{"id":339383,"date":"2025-11-15T10:00:44","date_gmt":"2025-11-15T09:00:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=339383"},"modified":"2025-11-15T10:01:32","modified_gmt":"2025-11-15T09:01:32","slug":"irans-clerical-regime-braces-for-unrest-as-crises-converge","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-protests\/irans-clerical-regime-braces-for-unrest-as-crises-converge\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran\u2019s Clerical Regime Braces for Unrest as Crises Converge"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_260220\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-260220\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-260220\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/MjJmZDhm9gJQ.jpeg\" alt=\"iran november 2019 uprising\" width=\"1000\" height=\"563\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/MjJmZDhm9gJQ.jpeg 864w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/MjJmZDhm9gJQ-300x169.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/MjJmZDhm9gJQ-768x432.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/MjJmZDhm9gJQ-150x84.jpeg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/MjJmZDhm9gJQ-696x392.jpeg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-260220\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Street clashes in Iran during the 2019 uprising<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"302\" data-end=\"1048\"><strong><em>Three-minute read<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"302\" data-end=\"1048\">By mid-November, phones across Iran lit up with a test \u201cemergency alert\u201d message. Officials said the nationwide drill was for earthquakes and floods, but it came in the week of the November 2019 massacre, just as MPs were shouting about hunger and fuel, the judiciary chief told prosecutors to \u201ctake pride\u201d in hunting internal enemies, and an IRGC paper called even talk of presidential resignation treason. An insider also quit the government\u2019s information council after publicly expressing \u201cshame\u201d over a key appointment announced on the day a journalist took his life under economic pressure. Put together, these moves show a regime preparing for confrontation with Iran\u2019s own people and Resistance, not even for genuine crisis management.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"1050\" data-end=\"1087\">Crisis Management Without Consent<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"1089\" data-end=\"1436\">The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eghtesadonline.com\/fa\/news\/2100054\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">emergency-alert drill<\/a>, run by the passive-defense organization and communications ministry, was presented as a safety upgrade but mainly tested how fast the state can push targeted messages to millions of phones. The same system that can warn about floods can also order people off the streets or justify sudden blackouts when protests spread.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"1438\" data-end=\"1834\">Judiciary chief Gholam-Hossein Mohseni Eje\u2019i supplied the script. <a href=\"https:\/\/kayhan.ir\/fa\/news\/322288\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">He told prosecutors<\/a> on November 14, 2025, to \u201cbe proud\u201d they can \u201cidentify, suppress and punish\u201d the enemy\u2019s \u201cinternal agents,\u201d a label he stretched to anyone who \u201ccreates schism\u201d or \u201cconsciously puts pressure on people\u2019s livelihoods and the economy.\u201d Economic protest, exposure of corruption and sharp criticism are all invited into the security file.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"1836\" data-end=\"2115\">Once scarcity itself is treated as a battlefield, policy debate collapses into loyalty tests. Instead of asking why people are in queues, officials ask who \u201cgave the enemy a pretext.\u201d<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a> Elites Warn of Unrest as Fuel Hikes and FX Reset Ignite Infighting <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/UNktmnSmzy\">https:\/\/t.co\/UNktmnSmzy<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1987867045573341581?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 10, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"0\" data-end=\"53\">Fuel, Bread and a Parliament Afraid of the Street<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"55\" data-end=\"388\">The fuel crisis, as MPs describe it, has become another flashpoint. <a href=\"https:\/\/fararu.com\/fa\/news\/922132\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">In their warning letter<\/a> to Masoud Pezeshkian, they admit a 20-million-liter daily gap between gasoline production and consumption and a multi-billion-dollar import bill \u2013 then immediately frame the risk as \u201csocial and security\u201d fallout if prices jump.