{"id":332776,"date":"2025-06-09T20:54:16","date_gmt":"2025-06-09T19:54:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=332776"},"modified":"2025-06-09T20:54:16","modified_gmt":"2025-06-09T19:54:16","slug":"irans-nuclear-program-a-regimes-fear-of-collapse-amidst-escalating-tensions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/nuclear\/irans-nuclear-program-a-regimes-fear-of-collapse-amidst-escalating-tensions\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran\u2019s Nuclear Program: A Regime\u2019s Fear of Collapse Amidst Escalating Tensions"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_258187\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-258187\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-258187 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/iran-irgc-missiles-e1749498569107.jpg\" alt=\"IRGC commanders pose during a visit to a missile test site in Iran\" width=\"1000\" height=\"565\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/iran-irgc-missiles-e1749498569107.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/iran-irgc-missiles-e1749498569107-300x170.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/iran-irgc-missiles-e1749498569107-768x434.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/iran-irgc-missiles-e1749498569107-150x85.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/iran-irgc-missiles-e1749498569107-696x393.jpg 696w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/iran-irgc-missiles-e1749498569107-743x420.jpg 743w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-258187\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">IRGC commanders pose during a visit to a missile test site in Iran<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong><em>Four-minute read<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The Iranian regime stands at a precarious crossroads, gripped by mounting anxiety over its nuclear program\u2014a cornerstone of its identity and a symbol of its defiance against Western powers and a boiling society.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Recent statements from Iranian regime officials and state media reveal a deep-seated fear that the loss of the nuclear project could precipitate the fall of the regime itself. This anxiety, rooted in both strategic and ideological concerns, is amplified by escalating international pressure and the specter of renewed sanctions or military action. The regime\u2019s rhetoric, laced with defiance and desperation, underscores the existential stakes tied to its nuclear ambitions.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">A Nuclear Program Under Siege<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The week of June 7, 2025, marked a pivotal moment for Iran regime\u2019s nuclear file, as Western governments, including the United States and the three European parties to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA)\u2014France, Germany, and the United Kingdom\u2014<a href=\"https:\/\/iranfocus.com\/nuclear\/54452-warning-resolution-by-iaea-board-of-governors-tehran-has-violated-its-safeguards-commitments\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">prepared a resolution<\/a> to condemn Iran\u2019s regime at the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Board of Governors.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The resolution accuses Iran\u2019s regime of failing to meet its safeguards obligations, a charge that Tehran vehemently rejects. Shahab Shahsavari, a regime\u2019s international affairs reporter for the state-run <a href=\"https:\/\/hammihanonline.ir\/fa\/tiny\/news-40012\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Ham-Mihan newspaper, noted<\/a> on June 7 that such a resolution could push Tehran-Europe relations, already at their coldest since the 1979 revolution, to a breaking point.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iranian?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iranian<\/a> Regime\u2019s Nuclear Deadlock: Fear, Frustration, and the Theater of Defiance<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/hDxtZFNqIi\">https:\/\/t.co\/hDxtZFNqIi<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1930550714184409167?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 5, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Iran regime\u2019s Foreign Minister, Abbas <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/araghchi\/status\/1930901917695197307\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Araghchi, responded<\/a> with a sharp rebuke on the social media platform X, accusing the European trio of leveling \u201cfalse accusations\u201d based on \u201cflimsy and politicized reports\u201d to manufacture a crisis.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">He warned that Iran\u2019s regime would respond \u201cdecisively\u201d to any violation of its rights, signaling Tehran\u2019s readiness to escalate if pushed further. Araghchi\u2019s remarks reflect a broader concern within the regime: that Western pressure, particularly if it leads to a referral of Iran\u2019s file to the UN Security Council or the activation of the JCPOA\u2019s \u201csnapback\u201d mechanism, could unravel not only the nuclear program but also Iran regime\u2019s broader geopolitical influence.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Hassan Beheshtipour, a regime-affiliated nuclear affairs expert, drew parallels to the early 2000s, when Western governments issued nine IAEA resolutions against the Iranian regime before referring its file to the Security Council in 2006. \u201cThe current circumstances are similar,\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/www.magiran.com\/article\/4612554\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Beheshtipour warned<\/a>, suggesting that Europe\u2019s actions are a deliberate attempt to corner the regime and extract concessions.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Khamenei?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Khamenei<\/a>\u2019s Rejection of U.S. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Nuclear?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Nuclear<\/a> Offer Reveals Deeper Fear of Internal Unrest Than Foreign Threats<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ArNlEG5qDL\">https:\/\/t.co\/ArNlEG5qDL<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1930297167110906288?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 4, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">The Nuclear Program as a Pillar of Regime Survival<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">For the Iranian regime, the nuclear program is more than a scientific or strategic asset\u2014it is a linchpin of its legitimacy and survival. Ali Asghar Nakhee-Rad, a member of the regime\u2019s parliament, articulated this on June 8, emphasizing that the nuclear file directly impacts Iran\u2019s economic future, security, and international standing.