{"id":334394,"date":"2025-07-19T20:14:11","date_gmt":"2025-07-19T19:14:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=334394"},"modified":"2025-07-19T20:14:11","modified_gmt":"2025-07-19T19:14:11","slug":"iranian-regime-faces-internal-security-breach-amid-power-consolidation-drive","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iranian-regime-faces-internal-security-breach-amid-power-consolidation-drive\/","title":{"rendered":"Iranian Regime Faces Internal Security Breach Amid Power Consolidation Drive"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_334395\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-334395\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-334395 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Day-Eleven-of-the-War-Attack-on-Evin-Prison-and-a-Series-of-Iranian-Regime-Security-Institutions.jpg\" alt=\"Day Eleven of the War Attack on Evin Prison and a Series of Iranian Regime Security Institutions\" width=\"1000\" height=\"563\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Day-Eleven-of-the-War-Attack-on-Evin-Prison-and-a-Series-of-Iranian-Regime-Security-Institutions.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Day-Eleven-of-the-War-Attack-on-Evin-Prison-and-a-Series-of-Iranian-Regime-Security-Institutions-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Day-Eleven-of-the-War-Attack-on-Evin-Prison-and-a-Series-of-Iranian-Regime-Security-Institutions-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Day-Eleven-of-the-War-Attack-on-Evin-Prison-and-a-Series-of-Iranian-Regime-Security-Institutions-746x420.jpg 746w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Day-Eleven-of-the-War-Attack-on-Evin-Prison-and-a-Series-of-Iranian-Regime-Security-Institutions-150x84.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Day-Eleven-of-the-War-Attack-on-Evin-Prison-and-a-Series-of-Iranian-Regime-Security-Institutions-696x392.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-334395\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Day eleven of the war: attack on Evin Prison and a series of Iranian regime security institutions<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><strong><em>Three-minute read<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In the aftermath of the recent 12-day war \u2014 widely seen as one of the most intense regional escalations in years \u2014 the Iranian regime appears to be undergoing a profound transformation: one rooted not in recovery, but in internal reckoning, ideological entrenchment, and heightened authoritarian control.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">A War Framed as a Strategic Victory<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In <a href=\"https:\/\/www.entekhab.ir\/fa\/news\/875558\/\u0642\u0627\u0644\u06cc\u0628\u0627\u0641-\u062c\u0646\u06af-\u06f1\u06f2-\u0631\u0648\u0632\u0647-\u0645\u0627-\u0631\u0627-\u06f5\u06f0-\u0633\u0627\u0644-\u062c\u0644\u0648-\u0627\u0646\u062f\u0627\u062e\u062a-\u0627\u06af\u0631-\u062c\u0646\u06af-\u0627\u062e\u06cc\u0631-\u0631\u062e-\u0646\u0645\u06cc\u200c\u062f\u0627\u062f-\u0645\u0627-\u0647\u06cc\u0686\u200c\u06af\u0627\u0647-\u0628\u0647-\u062f\u0631\u06a9\u06cc-\u06a9\u0647-\u062f\u0631-\u0627\u06cc\u0646-\u06f1\u06f2-\u0631\u0648\u0632-\u0628\u0647-\u0622\u0646-\u0631\u0633\u06cc\u062f\u06cc\u0645-\u0646\u0645\u06cc\u200c\u0631\u0633\u06cc\u062f\u06cc\u0645\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">remarks<\/a> that shocked even some regime insiders, Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf declared the war had &#8220;pushed the Islamic Revolution forward by 50 years.&#8221; Speaking before the Assembly, Ghalibaf asserted: &#8220;Without this war, we would never have reached the level of understanding we achieved in these 12 days.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Positioning the war as a strategic accelerator for what he called &#8220;the revolution,&#8221; Ghalibaf echoed the familiar regime line that resistance \u2014 not diplomacy \u2014 is the only path to preserve Iran\u2019s sovereignty and \u201cdignity.\u201d The message was unmistakable: the Iranian regime sees armed conflict not as a setback but a survival mechanism.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>&#39;s Regime Escalates Crackdown Following 12 Day War, Adding to Widespread Domestic Strain<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/nZVl3jB4A9\">https:\/\/t.co\/nZVl3jB4A9<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1946554553320591472?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 19, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Officials Sound Alarm Over Intelligence Breaches<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Yet behind the rhetorical triumphalism lies a more disturbing reality. Member of Parliament Mohammad Manan Raisi sounded a rare and <a href=\"https:\/\/fararu.com\/fa\/news\/884938\/\u0646\u0645\u0627\u06cc\u0646\u062f\u0647-\u0642\u0645-\u062f\u0631-\u0645\u062c\u0644\u0633-\u0631\u0648\u0632-\u0645\u062d\u0644-\u062c\u0644\u0633\u0647-\u0634\u0648\u0631\u0627\u06cc-\u0627\u0645\u0646\u06cc\u062a-\u0645\u0644\u06cc-\u0631\u0627-\u0627\u0641\u063a\u0627\u0646-\u0647\u0627-\u0627\u0637\u0644\u0627\u0639-\u062f\u0627\u062f\u0646\u062f\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">public alarm<\/a> over what he described as serious security failures within the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and broader intelligence community. In a scathing critique, he demanded answers to how foreign actors had allegedly gained access to:<\/p>\n<ul style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li>The exact time and location of Iran\u2019s National Security Council meetings,<\/li>\n<li>The movements and meeting places of top commanders like Hossein Salami and Amir Ali Hajizadeh,<\/li>\n<li>And other classified information related to military logistics.