{"id":338266,"date":"2025-10-16T14:49:12","date_gmt":"2025-10-16T13:49:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=338266"},"modified":"2025-10-17T07:53:45","modified_gmt":"2025-10-17T06:53:45","slug":"irans-power-struggle-a-fractured-regime-hiding-behind-bold-rhetoric","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/iranian-regime-infighting\/irans-power-struggle-a-fractured-regime-hiding-behind-bold-rhetoric\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran\u2019s Power Struggle: A Fractured Regime Hiding Behind Bold Rhetoric"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_338267\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-338267\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-338267\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/iran-majlis-infighting.jpg\" alt=\"FILE PHOTO: Brawl between MPs in Iran\u2019s parliament (Majlis)\" width=\"1000\" height=\"562\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/iran-majlis-infighting.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/iran-majlis-infighting-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/iran-majlis-infighting-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/iran-majlis-infighting-747x420.jpg 747w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/iran-majlis-infighting-150x84.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/iran-majlis-infighting-696x391.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-338267\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">FILE PHOTO: Brawl between MPs in the Iranian regime\u2019s parliament (Majlis)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"74\" data-end=\"92\"><em><strong>Four-minute read<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"94\" data-end=\"555\">The clerical dictatorship enters the autumn of 2025 in visible disarray. Beneath the usual slogans of strength and defiance, Iran\u2019s ruling elite is engaged in an open civil war of words and factions. Ministers, parliamentarians, and even state media now expose one another\u2019s failures with a candor unseen since the 1980s. Yet despite the internal chaos, the regime\u2019s rhetoric toward the outside world has grown even bolder\u2014an effort to mask weakness behind defiance.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"557\" data-end=\"598\">Science of the Bomb, Theater of Denial<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"599\" data-end=\"1123\">When Mahmoud-Reza Aghamiri, head of Shahid Beheshti University and a veteran of the regime\u2019s nuclear establishment, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.asriran.com\/fa\/news\/1104074\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">declared on state television<\/a> that <em data-start=\"747\" data-end=\"840\">\u201c<\/em>we have the capability to build the bomb and could do it in the best way if we decide to,\u201d he momentarily stripped the regime of one of its long-held pretenses. His remark that every nuclear scientist \u201cmust know how a bomb is made\u201d contradicted years of official insistence on purely peaceful intent. His caveat\u2014crediting Khamenei\u2019s fatwa for restraint\u2014was perfunctory.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"1125\" data-end=\"1533\">That such a claim aired on official media underscores both hubris and insecurity. Domestically, it signals to a demoralized base that the regime is unbowed after the June Twelve-Day War and the reimposition of UN sanctions. Internationally, it is a message of desperation: a threat meant to project leverage at a time when Tehran is more isolated than ever. The louder the boast, the deeper the weakness it conceals.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a> Faces Deepening Power Struggles Amid <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/UN?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@UN<\/a> Sanctions \u201cSnapback\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/7CqMVhSUWz\">https:\/\/t.co\/7CqMVhSUWz<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1962532843852017800?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 1, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"1535\" data-end=\"1562\">Desperate calls<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"1563\" data-end=\"2056\">Inside the system, public self-criticism has become a substitute for real change. In a televised appearance on October 14, regime&#8217;s president Masoud Pezeshkian\u2014a loyal insider now struggling to distance himself from the dysfunction he serves\u2014<a href=\"https:\/\/donya-e-eqtesad.com\/%D8%A8%D8%AE%D8%B4-%D8%B3%D8%A7%DB%8C%D8%AA-%D8%AE%D9%88%D8%A7%D9%86-62\/4220614-%D9%BE%D8%B2%D8%B4%DA%A9%DB%8C%D8%A7%D9%86-%D9%85%D9%82%D8%B5%D8%B1-%D9%85%D8%B4%DA%A9%D9%84%D8%A7%D8%AA-%D9%85%D8%B1%D8%AF%D9%85-%D8%AA%D8%B5%D9%85%DB%8C%D9%85-%DA%AF%DB%8C%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%86-%D9%87%D8%B3%D8%AA%D9%86%D8%AF-%D8%A8%D8%B3%DB%8C%D8%A7%D8%B1%DB%8C-%D8%A7%D8%B2-%D8%B1%D9%81%D8%AA%D8%A7%D8%B1%D9%87%D8%A7-%D8%A7%D9%82%D8%AF%D8%A7%D9%85%D8%A7%D8%AA-%D9%85%D9%88%D8%AC%D9%88%D8%AF-%D8%AF%D8%B1-%DA%A9%D8%B4%D9%88%D8%B1-%D8%BA%DB%8C%D8%B1%D8%B9%D8%A7%D8%AF%D9%84%D8%A7%D9%86%D9%87-%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%AA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">lamented that \u201cwe are imbalanced<\/a> in everything\u2014water, electricity, gas, salaries, land\u2014everything is on the edge.