{"id":339534,"date":"2025-11-19T09:31:04","date_gmt":"2025-11-19T08:31:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=339534"},"modified":"2025-11-19T10:08:17","modified_gmt":"2025-11-19T09:08:17","slug":"irans-permanent-emergency-how-the-regime-governs-for-the-next-uprising","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-protests\/irans-permanent-emergency-how-the-regime-governs-for-the-next-uprising\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran\u2019s Permanent Emergency: How the Regime Governs for the Next Uprising"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_267867\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-267867\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-267867\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/iran-uprising-night-fire-e1671097968748.jpg\" alt=\"Iranian youth create bonfires and street barricades during the 2022 uprising\" width=\"1000\" height=\"567\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/iran-uprising-night-fire-e1671097968748.jpg 970w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/iran-uprising-night-fire-e1671097968748-300x170.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/iran-uprising-night-fire-e1671097968748-768x435.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/iran-uprising-night-fire-e1671097968748-150x85.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/iran-uprising-night-fire-e1671097968748-696x395.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-267867\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Iranian youth create bonfires and street barricades during the 2022 uprising<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong><em>Three-minute read<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<article class=\"text-token-text-primary w-full focus:outline-none [--shadow-height:45px] has-data-writing-block:pointer-events-none has-data-writing-block:-mt-(--shadow-height) has-data-writing-block:pt-(--shadow-height) [&amp;:has([data-writing-block])&gt;*]:pointer-events-auto [content-visibility:auto] supports-[content-visibility:auto]:[contain-intrinsic-size:auto_100lvh] scroll-mt-[calc(var(--header-height)+min(200px,max(70px,20svh)))]\" dir=\"auto\" tabindex=\"-1\" data-turn-id=\"38335ab8-eab1-4a95-8931-3e37c518ebf9\" data-testid=\"conversation-turn-38\" data-scroll-anchor=\"true\" data-turn=\"assistant\">\n<div class=\"text-base my-auto mx-auto pb-10 [--thread-content-margin:--spacing(4)] thread-sm:[--thread-content-margin:--spacing(6)] thread-lg:[--thread-content-margin:--spacing(16)] px-(--thread-content-margin)\">\n<div class=\"[--thread-content-max-width:40rem] thread-lg:[--thread-content-max-width:48rem] mx-auto max-w-(--thread-content-max-width) flex-1 group\/turn-messages focus-visible:outline-hidden relative flex w-full min-w-0 flex-col agent-turn\" tabindex=\"-1\">\n<div class=\"flex max-w-full flex-col grow\">\n<div class=\"min-h-8 text-message relative flex w-full flex-col items-end gap-2 text-start break-words whitespace-normal [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-1\" dir=\"auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"a854882e-00db-4350-8f0a-33cff1625ab0\" data-message-model-slug=\"gpt-5-1-thinking\">\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-col gap-1 empty:hidden first:pt-[1px]\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose dark:prose-invert w-full break-words light markdown-new-styling\">\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"76\" data-end=\"666\">On Sunday night, November 16, 2025, a chemistry master\u2019s student at Shiraz University <a href=\"https:\/\/english.mojahedin.org\/news\/irans-no-to-executions-tuesdays-campaign-enters-95th-week-as-nationwide-protests-challenge-regimes-killing-spree\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">was found dead<\/a> in her dorm room. Student networks say she took her own life; the university said the \u201cexact cause\u201d is unknown and only the coroner can decide. The same day in the Kurdish city of Marivan, a long-serving municipal employee reportedly set himself on fire inside city hall after pressure and threats from the regime\u2019s Herassat security office. Co-workers used a fire extinguisher to save him; security forces immediately cordoned off the area and tried to block any reporting.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"668\" data-end=\"1111\">These two cases sit on top of a list many Iranians already know: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/human-rights\/iranian-student-ahmad-baladi-dies-after-self-immolation-as-regime-forces-destroy-his-familys-only-livelihood\/\">Ahmad Baledi<\/a>, the Ahvaz street vendor who burned himself after his father&#8217;s only means of income was destroyed; Shahou Safari in Sanandaj, who self-immolated outside a courthouse; and Kourosh Kheiri in Lorestan, pushed over the edge by debts, court files and unemployment. Together, they map a society that feels locked in \u2013 and a state afraid such acts can become political symbols and rallying cries.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"1157\" data-end=\"1798\">In Marivan, officials did not move to investigate municipal abuse; they sealed the scene and silenced witnesses. In Shiraz, the university treated the student\u2019s death as a technical file, detached from youth unemployment, campus purges and the memory of classmates killed or jailed in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/world\/special-report-irans-leader-ordered-crackdown-on-unrest-do-whatever-it-take-idUSKBN1YR0QO\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the 2019 fuel protests<\/a> and the Mahsa Amini uprising. The spread of suicides and self-immolation attempts among students, workers, municipal staff and informal vendors is now read by many as extreme protest against a blocked future. For the regime, they are sparks that, if filmed and shared, can help turn local anger into something closer to 2019 or 2022.