{"id":337748,"date":"2025-10-01T10:08:23","date_gmt":"2025-10-01T09:08:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=337748"},"modified":"2025-10-01T10:08:23","modified_gmt":"2025-10-01T09:08:23","slug":"editorial-snapback-is-here-ten-years-one-lesson","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/editorial\/editorial-snapback-is-here-ten-years-one-lesson\/","title":{"rendered":"Editorial: Snapback Is Here. Ten Years, One Lesson"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_253781\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-253781\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-253781\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/UNSC.jpg\" alt=\"United Nations Security Council voting\" width=\"1000\" height=\"535\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/UNSC.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/UNSC-300x161.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/UNSC-768x411.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/UNSC-150x80.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/UNSC-696x372.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-253781\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">United Nations Security Council voting<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">On September 28, 2025, the UN \u201csnapback\u201d mechanism took effect, re-imposing all UN sanctions suspended under the 2015 nuclear deal. In plain terms: Iran again faces sanctions adopted under Chapter VII of the UN Charter, including a renewed arms embargo and restrictions tied to ballistic missiles.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">That calendar milestone is more than a legal reset. It\u2019s a strategic inflection point in a contest spanning two decades\u2014between the Iranian regime and the Iranian people, and between appeasement and a principled policy long urged by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-resistance\/demonizing-mek\/who-represents-the-people-of-iran\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the democratic opposition<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">What snapback validates<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>First, appeasement failed.<\/strong> As Mrs. Maryam Rajavi, the President-elect of the NCRI has warned for years, <em>concessions don\u2019t moderate Tehran; they incentivize aggression<\/em>. Her message to lawmakers in Europe captured the lesson crisply: giving the regime breathing room \u201conly serves to intensify tensions rather than ease them\u201d and must be replaced with firm measures\u2014designating the IRGC, activating snapback, and placing the regime under Chapter VII. Snapback\u2019s return is a belated recognition of that logic.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Second, facts\u2014not wishful thinking\u2014got us here.<\/strong> The crisis began with opposition-led disclosures, notably the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/exclusive-report\/timeline-of-ncris-revelations-to-prevent-a-nuclear-armed-iran\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">August 2002 revelation<\/a> of Natanz and Arak, which forced international inspections and rewrote the world\u2019s understanding of Tehran\u2019s program. Multiple independent accounts record that the NCRI\/MEK\u2019s press conference in Washington put those clandestine sites on the map and pressed the IAEA and capitals into action.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Third, the case for a policy pivot is overwhelming.<\/strong> The E3 themselves stressed that re-imposed UN sanctions are not the end of diplomacy\u2014but they are the end of illusions. The question is <em>what diplomacy is for<\/em>. A decade of \u201cbehavior change\u201d hopes has left Iran\u2019s rulers more repressive at home and more adventurous abroad, exactly as Mrs. Rajavi and the Iranian Resistance repeatedly predicted.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">NCRI has long warned about the <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iranian?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iranian<\/a> regime\u2019s secret nuclear weaponization. Since 2004, it has exposed METFAZ&#39;s role in explosive chambers at Parchin. Decades later, METFAZ remains central to <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Tehran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Tehran<\/a>&#39;s nuclear ambitions<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/EiJenArCtm\">https:\/\/t.co\/EiJenArCtm<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/3z7ZiPGfWB\">https:\/\/t.co\/3z7ZiPGfWB<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1870416603956810209?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 21, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Three paths on the table\u2014and why only one works<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Path 1: Squeeze for a grand bargain.<\/strong> The idea is that pressure will compel the regime to \u201cdrink the poison\u201d and enter a serious nuclear\/ballistic\/regional deal. Snapback\u2019s very activation shows why this is unlikely: if Tehran were prepared to settle, it would have moved before snapback ripened. A decade of indulgence delivered the opposite result.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Path 2: War to decapitate the program or the state.<\/strong> A full-scale invasion is neither credible nor desired; limited strikes could set back capabilities without producing change. The regime knows it\u2014and calculates it can absorb blows while tightening repression. That calculus is built on the belief that external force alone won\u2019t topple it.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Path 3: Change by the Iranian people and their organized Resistance.<\/strong> Durable transformation requires forces on the ground\u2014not hashtags. Here the <a href=\"https:\/\/english.mojahedin.org\/iranian-resistance-units\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">MEK\u2019s Resistance Units<\/a> and the NCRI provide precisely what every successful transition needs: organization, a democratic program (free elections, separation of religion and state, gender equality, ethnic autonomy within Iran\u2019s territorial integrity, and a non-nuclear future), and international recognition that has steadily grown across parliaments in Europe and North America.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">In the face of the regime\u2019s malign activities, the international community must no longer delay the activation of the snapback mechanism. This regime is a threat to global peace and security and must be placed under Chapter VII of the United Nations Charter.<br \/>The ultimate solution\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/xq7rckIpaQ\">pic.twitter.com\/xq7rckIpaQ<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Maryam Rajavi (@Maryam_Rajavi) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Maryam_Rajavi\/status\/1907847300593971361?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 3, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">This is not abstract. In message after message to lawmakers on both sides of the Atlantic, Mrs. Rajavi has outlined a coherent policy:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Ending the cycle of compromise and appeasement, which is based on the illusory hope of moderating the regime\u2019s behavior, requires recognizing the Iranian people\u2019s right to resist tyranny, acknowledging the role of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-resistance\/resistance-units-iran-societys-response-to-mullahs-rule-of-terror\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the Resistance Units<\/a> in confronting repression, designating the IRGC as a terrorist entity, and making clear that the viable solution is neither foreign war nor continued accommodation, but democratic change brought about by the Iranian people and their organized movement.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">A crucial missing link in Western policy toward Iran has been the persistent disregard for the demands of the Iranian people and their organized resistance. It is long overdue to break with this failed policy once and for all.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Who Represents the People of <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>?<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/B6fXrDkBWb\">https:\/\/t.co\/B6fXrDkBWb<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1699806730975347004?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 7, 2023<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Final word<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/isjcommittee.com\/2024\/10\/isj-white-paper-europes-failed-policy-towards-iran\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">A decade of appeasement<\/a> has proved that Tehran uses \u201cdiplomacy\u201d to deceive and buy time. Iranians\u2014and the wider world\u2014have paid a heavy price for many years. Drawing hard lessons from the past demand refusing to repeat the same mistakes.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The solution lies with the Iranian people and their organized resistance. They ask for no money, no weapons, and no outside favors\u2014only that the regime not be supported, and that their right to confront tyranny be recognized.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The decisive arena is within Iran. The responsibility of the international community is to stop enabling the oppressors and to stand openly with the Iranian people\u2019s right to determine their own future.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Regional peace and stability demand a fundamentally new approach to Iran.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On September 28, 2025, the UN &ldquo;snapback&rdquo; mechanism took effect, re-imposing all UN sanctions suspended under the 2015 nuclear deal. In plain terms: Iran again faces sanctions adopted under Chapter [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":253781,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[17,61],"tags":[847,1175],"class_list":{"0":"post-337748","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nuclear","8":"category-editorial","9":"tag-editorial","10":"tag-iran-nuclear"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Editorial: Snapback Is Here. Ten Years, One Lesson - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"On September 28, 2025, the UN \u201csnapback\u201d mechanism took effect, re-imposing all UN sanctions suspended under the 2015 nuclear deal. 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