{"id":339269,"date":"2025-11-12T14:34:33","date_gmt":"2025-11-12T13:34:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=339269"},"modified":"2025-11-12T14:34:33","modified_gmt":"2025-11-12T13:34:33","slug":"iran-enters-the-ration-economy-as-food-fuel-and-medicine-slip-beyond-reach","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/economy\/iran-enters-the-ration-economy-as-food-fuel-and-medicine-slip-beyond-reach\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran Enters the Ration Economy as Food, Fuel and Medicine Slip Beyond Reach"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"Pedestrians
Pedestrians pass a giant banknote-style billboard showcasing state propaganda in central Tehran<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Four-minute read<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

By mid-November 2025, a cluster of new, regime-sourced data points shows Iran crossing from chronic inflation into administered scarcity\u2014a ration logic that now governs food, fuel, and medicine. The Oil Minister refused to deny a fresh gasoline hike, dairy prices have jumped 30\u201350% in a month, patients\u2019 out-of-pocket payments for drugs have surged toward 70%, and state-aligned economists warn of outright hunger. Even insider polling leaked this week says dissatisfaction sits near 92%. These warnings and \u201creviews\u201d are becoming louder as state media and officials sound the alarm to preserve the system as purchasing power collapses.<\/p>\n

Food First: A Nutrition Recession<\/h2>\n

A basic input has snapped: Eqtesad24<\/em> reports<\/a> raw milk rose about 30% in a month to ~30,000 tomans\/kg, roughly 7,000 above the state\u2019s own administered price. Final retail prices for yogurt and cheese are up 30\u201350%, widening the gap between official rhetoric and checkout reality. In a country where dairy long anchored cheap protein and calcium, this is not a marginal tweak\u2014it\u2019s the start of a nutrition recession.<\/p>\n

Economists close to the system are now saying the quiet part out loud. Hossein Raghfar told Khabaronline<\/em><\/a> on November 11, 2025, that ~10% of Iranians (\u22487 million) face hunger\/sustained under-calorie intake and\u00a0warned that absolute poverty could extend to ~40% if current policy continues. Market signals echo him: the head of the Livestock Supply Council, Mansour Pourian, says<\/a> even frozen imported beef has leapt to 600\u2013700 thousand tomans\/kg, pricing out a \u201clarge part\u201d of households.<\/p>\n

The poverty line itself has sprinted ahead. A World Bank readout in November 2025 puts the monthly poverty threshold for a family of four at ~73 million tomans, while Iran\u2019s legal minimum wage remains near 10 million. The arithmetic is unforgiving\u2014and it\u2019s showing up first at the dinner table.<\/p>\n

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#Iran<\/a>\u2019s Economic Unraveling Deepens as Currency Falls and Scandals Multiply https:\/\/t.co\/BD3sOuHtHL<\/a><\/p>\n

— NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) November 11, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n