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"390\" data-end=\"939\">Their complaints about a more expensive \u201cstation card\u201d tier, higher utility tariffs and 50 million liters a day flowing through anonymous \u201cemergency cards\u201d are not a defense of the poor; they are a fear that any overt, across-the-board hike could light the fuse of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/iran-protests-2019\/\">another Aban-style revolt<\/a>. Even the stories about a homeless welfare recipient on 2 million tomans or runaway dairy prices are deployed as warnings, not as a mandate to change course. The message to the president is simple: tighten control, avoid visible shocks \u2013 or face the streets.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">A System That Can No Longer Close Its Ranks<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/HLZzsWenvs\">https:\/\/t.co\/HLZzsWenvs<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1985779219050250746?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 4, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"0\" data-end=\"51\">Flashpoints from Factory Floor to Mining Town<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"53\" data-end=\"804\">At the base of the pyramid, the picture is of a society on a short fuse. In Mamasani, a sugar-factory worker recounts how the plant was handed to an importer with no stake in beet farming and then resold on a never-paid instalment plan, leaving the factory half-dead and the workforce \u201cdestroyed.\u201d He warns that if nothing changes, \u201can incident like Ahvaz\u201d is coming \u2013 a pointed reference to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/human-rights\/iranian-student-ahmad-baladi-dies-after-self-immolation-as-regime-forces-destroy-his-familys-only-livelihood\/\">Ahmad Baledi\u2019s self-immolation<\/a> in Ahvaz after his stall was destroyed and he was pushed to the edge. In Takab, contract workers at the Zarreh Shouran gold mine have gone on strike and rallied over unpaid wages and brutal conditions at one of the regime\u2019s flagship deposits, watching gold leave the province while their own families sink deeper into poverty.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"806\" data-end=\"1548\">These are not isolated outbursts but snapshots of a broader map: industrial workers, teachers, retirees, municipal staff and welfare recipients all cycling through protests, sit-ins and brief strikes, often in multiple cities at once. Their slogans tie unpaid wages and collapsing services directly to the nature of the system, not just to this or that minister. The same pressures sometimes turn inward \u2013 from Baledi in Ahvaz to a well-known <a href=\"https:\/\/www.khabaronline.ir\/news\/2141657\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">state-aligned media activist<\/a> who recently took his own life after voicing despair over the country and the regime&#8217;s conditions. Taken together, these workplace flashpoints and acts of desperation signal a society where another nationwide eruption is not a remote risk but an ever-present possibility.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s Hard-Pivot from \u201cDetente\u201d to Coercion\u2014And the Purge Politics Driving It<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/M16F9ivQRO\">https:\/\/t.co\/M16F9ivQRO<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1985446563653829129?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 3, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<article class=\"text-token-text-primary w-full focus:outline-none [--shadow-height:45px] has-data-writing-block:pointer-events-none has-data-writing-block:-mt-(--shadow-height) has-data-writing-block:pt-(--shadow-height) [&amp;:has([data-writing-block])&gt;*]:pointer-events-auto [content-visibility:auto] supports-[content-visibility:auto]:[contain-intrinsic-size:auto_100lvh] scroll-mt-[calc(var(--header-height)+min(200px,max(70px,20svh)))]\" dir=\"auto\" tabindex=\"-1\" data-turn-id=\"36e63531-d1cb-4113-9ae6-dadbe788e342\" data-testid=\"conversation-turn-32\" data-scroll-anchor=\"true\" data-turn=\"assistant\">\n<div class=\"text-base my-auto mx-auto pb-10 [--thread-content-margin:--spacing(4)] thread-sm:[--thread-content-margin:--spacing(6)] thread-lg:[--thread-content-margin:--spacing(16)] px-(--thread-content-margin)\">\n<div class=\"[--thread-content-max-width:40rem] thread-lg:[--thread-content-max-width:48rem] mx-auto max-w-(--thread-content-max-width) flex-1 group\/turn-messages focus-visible:outline-hidden relative flex w-full min-w-0 flex-col agent-turn\" tabindex=\"-1\">\n<div class=\"flex max-w-full flex-col grow\">\n<div class=\"min-h-8 text-message relative flex w-full flex-col items-end gap-2 text-start break-words whitespace-normal [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-1\" dir=\"auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"0b5333e3-32cc-42da-8162-61c46fe80218\" data-message-model-slug=\"gpt-5-1-thinking\">\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-col gap-1 empty:hidden