{"id":336177,"date":"2025-08-30T09:43:50","date_gmt":"2025-08-30T08:43:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=336177"},"modified":"2025-08-30T13:11:19","modified_gmt":"2025-08-30T12:11:19","slug":"tehran-in-damage-control-mode-after-snapback-sanctions-triggered-economic-fears-soar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/economy\/tehran-in-damage-control-mode-after-snapback-sanctions-triggered-economic-fears-soar\/","title":{"rendered":"Tehran in Damage-Control Mode After Snapback Sanctions Triggered, Economic Fears Soar"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_336178\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-336178\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-336178\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/iran-women-foreign-exchange.jpg\" alt=\"People gather outside a foreign exchange office in Tehran\" width=\"1000\" height=\"561\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/iran-women-foreign-exchange.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/iran-women-foreign-exchange-300x168.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/iran-women-foreign-exchange-768x431.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/iran-women-foreign-exchange-749x420.jpg 749w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/iran-women-foreign-exchange-150x84.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/iran-women-foreign-exchange-696x390.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-336178\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">People gather outside a foreign exchange office in Tehran<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"994\" data-end=\"1016\"><em data-start=\"994\" data-end=\"1016\"><strong data-start=\"995\" data-end=\"1015\">Three-minute read<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"1018\" data-end=\"1403\">The activation of the UN \u201csnapback\u201d mechanism by France, Germany, and the UK has rattled Iran\u2019s leadership, exposing deep anxieties over a looming economic collapse and potential social unrest. While officials maintain a tone of defiance publicly, behind closed doors the clerical regime is scrambling to contain panic, silence warnings, and project stability.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"1405\" data-end=\"1475\">IRGC Detains Chamber of Commerce Officials Over Snapback Report<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"1477\" data-end=\"1922\">In one of the clearest signs of damage control, IRGC intelligence agents interrogated senior officials at Iran\u2019s Chamber of Commerce after the publication of an internal report warning of severe economic fallout from snapback sanctions. Sources suggest that the IRGC entered the Chamber\u2019s headquarters on August 28, questioning members of its International Affairs Department and forcing them to <a href=\"https:\/\/eslahatnews.com\/fa\/news\/105597\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">retract their findings<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"1924\" data-end=\"2205\">According to those familiar with the incident, board members were also ordered not to comment publicly on the effects of renewed UN sanctions. The move highlights how sensitive the regime has become to economic projections that could fuel public anxiety and trigger unrest.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Senior <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iranian?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iranian<\/a> Regime Insider Faces Prosecution After Comments Seen as Undermining Morale Amid Escalating Crises<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/jVfljdqUSN\">https:\/\/t.co\/jVfljdqUSN<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1961426645102780881?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 29, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"2207\" data-end=\"2274\">Leaked Report Warned of Currency Collapse and Deep Recession<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"2276\" data-end=\"2492\">Before being censored, the Chamber of Commerce report \u2014 titled <em data-start=\"2339\" data-end=\"2383\">\u201cEconomic Impacts of UN Sanctions on Iran\u201d<\/em> \u2014 forecasted dire consequences if snapback measures were fully reinstated. In its worst-case scenario:<\/p>\n<ul style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"2493\" data-end=\"2719\">\n<li data-start=\"2493\" data-end=\"2565\">\n<p data-start=\"2495\" data-end=\"2565\">The U.S. dollar could surge to 165,000 IRR in the coming months.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2566\" data-end=\"2615\">\n<p data-start=\"2568\" data-end=\"2615\">Inflation could climb as high as 90%.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2616\" data-end=\"2719\">\n<p data-start=\"2618\" data-end=\"2719\">Economic growth would remain negative across all scenarios, pushing Iran into a deeper recession.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"2721\" data-end=\"3044\">The report warned that Iran\u2019s economy has \u201cno capacity to absorb another wave of UN sanctions\u201d after years of structural weakness, previous U.S. restrictions, and mounting fiscal deficits. Economists close to the Chamber concluded that fresh sanctions could accelerate unemployment, bankruptcies, and social unrest.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a> Faces Mounting Crisis: Snapback Mechanism Threats, Nationwide Military Alert, and Fear of Uprising<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/RM2d5Gbltz\">https:\/\/t.co\/RM2d5Gbltz<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1960451502885232991?