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Criticizing the Foreign Ministry for negotiating on \u201cminimal demands\u201d rather than upholding the regime\u2019s uncompromising stance, <a href=\"https:\/\/44867531.khabarban.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nakhee-Rad declared 60%<\/a> uranium enrichment a \u201cred line\u201d that must not be crossed.\u00a0His remarks betray a profound anxiety that any retreat on the nuclear front could signal weakness, inviting further Western aggression and destabilizing the regime\u2019s grip on power.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">This fear is echoed in the regime\u2019s ideological narrative, which ties the nuclear program to the concept of Velayat-e Faqih (Guardianship of the Islamic Jurist), the foundational principle of the Iranian regime.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iranian?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iranian<\/a> Nuclear Chief Admits Regime Exploited <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/JCPOA?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#JCPOA<\/a> to \u201cClose File,\u201d Blames <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Mojahedineng?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@Mojahedineng<\/a> for Derailing Secret Strategy<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Jbqr6xPPJo\">https:\/\/t.co\/Jbqr6xPPJo<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1930011173597872200?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 3, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Hamid Rasaee, a member of the parliament\u2019s Cultural Committee, argued on June 7 on the official state News Network (IRIB) that the nuclear industry\u2019s survival hinges on the Supreme Leader\u2019s authority. \u201cIf there were no Supreme Leader,\u201d<a href=\"https:\/\/www.khabaronline.ir\/news\/2074792\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> Rasaee asserted<\/a>, \u201cour nuclear industry would have been dismantled and destroyed.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">He framed Western opposition to Iran regime\u2019s nuclear ambitions as part of a broader campaign against the regime\u2019s foundation, citing historical American statements that their quarrel is not with the regime but with its theocratic leadership. For Rasaee, the nuclear program is a shield for the revolution\u2019s ideological core, without which the regime risks collapse.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">A Defiant Yet Anxious Clergy<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The regime\u2019s clergy, a key pillar of its authority, have also voiced alarm over the nuclear program\u2019s fate. Rasoul Fallahati, the Friday Prayer Leader of Rasht, declared on Baran Network Television on June 7 that the United States and its allies seek to \u201cbring the Islamic Republic to its knees\u201d by depriving it of nuclear energy, which he described as a \u201cnatural blessing.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">His rhetoric casts the nuclear program as a divine right, intertwining it with the regime\u2019s religious legitimacy. Similarly, Ali Hosseinipour, the Friday prayer leader of Arak, speaking during the Eid al-Adha prayer, denounced the United States as a criminal power with no legitimate standing to dictate Iran\u2019s nuclear policy. \u201cWho is America that we should compromise or yield to them?\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tasnimnews.com\/fa\/news\/1404\/03\/16\/3329034\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Hosseinipour said<\/a>, expressing outrage at Western demands to control Iran\u2019s nuclear capabilities. His call for defiance, however, is tinged with frustration, reflecting the regime\u2019s growing sense of encirclement.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">IAEA Report and Geo-Economic Data Expose <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s Nuclear Program as Weapons-Driven<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Z8PTOUIIjx\">https:\/\/t.co\/Z8PTOUIIjx<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1929803991925641486?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 3, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">A Regime on the Brink<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The Iranian regime\u2019s rhetoric in early June 2025 reveals a profound fear that the loss of its nuclear program could trigger a cascade of crises, culminating in its downfall. The nuclear file is not merely a technical issue but a symbol of the regime\u2019s defiance, legitimacy, and ideological mission.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">As Western powers tighten the noose through IAEA resolutions and potential Security Council action, Tehran\u2019s leaders are grappling with the existential threat of losing their nuclear ambitions\u2014and with them, the revolution itself.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The regime\u2019s defiant posture, articulated by parliamentarians, clergy, and officials, masks a deeper anxiety: that the collapse of the nuclear program could unravel the delicate balance of power that has sustained the Iranian regime for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/exclusive-report\/timeline-of-ncris-revelations-to-prevent-a-nuclear-armed-iran\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">over four decades<\/a>. As international pressure mounts, the regime\u2019s leaders are left to navigate a perilous path.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Four-minute read The Iranian regime stands at a precarious crossroads, gripped by mounting anxiety over its nuclear program&mdash;a cornerstone of its identity and a symbol of its defiance against Western [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":258187,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[17],"tags":[1175],"class_list":{"0":"post-332776","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nuclear","8":"tag-iran-nuclear"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Iran\u2019s Nuclear Program: A Regime\u2019s Fear of Collapse Amidst Escalating Tensions - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Four-minute read The Iranian regime stands at a precarious crossroads, gripped by mounting anxiety over its nuclear program\u2014a cornerstone of its identity\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/nuclear\/irans-nuclear-program-a-regimes-fear-of-collapse-amidst-escalating-tensions\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Iran\u2019s Nuclear Program: A Regime\u2019s Fear of Collapse Amidst Escalating Tensions - 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