{"id":334328,"date":"2025-07-17T16:28:49","date_gmt":"2025-07-17T15:28:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=334328"},"modified":"2025-07-17T16:28:49","modified_gmt":"2025-07-17T15:28:49","slug":"as-snapback-sanctions-loom-tehrans-bluster-reveals-a-regime-in-panic","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/iranian-regime-infighting\/as-snapback-sanctions-loom-tehrans-bluster-reveals-a-regime-in-panic\/","title":{"rendered":"As Snapback Sanctions Loom, Tehran\u2019s Bluster Reveals a Regime in Panic"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_334329\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-334329\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-334329 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Left-Fouad-Izadi-right-Hossein-Shariatmadari.jpg\" alt=\"Left Fouad Izadi, right Hossein Shariatmadari\" width=\"1000\" height=\"563\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Left-Fouad-Izadi-right-Hossein-Shariatmadari.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Left-Fouad-Izadi-right-Hossein-Shariatmadari-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Left-Fouad-Izadi-right-Hossein-Shariatmadari-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Left-Fouad-Izadi-right-Hossein-Shariatmadari-746x420.jpg 746w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Left-Fouad-Izadi-right-Hossein-Shariatmadari-150x84.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Left-Fouad-Izadi-right-Hossein-Shariatmadari-696x392.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-334329\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Regime-affiliated political analyst Fouad Izadi (left), Kayhan Daily editor-in-chief Hossein Shariatmadari (right)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><em><strong>Two-minute read<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">With European powers signaling a potential re-enactment of all UN sanctions, the Iranian regime has unleashed a torrent of threats, projecting an image of defiance. However, this aggressive posturing is a thin veil over a deep-seated panic. An analysis of the regime\u2019s own internal discussions and state media broadcasts reveals a leadership terrified of renewed international pressure, haunted by its own strategic incompetence, and convinced that the West&#8217;s ultimate goal is its overthrow.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">A Fa\u00e7ade of Bravado<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The regime\u2019s public response has been a carefully orchestrated campaign of intimidation. The head of the parliament\u2019s Legal and Judicial Commission <a href=\"https:\/\/fa.alalam.ir\/news\/7270913\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">warned the three European<\/a> signatories to the 2015 nuclear deal that activating the &#8220;snapback mechanism&#8221; would have &#8220;major negative consequences,&#8221; starting with the collapse of any negotiation process. This was echoed by the spokesman of the parliament\u2019s security commission, who stated bluntly, &#8220;If the snapback mechanism is activated, we will withdraw from the NPT.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">This rhetoric has escalated into overt military threats. Hossein Shariatmadari, a mouthpiece for Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, <a href=\"https:\/\/kayhan.ir\/fa\/news\/314533\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">publicly questioned<\/a>, &#8220;Now that the European troika is seeking to activate the trigger mechanism, why don&#8217;t we use the leverage of closing the Strait of Hormuz?&#8221; Meanwhile, MP <a href=\"https:\/\/www.khabaronline.ir\/news\/2089739\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Esmail Kowsari claimed<\/a> military preparations for this action are &#8220;complete,&#8221; though no final decision has been made. The IRGC&#8217;s Tasnim News Agency further detailed a &#8220;retaliation menu,&#8221; including enriching uranium from 60% to 90% and severely restricting IAEA inspections.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a> News: Regime FM Defiant After Blocking <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iaeaorg?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@iaeaorg<\/a>, Warns Europe Against &quot;Snapback&quot; Sanctions<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/rT3fiPTFwa\">https:\/\/t.co\/rT3fiPTFwa<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1938871255685272049?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 28, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">State Media Exposes Regime&#8217;s Fear<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The most revealing insights, however, come from the regime&#8217;s own state-controlled television. In a remarkably candid broadcast on July 15, 2025, regime analyst Fouad Izadi stripped away the facade of confidence. &#8220;The activation of the snapback mechanism is not good for us,&#8221; he admitted. &#8220;The return of sanctions through snapback is not good.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Izadi then laid bare the regime\u2019s core paranoia, framing all international pressure as an existential threat. &#8220;When you hit the state broadcaster&#8230; you are after overthrowing the government,&#8221; he declared, adding, &#8220;Their work isn&#8217;t finished&#8230; their goal is the overthrow of the Iranian government.&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/snn.ir\/fa\/news\/1284790\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">He confessed<\/a> to crippling strategic failures, lamenting a past &#8220;analytical mistake&#8221; that led to the country being &#8220;surprised&#8221; by an attack that occurred &#8220;in the middle of negotiations.&#8221; He admitted the leadership erred because they did not heed Khamenei\u2019s warnings that the West is untrustworthy.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Most tellingly, Izadi acknowledged that the regime\u2019s diplomatic efforts under its new president, Masoud Pezeshkian, are counterproductive. &#8220;Every time the president of Iran says he wants to negotiate,&#8221; he explained, &#8220;the translation for Trump&#8230; is that they do not want to defend themselves&#8230; You are, in fact, exporting weakness.&#8221;<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">While welcoming the adoption of the IAEA Board of Governors\u2019 resolution, I stress the urgent need to activate the snapback mechanism, implement the six UN Security Council resolutions, end uranium enrichment, and dismantle the regime&#39;s nuclear facilities\u2014all of which are long\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/SCHosqpyKO\">pic.twitter.com\/SCHosqpyKO<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Maryam Rajavi (@Maryam_Rajavi) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Maryam_Rajavi\/status\/1933121323472920645?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 12, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">A Moment for International Resolve<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The contrast between the regime\u2019s loud threats and its private confessions could not be starker. The bluster about 90% enrichment and closing the Strait of Hormuz are the desperate gambits of a leadership that openly admits snapback sanctions would be a devastating blow. Their internal blame game and fear of being &#8220;surprised&#8221; again underscore not strength, but profound fragility and incompetence.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The international community should not be intimidated. The regime\u2019s own analysis shows it is acting from a position of desperation. This is a moment for resolve. A policy of firmness, including the full re-imposition of all UN sanctions, is the most effective path to address the regime&#8217;s malign activities. These threats must be seen for what they are: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/nuclear\/tehran-faces-mounting-pressure-as-europe-considers-snapback-sanctions\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the frantic cries<\/a> of a corrupt theocracy terrified of its own demise and the democratic aspirations of the Iranian people.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Two-minute read With European powers signaling a potential re-enactment of all UN sanctions, the Iranian regime has unleashed a torrent of threats, projecting an image of defiance. However, this aggressive [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":53,"featured_media":334329,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[17,5450],"tags":[1175],"class_list":{"0":"post-334328","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nuclear","8":"category-iranian-regime-infighting","9":"tag-iran-nuclear"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>As Snapback Sanctions Loom, Tehran\u2019s Bluster Reveals a Regime in Panic - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Two-minute read With European powers signaling a potential re-enactment of all UN sanctions, the Iranian regime has unleashed a torrent of threats,\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, 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