{"id":338393,"date":"2025-10-20T14:11:54","date_gmt":"2025-10-20T13:11:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=338393"},"modified":"2025-10-20T14:11:54","modified_gmt":"2025-10-20T13:11:54","slug":"irans-ruling-elite-trapped-between-economic-collapse-and-public-fury","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/economy\/irans-ruling-elite-trapped-between-economic-collapse-and-public-fury\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran\u2019s Ruling Elite Trapped Between Economic Collapse and Public Fury"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_338394\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-338394\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-338394 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/iran-crowded-street.jpg\" alt=\"A crowded street in Iran\" width=\"1000\" height=\"564\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/iran-crowded-street.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/iran-crowded-street-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/iran-crowded-street-768x433.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/iran-crowded-street-745x420.jpg 745w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/iran-crowded-street-150x85.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/iran-crowded-street-696x393.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-338394\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">A crowded street in Iran<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"91\" data-end=\"339\"><strong><em>Three-minute read<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"91\" data-end=\"339\">As poverty deepens and food vanishes from the tables of ordinary families, the Pezeshkian government prepares a massive fuel price hike while new scandals expose the corruption, hypocrisy, and paralysis consuming the clerical regime.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"346\" data-end=\"781\">In late October 2025, Iran\u2019s embattled leadership finds itself engulfed in overlapping political, economic, and social crises that have shattered what remains of its governing credibility. From the prospect of a 300\u2013500% gasoline price hike to soaring food insecurity and a widening gulf between impoverished citizens and ruling elites, the clerical regime is confronting the kind of volatility that once <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/iran-protests-2022-nationwide-uprising\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">preceded nationwide uprisings<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"783\" data-end=\"827\">A Government Preparing to Light the Fuse<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"829\" data-end=\"1389\">According to regime media, the Pezeshkian administration is preparing to raise fuel prices to between 5,500 and 12,000 tomans per liter\u2014up to a fivefold increase. Officials justify the measure by citing unsustainable subsidies and the \u201cneed for optimization,\u201d but even parliamentary insiders have admitted it would amount to a social explosion in the making. The Speaker of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tabnak.ir\/fa\/news\/1334926\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Parliament recently confessed<\/a> that Iran \u201cbuys fuel at 50,000 to 60,000 tomans and sells it for 2,000 to 3,000,\u201d effectively acknowledging that the state\u2019s economic model is bankrupt.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"1391\" data-end=\"1744\">Such admissions echo a broader truth: decades of corruption, mismanagement, and institutionalized plunder have hollowed out the national economy. The clerical establishment, dominated by the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/exclusive-report\/khameneis-circle-and-the-complex-incoherent-world-of-irans-power-strain\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Supreme Leader\u2019s office<\/a>, the Revolutionary Guards, and their vast economic networks, is now forced to extract more from a society already driven into destitution.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s Class War: Inequality as a Regime Strategy<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/GgEGSzTdJJ\">https:\/\/t.co\/GgEGSzTdJJ<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1968680002129416238?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 18, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"1746\" data-end=\"1785\">The Vanishing of Meat \u2014 and Dignity<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"1787\" data-end=\"2156\">Nothing illustrates the collapse more vividly than the disappearance of meat from Iranian tables. Once a symbol of modest prosperity, meat has become a luxury item. United Nations data shows global per capita meat consumption averaging 41 kilograms per year, while in <a href=\"https:\/\/iranfocus.com\/general\/52090-red-meat-consumption-in-iran-has-fallen-below-600000-tons-per-year\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Iran it has fallen<\/a> to below 12 kilograms\u2014a level more typical of famine-stricken regions.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"2158\" data-end=\"2558\">The price of lamb has soared past 900,000 tomans per kilogram, meaning the monthly subsidy for one low-income individual cannot even buy a single kilo of meat. Even the middle class has been pushed toward vegetarian diets not by choice, but by economic compulsion. In Tehran and other cities, ordinary families now rely on bread, rice, and tea, while protein sources have all but disappeared.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"2560\" data-end=\"2844\">The consequences are catastrophic: rising malnutrition, weakened immune systems, and growing health disparities. The Ministry of Health recently confirmed that malnutrition contributes to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rouydad24.ir\/fa\/amp\/news\/432808\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">35% of all deaths<\/a> in the country\u2014equivalent to over 140,000 preventable deaths annually.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">How Many <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iranians?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iranians<\/a> Live Below the <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Poverty?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Poverty<\/a> Line?<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/fClcBw6aLX\">https:\/\/t.co\/fClcBw6aLX<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1833822806829604926?