{"id":334139,"date":"2025-07-13T12:54:55","date_gmt":"2025-07-13T11:54:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=334139"},"modified":"2025-07-13T12:54:55","modified_gmt":"2025-07-13T11:54:55","slug":"tehrans-bluster-and-blackmail-cant-hide-a-regime-in-crisis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/nuclear\/tehrans-bluster-and-blackmail-cant-hide-a-regime-in-crisis\/","title":{"rendered":"Tehran&#8217;s Bluster and Blackmail Can&#8217;t Hide a Regime in Crisis"},"content":{"rendered":"<article class=\"text-token-text-primary w-full\" dir=\"auto\" data-testid=\"conversation-turn-10\" data-scroll-anchor=\"false\">\n<div class=\"text-base my-auto mx-auto py-5 [--thread-content-margin:--spacing(4)] @[37rem]:[--thread-content-margin:--spacing(6)] @[72rem]:[--thread-content-margin:--spacing(16)] px-(--thread-content-margin)\">\n<div class=\"[--thread-content-max-width:32rem] @[34rem]:[--thread-content-max-width:40rem] @[64rem]:[--thread-content-max-width:48rem] mx-auto flex max-w-(--thread-content-max-width) flex-1 text-base gap-4 md:gap-5 lg:gap-6 group\/turn-messages focus-visible:outline-hidden\" tabindex=\"-1\">\n<div class=\"group\/conversation-turn relative flex w-full min-w-0 flex-col agent-turn\">\n<div class=\"relative flex-col gap-1 md:gap-3\">\n<div class=\"flex max-w-full flex-col grow\">\n<div class=\"min-h-8 text-message relative flex w-full flex-col items-end gap-2 text-start break-words whitespace-normal [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-5\" dir=\"auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"cc40ae8f-2790-49d4-8507-a67bf67fcfcc\" data-message-model-slug=\"gpt-4o\">\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-col gap-1 empty:hidden first:pt-[3px]\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose dark:prose-invert w-full break-words light\">\n<figure id=\"attachment_334140\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-334140\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-334140\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Nuclear-Pride-Political-Collapse-Tehrans-Contradictory-Signals-to-the-World.jpg\" alt=\"Nuclear Pride, Political Collapse Tehran\u2019s Contradictory Signals to the World\" width=\"1000\" height=\"563\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Nuclear-Pride-Political-Collapse-Tehrans-Contradictory-Signals-to-the-World.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Nuclear-Pride-Political-Collapse-Tehrans-Contradictory-Signals-to-the-World-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Nuclear-Pride-Political-Collapse-Tehrans-Contradictory-Signals-to-the-World-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Nuclear-Pride-Political-Collapse-Tehrans-Contradictory-Signals-to-the-World-746x420.jpg 746w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Nuclear-Pride-Political-Collapse-Tehrans-Contradictory-Signals-to-the-World-150x84.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Nuclear-Pride-Political-Collapse-Tehrans-Contradictory-Signals-to-the-World-696x392.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-334140\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">A technician walks through an Iranian nuclear facility in Iran<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong><em>Three-minute read<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In a striking display of internal contradiction emanating from Tehran, the Iranian regime is broadcasting two starkly different messages to the world. On one front, its top leaders issue belligerent threats and diplomatic ultimatums. On another, senior officials and political factions openly admit to devastating military losses and warn of catastrophic isolation, revealing a power structure fracturing under the weight of its own reckless policies. While the regime attempts to project an image of strength, its own words betray a deep and growing crisis.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Projecting Power Through Threats<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">On July 11, 2025, the regime&#8217;s Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Khamenei_fa\/status\/1943765931710460130\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">took to his Persian X account<\/a> to declare that his regime had delivered a &#8220;strong slap to the face of America,&#8221; referring to an attack on the Al-Udeid airbase. He described the incident as a &#8220;great event&#8221; and warned that such actions are &#8220;repeatable.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">This rhetoric of aggression was echoed on the diplomatic front by Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. In a meeting with foreign ambassadors in Tehran the same day, Araghchi issued a stark ultimatum to European powers, stating that triggering the nuclear deal&#8217;s snapback mechanism would mean the &#8220;end of Europe&#8217;s role&#8221; in Iran&#8217;s nuclear issue and could create the &#8220;darkest point&#8221; in their relations, which &#8220;may never be repaired.&#8221; He further dictated that Iran&#8217;s right to uranium enrichment is non-negotiable and that any future talks would be strictly limited to the nuclear file in exchange for sanctions relief. &#8220;We will not have any agreement in which enrichment does not exist,&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mehrnews.com\/news\/6527291\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Araghchi asserted<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"ca\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s Regime Expels <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iaeaorg?