<\/p>\n<div class=\"lyte-wrapper\" title=\"State officials rhetoric shows low morale among Iran regime&rsquo;s ranks is indicating a defection crisis\" style=\"width:853px;max-width:100%;margin:5px;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_LOJiEO28kQ4\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FLOJiEO28kQ4%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/LOJiEO28kQ4\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT59S\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2022-12-27T20:41:02Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_LOJiEO28kQ4\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FLOJiEO28kQ4%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">State officials rhetoric shows low morale among Iran regime\u2019s ranks is indicating a defection crisis<\/div><\/div><div class=\"play\"><\/div><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/LOJiEO28kQ4\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FLOJiEO28kQ4%2F0.jpg\" alt=\"State officials rhetoric shows low morale among Iran regime&rsquo;s ranks is indicating a defection crisis\" width=\"853\" height=\"460\" \/><br \/>Watch this video on YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"Read More: https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/IranNCR\/ https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy Subscribe to NCRI weekly newsletter: https:\/\/tinyurl.com\/4jtprrtp\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:853px;margin:5px;\"><\/div><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"1800\" data-end=\"1856\">Legislating Panic: The \u201cCounter-Infiltration\u201d Bill<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"1858\" data-end=\"2563\">This fear is being written into law. Intelligence minister <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tasnimnews.com\/fa\/news\/1404\/08\/25\/3449016\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Esmaeil Khatib said<\/a> on November 16 a 19-article \u201cplan to counter the infiltration of foreign intelligence services and hostile governments\u201d is in its final drafting stage in parliament, a \u201cbackbone\u201d for Iran\u2019s intelligence system in a \u201chybrid war for overthrow.\u201d The draft goes far beyond classic espionage: it criminalises interviews with so-called \u201chostile media,\u201d lets a security council decide which outlets count as \u201cenemy,\u201d and requires every interview with other foreign media to be logged in an online portal run by the Intelligence Ministry. Sending photos or videos to journalists or activists outside Iran is treated as a crime, punishable by prison.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"2565\" data-end=\"3109\">Universities and the arts are pulled into the same net. Scholarships and research collaborations with foreign universities will only be allowed if the institution appears on an annual whitelist; working with anyone off-list can mean a prison sentence. Artists and filmmakers who receive foreign funding or training and produce works that \u201cshow a dark image of Iran\u201d risk lifelong bans from cultural work and the seizure of their backers\u2019 funds. Even contact with embassies or international organizations is to be put under written-permit rules.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"3111\" data-end=\"3582\">The package is sold as a response to \u201cenemy penetration,\u201d especially after the 12-day war with Israel, when targeted strikes and assassinations exposed gaps in the regime\u2019s security system. Senior insiders have spoken of \u201cweaknesses\u201d and even a \u201csupreme infiltrator\u201d inside the state. Instead of reforming those structures, the regime is trying to seal off society itself \u2013 criminalizing the channels through which workers, students and citizens documented previous crackdowns.<\/p>\n<div class=\"lyte-wrapper\" title=\"State officials acknowledge Iran Uprising is all about ousting Khamenei\" style=\"width:853px;max-width:100%;margin:5px;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_yYJMhZLMxbM\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FyYJMhZLMxbM%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/yYJMhZLMxbM\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT51S\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2023-01-03T20:49:05Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_yYJMhZLMxbM\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FyYJMhZLMxbM%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">State officials acknowledge Iran Uprising is all about ousting Khamenei<\/div><\/div><div class=\"play\"><\/div><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/yYJMhZLMxbM\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FyYJMhZLMxbM%2F0.jpg\" alt=\"State officials acknowledge Iran Uprising is all about ousting Khamenei\" width=\"853\" height=\"460\" \/><br \/>Watch this video on YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"Read More: https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/IranNCR\/ https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy Subscribe to NCRI weekly newsletter: https:\/\/tinyurl.com\/4jtprrtp\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:853px;margin:5px;\"><\/div><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"3584\" data-end=\"3628\">Eje\u2019i\u2019s Numbers: Managing 90,000 Cases<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"3630\" data-end=\"4111\">On November 13, Judiciary chief Gholam-Hossein <a href=\"https:\/\/www.alef.ir\/news\/4040822061.