{"id":334190,"date":"2025-07-15T09:59:08","date_gmt":"2025-07-15T08:59:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=334190"},"modified":"2025-07-15T09:59:08","modified_gmt":"2025-07-15T08:59:08","slug":"irans-rulers-raise-their-voice-as-their-power-ebbs-away","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/terrorism-a-fundamentalism\/irans-rulers-raise-their-voice-as-their-power-ebbs-away\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran\u2019s Rulers Raise Their Voice as Their Power Ebbs Away"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_334191\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-334191\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-334191\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/iran-tehran-cascet-of-irgc-and-nuclear-officials-july-2025-e1752521852847.jpg\" alt=\"Dozens of coffins draped in the regime's flag bear the faces of slain IRGC commanders and nuclear scientists\" width=\"1000\" height=\"563\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/iran-tehran-cascet-of-irgc-and-nuclear-officials-july-2025-e1752521852847.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/iran-tehran-cascet-of-irgc-and-nuclear-officials-july-2025-e1752521852847-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/iran-tehran-cascet-of-irgc-and-nuclear-officials-july-2025-e1752521852847-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/iran-tehran-cascet-of-irgc-and-nuclear-officials-july-2025-e1752521852847-746x420.jpg 746w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/iran-tehran-cascet-of-irgc-and-nuclear-officials-july-2025-e1752521852847-150x84.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/iran-tehran-cascet-of-irgc-and-nuclear-officials-july-2025-e1752521852847-696x392.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-334191\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Dozens of coffins draped in the regime&#8217;s flag bear the faces of slain IRGC commanders and nuclear scientists<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"250\" data-end=\"302\"><strong><em>Three-minute read<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"304\" data-end=\"389\">\u201cThey begged us not to strike. They even gave us the coordinates of their own bases.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"391\" data-end=\"989\">With that declaration, Mahmoud Nabavian, deputy head of Iran\u2019s National Security Commission, claimed that the United States, fearing Tehran\u2019s response to Israeli strikes, offered up a target to hit. &#8220;We didn\u2019t accept it,&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/hammihanonline.ir\/%D8%A8%D8%AE%D8%B4-%D8%B3%DB%8C%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%AA-18\/42939-%D8%A7%D8%AF%D8%B9%D8%A7%DB%8C-%D9%85%D9%87%D9%85-%DB%8C%DA%A9-%D9%86%D9%85%D8%A7%DB%8C%D9%86%D8%AF%D9%87-%D9%85%D8%AC%D9%84%D8%B3-%D9%88%D8%B2%DB%8C%D8%B1-%D8%AE%D8%A7%D8%B1%D8%AC%D9%87-%D8%A2%D9%85%D8%B1%DB%8C%DA%A9%D8%A7-%D8%AD%D9%85%D9%84%D9%87-%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%A6%DB%8C%D9%84-%D8%B1%D8%A7-%D8%A8%D9%87-%D8%A7%DB%8C%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%86-%D8%A7%D8%B7%D9%84%D8%A7%D8%B9-%D8%AF%D8%A7%D8%AF%D9%87-%D8%A8%D9%88%D8%AF\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">he said proudly<\/a>. &#8220;We hit where <em data-start=\"644\" data-end=\"648\">we<\/em> chose.&#8221; To the regime\u2019s hardline loyalists, this was framed as evidence of triumph. But to more discerning eyes, it was a performance\u2014loud, frantic, and hollow. A regime talking big not because it is strong, but because it is terrified of being seen for what it is: cornered, weakened, and no longer feared by its own foot soldiers.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"991\" data-end=\"1425\">What Iran\u2019s rulers now face is not just a military setback, nor merely an international rebuke. It is a convergence of crises\u2014domestic, regional, and global\u2014that has stripped the clerical dictatorship of the strategic depth it spent decades constructing. From the presidential palace to the barracks of the IRGC, the panic is unmistakable. And it is their own collapsing base of power, not Washington or Tel Aviv, that frightens them most.