{"id":330308,"date":"2025-04-09T08:56:25","date_gmt":"2025-04-09T07:56:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=330308"},"modified":"2025-04-09T08:56:25","modified_gmt":"2025-04-09T07:56:25","slug":"irans-economic-crisis-built-to-break-bound-to-burn","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/economy\/irans-economic-crisis-built-to-break-bound-to-burn\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran’s Economic Crisis: Built to Break, Bound to Burn"},"content":{"rendered":"
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AI-generated image of Tehran\u2019s skyline, visually representing the country\u2019s economic downturn\u2014 a symbolic depiction of Iran\u2019s deepening fiscal crisis<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Four-minute read<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

In an extraordinary series of confessions by state-affiliated experts and officials, the reality of Iran\u2019s deepening economic catastrophe has come into stark focus. Behind the regime\u2019s rhetoric of resilience and self-sufficiency lies a devastated economy marked by structural decay, mass impoverishment, and unsustainable fiscal practices. The accumulating evidence now points to economic mismanagement and a systemic collapse rapidly becoming a catalyst for political upheaval.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe\u2019ve reached an extremely dangerous point\u201d<\/h3>\n

This blunt warning comes from Masoud Nili, a senior economist and an advisor to the regime’s former president Hassan Rouhani. On April 6, in a revealing online dialogue<\/a> with the former Economy Minister Ehsan Khandoozi, Nili dismantled the official narrative of economic recovery, stating unequivocally: \u201cWe are not growing at all.\u201d He described the Iranian economy as fundamentally broken, plagued by decades of dependency on oil exports, massive imports, and a lack of real productivity.<\/p>\n

Nili, who has been close to the inner workings of regime economic policy, said: \u201cInstead of saying what pleases officials, we need to tell the truth.\u201d That truth, he emphasized, is that even if sanctions were lifted, without deep structural reform, Iran\u2019s economy is headed for disaster. He warned of a \u201cDutch disease\u201d scenario if oil revenues return without real diversification and slammed Iran\u2019s confrontational foreign policy for blocking all prospects of sustained growth.<\/p>\n

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#Iran<\/a>\u2019s Economic Collapse and Social Unrest Looming in 2025https:\/\/t.co\/zN1eMj0Spm<\/a><\/p>\n

— NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) March 18, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n