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u201cIf the enemy is a step ahead, it means we are a step behind,\u201d Raisi declared.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">These revelations point to deep vulnerabilities in the regime\u2019s intelligence infrastructure, potentially implicating infiltration, internal sabotage, or technological failure. Raisi\u2019s demand for structural reform \u2014 and his frustration at a lack of accountability \u2014 reflect a broader crisis of confidence within the state\u2019s hard-security apparatus.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a> News: <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/UN?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@UN<\/a> Security Council Warns Tehran&#39;s Nuclear Activity Poses Global Threat<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ZRaz8iwCNq\">https:\/\/t.co\/ZRaz8iwCNq<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1938324466343297265?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 26, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Expansion of Domestic Surveillance and Control<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Parallel to its external posturing, the regime is swiftly cementing a state of permanent domestic security, using the war\u2019s aftermath as pretext. Deputy Parliament Speaker Ali Nikzad urged that the network of military-style checkpoints across urban areas \u2014 deployed during the conflict \u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/donya-e-eqtesad.com\/\u0628\u062e\u0634-\u0633\u0627\u06cc\u062a-\u062e\u0648\u0627\u0646-62\/4196204-\u062f\u0631\u062e\u0648\u0627\u0633\u062a-\u0645\u0647\u0645-\u0646\u0627\u0626\u0628-\u0631\u0626\u06cc\u0633-\u0645\u062c\u0644\u0633-\u062f\u0631\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0647-\u0627\u06cc\u0633\u062a\u06af\u0627\u0647-\u0647\u0627\u06cc-\u0627\u06cc\u0633\u062a-\u0628\u0627\u0632\u0631\u0633\u06cc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">remain<\/a> in place indefinitely.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Framing the checkpoints as both a psychological and physical deterrent, Nikzad claimed they had already reduced petty crime and prevented &#8220;organized activity.&#8221; He emphasized that this visible presence of Basij and IRGC-affiliated forces in neighborhoods must become a long-term fixture in Iran\u2019s internal security strategy.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Such rhetoric aligns with the broader state push to militarize everyday life, under the guise of<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-protests\/irans-neighborhood-based-management-a-mask-for-militarized-repression\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> &#8220;neighborhood protection&#8221;<\/a> \u2014 effectively normalizing mass surveillance and militarized policing even in peacetime.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Diverging Views on Diplomacy and the Snapback Threat<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Meanwhile, amid the looming threat of the activation of the UN&#8217;s \u201csnapback\u201d sanctions mechanism \u2014 which could reinstate multilateral sanctions against Iran \u2014 regime insiders are divided.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Former MP Mohammadreza Pour-Ebrahimi struck a <a href=\"https:\/\/news.mojahedin.org\/i\/\u0639\u0636\u0648-\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642-\u0645\u062c\u0644\u0633-\u0627\u0631\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0639-\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0627\u0644-\u0645\u06a9\u0627\u0646\u06cc\u0632\u0645-\u0645\u0627\u0634\u0647-\u0646\u0628\u0627\u06cc\u062f-\u0628\u0631\u0648\u06cc\u0645-\u0628\u0627\u06cc\u062f-\u0628\u0631\u0648\u06cc\u0645-\u062f\u06cc\u067e\u0644\u0648\u0645\u0627\u0633\u06cc-\u0641\u0639\u0627\u0644-\u0627\u0646\u0634\u0627\u0621\u0627\u0644\u0644\u0647-\u06f2\u06f6-\u0634\u0647\u0631\u06cc\u0648\u0631\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">cautious note<\/a>, urging that Iran must not walk into confrontation in order to avoid the most severe consequences: \u201cWe must not embrace snapback. The people have seen war and sabotage. We must act through legal, political, and deterrent means.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">This contrasts sharply with Parliament\u2019s official declaration, which called for halting cooperation with the IAEA and imposing preconditions on any new talks with the West, particularly the United States.