{"id":334720,"date":"2025-07-25T14:24:17","date_gmt":"2025-07-25T13:24:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=334720"},"modified":"2025-07-25T17:56:52","modified_gmt":"2025-07-25T16:56:52","slug":"the-12-day-war-didnt-break-irans-economy-it-exposed-the-collapse-already-underway","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-resistance\/the-12-day-war-didnt-break-irans-economy-it-exposed-the-collapse-already-underway\/","title":{"rendered":"The 12-Day War Didn\u2019t Break Iran\u2019s Economy \u2014 It Exposed the Collapse Already Underway"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_260566\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-260566\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-260566 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/iran-tehran-market-packed-e1753449813764.jpg\" alt=\"iran-tehran-market-packed\" width=\"1000\" height=\"563\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/iran-tehran-market-packed-e1753449813764.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/iran-tehran-market-packed-e1753449813764-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/iran-tehran-market-packed-e1753449813764-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/iran-tehran-market-packed-e1753449813764-150x84.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/iran-tehran-market-packed-e1753449813764-696x392.jpg 696w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/iran-tehran-market-packed-e1753449813764-746x420.jpg 746w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-260566\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Crowded market in Tehran, Iran&#8217;s capital<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong><em>Three-minute read<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"Textbody\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">The recent 12-day war in the region may have been brief in military terms, but its impact on Iran\u2019s already fragile economy has been deep and revealing. More than just economic shock, it laid bare the Iranian regime\u2019s systematic dysfunction\u2014and its willingness to sacrifice the welfare of its people in the name of political survival.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Textbody\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Even before the first missile was fired, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-protests\/officials-fear-uprisings-as-the-economic-collapse-push-iran-on-the-brink\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Iran\u2019s economy was teetering<\/a>. While officials pointed to modest GDP growth or temporary boosts from barter trade with China as signs of recovery, the deeper picture was one of accelerating collapse: unchecked inflation, rising unemployment, stagnating industries, and a budget deficit spiraling out of control. These aren\u2019t external failures imposed by sanctions or conflict\u2014they are the results of decades of economic mismanagement, structural corruption, and regime priorities that place military expansion and ideological export far above the basic needs of Iranian citizens.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Textbody\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">The war provided the regime with more than just geopolitical cover\u2014it offered a political distraction. With the country edging toward widespread unrest, Tehran seized the opportunity to redirect public focus. This is a well-worn tactic. When faced with internal pressure\u2014economic, political, or social\u2014the regime resorts to foreign confrontation, trying to inflate nationalist sentiment while <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ohchr.org\/en\/press-releases\/2025\/07\/un-experts-urge-iran-choose-protection-over-repression-after-ceasefire\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">suppressing dissent at home<\/a>. This time was no different. The conflict was never about defending Iranian interests; it was about defending the regime from its own people.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s Economic Crisis Isn\u2019t a Mystery\u2014It\u2019s the Regime\u2019s Legacy<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/yTq2D6gXgt\">https:\/\/t.co\/yTq2D6gXgt<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1914300549459063198?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 21, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p class=\"Textbody\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">The fallout came fast. The national currency fell sharply, with the dollar climbing to nearly 88,000 tomans\u2014a 7% drop fueled by panic and distrust. The <a href=\"https:\/\/iranfocus.com\/economy\/54630-bloody-day-for-tehran-stock-exchange-after-12-day-war-billions-of-rials-exit-market\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Tehran Stock Exchange tumbled<\/a> as investors pulled out amid uncertainty. Inflation spiked further, especially for basic goods, due to infrastructure damage and logistical bottlenecks. Meanwhile, the regime continued trading oil for weapons from China\u2014leaving Iran cut off from critical foreign currency and unable to meet the needs of its civilian population. It\u2019s the working class and the middle class who pay the price, while the elite remain untouched.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Textbody\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Yet perhaps the most alarming part is that there\u2019s no evidence the regime plans to change course. Quite the opposite: it is doubling down. Tehran <a href=\"https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2025\/07\/19\/middleeast\/iran-rearm-proxies-us-talks-stall-intl\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">continues to pour resources<\/a> into proxy groups in Lebanon, Syria, Yemen, and Iraq, while investing in military hardware from Russia and China. Inside the country, repression has intensified to levels not seen in decades. In 2024, Iran was responsible for approximately 75% of all documented executions worldwide. A person is executed every four hours\u2014often accused of vague \u201csecurity threats\u201d that amount to nothing more than political dissent.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Textbody\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">There is no reforming this regime. There is no moderating it. But replacing it requires more than public anger\u2014it requires a credible, organized alternative that can offer a real future.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Textbody\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">That\u2019s why the proposal of a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.maryam-rajavi.com\/en\/viewpoints\/regime-change-in-iran\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u201cThird Option\u201d by Maryam Rajavi<\/a>, the president-elect of the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI), matters. It outlines a vision for a democratic republic based on the separation of religion and state, gender equality, human rights, and a non-nuclear foreign policy. In a landscape filled with collapsing trust and political theater, this framework offers something radically different: a roadmap grounded in principle, and built for Iran\u2019s future\u2014not its past.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">&quot;I have repeatedly warned that if appeasement with Tehran continues, war in the region is destined, an unfortunate reality we have witnessed recently,&quot; writes <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Maryam_Rajavi?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@Maryam_Rajavi<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/WashTimesOpEd?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@WashTimesOpEd<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/JjySqOcK3W\">https:\/\/t.co\/JjySqOcK3W<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; The Washington Times (@WashTimes) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/WashTimes\/status\/1946179653237871001?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 18, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p class=\"Textbody\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">More importantly, the Third Option stresses that this vision for a future Iran will not be achieved through a foreign war or appeasement\u2014both failed approaches. It relies on the people of Iran and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/iranian-people-remain-best-hope-regime-change-opinion-2099772\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">their organized Resistance<\/a> to bring about regime change and establish democracy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Textbody\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">The 12-day war did not create Iran\u2019s crisis. It merely spotlighted the scale of a collapse that is already well underway. The regime has lost its legitimacy, its ability to govern, and its connection to the people. Its last tools are bullets, prisons, and televised distractions.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Textbody\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">But these tools are losing their power. The Iranian people\u2014especially the younger generation\u2014can see through the regime\u2019s lies. They know that the real enemy is not foreign, but domestic. And they understand that true patriotism lies not in flags and slogans, but in building a free, just, and democratic Iran.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three-minute read The recent 12-day war in the region may have been brief in military terms, but its impact on Iran&rsquo;s already fragile economy has been deep and revealing. More [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":260566,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[222],"class_list":{"0":"post-334720","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-iran-resistance","8":"tag-iranian-resistance"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The 12-Day War Didn\u2019t Break Iran\u2019s Economy \u2014 It Exposed the Collapse Already Underway - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Three-minute read The recent 12-day war in the region may have been brief in military terms, but its impact on Iran\u2019s already fragile economy has been\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-resistance\/the-12-day-war-didnt-break-irans-economy-it-exposed-the-collapse-already-underway\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The 12-Day War Didn\u2019t Break Iran\u2019s Economy \u2014 It Exposed the Collapse Already Underway - 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