{"id":338495,"date":"2025-10-23T18:39:11","date_gmt":"2025-10-23T17:39:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=338495"},"modified":"2025-10-23T20:35:16","modified_gmt":"2025-10-23T19:35:16","slug":"irans-clerical-regime-besieged-by-crisis-on-all-fronts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/society\/irans-clerical-regime-besieged-by-crisis-on-all-fronts\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran\u2019s Clerical Regime Besieged by Crisis on All Fronts"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_243660\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-243660\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-243660 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Iran-protests-NCRI-Water-Crisis.jpg\" alt=\"Protests have been ongoing for several days in the Iranian province of Khuzestan, in response to mounting water scarcity issues.\" width=\"1000\" height=\"562\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Iran-protests-NCRI-Water-Crisis.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Iran-protests-NCRI-Water-Crisis-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Iran-protests-NCRI-Water-Crisis-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Iran-protests-NCRI-Water-Crisis-150x84.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Iran-protests-NCRI-Water-Crisis-696x391.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-243660\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Protests over severe water shortages in Iran\u2019s Khuzestan Province, July 2023<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong><em>Four-minute read<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"452\" data-end=\"872\">The Iranian regime is facing an unprecedented convergence of crises \u2014 financial collapse, economic freefall, social discontent, and intensifying political infighting. From the bankruptcy of a major private bank to the looming surge in fuel prices, from deepening poverty to factional warfare over nuclear policy and international treaties, the signs point to a system cracking under the weight of its own contradictions.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"853\" data-end=\"892\">A Bank Vanishes, Confidence Fades<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"894\" data-end=\"1338\">On October 23, 2025, Central Bank governor Mohammad-Reza <a href=\"https:\/\/www.irna.ir\/news\/85975487\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Farzin announced<\/a> that \u201cthere will no longer be Bank Ayandeh.\u201d After \u201ctwo decades of imbalance and unhealthy performance,\u201d the troubled private lender is being liquidated; its assets absorbed by the Deposit Insurance Fund, and all depositors transferred to Bank Melli, the state\u2019s flagship bank. Farzin claimed the Central Bank would \u201csafeguard the people\u2019s deposits.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"1340\" data-end=\"1729\">In practice, it marks the regime\u2019s most serious financial-sector failure in years. Bank Ayandeh\u2019s collapse reflects the deep rot of Iran\u2019s credit system\u2014opaque lending to regime-connected conglomerates, a crippled real estate sector, and the Central Bank\u2019s own inability to enforce prudential rules. For ordinary Iranians, the message is chilling: even their deposits are no longer safe.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s Ruling Elite Consumed by Infighting Amid Economic Ruin and Public Rage<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/0Wk9C2RtFP\">https:\/\/t.co\/0Wk9C2RtFP<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1981068116189982794?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 22, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"1731\" data-end=\"1775\">A Government Afraid of Its Own Reforms<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"1777\" data-end=\"2081\">On the same day, the regime&#8217;s president Masoud <a href=\"https:\/\/www.khabaronline.ir\/news\/2132810\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Pezeshkian told a provincial gathering<\/a> in West Azerbaijan: <em data-start=\"1880\" data-end=\"1932\">\u201c<\/em>There is no doubt we must raise gasoline prices.\u201d Yet his speech was a study in hesitation. He conceded that implementing such a plan \u201cis not simple\u201d and \u201ccan worsen people\u2019s livelihood problems.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"2083\" data-end=\"2643\">Leaks earlier in October showed a Cabinet framework for \u201cprice reform\u201d of fuel; officials first denied, then admitted that multiple scenarios\u2014including a three-tier system and hikes of up to 500 percent\u2014were under review. Pezeshkian\u2019s own chief of staff confirmed on October 21 that the issue had reached government working groups. The president\u2019s oscillation betrays the regime\u2019s central fear: another <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/exclusive-report\/exclusive-irgcs-report-says-2019-iran-uprising-was-organized\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">eruption like November 2019<\/a>, when a fuel-price rise triggered nationwide protests and a bloody crackdown that killed at least 1,500 people.