{"id":334324,"date":"2025-07-17T09:21:17","date_gmt":"2025-07-17T08:21:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=334324"},"modified":"2025-07-17T09:21:17","modified_gmt":"2025-07-17T08:21:17","slug":"khamenei-breaks-silence-in-bid-to-shore-up-a-fractured-base-after-12-day-war","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/khamenei-breaks-silence-in-bid-to-shore-up-a-fractured-base-after-12-day-war\/","title":{"rendered":"Khamenei Breaks Silence in Bid to Shore Up a Fractured Base After 12-Day War"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_334325\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-334325\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-334325 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/iran-tehran-khamenei-ejei-16072025.jpg\" alt=\"The Iranian regime's Judiciary chief Gholam-Hossein Mohseni Ejei addresses the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei during a high-level meeting with judicial officials on July 16, 2025\" width=\"1000\" height=\"567\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/iran-tehran-khamenei-ejei-16072025.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/iran-tehran-khamenei-ejei-16072025-300x170.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/iran-tehran-khamenei-ejei-16072025-768x435.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/iran-tehran-khamenei-ejei-16072025-741x420.jpg 741w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/iran-tehran-khamenei-ejei-16072025-150x85.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/iran-tehran-khamenei-ejei-16072025-696x395.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-334325\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Iranian regime&#8217;s Judiciary chief Gholam-Hossein Mohseni Ejei addresses the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei during a high-level meeting with judicial officials on July 16, 2025<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><b><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Three-minute read<\/span><\/i><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">In his second public, non-televised appearance since the 12-day conflict, the clerical dictatorship\u2019s Supreme Leader, <a href=\"https:\/\/farsi.khamenei.ir\/news-content?id=60698\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Ali Khamenei, delivered<\/a> a carefully choreographed speech on July 16, 2025, aimed squarely at addressing a deepening crisis of morale within his own ranks. Speaking before the judiciary leadership, Khamenei attempted to reassert authority and portray survival as victory\u2014but the subtext of his remarks betrayed a regime rattled by fear of collapse. The judiciary, now explicitly tasked with executing a full-scale crackdown on dissent, has become a central tool in the regime\u2019s strategy to suppress unrest before it resurfaces.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">According to the transcript published on his official website, Khamenei declared, \u201cThe enemy\u2019s calculation was that by attacking some figures and sensitive centers of Iran, the system would be weakened&#8230; then, by deploying sleeper cells\u2014ranging from hypoc<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">rites [the regime\u2019s pejorative to defame the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/pmoi-mek\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">People\u2019s Mojahedin Organization<\/a>] and monarchists <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">to thugs\u2014they would provoke people into the streets to finish the regime off.\u201d He insisted this \u201cplot\u201d had failed and that \u201cthe exact opposite happened.\u201d But this insistence on regime survival, repeated throughout his remarks, reveals not triumph but anxiety: Khamenei is acutely aware that the regime has once again come perilously close to being overthrown.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Behind the bombast lies a much more fragile reality. Khamenei\u2019s unusual decision to appear in person\u2014despite credible security risks\u2014was not an act of strength but necessity. His core concern is the morale crisis within his own apparatus, particularly after a war that exposed vulnerabilities in the regime\u2019s military, intelligence, and command structures. As his own words indicate, the regime feared a post-conflict uprising, activated by the <a href=\"https:\/\/english.mojahedin.org\/iranian-resistance-units\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">PMOI-led Resistance Units<\/a>, which Khamenei singled out by name.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Khamenei Orders Parliament to Fall in Line Amid Crises Facing <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s Theocracy<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/TzzdhXnSdc\">https:\/\/t.co\/TzzdhXnSdc<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1933073284100202769?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 12, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Throughout the speech, the regime leader repeated the theme of \u201cnational unity\u201d and downplayed ideological rifts. He praised the alleged harmony of individuals with \u201cdifferent religious weight\u201d who nonetheless came together to defend the \u201cIslamic system.\u201d This was a transparent call for regime loyalists\u2014across the fractured spectrum of extremists, revisionists, and clerical factions\u2014to close ranks. But the invocation of unity is itself a tell: the divisions are real, and growing, particularly after the clerical dictatorship\u2019s failures during and after the conflict.