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Mohseni Eje\u2019i announced<\/a> that in 1401 the judiciary opened about 88\u201390,000 protest-related cases and admits that jailing all of them would have huge consequences for families, courts and the regime\u2019s image. His answer is to make repression \u201cmanageable\u201d: many defendants, he argues, were \u201cunder the influence of the atmosphere,\u201d and if they show regret and promise not to repeat their actions, prosecutors can keep them out of prison and later seek pardons.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"4113\" data-end=\"4637\">At the same time, he ordered the prosecutor-general and provincial prosecutors to map \u201corganized currents\u201d behind \u201csocial anomalies,\u201d especially those with any foreign link, and to coordinate with the Intelligence Ministry, the Revolutionary Guards\u2019 intelligence arm, the police, seminaries and schools. In Qom, he warned officials not to turn \u201csmall internal issues\u201d into \u201cpretexts for the enemy\u201d and insists that \u201cenemies\u201d are using \u201chybrid war\u201d and \u201csoft war\u201d to weaken \u201cunity, revolutionary spirit and respect for values.\u201d<\/p>\n<article class=\"text-token-text-primary w-full focus:outline-none [--shadow-height:45px] has-data-writing-block:pointer-events-none has-data-writing-block:-mt-(--shadow-height) has-data-writing-block:pt-(--shadow-height) [&amp;:has([data-writing-block])&gt;*]:pointer-events-auto [content-visibility:auto] supports-[content-visibility:auto]:[contain-intrinsic-size:auto_100lvh] scroll-mt-[calc(var(--header-height)+min(200px,max(70px,20svh)))]\" dir=\"auto\" tabindex=\"-1\" data-turn-id=\"d2796563-4b72-4fe2-a38a-7b539633a203\" data-testid=\"conversation-turn-42\" data-scroll-anchor=\"true\" data-turn=\"assistant\">\n<div class=\"text-base my-auto mx-auto pb-10 [--thread-content-margin:--spacing(4)] thread-sm:[--thread-content-margin:--spacing(6)] thread-lg:[--thread-content-margin:--spacing(16)] px-(--thread-content-margin)\">\n<div class=\"[--thread-content-max-width:40rem] thread-lg:[--thread-content-max-width:48rem] mx-auto max-w-(--thread-content-max-width) flex-1 group\/turn-messages focus-visible:outline-hidden relative flex w-full min-w-0 flex-col agent-turn\" tabindex=\"-1\">\n<div class=\"flex max-w-full flex-col grow\">\n<div class=\"min-h-8 text-message relative flex w-full flex-col items-end gap-2 text-start break-words whitespace-normal [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-1\" dir=\"auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"9621fdd1-ae84-4aaa-984f-bae1482f2ea6\" data-message-model-slug=\"gpt-5-1-thinking\">\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-col gap-1 empty:hidden first:pt-[1px]\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose dark:prose-invert w-full break-words light markdown-new-styling\">\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"0\" data-end=\"763\">The regime is saying openly that isolated acts of dissent can be contained or ignored, but anything that looks coordinated will be treated as a security crime precisely because it can cross borders, reach exiled media and human-rights networks, and turn local injustice into an international case. Whether people are jailed or later \u201cforgiven,\u201d they are pulled into a system whose real purpose is to terrify the public away from any structured, collective challenge.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"4996\" data-end=\"5044\">Infiltration As a Name for Fear of Society<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"5046\" data-end=\"5450\">From Ahvaz and Sanandaj to Shiraz, people are signaling that they don&#8217;t trust the future the clerical state offers. By calling every channel of communication \u201cinfiltration,\u201d criminalizing contact with the outside world and turning 90,000 protest files into a managed pool of suspects, the regime is not solving the crises that produced those suicides and uprisings. It is governing for the next one.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three-minute read On Sunday night, November 16, 2025, a chemistry master&rsquo;s student at Shiraz University was found dead in her dorm room. Student networks say she took her own life; [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":91,"featured_media":267867,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,11],"tags":[130,5415],"class_list":{"0":"post-339534","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-iran-protests","8":"category-society","9":"tag-iran-protests","10":"tag-iran-society"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Iran\u2019s Permanent Emergency: How the Regime Governs for the Next Uprising - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Three-minute read On Sunday night, November 16, 2025, a chemistry master\u2019s student at Shiraz University was found dead in her dorm room. 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