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"2645\" data-end=\"2855\">This time, the government is paralyzed. It cannot sustain the world\u2019s cheapest gasoline without bankrupting the treasury, yet any adjustment risks an explosion of anger from a population already impoverished.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s Imploding Economy Exposes a Regime Beyond Preservation<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/7N3OT7UFT2\">https:\/\/t.co\/7N3OT7UFT2<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1979211132091990409?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 17, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"2857\" data-end=\"2881\">Poverty Normalized<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"2883\" data-end=\"3298\">On October 20, government spokesperson Fatemeh Mohajerani claimed that the monthly poverty line per person was 6.13 million tomans, arguing that state subsidies and electronic vouchers had \u201cfilled the gaps in people\u2019s lives.\u201d Yet even regime-aligned outlets dismissed the figure as fiction: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.khabaronline.ir\/news\/2132941\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em data-start=\"318\" data-end=\"333\">Khabar Online<\/em> asked<\/a>, \u201cHow can the poverty line be six million when even forty million isn\u2019t enough for a family?\u201d and <em data-start=\"440\" data-end=\"446\">ILNA<\/em> cited independent estimates placing the real cost of living for a three- to four-person household at 40 to 50 million tomans. Labor economist Faramarz Tofighi noted that, adjusted for 45 percent inflation, Mohajerani\u2019s own number translates to roughly nine million per person\u2014about 29 million per household\u2014while a minimum-wage worker with one child earns only 15 to 16 million, meaning the average Iranian family survives on barely half of what it needs.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"3300\" data-end=\"3897\">Even these official figures likely understate the crisis. Food inflation has turned basic staples into luxuries. Poultry association official <a href=\"https:\/\/vista.ir\/n\/eghtesad120\/8uma2\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Mehdi Yousefkhani confirmed<\/a> that chicken prices have been raised twice this year\u2014unprecedented for the state\u2019s \u201cmarket-regulation committee.\u201d Meanwhile, Ershad Talebi, head of the legumes association, described a \u201crunaway increase\u201d in bean and lentil prices, with pinto beans soaring from 150,000 to 500,000 tomans per kilo within months. Currency devaluation\u2014from 28,500 to over 74,000 tomans per dollar\u2014has compounded the pain.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"3899\" data-end=\"4146\">Behind these statistics lies a broader social fracture: wage earners can no longer meet minimum calorie needs, and the government\u2019s own spokesperson admits it. The regime\u2019s promise of \u201ceconomic resilience\u201d has collapsed into managed destitution.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Expanding Wave of Strikes and Protests in <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a> as Economic Collapse Deepens<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ckfq3lCTpR\">https:\/\/t.co\/ckfq3lCTpR<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1981111943290376294?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 22, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"4148\" data-end=\"4180\">Factional War over the CFT<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"4182\" data-end=\"4478\">Amid economic freefall, Tehran\u2019s power factions are fighting a different battle\u2014whether to remain financially isolated. The controversy over joining the Convention against the Financing of Terrorism (CFT) has reopened bitter divides between pragmatic technocrats and ideological hardliners.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"4480\" data-end=\"4899\">Although Pezeshkian signed the implementing order in late October, dispatching it to the judiciary, foreign, and economic ministries, rival factions erupted. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.khabaronline.ir\/news\/2132027\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">MP Kamran Ghazanfari denounced<\/a> the approval as \u201ca signal of weakness sent to the enemy.\u201d Within days, 150 MPs demanded the law\u2019s withdrawal. The parliament then abruptly went on a ten-day recess, postponing any resolution until October 26.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"4901\" data-end=\"5097\">This dispute underscores a regime at cross-purposes: desperate for relief from global banking isolation yet terrified of any transparency that might expose how it finances its regional networks.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s Power Struggle: A Fractured Regime Hiding Behind Bold Rhetoric<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/SzNeQLYdh4\">https:\/\/t.co\/SzNeQLYdh4<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1978820649062735975?