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">What Khamenei portrayed as a renewed \u201cnational spirit\u201d was, in effect, a plea for discipline and obedience. His warnings against \u201cirresponsible criticism\u201d and \u201cuninformed objections\u201d were clearly aimed at intra-regime dissenters, particularly those skeptical of the regime\u2019s handling of the war and the fragile ceasefire. He cautioned that protest\u2014especially from within\u2014could be \u201charmful,\u201d and instructed all institutions, from journalists to Friday prayer leaders, to protect the so-called \u201cnational unity.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Meanwhile, the Ministry of Intelligence (MOIS) is operating in lockstep with this approach. In a separate statement, MOIS chief <a href=\"https:\/\/ana.ir\/fa\/news\/985065\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Esmail Khatib boasted<\/a> of multiple executions and vowed that remaining detainees accused of espionage or anti-regime activity would \u201cpay the price.\u201d This open celebration of repression, amid mass arrests following the war, reinforces the regime\u2019s true post-war strategy: fear over persuasion.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Khamenei?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Khamenei<\/a>\u2019s Rejection of U.S. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Nuclear?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Nuclear<\/a> Offer Reveals Deeper Fear of Internal Unrest Than Foreign Threats<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ArNlEG5qDL\">https:\/\/t.co\/ArNlEG5qDL<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1930297167110906288?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 4, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Khamenei\u2019s meeting with judiciary officials was no accident. The judiciary, already weaponized against dissent, has been given a renewed mandate to crush unrest before it surfaces. Khamenei emphasized that \u201canyone, anywhere in the country who is subjected to oppression or transgression, must know their problem can be solved by the judiciary.\u201d But this statement is steeped in irony; hundreds have been detained without charge, and many face swift, politically motivated verdicts.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">On the international front, Khamenei struck a more calculated tone. Despite years of vilifying negotiations with the West, he now tempers that rhetoric. \u201cWe are equipped with both logic and military power, and when we enter either the diplomatic or military arenas, we do so with full hands,\u201d he said. This is not a policy shift, but a strategic hedging. With the EU warning of an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2025\/jul\/15\/europe-gives-iran-deadline-to-contain-nuclear-programme-or-see-sanctions-reinstated\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">August 29 deadline<\/a> to trigger the snapback mechanism on UN sanctions, Khamenei is clearly concerned about the consequences.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">This posture contrasts with aligned factions, many of whom have grown increasingly vocal in denouncing any return to talks. Khamenei\u2019s remarks appear to be aimed at containing these voices, keeping open the possibility of tactical negotiations to avoid further economic and political deterioration.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Khamenei&#39;s Plea to &quot;Listen to the People&quot; Reveals Fear, Not Confidence, Amid Nationwide Protests in <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/RKI98KbL8e\">https:\/\/t.co\/RKI98KbL8e<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1927840498594558156?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 28, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Yet, even in trying to project control, the cracks are evident. The war may have ended in a ceasefire, but the battle for legitimacy continues\u2014and Khamenei knows it. His repeated references to \u201cplots\u201d and \u201csleeper cells,\u201d and his demands for internal cohesion, signal a regime still on the edge, terrified of a public uprising it narrowly avoided.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The message behind the speech is clear: this was not a celebration of victory\u2014it was a survival address. Khamenei\u2019s appearance, rhetoric, and directives all reflect a leadership scrambling to maintain control of a system showing unmistakable signs of decay. The threat is no longer just external. It\u2019s the Iranian people\u2014and the Resistance\u2014they fear most.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three-minute read&nbsp; In his second public, non-televised appearance since the 12-day conflict, the clerical dictatorship&rsquo;s Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, delivered a carefully choreographed speech on July 16, 2025, aimed squarely [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":334325,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[45],"tags":[5480],"class_list":{"0":"post-334324","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-news","8":"tag-ali-khamenei"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Khamenei Breaks Silence in Bid to Shore Up a Fractured Base After 12-Day War - 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