S."},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_329766\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-329766\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-329766\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/iran-tehran-ali-khamenei-nowruz-1404-speech.jpg\" alt=\"Iranian regime's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei addressed his followers on March 21, 2025, in Tehran, Iran's capital\" width=\"1000\" height=\"568\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/iran-tehran-ali-khamenei-nowruz-1404-speech.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/iran-tehran-ali-khamenei-nowruz-1404-speech-300x170.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/iran-tehran-ali-khamenei-nowruz-1404-speech-768x436.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/iran-tehran-ali-khamenei-nowruz-1404-speech-739x420.jpg 739w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/iran-tehran-ali-khamenei-nowruz-1404-speech-150x85.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/iran-tehran-ali-khamenei-nowruz-1404-speech-696x395.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-329766\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Iranian regime&#8217;s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei addressed his followers on March 21, 2025, in Tehran, Iran&#8217;s capital<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><em><strong>Three-minute read<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\">On March 21, 2025, Ali Khamenei delivered <a href=\"https:\/\/farsi.khamenei.ir\/speech-content?id=59802\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">his annual Nowruz speech<\/a> in northern Tehran, addressing a tightly vetted and demoralized group of regime loyalists. Under the shadow of domestic unrest, regional failures, and mounting international pressure, Khamenei resorted to his usual cocktail of religious sanctimony, economic doublespeak, and geopolitical deflection. While posturing as a moral leader, he painted a distorted picture of the country\u2019s situation, presenting himself as both above the political fray and the guiding hand of the nation. A closer fact-check of his claims, however, reveals a desperate bid to salvage the clerical dictatorship\u2019s eroding legitimacy at home and abroad.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"\" style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"1442\" data-end=\"1513\">A Call to Enrich Regime Conglomerates<\/h3>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"1515\" data-end=\"1886\">Khamenei designated the Persian year 1404 (March 2025\u2013March 2026) as the year of \u201cinvestment for production,\u201d urging Iranians to channel their money into domestic ventures. \u201cWhen we say investment, we don\u2019t mean foreign investment,\u201d he emphasized. \u201cWe mean domestic investment \u2014 people should not spend their liquidity on gold, foreign currency, or land.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"1888\" data-end=\"2412\">What he failed to mention is that productive sectors in Iran are dominated by entities under his direct control \u2014 including the IRGC, the Astan Quds Razavi, and massive holding companies like <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/investigates\/iran\/#article\/part1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Setad (EIKO)<\/a> and Bonyads. These institutions have a long record of embezzlement and economic mismanagement. Worse, previous calls for public investment \u2014 such as <a href=\"https:\/\/english.khamenei.ir\/news\/7516\/Imam-Khamenei-s-directive-on-the-vesting-of-Edalat-Shares\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">his 2020 promotion<\/a> of stock market participation \u2014 ended in catastrophe <a href=\"https:\/\/english.mojahedin.org\/news\/iran-news\/iran-stock-market-crash-triggers-new-crisis\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">when markets crashed<\/a>, wiping out the savings of ordinary citizens while regime insiders profited.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"2414\" data-end=\"2753\">Khamenei further stressed that \u201csmall or large-scale investments are all useful and necessary\u201d, but again ignored that knowledge-based companies \u2014 the supposed target of this call \u2014 are largely controlled by military and clerical conglomerates. These same entities are now facing protests across the country by <a href=\"https:\/\/iranfocus.com\/life-in-iran\/52676-people-from-various-walks-of-life-hold-protests-across-iran\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">defrauded investors<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Khamenei\u2019s Survival at Stake in <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2014Refuses Talks, Doubles Down on Hostility<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/2QEJdEgIXI\">https:\/\/t.co\/2QEJdEgIXI<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1900169018901680135?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 13, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">A historical example exposes this strategy further: in 1996, during a trip to Khuzestan, Khamenei launched the so-called \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.tasnimnews.com\/fa\/news\/1398\/12\/21\/2221424\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">550,000-hectare project<\/a>,\u201d confiscating vast tracts of land in Khuzestan and Ilam. Officially pitched as a development project for agricultural prosperity, the land was handed over to regime-linked entities, diverting public water from the Karun River to these operations and accelerating the environmental collapse of the region. Though the project was funded by state budgets, its profits were pocketed by regime elites, while locals received nothing but drought and displacement. In 2014, the Rouhani government poured $1.5 billion from the National Development Fund into the project. By 2018, under Es\u2019haq Jahangiri, the cost of the second phase had ballooned to 20 trillion tomans.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"\" style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"3587\" data-end=\"3640\">Denying Economic Power, While Pulling the Strings<\/h3>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"3642\" data-end=\"4151\">In his speech, Khamenei disingenuously claimed: \u201cThe Leader does not interfere in economic planning, nor is he allowed to.\u201d However, the regime\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/davoudabadi.ir\/page\/4286975\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Article 110 of the Constitution<\/a> explicitly grants him authority to set macroeconomic policy and oversee its implementation. Moreover, he personally established the Economic Coordination Council of the Heads of the Three Branches in 2018, whose decisions \u2014 including the 2019 gasoline price hike \u2014 triggered massive nationwide protests <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/world\/special-report-irans-leader-ordered-crackdown-on-unrest-do-whatever-it-take-idUSKBN1YR0QO\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">and hundreds of deaths<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"4153\" data-end=\"4415\">As former President Hassan Rouhani later revealed, Khamenei not only backed the price hike but insisted on its approval, even when the cabinet opposed it. The claim of non-involvement in economic decision-making is both misleading and demonstrably false.