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"1427\" data-end=\"2110\">The regime&#8217;s highest officials have taken to the airwaves with a strange mix of bluster and paranoia. Deputy Foreign Minister <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mizanonline.ir\/fa\/news\/4846023\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Kazem Gharibabadi claimed<\/a> Iran \u201cstood victorious\u201d after the 12-day war and insisted that its \u201cprincipled positions\u201d in diplomacy remain unchanged. The IAEA is now locked out of Iran&#8217;s nuclear facilities. On state TV, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.khabarfoori.com\/%D8%A8%D8%AE%D8%B4-%D8%B3%DB%8C%D8%A7%D8%B3%DB%8C-59\/3153442-%D8%AC%D9%88%D8%A7%D8%AF-%D9%84%D8%A7%D8%B1%DB%8C%D8%AC%D8%A7%D9%86%DB%8C-%D8%AF%D8%B1-%D8%B5%D8%AF%D8%A7%D9%88%D8%B3%DB%8C%D9%85%D8%A7-%D8%B1%D8%B3%D9%85%D8%A7-%D8%A7%D8%B1%D9%88%D9%BE%D8%A7-%D8%B1%D8%A7-%D8%AA%D9%87%D8%AF%DB%8C%D8%AF-%DA%A9%D8%B1%D8%AF-%D9%88%DB%8C%D8%AF%D8%A6%D9%88\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Mohammad-Javad Larijani warned<\/a> that Europe may no longer be safe, and that \u201cfive drones\u201d could soon strike an unnamed European city. He has even mused darkly about U.S. President Donald Trump being \u201chit in the navel\u201d by a drone while vacationing in Florida\u2014rhetoric that straddles the line between fantasy and threat. At the same time, the daily <em data-start=\"864\" data-end=\"872\">Kayhan<\/em>, whose editorial line is seen as aligned with Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, openly<a href=\"https:\/\/kayhan.ir\/files\/fa\/publication\/pages\/1404\/4\/6\/3300_39557.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> called for the execution<\/a> of IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi, accusing him of complicity in the Israeli strikes.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a> State Media Turns Aggressive Post-Ceasefire, with Kayhan Demanding Grossi\u2019s Execution<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/X2hHxof9KI\">https:\/\/t.co\/X2hHxof9KI<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/tfyuei1yBe\">pic.twitter.com\/tfyuei1yBe<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1939306594031804465?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 29, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1427\" data-end=\"2110\">Strategic Meltdown<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"2112\" data-end=\"2280\">These bombastic declarations are not signs of power. They are the sound of a regime trying desperately to project authority at a moment when it is hemorrhaging control.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"2282\" data-end=\"2932\">Regionally, the pillars of Tehran\u2019s proxy empire are eroding. Bashar al-Assad&#8217;s reign in Syria, once a fierce ally of the regime, is gone. Hezbollah is severely battered and politically cornered in Lebanon. The Houthis in Yemen, now pushed into a tactical retreat, face a fractured coalition and dwindling resources. And in Iraq, even the once-obedient <a href=\"https:\/\/www.economist.com\/middle-east-and-africa\/2025\/07\/13\/iran-is-losing-its-stranglehold-over-iraq\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Shia militias are recalibrating<\/a>\u2014some openly distancing themselves from Tehran in an effort to preserve their local legitimacy. The notion of a united regional front under Iran\u2019s command is unraveling.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"2934\" data-end=\"3367\">Inside the country, the erosion is even more pronounced. The twelve-day war\u2014whatever its tactical details\u2014brought home to Iran\u2019s power base just how vulnerable they are. Their famed missile arsenals proved insufficient. Their command network was punctured. Strategic installations that were supposed to be impenetrable were struck, degraded, or exposed. In the streets, the population watched not a show of strength, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-protests\/irans-regime-faces-internal-reckoning-as-war-with-israel-ends\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">but a reckoning<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a> News: Official Threatens <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/European?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#European<\/a> Cities with Drone Strikes Amid Rising Tensions<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/i2w9hrrbYH\">https:\/\/t.co\/i2w9hrrbYH<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1944384595819909264?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 13, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"2934\" data-end=\"3367\">Cracks in the Iron Fist<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"3369\" data-end=\"3688\">And it is not lost on the regime that the very forces it depends on to crush dissent\u2014Revolutionary Guard commanders, intelligence officers, the Basij enforcers\u2014are now struggling with morale. These are not ideologues. They are survivors. And they are increasingly unsure the regime they defend will survive much longer.