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"2058\" data-end=\"2506\">For a sitting president to call his own government unjust is remarkable. But Pezeshkian\u2019s lamentation was not rebellion\u2014it was theater. He simultaneously praised the \u201clong life and honor\u201d of the Supreme Leader while decrying the rot within the state built around him. His tone captured the paradox of today\u2019s Iran: a regime so divided that even its figurehead must admit failure, yet so brittle that no one dares assign blame to the man at the top.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"2559\" data-end=\"2900\">Former president Hassan Rouhani\u2019s sudden reappearance after months of silence exposed the vacuum around Khamenei. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.asriran.com\/fa\/news\/1103543\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Rouhani, openly challenging<\/a> Khamenei\u2019s rejection of talks with Washington, denounced state television as a \u201cmachine of hatred\u201d and declared that Iran <em data-start=\"154\" data-end=\"160\">must<\/em> return to negotiations with the world, insisting that \u201cit is wrong to say we must choose between war and surrender.\u201d His defiance reflects not renewed confidence, but his reading of a weakened Supreme Leader\u2014one whose authority no longer silences dissent even within the ranks of the establishment.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s Cairo Agreement Triggers Factional Warfare and Exposes Khamenei\u2019s Weakening Grip <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/E69azy8DfH\">https:\/\/t.co\/E69azy8DfH<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1968189079104917765?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 17, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<article class=\"text-token-text-primary w-full focus:outline-none [--shadow-height:45px] has-data-writing-block:pointer-events-none has-data-writing-block:-mt-(--shadow-height) has-data-writing-block:pt-(--shadow-height) [&amp;:has([data-writing-block])&gt;*]:pointer-events-auto [content-visibility:auto] supports-[content-visibility:auto]:[contain-intrinsic-size:auto_100lvh] scroll-mt-[calc(var(--header-height)+min(200px,max(70px,20svh)))]\" dir=\"auto\" tabindex=\"-1\" data-turn-id=\"request-68ed45d6-d398-832f-a8c2-5874fe9100f2-10\" data-testid=\"conversation-turn-36\" data-scroll-anchor=\"true\" data-turn=\"assistant\">\n<div class=\"[--thread-content-max-width:40rem] thread-lg:[--thread-content-max-width:48rem] mx-auto max-w-(--thread-content-max-width) flex-1 group\/turn-messages focus-visible:outline-hidden relative flex w-full min-w-0 flex-col agent-turn\" tabindex=\"-1\"><\/div>\n<\/article>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"3363\" data-end=\"3391\">Parliament in Pandemonium<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"3392\" data-end=\"3798\">The fa\u00e7ade of unity collapsed most vividly in the Majlis (parliament), where sessions now resemble street brawls. Lawmakers shouted over one another on October 14, accusing ministers of incompetence, mismanagement, and corruption. <a href=\"https:\/\/snn.ir\/fa\/news\/1317930\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">One MP cried<\/a> that \u201cbread has turned to brick, chicken has flown away, and meat has vanished.\u201d Others demanded the president act against \u201cprofiteers and parasites.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"3800\" data-end=\"4247\">The scene deteriorated into open shouting matches, with legislators accusing one another of violating procedure and lying to the public about their own salaries. Even loyalists complained that \u201cpeople are angry enough already.\u201d These are not reformist dissidents; they are regime insiders acknowledging a collapse of governance. Their fury is both genuine and performative\u2014a preemptive disavowal of blame before the next eruption of public unrest.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">From Cairo Deal to Snapback: <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s Power Struggle Goes Nuclear<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/7IEvb6hTJR\">https:\/\/t.co\/7IEvb6hTJR<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1970147722238828788?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 22, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"4249\" data-end=\"4288\">The FATF Battle and Fear of Exposure<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"4289\" data-end=\"4931\">Another fissure appeared over Iran\u2019s long-delayed decision on joining the CFT (Combating the Financing of Terrorism) convention. Extremist factions warned that compliance would force Tehran to disclose the financial trails linking it to Hezbollah, the Houthis, and other proxy networks.