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@iaeaorg<\/a> Inspectors in Nuclear Extortion Bid<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/UaRF9NHEA8\">https:\/\/t.co\/UaRF9NHEA8<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1941577484929204409?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 5, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Admissions of Devastating Costs<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Behind this fa\u00e7ade of defiance, however, other senior figures are painting a grim picture of the consequences of the regime\u2019s warmongering. In a stunning admission, Hamidreza Hajibabayi, the Deputy Speaker of the Parliament, revealed the severe toll of a recent 12-day war. He confirmed the loss of four high-ranking IRGC generals.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">More telling was his assessment of the regime&#8217;s profound diplomatic isolation. &#8220;The regional silence during these 12 days of war was more deadly than the war itself,&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/ettelaat.net\/1404\/04\/20\/89244\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Hajibabayi stated,<\/a> confessing that &#8220;none of these countries, whether friend or foe, played any role.&#8221; This admission directly undermines Khamenei&#8217;s claims of regional power and exposes the regime&#8217;s abandonment by its supposed allies.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">A Regime at War with Itself<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The regime\u2019s internal disarray is most evident in the open conflict over its nuclear policy. A statement from the so-called &#8220;Reformist&#8221; faction <a href=\"https:\/\/hammihanonline.ir\/%D8%A8%D8%AE%D8%B4-%D8%B3%DB%8C%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%AA-18\/42421-%D8%A8%DB%8C%D8%A7%D9%86%DB%8C%D9%87-%D8%AC%D8%A8%D9%87%D9%87-%D8%A7%D8%B5%D9%84%D8%A7%D8%AD%D8%A7%D8%AA-%D8%AF%D8%B1%D8%A8%D8%A7%D8%B1%D9%87-%D8%AA%D8%B9%D9%84%DB%8C%D9%82-%D9%87%D9%85%DA%A9%D8%A7%D8%B1%DB%8C-%D8%A7%DB%8C%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%86-%D8%A8%D8%A7-%D8%A2%DA%98%D8%A7%D9%86%D8%B3-%D8%A8%DB%8C%D9%86-%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%85%D9%84%D9%84%DB%8C-%D8%A7%D9%86%D8%B1%DA%98%DB%8C-%D8%A7%D8%AA%D9%85%DB%8C-%D8%A7%DB%8C%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%86-%D8%B1%D8%A7-%D9%85%D9%86%D8%B2%D9%88%DB%8C-%D8%AA%D8%B1-%D9%85%DB%8C-%DA%A9%D9%86%D8%AF\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">publicly condemned<\/a> the &#8220;hasty&#8221; action by President Masoud Pezeshkian\u2019s new government to suspend cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">In 1996\u2014years before 9\/11, and long before <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s nuclear program made headlines\u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Maryam_Rajavi?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@Maryam_Rajavi<\/a> warned the world:<\/p>\n<p>Tehran is the epicenter of global extremism. Its regime blends terror, misogyny, and nuclear ambition. And it must be confronted\u2014not appeased.<\/p>\n<p>Her words still\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/5fDP8sjJGw\">pic.twitter.com\/5fDP8sjJGw<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1939775451854983679?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 30, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The faction issued a dire warning that this move would lead to &#8220;further isolation, intensified global suspicion regarding Iran&#8217;s nuclear intentions, and a reduced probability of success in negotiations aimed at the immediate lifting of sanctions.&#8221; This public rebuke of the president&#8217;s policy highlights a deep schism within the ruling elite over how to handle the escalating nuclear crisis, with one faction championing defiance while another fears its suicidal consequences.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The conflicting narratives emerging from Tehran are not a sign of a complex strategy, but of a regime in terminal decline. The hollow threats from Khamenei and Araghchi are a transparent attempt to mask the reality of severe military casualties and diplomatic abandonment admitted by their own parliament&#8217;s leadership. The open infighting over its cornerstone nuclear policy demonstrates that the regime is not only cornered internationally but is also at war with itself.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three-minute read In a striking display of internal contradiction emanating from Tehran, the Iranian regime is broadcasting two starkly different messages to the world. On one front, its top leaders [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":334140,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[17],"tags":[217],"class_list":{"0":"post-334139","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nuclear","8":"tag-irans-nuclear-program"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Tehran&#039;s Bluster and Blackmail Can&#039;t Hide a Regime in Crisis - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Three-minute read In a striking display of internal contradiction emanating from Tehran, the Iranian regime is broadcasting two starkly different messages\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/nuclear\/tehrans-bluster-and-blackmail-cant-hide-a-regime-in-crisis\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Tehran&#039;s Bluster and Blackmail Can&#039;t Hide a Regime in Crisis - 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