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 26, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"3046\" data-end=\"3086\">Why the Regime Reacted So Harshly<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"3088\" data-end=\"3311\">Following the leak, state-affiliated media accused the Chamber of \u201cspreading panic\u201d and \u201cfueling instability\u201d in financial markets. Analysts say the IRGC\u2019s heavy-handed intervention underscores two critical realities:<\/p>\n<ol style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"3312\" data-end=\"3564\">\n<li data-start=\"3312\" data-end=\"3447\">\n<p data-start=\"3315\" data-end=\"3447\">The regime fears that open discussion of economic risks could further destabilize currency markets and deepen public distrust.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"3448\" data-end=\"3564\">\n<p data-start=\"3451\" data-end=\"3564\">Authorities see maintaining morale and controlling narratives as essential to preventing widespread protests.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"3566\" data-end=\"3996\">The sharp response came amid a broader effort to suppress economic warnings. The Ministry of Culture issued a classified directive to all media outlets, ordering them to avoid \u201calarming headlines\u201d or \u201ccrisis-driven analyses\u201d and to emphasize Iran\u2019s \u201cresilience against sanctions.\u201d Journalists were specifically banned from publishing projections linking snapback sanctions to price hikes or market instability.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Khamenei Pulls Strings in Coordinated Crackdown as <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s Revisionist Faction Refuses to Yield<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/KPbDxjMj8L\">https:\/\/t.co\/KPbDxjMj8L<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1960817109690384714?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 27, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"3998\" data-end=\"4047\">Parliament Pushes Confrontational Response<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"4049\" data-end=\"4227\">At the same time, Parliament is escalating its rhetoric. Deputy Speaker Hossein Hajji <a href=\"https:\/\/www.asriran.com\/fa\/news\/1089747\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Deligani announced<\/a> that lawmakers are drafting a \u201ctriple-urgency bill\u201d that would:<\/p>\n<ul style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"4228\" data-end=\"4467\">\n<li data-start=\"4228\" data-end=\"4326\">\n<p data-start=\"4230\" data-end=\"4326\">Withdraw Iran from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) and the Additional Protocol.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"4327\" data-end=\"4406\">\n<p data-start=\"4329\" data-end=\"4406\">End all cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"4407\" data-end=\"4467\">\n<p data-start=\"4409\" data-end=\"4467\">Suspend all talks with the U.S. and European powers.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"4469\" data-end=\"4599\">Deligani accused the country\u2019s diplomats of weakness, claiming that past negotiations \u201cencouraged Europe\u201d to trigger snapback.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>&#39;s Economic Collapse Deepens as 80% Face Poverty, Blackouts Worsen, and Regime Braces for Unrest<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/X0aF4AqFgG\">https:\/\/t.co\/X0aF4AqFgG<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1960056643812827261?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 25, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"4601\" data-end=\"4646\">Confidential Memos Show Security Fears<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"4648\" data-end=\"4792\">A separate leaked memo from the Ministry of Intelligence warned government agencies and state-owned firms that renewed UN sanctions could:<\/p>\n<ul style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"4793\" data-end=\"4936\">\n<li data-start=\"4793\" data-end=\"4818\">\n<p data-start=\"4795\" data-end=\"4818\">Collapse oil revenues<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"4819\" data-end=\"4855\">\n<p data-start=\"4821\" data-end=\"4855\">Trigger massive unemployment<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"4856\" data-end=\"4893\">\n<p data-start=\"4858\" data-end=\"4893\">Cause widespread bankruptcies<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"4894\" data-end=\"4936\">\n<p data-start=\"4896\" data-end=\"4936\">Intensify the risk of urban protests<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"4938\" data-end=\"5168\">The ministry urged companies to prepare \u201cresilience plans\u201d including contract renegotiations, cybersecurity upgrades, and risk-hedging strategies \u2014 measures aimed less at foreign policy than at containing domestic fallout.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"5221\" data-end=\"5623\">While Tehran <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/irans-regime-escalates-threats-and-propaganda-toward-the-international-community\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">projects strength abroad<\/a>, its internal actions \u2014 censorship, arrests, and forced retractions \u2014 reflect a deepening morale crisis. The snapback activation has intensified fears of public backlash, currency freefall, and renewed waves of unrest. For a regime already facing declining legitimacy, the return of UN sanctions risks becoming a political and social tipping point.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three-minute read The activation of the UN &ldquo;snapback&rdquo; mechanism by France, Germany, and the UK has rattled Iran&rsquo;s leadership, exposing deep anxieties over a looming economic collapse and potential social [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":336178,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[269],"class_list":{"0":"post-336177","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-iran-economy"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Tehran in Damage-Control Mode After Snapback Sanctions Triggered, Economic Fears Soar - 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