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"3690\" data-end=\"4125\">This is why Tehran\u2019s leaders are shouting louder than ever. Parliament has just <a href=\"https:\/\/irannewsupdate.com\/news\/news-digest\/irans-parliament-approves-harsh-anti-espionage-law-amid-strategic-weakness-and-domestic-unrest\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">passed sweeping legislation<\/a> criminalizing virtually all contact with Western governments or media, mandating death or life imprisonment for everything from intelligence sharing to sharing videos online. Satellite internet use is banned. Civil society is being choked into silence. All of this signals not resolve\u2014but retreat. Not strength\u2014but desperation.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"4127\" data-end=\"4445\">None of this is to glorify the blows dealt to regime by its adversaries. The point is not the power of others, but the regime\u2019s own unraveling. For decades, Tehran sustained itself by exporting violence, manipulating diplomacy, and crushing dissent at home. Now, those tools are either neutralized or turning against it.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s Regime Escalates Threats and <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Propaganda?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Propaganda<\/a> Toward the International Community<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/pPHdbTkKC9\">https:\/\/t.co\/pPHdbTkKC9<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1943547048013246871?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 11, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"4447\" data-end=\"4732\">What\u2019s left is a dictatorship that sees fear in the eyes of its own guardians. So, it performs\u2014loudly, dramatically, and without pause. It boasts of victory while ignoring its own isolation. It hails resilience while its economy collapses. It declares strength while the walls close in.<\/p>\n<article class=\"text-token-text-primary w-full\" dir=\"auto\" data-testid=\"conversation-turn-124\" data-scroll-anchor=\"true\">\n<div class=\"text-base my-auto mx-auto py-5 [--thread-content-margin:--spacing(4)] @[37rem]:[--thread-content-margin:--spacing(6)] @[72rem]:[--thread-content-margin:--spacing(16)] px-(--thread-content-margin)\">\n<div class=\"[--thread-content-max-width:32rem] @[34rem]:[--thread-content-max-width:40rem] @[64rem]:[--thread-content-max-width:48rem] mx-auto flex max-w-(--thread-content-max-width) flex-1 text-base gap-4 md:gap-5 lg:gap-6 group\/turn-messages focus-visible:outline-hidden\" tabindex=\"-1\">\n<div class=\"group\/conversation-turn relative flex w-full min-w-0 flex-col agent-turn\">\n<div class=\"relative flex-col gap-1 md:gap-3\">\n<div class=\"flex max-w-full flex-col grow\">\n<div class=\"min-h-8 text-message relative flex w-full flex-col items-end gap-2 text-start break-words whitespace-normal [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-5\" dir=\"auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"09511120-bda4-4c83-8092-b52467360210\" data-message-model-slug=\"gpt-4o\">\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-col gap-1 empty:hidden first:pt-[3px]\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose dark:prose-invert w-full break-words light\">\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"122\" data-end=\"552\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">The world would do well to listen\u2014not to what the regime says, but to what it reveals. Because beneath every roar, there is a tremble. And in every boast, a confession. The more the regime\u2019s guardians lose hope, the more those who have resisted this tyranny for nearly half a century will gain momentum\u2014driven not by fantasy, but by a growing sense that the end of the clerical dictatorship is not only possible, but within reach.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three-minute read &ldquo;They begged us not to strike. They even gave us the coordinates of their own bases.&rdquo; With that declaration, Mahmoud Nabavian, deputy head of Iran&rsquo;s National Security Commission, [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":53,"featured_media":334191,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[287],"class_list":{"0":"post-334190","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-terrorism-a-fundamentalism","8":"tag-iran-terrorism"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Iran\u2019s Rulers Raise Their Voice as Their Power Ebbs Away - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Three-minute read \u201cThey begged us not to strike. 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