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 11, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"2846\" data-end=\"2886\">\u201cLuxury for Them, Starvation for Us\u201d<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"2888\" data-end=\"3297\">As living standards collapse, the ruling class flaunts its privileges with impunity. The release of a video showing the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/shorts\/lVOJ80OzOTo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">extravagant wedding<\/a> of Ali Shamkhani\u2019s daughter, featuring lavish d\u00e9cor, luxury attire, and a reported cost of 1.4 billion tomans, ignited public outrage. The contrast between opulent elite lifestyles and the desperation of millions encapsulates the moral bankruptcy of the regime.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"3299\" data-end=\"3615\">Shamkhani, a longtime insider of the regime\u2019s military-security complex, symbolizes the corruption at the system\u2019s core. His family, deeply embedded in oil and shipping contracts, represents the web of power and privilege that shields the regime\u2019s top figures while ordinary citizens bear the cost of their excesses.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"3617\" data-end=\"3802\">Even regime-affiliated media admitted the scandal\u2019s implications. As one outlet wrote, \u201cHow can officials demand patience under sanctions while they themselves live like global elites?\u201d<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s Imploding Economy Exposes a Regime Beyond Preservation<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/7N3OT7UFT2\">https:\/\/t.co\/7N3OT7UFT2<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1979211132091990409?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 17, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"3804\" data-end=\"3825\">Programs in Ruins<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"3827\" data-end=\"4143\">The crisis extends to the collapse of all economic planning. The regime\u2019s \u201c20-Year Vision Plan,\u201d once touted as a blueprint for prosperity, has ended in total failure. Its promise to make Iran the region\u2019s leading economy by 2025 has instead produced record poverty, negative growth, and unprecedented isolation.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"4145\" data-end=\"4516\">Likewise, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/economy\/is-iran-regimes-seventh-development-plan-a-mirage\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Seventh Development Plan<\/a>, introduced as the flagship program of Pezeshkian\u2019s government, is faltering. Official data shows that over half of its economic targets remain unimplemented, with economic growth turning negative in mid-2025. The regime\u2019s own statistics admit a 27% funding gap, chronic mismanagement, and zero progress in job creation.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"4518\" data-end=\"4543\">The Price of Survival<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"4545\" data-end=\"4871\">Faced with fiscal collapse, regime factions are now at war over who should bear the cost. Raising fuel prices risks a repeat of the 2019 and 2022 uprisings, when similar policies triggered nationwide protests <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/world\/special-report-irans-leader-ordered-crackdown-on-unrest-do-whatever-it-take-idUSKBN1YR0QO\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">brutally suppressed by security forces<\/a>. Yet without such measures, the regime faces a deeper budgetary implosion.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"4873\" data-end=\"5106\">Caught between economic implosion and social explosion, the clerical state appears incapable of either reform or restraint. Its response\u2014tightening repression at home while feeding its war machine abroad\u2014has only deepened the spiral.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iranian?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iranian<\/a> Regime Officials Caught in Massive Corruption Scandal Over Gift Cards<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/9M3p5c4GU6\">https:\/\/t.co\/9M3p5c4GU6<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1927760063453651253?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 28, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"5108\" data-end=\"5132\">A Nation on the Edge<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"5134\" data-end=\"5513\">Iran\u2019s economy is no longer in crisis; it is in free fall. Inflation has hovered above 40% for nearly a decade, unemployment remains rampant, and more than half the population now lives below the poverty line. Meanwhile, the Revolutionary Guards and institutions tied to the Supreme Leader continue to drain the nation\u2019s wealth through untaxed empires and offshore accounts.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"5515\" data-end=\"5619\">In the words of one frustrated economist, \u201cThe regime is not governing the economy\u2014it is scavenging it.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"5621\" data-end=\"5858\">As hunger spreads and corruption festers, even many within the establishment privately warn that the system\u2019s social contract has collapsed. The contrast between<a href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/irans-supreme-leader-controls-a-vast-empire-2013-11\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> the rulers\u2019 opulence<\/a> and the people\u2019s destitution has never been starker.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"5860\" data-end=\"5972\">What remains is a nation exhausted, impoverished, and ruled by men whose only remaining tool of control is fear.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three-minute read As poverty deepens and food vanishes from the tables of ordinary families, the Pezeshkian government prepares a massive fuel price hike while new scandals expose the corruption, hypocrisy, [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":91,"featured_media":338394,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[269],"class_list":{"0":"post-338393","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-iran-economy"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Iran\u2019s Ruling Elite Trapped Between Economic Collapse and Public Fury - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Three-minute read As poverty deepens and food vanishes from the tables of ordinary families, the Pezeshkian government prepares a massive fuel price hike\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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