{"id":329981,"date":"2025-03-31T09:57:46","date_gmt":"2025-03-31T08:57:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=329981"},"modified":"2025-11-04T19:36:02","modified_gmt":"2025-11-04T18:36:02","slug":"khameneis-eid-al-fitr-speech-reveals-fear-of-popular-uprising-over-foreign-threats","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-protests\/khameneis-eid-al-fitr-speech-reveals-fear-of-popular-uprising-over-foreign-threats\/","title":{"rendered":"Khamenei&#8217;s Eid al-Fitr Speech Reveals Fear of Popular Uprising Over Foreign Threats"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_329982\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-329982\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-329982\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/iran-ali-khamenei-fitr-speech-31032025.jpg\" alt=\"The Iranian regime's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei delivers his Eid al-Fitr speech in Tehran on March 31, 2025\" width=\"1000\" height=\"562\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/iran-ali-khamenei-fitr-speech-31032025.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/iran-ali-khamenei-fitr-speech-31032025-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/iran-ali-khamenei-fitr-speech-31032025-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/iran-ali-khamenei-fitr-speech-31032025-747x420.jpg 747w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/iran-ali-khamenei-fitr-speech-31032025-150x84.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/iran-ali-khamenei-fitr-speech-31032025-696x391.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-329982\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Iranian regime&#8217;s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei delivers his Eid al-Fitr speech in Tehran on March 31, 2025<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong><em>Two-minute read<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The Iranian regime\u2019s Supreme Leader Ali <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aparat.com\/v\/atm635l\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Khamenei delivered a speech<\/a> on March 31, 2025, during Eid al-Fitr prayers in Tehran, signaling once again that his primary concern lies not with foreign threats but with internal rebellion.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Khamenei dismissed the possibility of foreign military strikes against the regime, stating, \u201cWe are not very confident and do not consider it likely that external forces will act with hostility. But if they do, they will certainly receive a firm and reciprocal blow.\u201d His remarks come just a day after U.S. President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/trump-says-there-will-be-bombing-if-iran-does-not-make-nuclear-deal-2025-03-30\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Donald Trump warned<\/a> that Iran would face unprecedented bombing if it did not reach a nuclear agreement with the United States.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">However, Khamenei\u2019s speech focused significantly more on the threat of domestic unrest. Referring to potential internal dissent, he stated, \u201cIf the enemies think they can create sedition inside the country, the Iranian people themselves will respond.\u201d This is a recurring theme in Khamenei\u2019s rhetoric, underscoring his fear that growing popular discontent could destabilize his regime.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Khamenei Rejects Talks\u2014But His Advisors Say Otherwise. Why?<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/3qvPRGr2Pw\">https:\/\/t.co\/3qvPRGr2Pw<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1905708790793867414?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 28, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Regime&#8217;s Survival Threatened by Domestic Crisis<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Khamenei\u2019s emphasis on internal threats aligns with recent warnings by regime-affiliated experts. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.khabaronline.ir\/news\/2042465\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Taghi Azad Armaki<\/a>, a state-linked sociologist, recently stated, \u201cWhether we go to war or make peace with the world, in the not-too-distant future, we will face multiple social protests.\u201d He added, \u201cWe are in an emergency situation. Parts of society are ready to revolt because they can no longer wait for conditions to improve. Even if we do not enter a war, the possibility of social upheavals remains.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Similarly, regime-affiliated economists have warned of worsening economic conditions. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baharnews.ir\/news\/522845\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Mehdi Pazouki, speaking<\/a> on March 29, acknowledged the regime\u2019s economic bankruptcy, stating, \u201cWhen you listen to parliamentary discussions, they talk about a 1 trillion toman budget deficit for this year. That means higher inflation. Ordering the Central Bank to print money means increased liquidity.\u201d He warned that these policies would lead to \u201chigher inflation and reduced purchasing power.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/fararu.com\/fa\/news\/847010\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Mahmoud Jam-Saz<\/a>, a regime-linked economist, warned that Iran\u2019s economy is collapsing under the weight of systemic corruption, misguided policies, and severe budget deficits, noting that the country\u2019s currency has hit its lowest global ranking. He attributed the crisis to the regime\u2019s failure to implement structural reforms and its reliance on excessive money printing, which has fueled runaway inflation and diminished purchasing power.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Fact-Checking Khamenei\u2019s Nowruz Speech in <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a> Reveals Economic Crisis and Veiled Response to U.S.<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/qfizpBV2bv\">https:\/\/t.co\/qfizpBV2bv<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1903854711033233679?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 23, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Increased Militaristic Rhetoric<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In recent weeks, the IRGC and other military officials have intensified their belligerent rhetoric, showcasing missile cities and boasting about the regime\u2019s military capabilities. The <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/TehranTimes79\/status\/1906420102603440550\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Tehran Times, on March 30<\/a>, claimed that the regime\u2019s missile forces across all underground \u201cmissile cities\u201d are now installed on launchers and prepared to fire. This display of strength is aimed at projecting power and reassuring the regime\u2019s demoralized forces.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The IRGC\u2019s statements align with Khamenei\u2019s speech. \u201cOur positions are the same as before; the enmity of America and the Zionist regime remains unchanged,\u201d Khamenei declared, while calling Israel a \u201cterrorist\u201d state that must be eliminated.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\">The Real Threat: A Popular Revolution<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">While Khamenei projects strength against external threats, his repeated emphasis on the danger of internal unrest reveals a regime increasingly rattled by the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-protests\/iranian-officials-and-analysts-sound-alarm-over-imminent-social-explosion\/\">potential of popular uprisings<\/a>. Economic collapse, systemic corruption, and brutal repression have fueled nationwide protests, with various sectors of society \u2014 from laborers and farmers to women and students \u2014 voicing their grievances.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Analysts suggest Khamenei\u2019s speech is an acknowledgment that the most significant threat to the clerical regime\u2019s survival is not foreign powers, but the Iranian people themselves.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Two-minute read The Iranian regime&rsquo;s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei delivered a speech on March 31, 2025, during Eid al-Fitr prayers in Tehran, signaling once again that his primary concern lies [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":53,"featured_media":329982,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[5480],"class_list":{"0":"post-329981","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-iran-protests","8":"tag-ali-khamenei"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Khamenei&#039;s Eid al-Fitr Speech Reveals Fear of Popular Uprising Over Foreign Threats - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Two-minute read The Iranian regime\u2019s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei delivered a speech on March 31, 2025, during Eid al-Fitr prayers in Tehran, signaling\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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