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"4289\" data-end=\"4931\">MP <a href=\"https:\/\/www.khabaronline.ir\/news\/2128842\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Mahmoud Nabaviyan called<\/a> the agreement \u201ca direct threat to national security,\u201d while others accused the government of \u201chanding intelligence to the enemy.\u201d Opponents countered that blocking it will deepen sanctions and choke the banking system further. The debate degenerated into mutual accusations of betraying either \u201cthe revolution\u201d or \u201cthe national interest.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"4933\" data-end=\"5211\">This paralysis reveals the regime\u2019s structural dilemma: transparency would expose the covert funding of militias abroad, but secrecy ensures continued economic isolation. Either choice carries existential risk, and so the regime oscillates\u2014loud in rhetoric, paralyzed in policy.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iranian?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iranian<\/a> Regime MPs Call for Nuclear Weapons as UN Snapback Looms<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/bZaXOoUtzz\">https:\/\/t.co\/bZaXOoUtzz<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1978818578611646868?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 16, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"5213\" data-end=\"5231\">A House Divided<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"5232\" data-end=\"5656\">The newspaper <a href=\"https:\/\/ebtekarnews.com\/index.php?newsid=54027\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em data-start=\"5248\" data-end=\"5257\">Ebtekar<\/em> confirmed<\/a> what officials deny: that a faction within parliament seeks to impeach several ministers simultaneously to weaken or even unseat President Pezeshkian. The campaign is driven not by ideology but by factional vengeance, particularly from figures aligned with Speaker Ghalibaf and the Revolutionary Guard\u2019s political network. Even regime media now speak of \u201cwolves devouring one another.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"5658\" data-end=\"6059\">Meanwhile, older figures like Ali Akbar <a href=\"https:\/\/www.asriran.com\/fa\/news\/1102817\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nategh-Nouri openly question<\/a> foundational myths, calling the 1979 takeover of the U.S. embassy a \u201cgrave mistake.\u201d Within 24 hours, <em data-start=\"5833\" data-end=\"5841\">Kayhan<\/em>, Khamenei\u2019s flagship daily, denounced him for \u201clistening to the whispers of the deviants.\u201d Such ferocity betrays fear: when regime veterans start to doubt the revolution\u2019s sacred moments, the ideological glue is gone.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s Power Struggle Escalates as State Media Admits Setbacks, Snapback Tightens, and the Street Simmers<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/sxHEeUIuiK\">https:\/\/t.co\/sxHEeUIuiK<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1977421264244687306?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 12, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"6762\" data-end=\"6785\">The Coming Reckoning<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"6786\" data-end=\"7054\">Iran\u2019s rulers now face converging crises: economic contraction, elite fragmentation, public anger, and international isolation. The nuclear boast, the poetic self-criticism, the televised shouting\u2014all are symptoms of a regime collapsing under its own contradictions.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"7056\" data-end=\"7482\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">A state that cannot reconcile its factions, reform its economy, or tell the truth to its people has no path forward but repression. Yet repression has lost its deterrent power. The clerical system still speaks the language of revolution, but its institutions reek of decay. In every shout of \u201cresistance,\u201d one can hear the echo of fear\u2014the fear that the next confrontation will not be abroad but in the streets of Iran itself.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Four-minute read The clerical dictatorship enters the autumn of 2025 in visible disarray. Beneath the usual slogans of strength and defiance, Iran&rsquo;s ruling elite is engaged in an open civil [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":53,"featured_media":338267,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11,5450],"tags":[5482],"class_list":{"0":"post-338266","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-society","8":"category-iranian-regime-infighting","9":"tag-iranian-regime-infighting"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Iran\u2019s Power Struggle: A Fractured Regime Hiding Behind Bold Rhetoric - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Four-minute read The clerical dictatorship enters the autumn of 2025 in visible disarray. 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