first:pt-[1px]\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose dark:prose-invert w-full break-words light markdown-new-styling\">\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"0\" data-end=\"51\">The Perfect Storm<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"53\" data-end=\"800\">Even state media now admit that a serious problem sits above the cabinet. The pro-government <a href=\"https:\/\/www.toseeirani.ir\/%D8%A8%D8%AE%D8%B4-%D8%B3%DB%8C%D8%A7%D8%B3%DB%8C-65\/84723-%DA%AF%D9%86%D8%A7%D9%87-%D9%BE%D8%B2%D8%B4%DA%A9%DB%8C%D8%A7%D9%86-%DA%98%D8%B3%D8%AA-%D9%85%D9%86%D8%AA%D9%82%D8%AF%D8%A7%D9%86%D9%87-%D8%A8%D9%82%DB%8C%D9%87\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">daily <em data-start=\"161\" data-end=\"169\">Tose\u2019e<\/em> writes<\/a> that attacks on Pezeshkian are coming from both sides: former &#8220;reformist&#8221; allies, who helped build this cabinet, now demand reshuffles or even resignation, while hardline factions push toward impeaching ministers and weakening the presidency.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"802\" data-end=\"1454\">In an interview, Hosein Marashi, an influential insider, attacked Pezeshkian&#8217;s inaction and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tasnimnews.com\/fa\/news\/1404\/08\/20\/3445531\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">made the same point<\/a> more directly: power is concentrated in the Supreme Leader\u2019s office, while responsibility for a broken economy and daily governance is dumped on the cabinet. The president is not commander-in-chief; the justice minister has no control over the judiciary; with this \u201cisland-like\u201d architecture, he says, the country cannot actually be run.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"802\" data-end=\"1454\">Within a day, Khamenei\u2019s mouthpiece <a href=\"https:\/\/kayhan.ir\/fa\/news\/321999\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em data-start=\"1212\" data-end=\"1220\">Kayhan<\/em> hits back<\/a>, accusing Marashi of speaking in harmony with \u201cthe enemies of the system\u201d and boasting that it was the Leader\u2019s powers that saved some \u201cseditionists\u201d from the gallows\u2014a warning shot at anyone who questions this hierarchy.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"1456\" data-end=\"2010\">The internal crisis is accelerating. Fayaz Zahed, a member of the government\u2019s Information Council, has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.etemadonline.com\/%D8%A8%D8%AE%D8%B4-%D8%B3%DB%8C%D8%A7%D8%B3%DB%8C-9\/747250-%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%AA%D8%B9%D9%81%D8%A7-%D9%81%DB%8C%D8%A7%D8%B6-%D8%B2%D8%A7%D9%87%D8%AF-%D8%B1%D8%A6%DB%8C%D8%B3-%D8%B4%D9%88%D8%B1%D8%A7%DB%8C-%D8%A7%D8%B7%D9%84%D8%A7%D8%B9-%D8%B1%D8%B3%D8%A7%D9%86%DB%8C-%D8%AF%D9%88%D9%84%D8%AA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">now been pushed out<\/a> after publicly saying he felt \u201cashamed\u201d by Masoud Pezeshkian\u2019s decision to appoint a close ally of the late President Ebrahim Raisi to a top energy post. Former president Mohammad <a href=\"https:\/\/www.khabaronline.ir\/news\/2142036\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Khatami is urging<\/a> political actors to \u201csupport the government,\u201d criticize only in measured tones and always offer technical \u201csolutions\u201d rather than questioning the system itself. And on the extremist flank, the Revolutionary Guards\u2019 daily <em data-start=\"748\" data-end=\"755\">Javan<\/em> has warned that even floating the idea of Pezeshkian\u2019s resignation is an act of \u201ctreason,\u201d whether it comes from &#8220;reformists or conservatives.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"1456\" data-end=\"2010\">Together, these signals draw the boundary line: factions are free to quarrel over style, appointments and blame-shifting, but they are not allowed to challenge the Supreme Leader\u2019s monopoly on power\u2014especially now, when society is explosive and another nationwide revolt is imminent.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three-minute read By mid-November, phones across Iran lit up with a test &ldquo;emergency alert&rdquo; message. Officials said the nationwide drill was for earthquakes and floods, but it came in the [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":260220,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,5450],"tags":[130,5482],"class_list":{"0":"post-339383","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-iran-protests","8":"category-iranian-regime-infighting","9":"tag-iran-protests","10":"tag-iranian-regime-infighting"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Iran\u2019s Clerical Regime Braces for Unrest as Crises Converge - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Three-minute read By mid-November, phones across Iran lit up with a test \u201cemergency alert\u201d message. 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