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s Regime Scrambles to Mask Defeat, Control Fallout After Ceasefire<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/qC7wxMACAf\">https:\/\/t.co\/qC7wxMACAf<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1938341139125338588?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 26, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Parliament Reaffirms Hostile Line<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In a statement, the regime\u2019s Parliament declared that:\u00a0\u201cDeath to America means death to Trump, death to those who run America \u2014 not the American people.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Citing violations of Iran\u2019s sovereignty and attacks on its nuclear infrastructure, the lawmakers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tasnimnews.com\/fa\/news\/1404\/04\/25\/3355848\/\u0628\u06cc\u0627\u0646\u06cc\u0647-\u0645\u062c\u0644\u0633-\u062f\u06cc\u06af\u0631-\u0646\u0645\u06cc-\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0646-\u0645\u0627\u0646\u0646\u062f-\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642-\u0645\u0630\u0627\u06a9\u0631\u0647-\u06a9\u0631\u062f\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">insisted<\/a> that any future negotiations must be preceded by concrete guarantees, effectively closing the door to further diplomacy in the near term.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The statement reaffirms the Supreme Leader\u2019s directives as \u201cthe final word\u201d on state strategy, elevating ideological rigidity above international engagement \u2014 even at the risk of deepening Iran\u2019s economic and political isolation.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Khamenei?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Khamenei<\/a> Breaks Silence in Bid to Shore Up a Fractured Base After 12-Day War<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/DB9Rw7kNJn\">https:\/\/t.co\/DB9Rw7kNJn<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1945958437470470315?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 17, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Regime Clerics Justify Economic Crisis and Regional Intervention<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In a related speech broadcast by state media, cleric Mohammad Ali Fatemi defended the regime\u2019s economic fragility while praising its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tasnimnews.com\/fa\/news\/1404\/04\/20\/3352353\/\u0627\u0645\u0627\u0645-\u062c\u0645\u0639\u0647-\u0634\u0647\u0631\u06a9\u0631\u062f-\u0627\u062c\u0627\u0631\u0647-\u062e\u0627\u0646\u0647-\u0647\u0627-\u0628\u0627\u06cc\u062f-\u0628\u0627-\u0645\u0631\u0648\u062a-\u0648-\u0627\u0646\u0635\u0627\u0641-\u0628\u0627\u0634\u062f\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">regional interventions<\/a>. Fatemi claimed Iran was \u201c85% self-sufficient in food\u201d and sought to dispel fears of famine, even as inflation surges and basic goods disappear from shelves.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">He also strongly criticized what he described as past strategic \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/reel\/C-e_QM7u06H\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">retreats<\/a>\u201d from Syria and Lebanon: \u201cLosing Syria and Lebanon was a mistake. While they resisted, no one dared touch our borders.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">This reflects the regime\u2019s deeply entrenched belief that its regional military presence is essential for domestic security, and that strategic withdrawal would invite attack on Iranian soil \u2014 a justification for ongoing interventionism.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">A Regime in Defensive Aggression<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The post-war political narrative emerging from Tehran is clear: victory through resistance, no retreat on ideology, and internal security above all. But the simultaneous admissions of major intelligence failures, heightened internal repression, and confusion over foreign policy direction suggest a regime in a state of defensive aggression.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Rather than seeking a path toward de-escalation, the Iranian regime is doubling down on ideological rigidity, repressing its population more intensely, and covering its internal fractures with war narratives. Whether this strategy will hold amid growing social unrest, economic decay, and international isolation remains to be seen \u2014 but for now, the Iranian regime appears determined to govern not through legitimacy, but through sheer intimidation at home and abroad.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three-minute read In the aftermath of the recent 12-day war &mdash; widely seen as one of the most intense regional escalations in years &mdash; the Iranian regime appears to be [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":53,"featured_media":334395,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[45],"tags":[277,5479],"class_list":["post-334394","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-news","tag-iran-news","tag-iran-policy"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - 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