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"5647\" data-end=\"6077\">By declaring that the \u201cLeader\u2019s role is not economic planning,\u201d he effectively threw Pezeshkian under the bus \u2014 isolating himself from accountability while maintaining overarching control through policy directives and institutional leverage.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"6079\" data-end=\"6223\">This tactic mirrors his past behavior \u2014 shielding himself from the fallout of regime decisions while empowering loyalists to execute his agenda.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Khamenei\u2019s Speech Reveals His Deepest Fear: The <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iranian?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iranian<\/a> People<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/pcr6apDfMu\">https:\/\/t.co\/pcr6apDfMu<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1891904512979333233?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 18, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"\" style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"4417\" data-end=\"4493\">Khamenei\u2019s Response to Trump<\/h3>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"4495\" data-end=\"4849\">Though he did not name him directly, Khamenei responded to a letter from U.S. President Donald Trump, whose terms are claimed to have been leaked<a href=\"https:\/\/www.intellinews.com\/us-sets-six-conditions-for-iran-talks-in-trump-letter-to-supreme-leader-372915\/?source=iran\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> by a regional analyst<\/a> on March 21, including: \u201cdismantle the nuclear program,\u201d \u201cstop uranium enrichment,\u201d \u201ccease weapons shipments to the Houthis,\u201d and \u201cend financial support to Hezbollah.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"4851\" data-end=\"5187\">Khamenei dismissed these conditions as \u201cfutile,\u201d stating: \u201cAnyone who threatens the Iranian nation will be slapped hard.\u201d This line \u2014 a veiled reference to retaliation through nuclear escalation or regional militias \u2014 is widely interpreted as Tehran\u2019s rejection of Trump\u2019s offer of negotiations in exchange for sanctions relief.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"5189\" data-end=\"5593\">Khamenei also tried to deny the very existence of Tehran\u2019s regional proxies, asserting that: \u201cResistance movements in Palestine, Lebanon, and Yemen act based on internal motivations and faith \u2014 Iran has no need for proxies.\u201d This claim flies in the face of decades of evidence documenting the clerical dictatorship\u2019s deep involvement with Hezbollah, the Houthis, and Iraq\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=24bsS8sfb1s\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Popular Mobilization Forces<\/a>.<\/p>\n<div class=\"lyte-wrapper\" title=\"Iran Proxies- Iraq&rsquo;s Hashd al-Shaabi (Popular Mobilization Forces) - Part 1\" style=\"width:853px;max-width:100%;margin:5px;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_7jBJ4gTp2vA\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2F7jBJ4gTp2vA%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/7jBJ4gTp2vA\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT3M45S\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2024-01-12T21:06:29Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_7jBJ4gTp2vA\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2F7jBJ4gTp2vA%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">Iran Proxies- Iraq\u2019s Hashd al-Shaabi (Popular Mobilization Forces) - Part 1<\/div><\/div><div class=\"play\"><\/div><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/7jBJ4gTp2vA\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2F7jBJ4gTp2vA%2F0.jpg\" alt=\"Iran Proxies- Iraq&rsquo;s Hashd al-Shaabi (Popular Mobilization Forces) - Part 1\" width=\"853\" height=\"460\" \/><br \/>Watch this video on YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"Read More: https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/IranNCR\/ https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy Subscribe to NCRI weekly newsletter: https:\/\/bit.ly\/3SMgEla\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:853px;margin:5px;\"><\/div><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"\" style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"6225\" data-end=\"6254\">A Regime on the Defensive<\/h3>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"6256\" data-end=\"6609\">While Khamenei praised \u201cunprecedented voter turnout\u201d and the \u201cepic funeral of Martyr Raisi,\u201d video evidence and eyewitness accounts suggest otherwise. Reports showed empty polling stations during the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/ncri-statements\/statement-iran-protest\/irans-sham-election-khamenei-is-the-strategic-loser-of-this-electoral-charade\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">various 2024 sham elections<\/a> and widespread public apathy. Funerals were orchestrated with heavy state involvement, and dissenters were threatened or arrested.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"6611\" data-end=\"6893\">His depiction of national unity stands in stark contrast to a year marked by record-high executions, mass protests, and escalating strikes. The clerical dictatorship\u2019s attempt to mask its repression with religious and revolutionary slogans grows more hollow by the year.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\">Far from projecting strength, Khamenei\u2019s Nowruz speech betrayed a regime on the defensive\u2014facing international isolation, economic meltdown, factional infighting, and growing defiance from a people who, after 45 years of clerical misrule, have grown immune to the regime\u2019s lies. Beneath the grandiose rhetoric, the message was clear: the regime\u2019s Supreme Leader is scrambling to hold the line. But the cracks in the foundation are growing.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three-minute read On March 21, 2025, Ali Khamenei delivered his annual Nowruz speech in northern Tehran, addressing a tightly vetted and demoralized group of regime loyalists. Under the shadow of [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":329766,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[45],"tags":[5480],"class_list":{"0":"post-329765","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-news","8":"tag-ali-khamenei"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Fact-Checking Khamenei\u2019s Nowruz Speech in Iran Reveals Economic Crisis and Veiled Response to U.S. - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Three-minute read On March 21, 2025, Ali Khamenei delivered his annual Nowruz speech in northern Tehran, addressing a tightly vetted and demoralized group\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/fact-checking-khameneis-nowruz-speech-in-iran-reveals-economic-crisis-and-veiled-response-to-u-s\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Fact-Checking Khamenei\u2019s Nowruz Speech in Iran Reveals Economic Crisis and Veiled Response to U.S. - 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