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 16, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"5099\" data-end=\"5137\">Defiance Abroad, Evasion at Home<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"5139\" data-end=\"5582\">Tehran\u2019s defiance of the IAEA is the external mirror of its internal confusion. On October 20, the Foreign Ministry<a href=\"https:\/\/www.hamshahrionline.ir\/news\/987553\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> spokesman lashed out<\/a> at IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi for confirming that Iran holds about 400 kilograms of enriched uranium at sites including Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz. The spokesman accused the Agency of allowing itself to be \u201cmisused by the United States and three European countries.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"5584\" data-end=\"6073\">Other state officials doubled down. Majles security secretary <a href=\"https:\/\/www.didbaniran.ir\/%D8%A8%D8%AE%D8%B4-%D8%B3%DB%8C%D8%A7%D8%B3%DB%8C-3\/245638-%D8%B3%D8%B9%DB%8C%D8%AF%DB%8C-%D8%AF%D8%A8%DB%8C%D8%B1-%DA%A9%D9%85%DB%8C%D8%B3%DB%8C%D9%88%D9%86-%D8%A7%D9%85%D9%86%DB%8C%D8%AA-%D9%85%D9%84%DB%8C-%D9%85%D8%AC%D9%84%D8%B3-%D8%A7%DB%8C%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%86-%D9%82%D8%B7%D8%B9%D8%A7-%D8%A7%D8%B2-%D8%BA%D9%86%DB%8C-%D8%B3%D8%A7%D8%B2%DB%8C-%D8%A7%D9%88%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%86%DB%8C%D9%88%D9%85-%DA%A9%D9%88%D8%AA%D8%A7%D9%87-%D9%86%D8%AE%D9%88%D8%A7%D9%87%D8%AF-%D8%A2%D9%85%D8%AF-%D8%AC%D9%85%D9%87%D9%88%D8%B1%DB%8C-%D8%A7%D8%B3%D9%84%D8%A7%D9%85%DB%8C-%D8%B4%D8%B1%D8%B7-%D8%AA%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%85%D9%BE-%D8%A8%D8%B1%D8%A7%DB%8C-%D8%A8%D9%87-%D8%B1%D8%B3%D9%85%DB%8C%D8%AA-%D8%B4%D9%86%D8%A7%D8%AE%D8%AA%D9%86-%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%A6%DB%8C%D9%84-%DA%A9%D8%A7%D9%87%D8%B4-%D8%A8%D8%B1%D8%AF-%D9%85%D9%88%D8%B4%DA%A9-%D9%87%D8%A7-%D8%B1%D8%A7-%D9%86%D9%85%DB%8C-%D9%BE%D8%B0%DB%8C%D8%B1%DB%8C%D8%AF-%D9%85%D8%A7%D9%87%DB%8C%D8%AA-%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%A6%DB%8C%D9%84-%D9%86%D8%A7%D9%85%D8%B4%D8%B1%D9%88%D8%B9-%D8%A8%D9%88%D8%AF%D9%87-%D8%A8%D8%A7%DB%8C%D8%AF-%D8%A7%D8%B2-%D8%A8%DB%8C%D9%86-%D8%A8%D8%B1%D9%88%D8%AF\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Behnam Saeedi declared<\/a> enrichment and missile development to be <em data-start=\"5704\" data-end=\"5717\">\u201cred lines\u201d<\/em> and <em data-start=\"5722\" data-end=\"5741\">\u201cnot negotiable.\u201d<\/em> Atomic Energy Organization chief Mohammad Eslami insisted that any cooperation with the Agency depends on it condemning U.S. and Israeli \u2018attacks\u2019 and recognizing parliament\u2019s law restricting oversight. In effect, Tehran demands international acceptance of its non-compliance\u2014a sign of weakness disguised as defiance.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s Power Struggle Escalates as State Media Admits Setbacks, Snapback Tightens, and the Street Simmers<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/sxHEeUIuiK\">https:\/\/t.co\/sxHEeUIuiK<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1977421264244687306?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 12, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"0\" data-end=\"22\">Memory of Revolt<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"24\" data-end=\"406\">Meanwhile this week, former minister Mohammad-Javad Azari-Jahromi warned that the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-resistance\/marking-irans-2017-uprising-worsening-socio-economic-conditions-drive-renewed-calls-for-rebellion\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2017\u201318 protests<\/a> began as a state-approved rally against rising prices before spiraling out of control. His admission underlines how quickly economic discontent can turn political. For Pezeshkian\u2019s government, the echo is unmistakable: another fuel hike or market shock could reignite the same anger.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"431\" data-end=\"886\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">The collapse of Bank Ayandeh, paralysis over fuel pricing, and rising poverty are facets of one systemic breakdown. The regime\u2019s traditional levers\u2014subsidies, censorship, and force\u2014are colliding with fiscal exhaustion and deep factional rifts. Cornered at home while posturing abroad, the clerical state faces not just an economic reckoning but a political one: a society that may again decide that rejecting high prices means rejecting the regime itself.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Four-minute read The Iranian regime is facing an unprecedented convergence of crises &mdash; financial collapse, economic freefall, social discontent, and intensifying political infighting. From the bankruptcy of a major private [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":91,"featured_media":243660,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11,10],"tags":[269,5415],"class_list":{"0":"post-338495","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-society","8":"category-economy","9":"tag-iran-economy","10":"tag-iran-society"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Iran\u2019s Clerical Regime Besieged by Crisis on All Fronts - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Four-minute read The Iranian regime is facing an unprecedented convergence of crises \u2014 financial collapse, economic freefall, social discontent, and\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, 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