{"id":333609,"date":"2025-06-30T20:08:10","date_gmt":"2025-06-30T19:08:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=333609"},"modified":"2025-07-01T20:28:02","modified_gmt":"2025-07-01T19:28:02","slug":"iran-regime-shaken-by-ceasefire-fallout-fear-of-unrest-mounts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-regime-shaken-by-ceasefire-fallout-fear-of-unrest-mounts\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran Regime Shaken by Ceasefire Fallout, Fear of Unrest Mounts"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"Oct.
Oct. 9, 2024 \u2013 Tehran\u2019s Valiasr Square mural updated after \u201cOperation Truthful Promise 2.\u201d The regime uses this high-traffic spot for propaganda to project military power<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Four-minute read<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

When the clerical dictatorship agreed to a ceasefire with Israel, it wasn\u2019t just a retreat from the battlefield\u2014it exposed fractures within Iran\u2019s ruling system. In the days that followed, regime officials scrambled to manage the internal consequences: diplomatic embarrassment, intelligence lapses, collapsing public trust, and rising anxiety over unrest.
\nAs the regime attempts to project defiance externally, its internal rhetoric tells a different story\u2014one of confusion, fear, and an urgent drive to prevent collapse from within. What do these conflicting signals say about the state of the clerical dictatorship after the guns went silent?<\/p>\n

Retreat on the Global Stage<\/h2>\n

The regime\u2019s ambassador to the UN, Amir-Saeed Iravani, was pressed during a CBS interview<\/a> on whether he condemned calls for IAEA chief Rafael Grossi\u2019s execution\u2014originally published by Kayhan<\/em>, a newspaper aligned with the regime\u2019s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei\u2019s office. Iravani responded affirmatively but carefully avoided naming Kayhan<\/em> directly, instead emphasizing that IAEA inspectors in Iran \u201care safe.\u201d This marked a subtle act of damage control, not a public rebuke of extremist factions\u2014but it signaled that Tehran was sensitive enough to step back amid global outrage over the execution threat.<\/p>\n

Other signs of internal recalibration soon followed. While Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi recently insisted<\/a> Iran would only enter negotiations if Israel halted its strikes, within days another top official signaled openness to diplomacy. During the June 24 Security Council session, Iravani stated<\/a> that Iran is now \u201ccloser to diplomacy than ever before\u201d\u2014a marked shift from the earlier position that framed talks with the aggressor as treasonous.<\/p>\n

These incidents revealed more than a diplomatic adjustment\u2014they exposed a regime far weaker than it pretends, and increasingly willing to walk back threats in an effort to contain the fallout.<\/p>\n

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#Iran<\/a> State Media Turns Aggressive Post-Ceasefire, with Kayhan Demanding Grossi\u2019s Executionhttps:\/\/t.co\/X2hHxof9KI<\/a> pic.twitter.com\/tfyuei1yBe<\/a><\/p>\n

— NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) June 29, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n